Letters20 March 2012Venous Thromboembolism Prophylaxis in Hospitalized Medical PatientsAmir Qaseem, MD, PhD, MHA, Roger Chou, MD, Linda Humphrey, MD, MPH, and Paul Shekelle, MD, PhDAmir Qaseem, MD, PhD, MHAFrom American College of Physicians, Philadelphia, PA 19106; Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR 97201; and West Los Angeles Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90073.Search for more papers by this author, Roger Chou, MDFrom American College of Physicians, Philadelphia, PA 19106; Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR 97201; and West Los Angeles Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90073.Search for more papers by this author, Linda Humphrey, MD, MPHFrom American College of Physicians, Philadelphia, PA 19106; Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR 97201; and West Los Angeles Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90073.Search for more papers by this author, and Paul Shekelle, MD, PhDFrom American College of Physicians, Philadelphia, PA 19106; Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR 97201; and West Los Angeles Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90073.Search for more papers by this authorAuthor, Article, and Disclosure Informationhttps://doi.org/10.7326/0003-4819-156-6-201203200-00020 SectionsAboutVisual AbstractPDF ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack CitationsPermissions ShareFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditEmail IN RESPONSE:We thank Dr. Mills, Drs. Agutter and Malone, and Dr. Cundiff for their comments regarding the recent clinical guideline on VTE prophylaxis in hospitalized patients.In response to Dr. Mills, the pooled results from medical patients showed that prophylaxis with heparin is associated with a statistically significant reduction in PEs (absolute decrease, 4 events per 1000 persons treated) but a nonstatistically significant increase in major bleeding events (absolute increase, 1 event per 1000 persons treated) and no effect on mortality or symptomatic DVT. Hence, there is more benefit from potential reduction in PE events relative to the risk for bleeding.As far as the rating of our evidence goes, according to the GRADE system, publication bias is just one of the factors, including the number and quality of trials, consistency between trials, and precision of estimates, and others that should be considered when rating the quality of evidence and grading the strength of recommendations. Funnel plots can be helpful in understanding the risk for publication bias, but results must be interpreted cautiously because the small sample effects evaluated in funnel plots can be due to factors other than publication bias (such as differences in study quality, populations, or outcomes) (1, 2). Other approaches for examining the likelihood of publication bias have similar limitations (3). In addition, the possibility of publication bias by itself does not necessarily invalidate estimates of treatment effects. In this case, many unpublished small trials of heparin prophylaxis showing no reduced risk for PE would have to exist to lower the absolute decrease in events from 4 events per 1000 persons treated to 1 or fewer events per 1000 persons treated and result in no net benefit relative to the risk for major bleeding. This is unlikely. Therefore, we stand by our original recommendation and grading of evidence.As far as Dr. Cundiff's and Drs. Agutter and Malone's comments are concerned, our literature review only included evidence from randomized, controlled trials because they are less susceptible to bias than observational studies when designed and done correctly. Their review focused on diet and VTE and included no studies that actually evaluated the association between a prophylactic intervention and clinical outcomes. Rather, it discussed possible mechanisms for benefit and epidemiologic studies and proposed a possible dietary intervention for future research (4). Hence, this paper was not included in the review for our guideline.Amir Qaseem, MD, PhD, MHAAmerican College of PhysiciansPhiladelphia, PA 19106Roger Chou, MDLinda L. Humphrey, MD, MPHOregon Health and Science UniversityPortland, OR 97201Paul Shekelle, MD, PhDWest Los Angeles Veterans Affairs Medical CenterLos Angeles, CA 90073