Social democratic systems are characterized in their operation by the central role of bargains between governments and unions over distribution, wages, and welfare payments. Frequently expressed in the literature is the idea that unions represent the interests of workers and that bargains between unions and government are crucial to working class support.' If so, then central in understanding the rise, and seeming decline, of social democracies are questions about the effect of the bargaining process on the size and density of trade unions, the distribution of resources, and the interests of various groups of workers.2 The links between unions and social democratic arrangements and the importance of the level of unionization are well recognized, and there is already a substantial literature on these questions. This literature points to a number of regularities. Among them is the fact that unions have not shown any tendency to form classwide organizations. Another is that smaller countries like Australia, Sweden, Austria, and Norway tend to have higher union density and social democratic institutions more often than larger countries.3 These tendencies are attributed to a number of factors, including the divisive influence of the dominant ideology on working class solidarity, the domestic and international economic structure, and costs of union formation.4 This list also includes a number of ad hoc variables such as memories of repression and other accidents of history.5 The striking feature of the literature, however, is the relative lack of systematic research that focuses on the effect of the bargaining process itself on these regularities. In particular, little attention has been given in a bargaining, or any other, framework to the differences in union density among countries.6 Given the bargaining nature of social democracies and the strong correlation between the level of unionization and support for social democracy and redistributive programs, these omissions are significant.7 The purpose of this paper is to fill some of these gaps. The requirement that such an approach should be systematic is in keeping with the observation of a number of writers, such as Lehmbruch, Lange, and Regini, who argue that a more analytical, rational choice approach to union formation and agreements with government is required in order to supplement the mainly empirical and post hoc existing studies.8
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