Abstract

All severe cases of SARS-CoV-2 infections are characterized by a high risk of disease progression towards ARDS, leading to a bad outcome. Respiratory symptoms in COVID-19 patients often do not correspond to disease's worsening. In our sample, median age was 74 years (72-75) and 54% were men. The median period of hospitalization was 9 days. Firstly, we observed a significant asynchronous trend of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in 764 selected among 963 patients, who were consecutively recruited in two hospitals (Cannizzaro, S. Marco) in Catania, Italy. NLR values in deceased patients showed an increase from baseline over time. By contrast, CRP tended to fall from baseline to median day of hospitalization in all three subgroups, but steeply increased at the end of hospitalization only in ICU-admitted patients. Then, we evaluated the relationships between NLR and CRP as continuous variables with PaO2/FiO2 ratio (P/F). NLR was an independent predictor of mortality (HR: 1.77, p < 0.0001), while ICU admission was more significantly associated with CRP (HR: 1.70, p < 0.0001). Finally, age, neutrophils, CRP, and lymphocytes are significantly and directly linked to P/F, while the influence of inflammation on P/F, reflected by CRP, was also mediated by neutrophils.

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