Highest Age-standardized Prevalence Research Articles

The burden of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease among working-age people in the Western Pacific Region, 1990–2019: an age–period–cohort analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study

BackgroundThe growing prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in younger populations, particularly those of working age (15–64 years), has become a public health concern. Being diagnosed at a younger age implies a greater likelihood of accruing disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) later in life due to potential progression to conditions such as cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. This study aims to analyze NAFLD prevalence trends over three decades globally, regionally, and nationally, with a focus on age, period, and birth cohort associations.MethodsGlobal, regional, and country time trends in the prevalence of NAFLD among working-age people from 1990 to 2019: Age-period-cohort analysis based on Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 estimates and 95% uncertainty interval (UI) of NAFLD prevalence in the working age population was extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2019. Age-period-cohort models were used to estimate the prevalence within each age group from 1990 to 2019 (local drift, % per year), fitted longitudinal age-specific rates adjusted for period bias (age effect), and period/cohort relative risk (period/cohort effect).ResultsThe global age-standardized prevalence (ASPR) of NAFLD increased significantly from 1990 (14,477.6 per 100 000) to 2019 (19,837.6 per 100 000). In the Western Pacific, there were 42,903.8 NAFLD cases in 2019, 54.15% higher than in 1990. The ASPR also increased significantly in the region over the past three decades. At the national level, Palau had the highest ASPR while Brunei Darussalam had the lowest. Age-period-cohort analysis showed that in the Western Pacific, unlike globally, the risk of NAFLD declined after age 60–64 years. Relative to 1980–1989, incidence and DALY risks decreased but prevalence increased in subsequent birth cohorts. Future predictions indicate an upward trend in NAFLD burden, especially among women and medium (SDI) regions like China.ConclusionNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease imparts an immense health burden that continues to grow globally and in the Asia Pacific region. Our work highlights working age adults as an at-risk group and calls attention to socioeconomic gradients within Western Pacific countries. Upward future projections demonstrate that NAFLD prevention is an urgent priority.

Global Burden and Trends of Primary Liver Cancer Attributable to Comorbid Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Among People Living with Hepatitis B: An Observational Trend Study from 1990 to 2019

BackgroundType 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) increases the risk of liver cancer among people living with hepatitis B virus (HBV). Our study aimed to estimate the global burden and trends of liver cancer attributable to comorbid T2DM among people living with HBV from 1990 to 2019.MethodsWe calculated the population attributable fractions (PAFs) of liver cancer attributable to comorbid T2DM among the burden of HBV-related liver cancer. We applied the PAFs to the burden of HBV-related liver cancer derived from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database to obtain the burden of liver cancer attributable to HBV–T2DM comorbidity. The prevalence, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), and deaths of liver cancer attributable to the comorbidity were assessed at the global, regional, and country levels and then stratified by the sociodemographic index (SDI), sex, and age group. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the temporal trends.ResultsIn 2019, the global age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates of liver cancer attributable to HBV–T2DM comorbidity were 9.9 (8.4–11.5) and 182.4 (154.9–212.7) per 10,000,000 individuals, respectively. High-income Asia Pacific and East Asia had the highest age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates of liver cancer attributable to HBV–T2DM comorbidity, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates increased in 16 out of 21 GBD regions. High-income North America had the largest annual increases in both age-standardized prevalence rates (EAPC = 6.07; 95% UI, 5.59 to 6.56) and DALY rates (EAPC = 4.77; 95% UI, 4.35 to 5.20), followed by Australasia and Central Asia. Across all SDI regions, the high SDI region exhibited the most rapid increase in age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates from 1990 to 2019. Additionally, men had consistently higher disease burdens than women across all age groups. The patterns of mortality burden and trends are similar to those of DALYs.ConclusionsThe burden of liver cancer attributable to comorbid T2DM among people living with HBV has exhibited an increasing trend across most regions over the last three decades. Tailored prevention strategies targeting T2DM should be implemented among individuals living with HBV.

The global burden of heart failure: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Abstract Background Heart failure is a common reason for hospitalization and is associated with high health care costs and high symptom burden. Updated estimates of global and regional prevalence and underlying causes of HF may be helpful in guiding health policy and investment priorities. Purpose To provide comparable and consistent estimates of heart failure burden as part of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021. Methods We identified all available data on prevalence, incidence, and mortality for heart failure in the general population. Sources included published scientific literature, administrative records from national health systems, and vital registration data. We generated estimates of heart failure prevalence using DisMod-MR 2.1, a geospatial modelling software program. We then estimated the proportion of prevalent heart failure due to each of 27 underlying aetiologies to produce age-, sex-, location-, year-, and aetiology-specific estimates of heart failure burden. Results In 2021, there were 56.5 million (95% Uncertainty Interval (UI): 49.7 million to 63.7 million) prevalent cases of heart failure globally. There were 27.3 million (24.0 to 30.8) prevalent cases in females and 29.2 million (25.6 to 33.0) cases among males. Age-standardized prevalence increased from 647.9 (556.3 to 739.9) per 100,000 in 1990 to 682.7 (602.8 to 766.8) per 100,000 in 2021. The North Africa and Middle East super region had the highest age-standardized prevalence in 2021 (780.5 per 100,000 (658.7 to 907.6)) and South Asia had the lowest age-standardized prevalence (600.1 per 100,000 (526.5 to 671.4)). In 2021, Ischaemic heart disease, hypertensive heart disease, and other cardiomyopathy were responsible for the majority of prevalent heart failure cases worldwide, at 33.8% (28.4% to 38.3%), 22.6% (19.0% to 27.1%), and 8.2% (7.0% to 9.6%), respectively. Country specific estimates for both sexes combined in 2021 are shown in the map. Conclusion Heart failure is a highly prevalent condition, particularly in older age groups. As populations age and risk profiles change around the world, knowledge of the global epidemiology of heart failure will be critical in preventing or treating its underlying aetiologies in order to decrease its overall burden.Heart failure prevalence, 2021

Prevalence and secular trends of four causes of blindness and visual impairment in Iran (1990-2019): a comparative study based on the Global Burden of Disease project's data.

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prevalence of cataracts, refractive disorders, age-related macular disease (AMD), and glaucoma, as well as their trends from 1990 to 2019 in Iran, in comparison with high-middle socio-demographic index (HMSDI) countries and the world, using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. The GBD study provided data on the prevalence of blindness and visual impairment (VI), as well as four of their causes including cataracts, refractive disorders, age-related macular disease (AMD), and glaucoma. Using Joinpoint analysis, the annual percent change (APC) was calculated to assess the trend of change in prevalence in each category of diseases from 1990 to 2019, stratified by sex and age, for Iran, HMSDI countries, and the world. In 2019, refractive errors and cataracts were the most common causes of blindness and VI for both genders in Iran, HMSDI countries and the world. Iran had a higher age-standardized prevalence in all four categories of ophthalmologic disorders compared to HMSDI countries and the world for both genders in 2019. Additionally, the age-specific prevalence of all four disorders in 2019 was higher in Iran compared to HMSDI countries. However, in terms of trends of prevalence from 1990 to 2019, the rate of reduction for the four ophthalmologic disorders in Iran was higher than in HMSDI and the world for both males and females. Furthermore, Iran had a greater percentage of reduction in prevalence for all age groups in all four disorders compared to HMSDI countries. The prevalence of cataracts, refractive errors, AMD, and glaucoma in Iran was higher compared to HMSDI countries in 2019 for both sexes and all age groups, but the trends of prevalence for all four disorders from 1990 to 2019 in Iran had a higher slope of reduction compared to HMSDI countries for all ages and sexes.

Burden of autism spectrum disorders in North Africa and Middle East from 1990 to 2019: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Autism spectrum disorders (ASD) encompass a range of neurodevelopmental disorders that affect the patient's communication and behavior. There are some reports about the increasing prevalence of ASD in recent decades, mostly due to the improvement in diagnosis and screening status. Few studies suggested a lower prevalence of ASD in North Africa and Middle East compared to more developed regions. The aim of this study is to provide a comprehensive outlook of ASD in the region. We used Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data from 1990 to 2019 in North Africa and Middle East, which is one of the seven super regions of the GBD categorization. In this study, we reported the epidemiologic indices, including prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for ASD in the 21 countries of the super region. We also compared these indices between the countries based on their sociodemographic index (SDI) which was calculated according to income per capita, mean education, and fertility rate. Age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of ASD in the region is 304.4 (95% uncertainty interval 251.2-366.1) per 100,000 in 2019 with less than one percentage change since 1990. Age-standardized YLDs and incidence rates were 46.4 (30.4-67.5) and 7.7 (6.3-9.3) per 100,000 in 2019. The ASPR was 2.9 times greater in males compared to females in 2019. The highest age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and YLD rates among the countries were seen in Iran in 2019 (370.3, 9.3, and 56.4 per 100,000, respectively). High SDI countries had higher age-standardized YLDs rates compared to the other countries of the region. In conclusion, the trends of age-standardized epidemiologic indices remained approximately steady through the years 1990-2019 in the region. Though, there was a wide discrepancy between the countries of the region. The difference of YLDs among the countries of this region is related to the SDI of the countries. Monetary and public awareness status are the SDI factors that may affect the quality of life of ASD patients in the region. This study provides valuable information for governments and health systems to implement policies for maintaining the improving trend, achieving more timely diagnosis, and bettering the supportive actions in this region.

Burden of knee osteoarthritis in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA): an epidemiological analysis from 1990 to 2019.

Knee is the most affected joint in osteoarthritis (OA) and accounts for almost four-fifths of the burden of OA globally. We aimed to explore the prevalence, incidence, trends, and burden of knee OA during 1990-2019 in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study data. This is an epidemiological study based on the GBD data from 1990 to 2019 on knee OA in MENA countries. The prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLD) numbers of knee OA were obtained for both genders. Similarly, age-standardized rates of these indexes per 100,000 people and the proportion of total YLD caused by knee OA in each country and for the MENA region were evaluated. The prevalence of knee osteoarthritis in the MENA region increased 2.88-fold, from 6.16 million cases to 17.75 million, between 1990 and 2019. Furthermore, in 2019, knee osteoarthritis accounted for approximately 1.69 million (95% UI 1.46-1.95) incident cases in MENA. The age-standardized prevalence was higher in women between 1990 (3.94% [95% UI 3.39-4.55] in women and 3.24% [95% UI 2.79-3.72] in men) and 2019 (4.44% [95% UI 3.83-5.10] in women and 3.66% [3.14-4.21] in men). Total YLDs due to knee osteoarthritis increased by more than 2.88-fold, rising from 196.29 thousand [95% UI 97.17-399.29] in 1990 to 564.66 thousand [95% UI 275.06-1,150.68] in 2019. In the year 2019, Kuwait, Turkey, and Oman had the highest age-standardized prevalence (4.42% [95% UI 3.79-5.08]), YLD (132.41 [95% UI 65.79-267.56] per 100 000), and increase (21.17%) in YLD compared with 1990 in MENA region, respectively. The prevalence of and YLDs due to knee OA in MENA has escalated over the last three decades. Considering the expanding burden of knee OA in MENA, policymakers should be more concerned to implement preventive strategies.

Second-hand smoke exposure in adolescents in Latin America and the Caribbean: a pooled analysis

Second-hand smoke exposure is prevalent amongst adolescents, despite of being a preventable risk factor associated with unfavourable outcomes. The distribution of this risk factor varies by underlying determinants and public health officers need contemporary evidence to update policies. Using the most recent data available from adolescents in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), we described the prevalence of second-hand smoking. Pooled analysis of Global School-based Student Health (GSHS) surveys conducted from 2010 to 2018 was conducted. Two indicators were analysed based on information from the 7 days prior to the survey: a) any exposure to second-hand smoking (0 vs≥1 days of exposure); and b) daily exposure (<7 vs 7 days). Prevalence estimates were carried out accounting for the complex survey design, and reported overall, by country, by sex, and by subregion. GSHS surveys were administered in 18 countries, yielding a total of 95,805 subjects. Pooled age-standardised prevalence of second-hand smoking was 60.9% (95% CI: 59.9%-62.0%) with no substantial differences between boys and girls. The age-standardised prevalence of any second-hand smoking varied from 40.2% in Anguilla to 68.2% in Jamaica, and the highest prevalence was in the Southern Latin America subregion (65.9%). Pooled age-standardised prevalence of daily second-hand smoking was 15.1% (95% CI: 14.2%-16.1%), and was higher in girls than boys (16.5% vs 13.7%; p<0.001). The age-standardised prevalence of daily second-hand smoking ranged between 4.8% in Peru to 28.7% in Jamaica, and the highest age-standardised prevalence was in Southern Latin America (19.7%). The prevalence of any second-hand smoking is high among adolescents in LAC, though estimates changed substantially by country. While policies and interventions to reduce/stop smoking are implemented, attention should also be paid to avoid second-hand smoke exposure. Wellcome Trust International Training Fellowship (214185/Z/18/Z).

Burden of Hand Osteoarthritis in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA): An Epidemiological Analysis From 1990 to 2019

Hand osteoarthritis (OA) is a common cause of disability in older people. Although often underemphasized, it may affect quality of life and imposes a considerable burden on the health system. This study evaluated the epidemiology of hand OA in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. This epidemiological study was performed based on the Global Burden of Disease study from 1990 to 2019. The incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLD) in all 21 MENA countries during the study period were reported in rate, age-standardized, and percentage. Hand osteoarthritis in MENA increased 2.7-fold, from 1.6 million cases to 4.3 million from 1990 to 2019 with an age-standardized incidence rate of 50.2 (95% CI, 38.2-66.4) per 100,000 people in 2019. Saudi Arabia had the highest age-standardized prevalence in both 1990 (2.3%) and 2019 (2.3%), whereas Turkey had the lowest (0.3%) in both years. Total YLDs due to hand osteoarthritis increased by more than 2.7-fold, from 50,335 to 135,336 during the study period. The highest rate of increase in YLD rate from 1990 to 2019 was in Iran (3.3) and the largest decrease was in Qatar (-11.5). In contrast to the global trend, MENA hand OA prevalence and YLDs did not decrease between 1990 and 2019 and remained constant over time. Aging and increasing obesity rates, particularly among women, might be the contributing factors. Hand OA epidemiology varies by country, possibly due to genetic, ethnic, and environmental factors. Prognostic II.

Global burden of gout in 1990-2019: A systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study 2019.

Although gout is one of the most common rheumatic diseases, world data are lacking because most studies have focused on industrialized countries. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the global burden of gout and its associations with the year of diagnosis, age, geographical region, sociodemographic status and various further risk factors. Retrospective data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) were used, initially collected between 1990 and 2019. Raw numbers and age-standardized rates (per 100,000 persons) of prevalence, incidence and years lived with disability (YLDs) of gout were extracted from GBD 2019 for 204 countries and territories and stratified by sex, age, year, sociodemographic index and geographic region. Correlations between gout and other chronic diseases were identified, and the burden attributable to high body mass index (BMI) and kidney dysfunction was described. The total number of patients and gout age-standardized prevalence rate increased between 1990 and 2019. Gout was most prevalent in Australasia and high-income North America, and a higher sociodemographic index (SDI) was associated with higher age-standardized prevalence, incidence and YLDs. High BMI and kidney dysfunction were risk factors for gout, while gout was correlated with other kidney diseases. The global prevalence of gout, as well as incidence, and YLDs increased worldwide from 1990 to 2019 and had a significant association with sex, age, geographic region, SDI and risk factors. Understanding the complex interplay of environmental, sociodemographic and geographic risk factors is essential in mitigating the ever-rising disease burden of gout.

Changes in the global, regional, and national burdens of NAFLD from 1990 to 2019: A systematic analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019.

Understanding the burdens and trends of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is necessary for developing effective intervention strategies. In this study, Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study data were extracted and analyzed to elucidate trends of NAFLD. The prevalence, incidence, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), and death rates of NAFLD in geographic populations worldwide from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the GBD 2019 study data. The global temporal trend of NAFLD from 1990 to 2019 was evaluated using estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) and age-standardized rates. Globally, between 1999 and 2019, the age-standardized prevalence rate of NAFLD increased, with EAPCs of 0.77 [95% CI (0.69, 0.85)], whereas the DALY and Death rates decreased, with EAPCs of -0.82 [95% CI (-0.92, -0.71)], and -0.67 [95% CI (-0.76, -0.58)], respectively. Geographically, the age-standardized prevalence rate showed the most serious upward trend in high-income North America with an EAPC of 0.98 [95% CI (0.95, 1.02)], and the age-standardized incidence rate showed an upward trend in Central Asia with an EAPC of 3.17 [95% CI (2.2, 2.49)]. The most significant upward trend of DALY and death rates appeared in Eastern Europe, with EAPCs of 4.06 [95% CI (3.31, 4.82)], and 3.36 [95% CI (2.77, 3.96)], respectively. At the country level, the age-standardized rates showed an upward trend in Armenia, Belarus, and Republic of Korea. Regarding age groups, the percentage change of prevalence was the highest in the 40 to 44 group [0.29 (0.26, 0.34)] from 1990 to 2019; the percentage change of incidence was the highest in the 85 to 89 group [0.46 (0.12, 0.71)] from 1990 to 2019; the percentage change of DALY was the highest in the 80 to 84 group [0.25 (0.11, 0.39)] from 1990 to 2019; and the percentage change of death rate was the highest in the 15 to 19 group [0.36 (0.17, 0.60)] from 1990 to 2019. The percentage change of prevalence of liver cancer due to NASH was the highest in the group of 85 to 89, whereas those of incidence, DALY, and death were the highest in the group above 95 from 1990 to 2019. Regarding the sociodemographic index (SDI), the highest age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and Death rates of NAFLD occurred in middle-SDI countries, and the highest DALY rates of NAFLD occurred in low-SDI countries. Global NAFLD burdens have increased since 1990. Our findings provide a reference for policymakers to reduce the burden of NAFLD, especially in middle and low-SDI countries.

Increasing burden of hip osteoarthritis in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA): an epidemiological analysis from 1990 to 2019.

The hip is the second most affected joint in osteoarthritis (OA), diagnosed annually worldwide. This is the first study presenting the epidemiology of hip OA in the Middle Eastern and North African countries from 1990 to 2019. This study was performed based on the analysis of global burden of disease (GBD) study data. Epidemiological indices including prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLD) were compared in all 21 countries located in Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region during 1990 to 2019. The prevalence of patients with hip OA in MENA increased 3.1-fold, from 0.40 to 1.28 million during the study period. Hip OA accounted for about 74.46 thousand (95% UI 56.64-94.92) incident cases in MENA at 2019. It was found that Qatar had the highest age-standardized prevalence in both 1990 (0.33% [0.25-42]), and 2019 (0.40% [0.30-0.50]) in MENA. Oman showed the greatest relative increase (around 50.10%) in age-standardized prevalence of hip OA, whereas Iraq showed the lowest relative increase (around 9.94%) compared with other MENA countries. Hip OA prevalence and YLD have both increased in MENA over the last three decades. The region's rapidly increasing burden of hip OA emphasizes the need to focus on OA prevention strategies especially in Qatar, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and UAE.

Disease Burden of Glaucoma in China: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study

PurposeTo provide evidence for future strategies in preventing glaucomatous blindness by investigating the disease burden in terms of age, year, and gender from 1990 to 2019 in China.MethodsThe prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of blindness and vision loss due to glaucoma in China were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. Age-standardized data is presented in comparison to China’s neighboring countries.ResultsFrom 1990 to 2019, the prevalent cases and DALYs number with glaucomatous blindness and vision loss increased by 129.53% and 67.29%, respectively. Overall, higher age-standardized prevalence and DALYs rate were detected in males than in females between 1990 and 2019, and people aged 60 to 89 years suffered from a higher DALY number than other age groups in 2019. Among the neighboring countries, China ranked from fourth in 1990 (88.52, 95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 74.62 to 103.24, per 100,000 population) to third in 2019 (71.14, 95% UI: 59.34 to 84.42, per 100,000 population) in age-standardized prevalence while from fourth in 1990 (10.13, 95% UI: 6.68 to 14.46, per 100,000 population) to sixth in 2019 (5.98, 95% UI: 4.14 to 8.42, per 100,000 population) in age-standardized DALYs. Compared with other GBD regions, the largest decrease in age-standardized DALY rate due to glaucoma was found in China (−40.87%, 95% UI: −43.97% to −37.82%). A higher percentage decrease in age-standardized prevalence was also found in China (−19.66%, 95% UI: −22.44% to −17.09%).ConclusionSubstantial increases in the prevalence of visual impairment and DALYs number of glaucoma were observed from 1990 to 2019. Efforts targeting glaucoma prevention and treatment in China are urgently required, especially for the elderly population and men.

The global burden of peptic ulcer disease in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Peptic ulcer disease is one of the most common diseases in gastroenterology clinics. However, reported data about the global burden of peptic ulcer disease are still scarce. This was a secondary data analysis on the prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to peptic ulcer disease by sex, age group and socio-demographic index (SDI) at the global level in 21 regions and 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019 using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. Globally, the prevalence cases of peptic ulcer disease increased from 6 434 103 (95% uncertainty interval 5 405 963 to 7 627 971) in 1990 to 8 090 476 (6 794 576 to 9 584 000) in 2019. However, the age-standardized prevalence rate decreased from 143.4 (120.5 to 170.2) per 100 000 population in 1990 to 99.4 (83.9 to 117.5) per 100 000 population in 2019. Moreover, the age-standardized mortality rate decreased by 59.4% (55.3 to 63.1) and the DALYs rate fell by 60.6% (56.8 to 63.9) from 1990 to 2019. Across SDI quintiles, low-middle and low SDI quintiles had the highest age-standardized prevalence, mortality and DALYs rates from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized prevalence, mortality and DALYs estimates of peptic ulcer disease decreased from 1990 to 2019 globally, but more efforts are needed for the prevention, early diagnosis and treatment of peptic ulcer disease in low SDI and low-middle SDI groups of countries.

Global, regional, and national burdens of common micronutrient deficiencies from 1990 to 2019: A secondary trend analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study.

SummaryBackgroundUnderstanding micronutrient deficiency burdens and trends can help guide effective intervention strategies. This study aims to elucidate trends in common micronutrient deficiencies, in particular, dietary iron, iodine and vitamin A deficiencies, from 1990 to 2019 using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study data.MethodsWe analyzed data from the GBD 2019 study to calculate the prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates of micronutrient deficiencies in geographic populations worldwide from 1990 to 2019. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) and age-standardized rates were calculated to evaluate the temporal trends.FindingsGlobally, the age-standardized prevalence rates of iodine deficiency, vitamin A deficiency, and dietary iron deficiency decreased, with EAPCs of -0.690 (95% CI, -0.842 to -0.538), -3.15 (95% CI, -3.20 to -3.02), and -0.546 (95% CI, -0.585 to -0.507) between 1999 and 2019, respectively. Regarding the sociodemographic index (SDI), the highest age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates of micronutrient deficiency were found in low-SDI countries in 2019. There were linear associations between the SDI and the healthcare access and quality (HAQ) index and age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates.InterpretationGlobal micronutrient deficiency burdens have decreased since 1990. The potential burden of iodine deficiency in some developed countries is worthy of attention. The results of this study could guide policy makers in implementing cost-effective interventions to reduce micronutrient deficiency burdens, particularly in low-SDI and low-HAQ index countries.FundingThis work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 82000753) and the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2021MD703910).

Non-skilled occupation as a risk factor of diabetes among working population: A population-based study of community-dwelling adults in Hong Kong.

Diabetes among working population brings to society concerns on productivity and social welfare cost, in addition to healthcare burden. While lower socio‐economic status has been recognised as a risk factor of diabetes; occupation, compared with other socio‐economic status indicators (e.g., education and income), has received less attention. There is some evidence from studies conducted in Europe that occupation is associated with diabetes risk, but less is known in Asia, which has different organisational cultures and management styles from the West. This study examines the association between occupation and diabetes risk in a developed Asian setting, which is experiencing an increasing number of young onset of diabetes and aging working population at the same time. This is a cross‐sectional study of working population aged up to 65 with data from a population‐based survey collecting demographic, socio‐economic, behavioural and metabolic data from Hong Kong residents, through both self‐administered questionnaires and clinical health examinations (1,429 participants). Non‐skilled occupation was found to be an independent risk factor for diabetes, with an odds ratio (OR) of 3.38 (p < 0.001) and adjusted OR of 2.59 (p = 0.022) after adjusting for demographic, behavioural and metabolic risk factors. Older age (adjusted OR = 1.08, p < 0.001), higher body mass index (adjusted OR = 1.23, p < 0.001) and having hypertriglyceridemia (adjusted OR = 1.93, p = 0.033) were also independently associated with diabetes. Non‐skilled workers were disproportionately affected by diabetes with the highest age‐standardized prevalence (6.3%) among all occupation groups (4.9%–5.0%). This study provides evidence that non‐skilled occupation is an independent diabetes risk factor in a developed Asian setting. Health education on improving lifestyle practices and diabetes screening should prioritise non‐skilled workers, in particular through company‐based and sector‐based diabetes screening programmes. Diabetes health service should respond to the special needs of non‐skilled workers, including service at non‐office hour and practical health advice in light of their work setting.

Incidence, Prevalence, and Geographical Clustering of Motor Neuron Disease in the Netherlands.

ObjectiveTo assess time trends in motor neuron disease (MND) incidence, prevalence, and mortality and to investigate geographic clustering of MND cases in the Netherlands from 1998 to 2017, we analyzed data from the Netherlands Personal Records database, the Netherlands MND Center, and the Netherlands Patient Association of Neuromuscular Diseases.MethodsIn this prospective cohort study, Poisson regression was used to assess time trends in MND risk. We calculated age- and sex-standardized, observed, and expected cases for 1,694 areas. Bayesian smoothed risk mapping was used to investigate geographic MND risk.ResultsWe identified 7,992 MND cases, reflecting an incidence of 2.64 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.62–2.67) per 100,000 person-years and a prevalence of 9.5 (95% CI 9.1–10.0) per 100,000 persons. Highest age-standardized prevalence and mortality rates occurred at a later age in men than in women (p < 0.001). Unadjusted mortality rates increased by 53.2% from 2.57 per 100,000 person-years in 1998 to 3.86 per 100,000 person-years in 2017. After adjustment for age and sex, an increase in MND mortality rate of 14.1% (95% CI 5.7%–23.2%, p < 0.001) remained. MND relative risk ranged from 0.78 to 1.43 between geographic areas; multiple urban and rural high-risk areas were identified.ConclusionsWe found a significant national increase in MND mortality from 1998 through 2017, explained only partly by an aging Dutch population, and a geographic variability in MND risk, suggesting a role for environmental or demographic risk factors.

Prevalence, awareness, and associated risk factors of hypertension in older adults in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis protocol

BackgroundThe health of older persons has not been a major priority in many African countries. Hypertension is one of the common health problems of older persons. However, there is little information on the prevalence of hypertension in older adults in Africa. This is in spite of the fact that Africa has the highest age-standardized prevalence of hypertension in the world. We therefore present this protocol to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis on the prevalence of hypertension and the level of its awareness among older persons living in Africa.MethodsMajor databases (EMBASE, MEDLINE, Academic Search Complete, CINAHL, PsycINFO) and unpublished literature will be searched to identify population-based studies on hypertension in adults aged 50 years and older living in Africa. Eligible articles are those which use the 140/90-mmHg cutoff to diagnose hypertension and were published from 1980 to present. We will exclude subjects in restricted environments such as patients and refugees. Articles will be independently evaluated by two reviewers to determine if they meet the inclusion criteria. They will also evaluate the quality of included studies using a validated tool by Hoy and colleagues for prevalence studies. The main outcome is the prevalence of hypertension while the explanatory variables include demographic, socio-economic, dietary, lifestyle and behavioural factors. Effect sizes in bivariate and multivariate analyses will be presented as odds or prevalence ratios. We will explore for heterogeneity of the standard errors across the studies, and if appropriate, we will perform a meta-analysis using a random-effects model to present a summary estimate of the prevalence of hypertension in this population.DiscussionThe estimates of the prevalence, the risk factors and the level of awareness of hypertension could help in galvanizing efforts at prioritizing the cardiovascular health of older persons in Africa.Systematic review registrationPROSPERO CRD42017056474

Disparity in metabolic risk factors of non-communicable diseases between Palauans and Filipinos living in Palau.

ABSTRACTNon-communicable diseases have been recognized as a serious threat to public health in Palau. To tackle the problem, different strategies might be necessary for populations with different ethnic backgrounds. This study aims to find the differences in the prevalence of metabolic risk factors of non-communicable diseases between Palauans and Filipinos living in Palau, and examine possible determinants of the differences. We selected data of 2,032 participants, including native Palauans and Filipinos, from the Palau STEPS Survey 2011–2013 for this study. Logistic regression models were used to inspect the association of each metabolic risk factor with ethnicity by calculating odds ratios adjusted for potential confounding factors. Palauans had higher age-standardized prevalence of overweight or obesity (84% vs. 45%), hypertension (50% vs. 38%) and diabetes (19% vs. 13%) than Filipinos. However, after adjusting for BMI and various lifestyle related factors, there are no statistical significant differences in the prevalence of hypertension and diabetes between these two ethnic groups. Palauan men were less likely to have elevated total cholesterol, especially after adjusting for BMI (odds ratio=0.55, 95% confidence interval: 0.33–0.91), while Palauan women were more likely to have elevated triglycerides than their Filipino counterparts (odds ratio=1.45, 95% confidence interval: 1.02–2.06). Our findings suggested that Palauans’ higher BMI distribution might be able to explain their higher prevalence of hypertension and partially explain their higher diabetes prevalence. Palauans were not consistently more likely to have all metabolic risk factors, namely dyslipidemia were less likely to be observed in Palauan men.

Prevalence of the Metabolic Syndrome Among Employees in Northeast China.

Background:The metabolic syndrome is a clustering of metabolic abnormalities and has been associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome among employees in Northeast China.Methods:Totally, 33,149 employees who received health screening in the International Health Promotion Center in the First Hospital of Jilin University were enrolled. Height, weight, waist circumference, blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein, and low-density lipoprotein were recorded. Three definitions for the metabolic syndrome were applied, revised National Cholesterol Education Program's Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP ATP III) criteria, the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) criteria, and the Chinese Diabetes Society (CDS) criteria.Results:Overall, the age-standardized prevalence of the metabolic syndrome was 22.9%, 20.6%, and 15.3% based on definitions of revised NCEP ATP III criteria, the IDF criteria, and the CDS criteria, respectively. Men had higher age-standardized prevalence than women in all three definitions (P < 0.05). The prevalence was 27.1%, 24.5%, and 20.4% for men; 17.1%, 15.4%, and 8.3% for women, respectively. The most common metabolic component with the metabolic syndrome was overweight (54.7% of men had an elevated body mass index, and 35.9% of women had central obesity).Conclusions:A large proportion of employees among Northeast China have the metabolic syndrome. These findings place emphasis on the need to develop aggressive lifestyle modification for patients with the metabolic syndrome and population level strategies for the prevention, detection, and treatment of cardiovascular risk.