Higher Odds Of Poor Outcomes Research Articles

Impact of Thoracic Injury on Traumatic Brain Injury Outcome

BackgroundTo assessed the significance of thoracic injury on the 30-day mortality and outcome of traumatic brain injury (TBI).MethodsTBI patients admitted to our department were retrospectively evaluated. We developed two prognostic models based on admission predictors with logistic regression analysis to assess the significance of thoracic injuries in determining the 30-day mortality and outcome. The internal validity of the models was evaluated with the bootstrap re-sampling technique. We also validated the models in an external series of 165 patients that collected from our center. Discriminative ability was evaluated with C statistic. Calibrative ability was assessed with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (H-L test).ResultsAmong 505 TBI patients admitted, 102 (20.2%) had thoracic injuries. Patients with a PCS ≥6 had a 3.142 and 8.065 times higher odds of mortality and poor outcome compared with patients with a PCS <6, respectively. Any one-score increase of the TTS had a 1.193 times higher odds of a poor outcome (p = 0.017). The predictive model for mortality and 30-day functional outcome both had good accuracy (AUC: 0.875; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.841–0.910 and AUC: 0.888; 95%CI, 0.860–0.916, respectively). Internal validation showed no over optimism in any of the two models’ predictive C statistics (C statistic 0.872 for 30-day mortality and C statistic 0.884 for the 30-day neurological outcome). The external validation confirmed the discriminatory ability of these models (C statistic 0.949 (95%CI: 0.919–0.980) for 30-day mortality and C statistic 0.915 (95%CI: 0.868–0.963) for the 30-day neurological outcome). The calibration was also good for patients from the validation population (H-L test p>0.05).ConclusionThoracic injury diagnosed by CT has a negative impact on the 30-day mortality and functional outcome of TBI patients. The extent of PC and the TTS are the predictors for TBI outcome.

Sex Differences in Outcome after Mild Traumatic Brain Injury

The objective of this study was to estimate the independent association of sex with outcome after mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). We performed an analysis of a subset of an established cohort involving 1425 mTBI patients presenting to an academic emergency department (ED). The associations between sex and three outcomes determined 3 months after the initial ED visit were examined: post-concussive symptom (PCS) score (0, 1-5, 6-16, and >16), the number of days to return of normal activities (0, 1-7, and >7), and the number of days of work missed (0, 1-7,and >7). Logistic regression analyses were used to determine the relationship between sex and each outcome after controlling for 12 relevant subject-level variables. Of the 1425 subjects, 643 (45.1%) were female and 782 (54.9%) were male. Three months after mTBI, males had significantly lower odds of being in a higher PCS score category (odds ratio [OR] 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.50, 0.78); this association appeared to be more prominent during child-bearing years for females. Males and females did not significantly differ with respect to the odds of poorer outcome as defined by the number of days to return of normal activities or the number of days of work missed. Female sex is associated with significantly higher odds of poor outcome after mTBI, as measured by PCS score, after control for appropriate confounders. The observed pattern of peak disability for females during the child-bearing years suggests disruption of endogenous estrogen or progesterone production. Attempts to better understand how mTBI affects production of these hormones acutely after injury and during the recovery period may shed light on the mechanism behind poorer outcome among females and putative therapeutic interventions.