High Risk Of Disease Progression Research Articles

EE465 Cost-Effectiveness of Sotrovimab for the Treatment of Mild-to-Moderate COVID-19 in Patients at High Risk of Disease Progression in Italy

EE465 Cost-Effectiveness of Sotrovimab for the Treatment of Mild-to-Moderate COVID-19 in Patients at High Risk of Disease Progression in Italy

Oncologic outcomes of patients with lymph node invasion at prostatectomy and post-prostatectomy biochemical persistence

BackgroundPathologic nodal invasion at prostatectomy is frequently associated with persistently elevated prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and with increased risk of disease recurrence. Management strategies for these patients are poorly defined. We aimed to explore the long-term oncologic outcomes and patterns of disease progression. MethodsWe included men treated between 2000 and 2017 who had lymph node invasion at radical prostatectomy and persistently detectable prostate-specific antigen post-prostatectomy. Postoperative imaging and management strategies were collated. Patterns of recurrence and probability of metastasis-free survival, prostate cancer–specific survival, and overall survival (OS) were assessed. ResultsAmong our cohort of 253 patients, 126 developed metastasis. Twenty-five had a positive scan within 6 months of surgery; of these, 15 (60%) had a nodal metastasis, 10 (40%) had a bone metastasis, and 4 (16%) had local recurrence. For metastasis-free survival, 5- and 10-year probabilities were 52% (95% CI 45%, 58%) and 37% (95% CI 28%, 46%), respectively. For prostate cancer–specific survival, 5- and 10-year probabilities were 89% (95% CI 84%, 93%) and 67% (95% CI 57%, 76%), respectively. A total of 221 patients proceeded to hormonal deprivation treatment alone. Ten patients received postoperative radiotherapy. ConclusionsBiochemical persistence in patients with lymph node invasion is associated with high risk of disease progression and reduced prostate cancer–specific survival. Management was hindered by the limitation of imaging modalities utilized during the study period in accurately detecting residual disease. Novel molecular imaging may improve staging and help design a therapeutic strategy adapted to patients’ specific needs.

The therapeutic aspects of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease in the developed world. NAFLD is encompasses a spectrum of liver manifestations ranging from simple steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), fibrosis and cirrhosis, which may ultimately progress to hepatocellular carcinoma. NASH is an aggressive form of NAFLD, associated with an increased risk of liver and non-liver-related mortality. Liver-biopsy remains the gold standard for diagnosis, but the majority of patients liver damage can be diagnosed accurately by noninvasive methods.
 Early identification and management of patients with intensive dietary and lifestyle modification are essential to prevent the development of advanced liver disease and its complications. Pharmacological therapy should be administered to patients with NASH purposed on the fibrosis inhibition, especially in case of the established predictors of high risk of disease progression (age ˃ 50 years, metabolic syndrome, type 2 diabetes mellitus, or ALT increase), as well as to the patients with active NASH with high inflammatory activity

Classification and survival prediction in early-stage cirrhosis by gene expression profiling.

Liver cirrhosis has been increasingly diagnosed at an early stage owing to the non-invasive diagnostic techniques. However, it is difficult to identify patients at high risk of disease progression. Screening cirrhotic patients with poor prognosis who are most in need of surveillance is still challenging. Gene expression data GSE15654 and GSE14520 were downloaded for performing unsupervised clustering analysis. The prognostic differences between the different clusters were explored by Cox regression. Integrative analysis of gene expression signature, immune cell enrichments and clinical characterization was performed for different clusters. Two distinctive subclasses were identified in HCV-related GSE15654, and Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that subtype 2 had lower survival rates than subtype 1 (p=0.0399). Further analysis revealed subtype 2 had a higher density of follicular T helper cells, resting natural killer cells and M0, M2 macrophages while subtype 1 with a higher fraction of naive B cells, memory B cells, resting memory CD 4T cells, activated natural killer cells and monocytes. 226 differentially expressed genes were identified between the two subtypes, and Reactome analysis showed the mainly enriched pathways were biological oxidations and fatty acid metabolism. Five hub genes (AKT1, RPS16, CDC42, CCND1 and PCBP2) and three significant modules were extracted from the PPI network. The results were validated in HBV-related GSE14520 cohort. We identified two subtypes of patients with different prognosis for hepatitis C-related early-stage liver cirrhosis. Bioinformatics analysis of the gene expression and immune cell profile may provide fresh insight into understanding the prognosis difference.

Predictors of Disease Progression and Survival in Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndrome Secondary to Inherited Bone Marrow Failure Syndromes

Introduction Inherited bone marrow failure syndromes (IBMFSs) are rare genetic disorders characterized by abnormal hematopoiesis resulting in cytopenias, risk of myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Once patients develop MDS, the only cure is hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT). Proceeding to HSCT before transformation to advanced MDS or AML leads to better outcomes (Smith et al., PBC 2013). The rate of disease progression from early MDS to advanced MDS or AML is variable and risk factors for progression in IBMFS patients are unknown. We hypothesized that certain variables could predict the likelihood of progression, and that the type of disease progression may impact overall survival (OS). Methods Data were collected from patients prospectively enrolled in the Canadian Inherited Marrow Failure Registry (CIMFR), a Canadian collaboration including >95% of pediatric IBMFS patients. Patients were diagnosed with a specific syndrome or unclassified IBMFS (ucIBMFS) based on published criteria. Diagnostic criteria for pediatric MDS defined by Cada et al. (Haematologica 2015) were used, patients with refractory cytopenia (RC) with or without dysplasia or ringed sideroblasts were included. Patients with refractory cytopenia with excess blasts (RCEB) were excluded. MDS progression was defined as 1 or more of: a new cytogenetic abnormality, more advanced cytopathology, worse cytopenias requiring HSCT. Variables evaluated included: involvement of specific organ systems, hematologic parameters within 3 months of cytogenetic clones/MDS diagnosis, type of mutation (as per Waespe et al., Genomic Medicine 2017). Univariate Cox Proportional Hazard modelling was used to estimate association with specific variables and disease progression, Kaplan-Meier analysis was used for survival evaluation. Results Between January 1, 2001 and November 30, 2018, 601 patients were enrolled in the CIMFR, and during this time 59 (9.8%) developed cytogenetic clones/MDS. Four did not meet the pre-defined criteria for IBMFS, 9 had RCEB at diagnosis with MDS and 1 did not have data available; these were excluded from our cohort of 45 patients. Twelve (26%) patients with clones/MDS had Fanconi Anemia (FA), 13 (28.3%) had Shwachman-Diamond Syndrome (SDS), 5 (10.8%) had ucIBMFS, 15 (33.3%) had other IBMFSs. The most common cytogenetic finding at diagnosis was -7/-7q (n=10, 22%). Patients who developed clones/MDS had significantly worse OS compared to those without clones/MDS (HR 3, 95% CI 2-6, p<0.0001). Among patients who developed clones/MDS, 22 (48.9%) underwent HSCT. Twenty one clones/MDS patients (46.7%) had disease progression, with a median time to progression of 7.9 months (1.2-131.4). The majority (68.4%) developed progression within one year of clones/MDS diagnosis. Nine (42.8%) developed more advanced cytopathology, 9 (42.8%) a new cytogenetic abnormality and 5 (23.8%) worsening cytopenias. Most patients with FA (67%) had disease progression, compared to 38.5% of patients with SDS. Mutation types (classified as more vs less deleterious) were similar between the groups with and without progression. The evaluated hematologic parameters (MCV, hemoglobin, platelets and neutrophils within 3 months of diagnosis) were not predictive of disease progression. Patients with disease progression, when compared to those without, were more likely to have congenital malformations of the skin (14.3% vs 0%), cardiovascular system (28.6% vs 4.2%) and kidneys (14.3% vs 4.2%). No specific system involvement predicted disease progression, although congenital malformations of the cardiovascular system had a HR of 2.63 (95% CI 0.93-7.42). Conclusion Development of MDS has a significant adverse impact on the OS of IBMFS patients, with disease progression typically occurring within the first year after MDS diagnosis. Patients with FA have a high risk of disease progression. Hematologic parameters were not predictive of the risk of disease progression, however, the presence of congenital cardiovascular anomalies is suggestive of increased risk of disease progression and warrants further investigation. Our study is limited by the rare nature of IBMFSs and MDS and the collection of additional data will help to guide treatment decisions for this high-risk patient population. Acknowledgment The authors thank Mr. Bryan Maguire for his statistical analysis of data related to this work.

RADT-34. ANALYSIS OF A METHYLATION CLASS-GUIDED RADIOTHERAPY IN MENINGIOMA PATIENTS - AND THE PROSPECTIVE PHASE II MARCIE TRIAL WITH CARBON-ION BOOST RADIOTHERAPY

Abstract Meningiomas represent the most common primary brain tumor type, with a recurrence rate of approximately 20% following resection. Classification by molecular classes was demonstrated to be more accurate in identifying patients at high risk of disease progression in meningiomas, compared to WHO grading only. Novel radiotherapeutic modalities using protons or carbon ions provide an increased relative biological effectiveness (RBE) compared to photons, enabling a higher local dose deposition while reducing the radiation dose for organs of risks. The prospective single-arm phase II - MARCIE trial investigated a bimodal radiotherapy using photons (50 Gy in 25 fractions) and a carbon-ions boost with 18 Gy (RBE) in 6 fractions. Local progression-free survival after 3 years was defined as primary endpoint. In total, 33 patients were recruited before termination of the trial. After 3 years, local progression free survival was estimated at 94.7% and overall survival at 89.8%. Serious adverse events in the form of radiation necrosis were observed in 3 cases, requiring a subsequent treatment with bevacizumab. Post-hoc DNA methylation profiling revealed that relapses occur more frequently in high-risk meningiomas following radiotherapy, compared to the intermediate risk-group, confirming the prognostic relevance of the methylation-based meningioma classifier.Subsequently, a retrospective matched-pair analysis was performed to compare irradiated (n &amp;gt; 100) and non-irradiated meningiomas, stratified into the molecular risk groups (ben, int, high). The clinical benefit of postoperative radiotherapy and dose escalation with regard to the local control are currently being assessed for the respective molecular meningioma classes. Postoperative, bimodal radiotherapy with carbon-ion boost represent an auspicious treatment modality with an excellent local tumor control following resection. Molecular risk stratification is crucial in identifying patients who might benefit from postoperative radiotherapy.

Early Access to Oral Antivirals in High-Risk Outpatients: Good Weapons to Fight COVID-19.

Molnupiravir and Nirmatrelvir/r (NMV-r) have been proven to reduce severe Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in unvaccinated high-risk individuals. Data regarding their impact in fully vaccinated vulnerable subjects with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 are still limited, particularly in the era of Omicron and sub-variants. Our retrospective study aimed to compare the safety profile and effectiveness of the two antivirals in all consecutive high-risk outpatients between 11 January and 10 July 2022. A logistic regression model was carried out to assess factors associated with the composite outcome defined as all-cause hospitalization and/or death at 30 days. A total of 719 individuals were included: 554 (77%) received Molnupiravir, whereas 165 (23%) were NMV-r users. Overall, 43 all-cause hospitalizations (5.9%) and 13 (1.8%) deaths were observed at 30 days. A composite outcome occurred in 47 (6.5%) individuals. At multivariate analysis, male sex [OR 3.785; p = 0.0021], age ≥ 75 [OR 2.647; p = 0.0124], moderate illness [OR 16.75; p &lt; 0.001], and treatment discontinuation after medical decision [OR 8.148; p = 0.0123] remained independently associated with the composite outcome. No differences between the two antivirals were observed. In this real-life setting, the early use of both of the oral antivirals helped limit composite outcome at 30 days among subjects who were at high risk of disease progression.

The Role of the Immune Phenotype in Tumor Progression and Prognosis of Patients with Mycosis Fungoides: A Quantitative Immunohistology Whole Slide Approach.

Mycosis fungoides (MF) is the most common type of cutaneous T-cell lymphomas, characterized by mature, skin-tropic CD4+ T-helper cells. In order to study the immune tumor microenvironment in MF patients, we performed immunohistochemical stains on MF biopsies, digitized whole-slide tissue sections, and performed quantitative analysis of the different immune cell subsets to correlate tissue parameters with the clinical data of patients, such as progression-free survival or overall survival. Overall, 35 patients who were treated between 2009 and 2019 and for whom one or more paraffin tissue blocks were available have been included in the present study (58 tissue specimens in total). Conventional immunohistochemistry stains for CD3, CD4, CD8, CD20 and CD30 were used for the analysis of the immune phenotype, and quantitative analysis was performed using QuPath as a quantitative digital pathology tool for bioimage analysis of whole slides. Analysis of tissue parameters for prognostic significance revealed that patients with a stronger infiltration by CD8+ lymphocytes within the tumor cell compartment had a higher risk of disease progression (p = 0.031) and showed a shorter progress-free survival (p = 0.038). Furthermore, a significant association of the percentage of CD30+ cells (median: 7.8%) with the risk of disease progression (p = 0.023) and progression-free survival (p = 0.023) was found. In relation to the clinical features of our patient cohort, a higher risk of disease progression (p = 0.015) and a shorter progression-free survival (p = 0.032) for older patients (&gt;61 years) were observed. Our results demonstrated the prognostic relevance of large-cell transformation in mycosis fungoides and its strong association with the presence of CD30+ lymphocytes. Unlike previous reports, our study suggests an adverse prognostic role for CD8+ T cells in patients with mycosis fungoides. Moreover, our data indicate that the immune phenotype within the tumor microenvironment shows strong temporal heterogeneity and is altered in the course of tumor progression.

Convalescent plasma treatment for SARS-CoV-2 infected high-risk patients: a matched pair analysis to the LEOSS cohort

Establishing the optimal treatment for COVID-19 patients remains challenging. Specifically, immunocompromised and pre-diseased patients are at high risk for severe disease course and face limited therapeutic options. Convalescent plasma (CP) has been considered as therapeutic approach, but reliable data are lacking, especially for high-risk patients. We performed a retrospective analysis of 55 hospitalized COVID-19 patients from University Hospital Duesseldorf (UKD) at high risk for disease progression, in a substantial proportion due to immunosuppression from cancer, solid organ transplantation, autoimmune disease, dialysis. A matched-pairs analysis (1:4) was performed with 220 patients from the Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2-infected Patients (LEOSS) who were treated or not treated with CP. Both cohorts had high mortality (UKD 41.8%, LEOSS 34.1%). A matched-pairs analysis showed no significant effect on mortality. CP administration before the formation of pulmonary infiltrates showed the lowest mortality in both cohorts (10%), whereas mortality in the complicated phase was 27.8%. CP administration during the critical phase revealed the highest mortality: UKD 60.9%, LEOSS 48.3%. In our cohort of COVID-19 patients with severe comorbidities CP did not significantly reduce mortality in a retrospective matched-pairs analysis. However, our data supports the concept that a reduction in mortality is achievable by early CP administration.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis-A long night's journey into day.

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Detection of circulating tumour DNA after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced oesophageal cancer.

Active surveillance instead of standard surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) has been proposed for patients with oesophageal cancer. Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) may be used to facilitate selection of patients for surgery. We show that detection of ctDNA after nCRT seems highly suggestive of major residual disease. Tumour biopsies and blood samples were taken before, and 6 and 12 weeks after, nCRT. Biopsies were analysed with regular targeted next-generation sequencing (NGS). Circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) was analysed using targeted NGS with unique molecular identifiers and digital polymerase chain reaction. cfDNA mutations matching pre-treatment biopsy mutations confirmed the presence of ctDNA. In total, 31 patients were included, of whom 24 had a biopsy mutation that was potentially detectable in cfDNA (77%). Pre-treatment ctDNA was detected in nine of 24 patients (38%), four of whom had incurable disease progression before surgery. Pre-treatment ctDNA detection had a sensitivity of 47% (95% CI 24-71) (8/17), specificity of 85% (95% CI 42-99) (6/7), positive predictive value (PPV) of 89% (95% CI 51-99) (8/9), and negative predictive value (NPV) of 40% (95% CI 17-67) (6/15) for detecting major residual disease (>10% residue in the resection specimen or progression before surgery). After nCRT, ctDNA was detected in three patients, two of whom had disease progression. Post-nCRT ctDNA detection had a sensitivity of 21% (95% CI 6-51) (3/14), specificity of 100% (95% CI 56-100) (7/7), PPV of 100% (95% CI 31-100) (3/3), and NPV of 39% (95% CI 18-64) (7/18) for detecting major residual disease. The addition of ctDNA to the current set of diagnostics did not lead to more patients being clinically identified with residual disease. These results indicate that pre-treatment and post-nCRT ctDNA detection may be useful in identifying patients at high risk of disease progression. The addition of ctDNA analysis to the current set of diagnostic modalities may not improve detection of residual disease after nCRT. © 2022 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Validation of the KELIM score as a predictor of response to neoadjuvant treatment in patients with advanced high grade serous ovarian cancer

ObjectiveThe objective of this study is to externally validate the KELIM (rate of elimination of CA-125 elimation) score in patients with high grade serous ovarian cancer(HGSC)undergoing NACT and determine its relation to outcome of cytoreduction, platinum sensitivity, progression free(PFS) and overall survival(OS). MethodsThis is a retrospective cohort study of patients with Stage III-IV HGSC diagnosed between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2019 and treated with NACT. KELIM score was calculated using at least 3 CA-125 values within the first 100 days of chemotherapy. Demographic parameters were collected and Kaplan Meier survival analyses were performed for PFS and OS. This study was approved by local ethics board. Results217 patients met inclusion criteria. Median follow-up was 28.93 months(range 2.86–135.06). There was no significant difference in stage, functional status, cytoreductive outcome or BRCA status(germline or somatic) between patients with a KELIM ≥ 1 and <1. Patients with a KELIM<1 had a lower median PFS (13.58 vs 19.69, p < 0.001), median platinum free interval(PFI) (7.66 vs 13.64, p < 0.001) and 5-year OS (57% vs 72%, p = 0.0140) compared to patients with KELIM≥1 . After adjusting for stage, treatment delays, bevacizumab or poly adenosine diphosphate-ribose polymerase(parp)-inhibitor use, and BRCA status, patients with KELIM<1 had a high risk of disease progression(HR = 1.57 (95% CI 1.08–2.28) and death(HR = 1.99 (95% CI 1.01–3.95) compared to KELIM≥1. BRCA status was independently associated to an increase on KELIM score (OR = 1.917, 95% CI 1.046–3.512, p = 0.035). ConclusionPatients with advanced HGSC undergoing NACT with a KELIM <1 were more likely to have platinum-resistant disease, worse PFS and worse OS when compared to patients with KELIM≥1. The KELIM score can be a helpful tool to predict chemo-response and aid in treatment decision making.

Colchicine and aspirin in community patients with COVID-19 (ACT): an open-label, factorial, randomised, controlled trial

The large number of patients worldwide infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus has overwhelmed health-care systems globally. The Anti-Coronavirus Therapies (ACT) outpatient trial aimed to evaluate anti-inflammatory therapy with colchicine and antithrombotic therapy with aspirin for prevention of disease progression in community patients with COVID-19. The ACT outpatient, open-label, 2 × 2 factorial, randomised, controlled trial, was done at 48 clinical sites in 11 countries. Patients in the community aged 30 years and older with symptomatic, laboratory confirmed COVID-19 who were within 7 days of diagnosis and at high risk of disease progression were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive colchicine 0·6 mg twice daily for 3 days and then 0·6 mg once daily for 25 days versus usual care, and in a second (1:1) randomisation to receive aspirin 100 mg once daily for 28 days versus usual care. Investigators and patients were not masked to treatment allocation. The primary outcome was assessed at 45 days in the intention-to-treat population; for the colchicine randomisation it was hospitalisation or death, and for the aspirin randomisation it was major thrombosis, hospitalisation, or death. The ACT outpatient trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04324463 and is ongoing. Between Aug 27, 2020, and Feb 10, 2022, 3917 patients were randomly assigned to colchicine or control and to aspirin or control; after excluding 36 patients due to administrative reasons 3881 individuals were included in the analysis (n=1939 colchicine vs n=1942 control; n=1945 aspirin vs 1936 control). Follow-up was more than 99% complete. Overall event rates were 5 (0·1%) of 3881 for major thrombosis, 123 (3·2%) of 3881 for hospitalisation, and 23 (0·6%) of 3881 for death; 66 (3·4%) of 1939 patients allocated to colchicine and 65 (3·3%) of 1942 patients allocated to control experienced hospitalisation or death (hazard ratio [HR] 1·02, 95% CI 0·72-1·43, p=0·93); and 59 (3·0%) of 1945 of patients allocated to aspirin and 73 (3·8%) of 1936 patients allocated to control experienced major thrombosis, hospitalisation, or death (HR 0·80, 95% CI 0·57-1·13, p=0·21). Results for the primary outcome were consistent in all prespecified subgroups, including according to baseline vaccination status, timing of randomisation in relation to onset of symptoms (post-hoc analysis), and timing of enrolment according to the phase of the pandemic (post-hoc analysis). There were more serious adverse events with colchicine than with control (34 patients [1·8%] of 1939 vs 27 [1·4%] of 1942) but none in either group that led to discontinuation of study interventions. There was no increase in serious adverse events with aspirin versus control (31 [1·6%] vs 31 [1·6%]) and none that led to discontinuation of study interventions. The results provide no support for the use of colchicine or aspirin to prevent disease progression or death in outpatients with COVID-19. Canadian Institutes for Health Research, Bayer, Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences Research Institute, and Thistledown Foundation. For the Portuguese, Russian and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Clinical, Virologic, and Immunologic Evaluation of Symptomatic Coronavirus Disease 2019 Rebound Following Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir Treatment.

Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, the first severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) protease inhibitor, reduces the risk of hospitalization and death by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) but has been associated with symptomatic rebound after therapy completion. Six individuals with relapse of COVID-19 symptoms after treatment with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, 2 individuals with rebound symptoms without prior antiviral therapy and 7 patients with acute Omicron infection (controls) were studied. Soluble biomarkers and serum SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein were measured. Nasal swabs positive for SARS-CoV-2 underwent viral isolation and targeted viral sequencing. SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike, anti-receptor-binding domain, and anti-nucleocapsid antibodies were measured. Surrogate viral neutralization tests against wild-type and Omicron spike protein, as well as T-cell stimulation assays, were performed. High levels of SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies were found in all participants. Anti-nucleocapsid IgG and Omicron-specific neutralizing antibodies increased in patients with rebound. Robust SARS-CoV-2-specific T-cell responses were observed, higher in rebound compared with early acute COVID-19 patients. Inflammatory markers mostly decreased during rebound. Two patients sampled longitudinally demonstrated an increase in activated cytokine-producing CD4+ T cells against viral proteins. No characteristic resistance mutations were identified. SARS-CoV-2 was isolated by culture from 1 of 8 rebound patients; Polybrene addition increased this to 5 of 8. Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir treatment does not impede adaptive immune responses to SARS-CoV-2. Clinical rebound corresponds to development of a robust antibody and T-cell immune response, arguing against a high risk of disease progression. The presence of infectious virus supports the need for isolation and assessment of longer treatment courses. NCT04401436.

Severity of systemic inflammation is the main predictor of ACLF and bleeding in individuals with acutely decompensated cirrhosis

Hypercoagulability and hypofibrinolysis in acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD) may be implicated in disease progression and haemostatic complications. We conducted a prospective study to: (1) characterise haemostatic alterationsin AD; (2) evaluate whether such alterations can predict acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and bleeding/thrombosis. Hospitalised individuals with AD were prospectively recruited and underwent an extensive haemostatic profiling including coagulation factors, thrombomodulin-modified thrombin generation assay with evaluation of endogenous thrombin potential (ETP; marker for plasmatic hypercoagulability), fibrinolytic factors, and plasmin-antiplasmin complex (fibrinolysis activation marker). Inflammation severity was assessed by C-reactive protein (CRP). In part 1 of the study, we compared haemostasis in AD vs. controls (stable decompensated and compensated cirrhosis). In part 2 of the study, we prospectively followed individuals with AD for 1 year and investigated predictors of ACLF and bleeding/thrombosis. A total of 169 individuals with AD were recruited (median model for end-stage liver disease score 20; CLIF-C AD 54). Compared with controls, AD was associated with more pronounced hypercoagulability (ETP: 871 vs. 750 vs. 605nmol/L per min; p <0.0001), without differences in fibrinolysis activation. During follow-up, 55 individuals developed ACLF. CLIF-C AD, CRP, and Child-Pugh were independently associated with ACLF. A predictive model combining these variables (Padua model) accurately identified individuals at higher risk of ACLF (AUROC 0.857; 95% CI 0.798-0.915; sensitivity 74.5%, specificity 83.3%). Notably, CRP and progression to ACLF, but not baseline coagulopathy, were associated with bleeding (n= 11); CRP and antifibrinolytic factor PAI-1 >50ng/ml were associated with thrombosis (n= 14). The prognostic value of the Padua model was validated in an independent, bicentric European cohort (N= 301). Inflammation severity, and not coagulopathy, is the most important predictor of ACLF and bleeding in AD. The Padua model can be used to identify individuals with AD at risk of ACLF. A better understanding of haemostasis in individuals with acutely decompensated cirrhosis may help to identify those at higher risk of progression and complications. In this prospective study, we found no significant association between alterations of haemostasis and cirrhosis progression, indicating that the assessment of haemostatic alterations is not useful to identify those at risk. However, we found that C-reactive protein (a simple blood test that reflects severity of inflammation) and severity of chronic liver disease itself (as assessed by specific scores) were associated with cirrhosis progression and development of bleeding complications. Therefore, we developed a simple predictive model - based on C-reactive protein and liver disease scores - that, if validated by independent studies, could be used in clinical practice to assist physicians in identifying individuals with decompensated cirrhosis at higher risk of disease progression and death (i.e. in whom to consider an expedited evaluation for liver transplantation).

Abstract 10 Interim Results of a Phase I Study Investigating a Cord Blood-Derived Natural Killer Cell Therapy for Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19

IntroductionIn the setting of viral infections, including infection with SARS-CoV-2, lymphocyte exhaustion and lymphopenia are common. Patients with COVID-19 who develop lymphopenia, particularly low numbers of circulating natural killer (NK) cells, are at high risk for disease progression. Thus, strategies that overcome profound lymphopenia and restore innate immune function may reduce the severity of COVID-19. One approach is the direct infusion of an exogenous source of healthy, functional NK cells intended to boost the patient’s immune system during the viral infection, enabling elimination of infected cells. “DVX201” is a cord blood-derived allogeneic NK cell therapy that is cryopreserved and intended for “off-the-shelf use” without HLA-matching.ObjectiveThe primary objective of this study is to investigate the safety and to identify the recommended phase II dose and/or the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of DVX201 in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.MethodsWe are conducting an open-label, nonrandomized phase I safety and dose-finding (modified 3+3) study of DVX201 at three dose levels in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Adult patients with documented SARS-CoV-2 infection were eligible if they were admitted to the hospital, were receiving ≤6 L supplemental oxygen by low flow delivery, and did not have other evidence of cytokine storm based on levels of serum IL-6, C-reactive protein, and ferritin.ResultsTo date, 9 patients have been enrolled: 3 subjects at each dose level. All dose levels have been well tolerated, with no dose-limiting toxicities, infusion toxicities, or cytokine release syndrome observed. All patients were discharged from the hospital at an average of 5 days post infusion. Blood samples were drawn for correlative studies including persistence of DVX201, pre- and post-infusion immune system characterization, and cytokine panels. Accrual is continuing at the MTD.DiscussionThis trial will serve as the proof of concept for the use of DVX201 as an anti-viral treatment for COVID-19. These results will inform the potential role of DVX201 for treatment of other life-threatening viral infections by harnessing NK cells’ innate function to kill virally infected cells, regardless of the etiology of the infection.

OA02.03 Tumor Bulk-RNA Seq Identifies Patients at High Risk of Progression in Non-complete Pathological Responders from NADIM Trial

Pathological response is postulated as a surrogate for survival in patients treated with neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy. In this sense, non-complete pathological response (non-CPR) patients present higher risk of disease progression compared to complete pathological responders (CPR). To identify gene expression patterns that may affect long-term outcomes in this high-risk group, we analysed surgical samples of non-CPR patients and characterized the differences between progressors and non-progressors.

Analysis of Specialty Nephrology Care Among Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease and High Risk of Disease Progression

Identification of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) with high risk of progression to kidney failure can help ensure they receive appropriate and effective nephrology care. To examine whether patients with CKD at various levels of kidney failure risk receive nephrology care within 1 year of established risk. This population-based, retrospective cohort study collected nationwide administrative health claims data from 156 733 adult patients who met the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes initiative CKD diagnostic criteria between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2019, and had an available urine albumin to creatinine ratio within 90 days of a serum creatinine laboratory test. Patients with a history of dialysis or kidney transplant, a prior visit with a nephrologist in the past year, or palliative care billing codes or those who died or disenrolled within 1 year of the albumin to creatinine ratio measurement were excluded. Data analysis was performed from September 10, 2022, to February 14, 2022. Kidney failure risk computed with the 5-year Kidney Failure Risk Equation. The main outcome was nephrology care rates across tiers of kidney failure risk, estimated as the proportion of individuals having a nephrologist visit within 1 year after index time. The study population consisted of 156 733 patients with CKD (mean [SD] age, 74.6 [8.4] years; 91 906 [58.6%] female; 86 457 [55.2%] White). A total of 106 004 patients (67.6%) had a low (≤1%) 5-year risk of kidney failure. Nephrology visit rates increased with higher kidney failure risk. Among the 137 highest-risk patients, 79 (57.7%; 95% CI, 48.4%-64.7%) had a nephrology visit. Among 7730 patients with risk above a 10% threshold, 3208 (41.5%; 95% CI, 40.3%-42.4%) had a nephrology visit. This study's findings suggest that nearly half of patients with CKD at high risk of progressing to kidney failure do not have a nephrologist visit within 1 year of established risk. These findings have implications in the design of risk-based guidelines for referral and in the practice of delivering nephrology care to patients with CKD.

Real-world patient characteristics and treatment outcomes among nontransplanted multiple myeloma patients who received Bortezomib in combination with Lenalidomide and Dexamethasone as first line of therapy in the United States

BackgroundThere is limited real-world evidence that describes patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) treated with the bortezomib, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone (VRd) triplet regimen. We evaluated patient characteristics and treatment outcomes among nontransplanted NDMM patients who received VRd as their first line of therapy (LOT) in US oncology practice settings.MethodsThis retrospective observational cohort study evaluated patients from the Flatiron MM Core Registry who received VRd as first LOT between November 1, 2015, and February 28, 2021. Progression-free survival (PFS) was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Associations between patient demographic and clinical characteristics and PFS were evaluated using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsA total of 2342 eligible patients with VRd as first LOT were identified (mean age, 67.0 years). Among all identified patients, 64.3% were ≥ 65 years of age, 25.5% were elderly (≥75 years), and 47.9% were frail. Among patients with available data, 21.2% had high-risk cytogenetics, and the majority had International Staging System (ISS) stage I/II disease (71.8%), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) score 0/1 (81.2%). Median duration of therapy was 5.5 months. With median follow-up of 21.0 months, median PFS and time-to-next-treatment were 26.5 and 16.1 months, respectively. Higher risk of disease progression or death was seen in patients categorized as elderly (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13-1.66 vs patients < 65 years), having high-risk cytogenetics (HR = 1.44; 95% CI: 1.19-1.75 vs standard risk), having ISS disease stages II and III (HR = 1.31; 95% CI: 1.06-1.63 and HR = 1.37; 95% CI: 1.10-1.70 versus stage I, respectively), and having worse ECOG PS score (≥2) (HR = 1.49; 95% CI: 1.22-1.81 versus functionally active patients).ConclusionsThe majority of patients treated with VRd in this study were ≥ 65 years of age, were ISS stage I/II, had an ECOG PS score of 0/1, and had standard cytogenetic risk. Median PFS observed in real-world practice was notably shorter than that observed in the SWOG S0777 clinical trial. In nontransplanted patients treated with VRd as first LOT, a higher risk of disease progression or death was associated with older age, having high-risk cytogenetics, worse disease stage, and worse ECOG PS score.

Clinical Practice Guidelines From the Association for the Advancement of Blood and Biotherapies (AABB): COVID-19 Convalescent Plasma.

Coronavirus disease 2019 convalescent plasma (CCP) has emerged as a potential treatment of COVID-19. However, meta-analysis data and recommendations are limited. The Association for the Advancement of Blood and Biotherapies (AABB) developed clinical practice guidelines for the appropriate use of CCP. These guidelines are based on 2 living systematic reviews of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating CCP from 1 January 2019 to 26 January 2022. There were 33 RCTs assessing 21916 participants. The results were summarized using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) method. An expert panel reviewed the data using the GRADE framework to formulate recommendations. The AABB suggests CCP transfusion in addition to the usual standard of care for outpatients with COVID-19 who are at high risk for disease progression (weak recommendation, moderate-certainty evidence). The AABB recommends against CCP transfusion for unselected hospitalized persons with moderate or severe disease (strong recommendation, high-certainty evidence). This recommendation does not apply to immunosuppressed patients or those who lack antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. The AABB suggests CCP transfusion in addition to the usual standard of care for hospitalized patients with COVID-19 who do not have SARS-CoV-2 antibodies detected at admission (weak recommendation, low-certainty evidence). The AABB suggests CCP transfusion in addition to the usual standard of care for hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and preexisting immunosuppression (weak recommendation, low-certainty evidence). The AABB suggests against prophylactic CCP transfusion for uninfected persons with close contact exposure to a person with COVID-19 (weak recommendation, low-certainty evidence). CCP is most effective when transfused with high neutralizing titers to infected patients early after symptom onset.