Abstract Background Biochemical, endoscopic and histologic endpoints are commonly used to objectively define remission status in ulcerative colitis (UC). Little data exists on the correlation of these endpoints from prospectively collected samples based on a well-defined protocol. Also, optimal faecal calprotectin (FC) values that predict histo-endoscopic remission are lacking. Methods The phase IV Vedolizumab Immunomodulator Enforced Withdrawal Study (VIEWS) prospectively recruited 62 patients with UC on vedolizumab in steroid-free clinical remission. Treatment endpoints were assessed at week 0 and 48. Biopsies for histology were standardised using strict protocolised criteria. Definitions of remission using treatment endpoints were C-reactive protein (CRP)<5mg/L, FC<150µg/g, centrally-read Mayo endoscopic score (MES)=0, centrally-read Nancy Index (NI)=0, and histo-endoscopic remission (MES=0 and NI=0). Correlation was assessed using phi (ϕ) co-efficient analysis (value between -1 and 1 reflecting strength of correlation). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to determine optimal FC cutoffs to predict histo-endoscopic outcomes (IBM SPSS Statistics, version 30). Results A total of 124 datapoints were obtained from paired endpoints. From these, CRP remission was noted in 81%, FC remission 82%, endoscopic remission 66%, histologic remission 61% and histo-endoscopic remission in 54%. Strong correlations were found between endoscopy and histology (ϕ=0.447, P<0.001), and between FC and endoscopy (ϕ=0.395, P<0.001). FC had moderate correlation with histology (ϕ=0.204, P=0.03). CRP had weaker correlations with FC (ϕ=0.158, P=0.08), endoscopy (ϕ=0.111, P=0.24), and histology (ϕ=0.196, P=0.04) (Figure 1). A FC cut-off of 62.6 µg/g (sensitivity 78%, specificity 54%) predicted endoscopic remission (AUC 0.72 [95%CI: 0.61-0.84], P<0.001). A FC cut-off of 34.2µg/g (sensitivity 65%, specificity 60%) predicted histologic remission (AUC 0.66 [95%CI: 0.55-0.77], P=0.006). A FC cut-off of 23.7µg/g (sensitivity 60%, specificity 63%) predicted histo-endoscopic remission (AUC 0.65 [95%CI: 0.54-0.76], P=0.006) (Figure 2). Conclusion Endoscopic and histologic endpoints correlate strongly when standardised in a trial setting. FC values below 34.2µg/g and 23.7µg/g best predicted for histologic and histo-endoscopic remission respectively.
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