Higher Risk Of Adverse Outcomes Research Articles

Molecular characterization and genotyping of isolates from cancer patients with Clostridioides difficile infection or asymptomatic colonization.

Introduction. Cancer patients with Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) are at a higher risk for adverse outcomes. In addition, a high prevalence of Clostridioides difficile asymptomatic colonization (CDAC) has been reported in this vulnerable population.Gap Statement. The molecular characteristics and potential role of CDAC in healthcare-related transmission in the cancer population have been poorly explored.Aim. We aimed to compare the molecular and genotypic characteristics of C. difficile isolates from cancer patients with CDAC and CDI.Method. We conducted a prospective cohort study of cancer patients with CDAC or CDI from a referral centre. Molecular characterization, typification and tcdC gene expression of isolates were performed.Results. The hospital-onset and community-onset healthcare facility-associated CDI rates were 4.5 cases/10 000 patient-days and 1.4 cases/1 000 admissions during the study period. Fifty-one C. difficile strains were isolated: 37 (72 %) and 14 (28 %) from patients with CDI or CDAC, respectively. All isolates from symptomatic patients were tcdA+/tcdB+, and four (10 %) were ctdA+/ctdB+. In the CDAC group, 10 (71 %) isolates were toxigenic, and none were ctdA+/ctdB+. The Δ18 in-frame tcdC deletion and two transition mutations were found in five isolates. After bacterial typing, 60 % of toxigenic isolates from asymptomatic carriers were clonal to those from patients with C. difficile-associated diarrhoea. No NAP1/027/BI strains were detected.Conclusions. We found a clonal association between C. difficile isolates from patients with CDAC and CDI. Studies are needed to evaluate the potential role of asymptomatic carriers in the dynamics of nosocomial transmission to support infection control measures and reduce the burden of CDI in high-risk groups.

Left Ventricular Mass, Myocardial Structure, and Function in Severe Aortic Stenosis: an Echocardiographic and Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging Study

In severe aortic stenosis (AS), there are conflicting data on the prognostic implications of left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy (LVH). We aimed to characterize the LV geometry, myocardial matrix structural changes, and prognostic stratification using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) and echocardiography in subjects with severe AS with and without LVH. Consecutive patients who had severe isolated AS and sufficient quality echocardiography and CMR within 6months of each other were evaluated for LVH, cardiac structure, morphology, and late gadolinium-enhancement imaging. Kaplan-Meier curves, linear models, and proportional hazards models were used for prognostic stratification. There were 93 patients enrolled (mean age 74 ± 11years, 48% female), of whom 38 (41%) had a normal LV mass index (LVMI), 41 (44%) had LVH defined at CMR by LVMI >2 SD higher than normal, and 14 (15% of the total) with >4 SD higher than the reference LVMI (severely elevated). The Society of Thoracic Surgeons scores were similar among the LVMI groups. Compared with those with normal LVMI, patients with LVH had higher LV end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes, increased late gadolinium-enhancement burden, and lower LV ejection fraction. Most notably, CMR feature-tracking global radial strain, 2-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography global longitudinal strain, and left atrial reservoir function were significantly worse. On the survival analyses, LVMI was not associated with a composite of all-cause mortality and/or heart failure hospitalization. In conclusion, compared with normal LVMI, elevated LVMI was not associated with a higher risk of adverse outcomes.

Disability transitions in Dutch community-dwelling older people aged 75 years or older

BackgroundRecent world population predictions show that the world population aged >=65 years will increase from 10% in 2022 to 16% in 2050. Population aging is accompanied by an increase in people with disability. It is important to pay special attention to people with disability, as these people are at high risk of adverse outcomes. Our study aimed to investigate the transitions of disability among Dutch community-dwelling older people aged 75 years or older, using a follow-up of nine years. We used socio-demographic factors gender, age, marital status, education, and income, but also lifestyle, diseases, and life events to predict the disability transitions over time. MethodsWe used a sample of 484 people that was randomly drawn from the municipality of Roosendaal (the Netherlands), a municipality with 78,000 inhabitants. A subset of people who completed part A of the Tilburg Frailty Indicator (TFI) at baseline and the Groningen Activity Restriction Scale (GARS) questionnaires was used with a nine-year follow-up. Paired Wilcoxon tests were used to compare the consecutive measurements. Socio-demographic factors gender, age, marital status, education, and income, but also lifestyle, diseases, and life events were included to predict the disability transitions over time. For the univariable and multivariable analysis of the measurements over time with the predictor variables, we used generalized estimation equations (GEE). A p-value <0.05 was considered significant. R version 3.4.4 was used for all analyses. ResultsOf the participants, 65% were younger than 80 years, 50% were married or cohabiting, 87% reported a healthy lifestyle, and 63% had no diseases or chronic disorders. Each year, more participants changed from status not disabled to disabled than vice versa. The GEE analyses showed that lifestyle (‘not healthy’) and diseases or chronic disorders (‘two or more’) were significant in the multivariable analysis for the disability score and only diseases or chronic disorders (‘two or more’) was significant in the multivariable analysis for the dichotomous disability score. ConclusionsThe transition of the disability score is strongly influenced by lifestyle and diseases or disorders. This applies to a lesser extent to the dichotomous disability score. There, only diseases or disorders are an important predictor. For health care professionals our study provides starting points for interventions focused on the prevention of worsening disability and for community-dwelling older people >= 75, the most important recommendation is: live healthy!

Medicines stewardship.

Medicines stewardship refers to coordinated strategies and interventions to optimise medicines use, usually within a specific therapeutic area. Medicines stewardship programs can reduce variations in practice and improve patient outcomes. Therapeutic domains for medicines stewardship are chosen to address frequently used drug classes associated with a high risk of adverse outcomes. Some examples include antimicrobial, opioid analgesic, anticoagulation and psychotropic stewardship. Common elements of successful stewardship programs include multidisciplinary leadership, stakeholder engagement, tailored communication strategies, behavioural changes, implementation science methodologies, and ongoing program monitoring, evaluation and reporting. Medicines stewardship is a continual quality improvement process that requires ongoing support and resources, as well as clinician and consumer engagement, to remain sustainable. It is critical for hospital-based medicines stewardship programs to consider impacts on care in the community when making and communicating changes to patient therapy. This ensures that stewardship efforts are sustained across transitions of care.

Long-Term Follow-Up of Interstitial Lung Abnormality: Implication in Follow-Up Strategy and Risk Thresholds.

Rationale: The optimal follow-up computed tomography (CT) interval for detecting the progression of interstitial lung abnormality (ILA) is unknown. Objectives: To identify optimal follow-up strategies and extent thresholds on CT relevant to outcomes. Methods: This retrospective study included self-referred screening participants aged 50 years or older, including nonsmokers, who had imaging findings relevant to ILA on chest CT scans. Consecutive CT scans were evaluated to determine the dates of the initial CT showing ILA and the CT showing progression. Deep learning-based ILA quantification was performed. Cox regression was used to identify risk factors for the time to ILA progression and progression to usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP). Measurements and Main Results: Of the 305 participants with a median follow-up duration of 11.3 years (interquartile range, 8.4-14.3 yr), 239 (78.4%) had ILA on at least one CT scan. In participants with serial follow-up CT studies, ILA progression was observed in 80.5% (161 of 200), and progression to UIP was observed in 17.3% (31 of 179), with median times to progression of 3.2 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.0-3.4 yr) and 11.8 years (95% CI, 10.8-13.0 yr), respectively. The extent of fibrosis on CT was an independent risk factor for ILA progression (hazard ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.02-1.23]) and progression to UIP (hazard ratio, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.07-1.80]). Risk groups based on honeycombing and extent of fibrosis (1% in the whole lung or 5% per lung zone) showed significant differences in 10-year overall survival (P = 0.02). Conclusions: For individuals with initially detected ILA, follow-up CT at 3-year intervals may be appropriate to monitor radiologic progression; however, those at high risk of adverse outcomes on the basis of the quantified extent of fibrotic ILA and the presence of honeycombing may benefit from shortening the interval for follow-up scans.

Pregnancy characteristics and adverse outcomes in offspring of women with epilepsy: a prospective registry study from Mainland China.

This study aimed to explore the influencing factors of adverse outcomes in the offspring of women with epilepsy (WWE) and to analyze the changes brought about by the epilepsy knowledge popularization campaign in China (EKPCIC). This nested case-control study focused on WWE and their offspring from a female epilepsy cohort in mainland China. From January 2009 to August 2022, WWE was prospectively enrolled in 32 study centers. This study aimed to observe the health outcomes of their offspring within 1 year of age. The main outcome measure assessed the health status of the offspring within their first year of age. We aimed to analyze the effects of seizures, anti-seizure medicines (ASMs), and a lack of folic acid supplementation on adverse outcomes in the offspring of WWE and to explore the changes in perinatal management and adverse outcomes of the offspring after dissemination of the EKPCIC in 2015. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted to compare seizure control during pregnancy between the valproate and non-valproate groups. In total, 781 pregnancies in 695 WWE were included, of which 186 (23.69%) had adverse outcomes. The National Hospital Epilepsy Severity Scale score, number of seizures, status epilepticus, ASM type, and valproate and folic acid doses were associated with a high risk of adverse outcomes. After the EKPCIC, the use of ASMs (P = 0.013) and folic acid (P < 0.001), the seizure-free rate during pregnancy (P = 0.013), and the breastfeeding rate (P < 0.001) increased, whereas the incidence of complications during pregnancy decreased (P = 0.013). However, there was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse outcomes between the analyzed offspring pre-/post-EKPCIC. Additionally, there was no association between the frequency of seizures at different time points during pregnancy and the use of valproate (F = 1.514, P = 0.221). Possible factors influencing adverse outcomes in the offspring of WWE include seizures, type and number of ASM usage, and a lack of folic acid supplementation. Although the management of WWE during pregnancy is now more standardized, further efforts are needed to reduce adverse outcomes in offspring.

Differences in Mortality and Sepsis-Associated Organ Dysfunction between Surgical and Non-Surgical Sepsis Patients.

(1) Background: Patients with sepsis following surgical intervention may exhibit fundamental distinctions from those experiencing sepsis without prior surgery. Despite the potential clinical importance of distinguishing these two sepsis subpopulations, dissimilarities, particularly in outcome, between surgical and non-surgical patients have been subject to limited scientific investigations in the existing literature. This study aimed to investigate the differences in mortality and sepsis-associated organ dysfunction between these two groups. (2) Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from a large cohort of prospectively enrolled patients with sepsis (n = 737) admitted to three intensive care units at University Medical Center Goettingen; patients were categorized into surgical (n = 582) and non-surgical sepsis groups (n = 155). The primary outcomes assessed were 28- and 90-day mortality rates, and secondary endpoints were multiple clinical parameters and measures of sepsis-associated organ dysfunction. (3) Results: Non-surgical patients presented a significantly higher 90-day mortality (37%) compared to surgical sepsis patients (30%, p = 0.0457). Moreover, the non-surgical sepsis group exhibited increased sepsis-associated organ dysfunction, as evidenced by higher average SOFA scores (p < 0.001), elevated levels of serum Procalcitonin (p = 0.0102), and a higher utilization of organ replacement therapies such as ventilation (p < 0.001), vasopressor treatment (p < 0.001), and renal replacement therapy (p = 0.0364). Additionally, non-surgical sepsis patients had higher organ-specific SOFA respiratory (p < 0.001), cardiovascular (p < 0.001), renal (p < 0.001), coagulation (0.0335), and central nervous system (p = 0.0206) subscores. (4) Conclusions: These results suggested that patients with non-surgical sepsis may face distinct challenges and a higher risk of adverse outcomes compared to patients with sepsis following surgical intervention. These findings have important implications for clinical decision-making, patient management, and resource allocation in sepsis care.

Adverse Perinatal and Neonatal Outcomes among Adolescent Pregnancies in the United States.

Despite a downward trend in recent years, adolescent pregnancies in the United States remain higher than any other western country. Adolescent pregnancies have been inconsistently associated with adverse perinatal outcomes. The objective of this study is to investigate the association between adolescent pregnancies and adverse perinatal and neonatal outcomes in the United States. This is a retrospective cohort study of singleton births in the United States from 2014 to 2020 using national vital statistics data. Perinatal outcomes included gestational diabetes, gestational hypertension, preterm delivery <37 weeks (preterm birth [PTB]), cesarean delivery (CD), chorioamnionitis, small for gestational age (SGA), large for gestational age (LGA), and neonatal composite outcome. Chi-square tests were used to compare outcomes among adolescent (13-19 years) versus adult (20-29 years) pregnancies. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine association of adolescent pregnancies with perinatal outcomes. For each outcome, we utilized three models: unadjusted logistic regression, adjusted for demographics, and adjusted for demographics and medical comorbidities. Similar analyses were used to compare younger (13-17 years) and older (18-19 years) adolescent pregnancies to adults. In a cohort of 14,014,078 pregnancies, we found that adolescents were at an increased risk of PTB (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.12, 99% confidence interval (CI): 1.12-1.13) and SGA (aOR: 1.02, 99% CI: 1.01-1.03) compared with adult pregnancies. We also found that multiparous adolescents with a prior history of CD were at an increased risk of CD, compared with adults. For all other outcomes, adult pregnancies were at higher risk for adverse outcomes in the adjusted models. When comparing birth outcomes among adolescents, we found that older adolescents are at an increased risk of PTB, whereas younger adolescents are at an increased risk of both PTB and SGA. After adjusting for confounders, our study demonstrates adolescents have an increased risk of PTB and SGA, compared with adults. · Adolescents as a whole subgroup have an increased risk of PTB and SGA compared with adults.. · Younger adolescents have a risk of PTB and SGA, whereas older adolescents have a risk of PTB only.. · Adverse birth outcomes in adults are gestational diabetes, chorioamnionitis, LGA, and worse neonatal composite score..

Clinical Management of COPD in the Real World: Can Studies Reveal Errors in Management and Pathways to Improve Patient Care?

Real world data comprise information on health care that is derived from multiple sources outside typical clinical research settings. This review focuses on what real world evidence tells us about problems with the diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), problems with the initial and follow-up pharmacological and non-pharmacological management, problems with the management of exacerbations and problems with palliative care. Data from real world studies show errors in the management of COPD with delays to diagnosis, lack of confirmation of the diagnosis with spirometry, lack of holistic assessment, lack of attention to smoking cessation, variable adherence to management guidelines, delayed implementation of appropriate interventions, under-recognition of patients at higher risk of adverse outcomes, high hospitalisation rates for exacerbations and poor implementation of palliative care. Understanding that these problems exist and considering how and why they occur is fundamental to developing solutions to improve the diagnosis and management of patients with COPD.

Healthier Energy Balance Behaviors Most Important for Health-Related Quality of Life in Rural Cancer Survivors in Central Pennsylvania.

Rural cancer survivors face a greater number of health disparities, including poorer health-related quality of life (HRQoL), than urban cancer survivors. Engagement in healthy lifestyle behaviors also varies between rural and urban cancer survivors. Lifestyle behaviors can improve HRQoL; however, the combination of behaviors most important for HRQoL in rural survivors is unclear. This study examined clusters of lifestyle behaviors in rural cancer survivors, and differences in HRQoL between behavioral clusters. Rural cancer survivors in the United States (N = 219) completed a cross-sectional survey. Lifestyle behaviors were classified into unhealthy/healthy binary categories (inactive/active, longer/shorter sedentary time, excessive/acceptable fat intake, very low/higher fruit and vegetable intake, some/no alcohol consumption, and poor/good sleep quality). Behavioral clusters were identified by latent class analysis. HRQoL differences between behavioral clusters were assessed by ordinary least squares regression. The 2-class model demonstrated the best fit and interpretability. The "mostly unhealthy behaviors" class (38.5% of sample) had higher probabilities of all unhealthy behaviors, except alcohol consumption. The "healthier energy balance" class (61.5% of sample) had higher probabilities of active, shorter sedentary, higher fruit and vegetable consumption, excessive fat intake, some alcohol consumption, and poor sleep categories, and reported better HRQoL. Healthier energy balance behaviors were particularly relevant for HRQoL in rural cancer survivors. Multiple behavior change interventions to improve HRQoL in rural cancer survivors should focus on supporting energy balance behaviors. Many rural cancer survivors may lead very unhealthy lifestyles, placing them at high risk of adverse outcomes. This subpopulation should be prioritized to help alleviate cancer health disparities.

Retrospective Study of First Trimester Metrorrhagia: Pregnancy Follow-Up and Relationship with the Appearance of Gestational Complications.

Background and Objectives: The purpose of this study was to describe and evaluate the bleeding that occurs during the first weeks of gestation and its implications throughout pregnancy. Secondarily, we assessed the associated complications in order to identify potential risk factors that could be used to select women at higher risk of adverse outcomes that could benefit from an early diagnosis and improved monitoring. Materials and Methods: We made a selection of all the women who consulted in the Emergency Department of the Hospital QuirónSalud in Malaga on 2015 presenting with first trimester metrorrhagia. We refer to first trimester metrorrhagia as that which occurs until week 12 + 6. Once these pregnant women were identified, we studied several variables not related to the gestation and some others associated with it and its natural course. Results: The average age of the patients assessed was 34.1. Associated gestational complications were metrorrhagia in the second trimester (6.3%), threatened preterm labor (7.4%), preeclampsia (2.5%), gestational diabetes (7.4%), late abortion (1.2%), and early postpartum hemorrhage (1.8%). We sought associations to assess possible risk factors, establishing an increased maternal age as an aggravating factor for the development of complications. We also studied gestational complications, finding a higher prevalence of them in older women, such as prematurity (33.11 vs. 34.48 years), gestational diabetes (33.11 vs. 36.06 years), and preeclampsia (33.25 vs. 35 years). Conclusions: Maternal age is a risk factor for first-trimester spontaneous miscarriage and for the development of complications of pregnancy. It is crucial to perform a correct screening of different pathologies throughout the pregnancy to anticipate potential complications.

Severely calcified coronary artery lesions: focus on interventional management

Severe coronary artery calcifications remain a challenge for the contemporary interventional cardiologist in the light of the growing demand for diagnostic procedures and interventions in elderly patients; in addition, the general prognostic improvement after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is expanding the indications to PCI to increasingly complex anatomies. In the last decade, a renewed interest in the treatment of calcific lesions has been observed, with the aim to optimize the mechanic effects of balloon angioplasty and the expansion and apposition of DES to the vessel wall. However, patients with calcific coronary artery disease represent a subset with a high risk of adverse outcomes, both intra-procedural and in the long-term. The need to guarantee a targeted and tailored treatment based on the coronary anatomy of any individual patient is a current priority of the interventional community. The efficacy of rotational atherectomy in improving procedural success for the treatment of calcified lesions has been widely demonstrated. The advent of new technologies -especially of intravascular lithotripsy (IVL)-, the application of techniques and materials initially developed for as complex procedures as chronic total occlusions (CTO), the increasing experience of contemporary operators and the introduction of latest generation drug-eluting stents (DES) with excellent technical and structural properties, are further contributing to improving outcomes of current PCI for calcific lesions.

Severity of Prior Coronavirus Disease 2019 is Associated With Postoperative Outcomes After Major Inpatient Surgery.

To determine how the severity of prior history (Hx) of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection influences postoperative outcomes after major elective inpatient surgery. Surgical guidelines instituted early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic recommended a delay in surgery of up to 8 weeks after an acute SARS-CoV-2 infection. This was based on the observation of elevated surgical risk after recovery from COVID-19 early in the pandemic. As the pandemic shifts to an endemic phase, it is unclear whether this association remains, especially for those recovering from asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic COVID-19. Utilizing the National COVID Cohort Collaborative, we assessed postoperative outcomes for adults with and without a Hx of COVID-19 who underwent major elective inpatient surgery between January 2020 and February 2023. COVID-19 severity and time from infection to surgery were each used as independent variables in multivariable logistic regression models. This study included 387,030 patients, of whom 37,354 (9.7%) were diagnosed with preoperative COVID-19. Hx of COVID-19 was found to be an independent risk factor for adverse postoperative outcomes even after a 12-week delay for patients with moderate and severe SARS-CoV-2 infection. Patients with mild COVID-19 did not have an increased risk of adverse postoperative outcomes at any time point. Vaccination decreased the odds of respiratory failure. Impact of COVID-19 on postoperative outcomes is dependent on the severity of illness, with only moderate and severe disease leading to a higher risk of adverse outcomes. Existing perioperative policies should be updated to include consideration of COVID-19 disease severity and vaccination status.

Intrinsic capacity and 5-year late-life functional ability trajectories of Chinese older population using ICOPE tool: the Rugao Longevity and Ageing Study.

Knowledge of how intrinsic capacity (IC) shape functional ability (FA) trajectories in later life remains unclear. We investigated the changes in IC and their impact on 5-years FA trajectories in the Chinese older population. A total of 1640 older adults from the Rugao Longitudinal Ageing Study were included and analyzed. FA was assessed by The Lawton Instrumental Activities of Daily Living Scale (IADLs). We used cognition, psychology, locomotion, sensory capacity, and vitality to capture the multiple domains of IC according to the ICOPE method. The IC was derived retrospectively from variables collected before this was described by WHO. At baseline, a higher IC was associated with higher IADLs (β = 0.98, 95% CI 0.90, 1.06, P < 0.001). Individuals with declines in IC between wave1 and wave2 experienced a faster decline in IADLs over time (β = - 0.28, 95% CI - 0.40, - 0.16, P < 0.001) after considering covariates. One or more impairment IC scores at baseline strongly predicted death (HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.11, 1.30, P < 0.001). In addition, according to the IC scores at baseline, we stratify IC in low, middle, and high, compared with those in the high IC score, those in the low were associated with a 2.56-fold (95% CI 1.64, 4.01, P < 0.001) higher risk of mortality, after adjustment for variables. Changes in IC shape FA trajectories. IC impairment is associated with an increased risk of death. Assessing intrinsic capacity would facilitate early identification of older adults at high risk of adverse outcomes and prompt targeted interventions.

A Mother's Dilemma: The 5-P Model for Vaccine Decision-Making in Pregnancy.

Pregnant women are a highly vaccine-resistant population and face unique circumstances that complicate vaccine decision-making. Pregnant women are also at increased risk of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes to many vaccine-preventable diseases. Several models have been proposed to describe factors informing vaccine hesitancy and acceptance. However, none of these existing models are applicable to the complex decision-making involved with vaccine acceptance during pregnancy. We propose a model for vaccine decision-making in pregnancy that incorporates the following key factors: (1) perceived information sufficiency regarding vaccination risks during pregnancy, (2) harm avoidance to protect the fetus, (3) relationship with a healthcare provider, (4) perceived benefits of vaccination, and (5) perceived disease susceptibility and severity during pregnancy. In addition to these factors, the availability of research on vaccine safety during pregnancy, social determinants of health, structural barriers to vaccine access, prior vaccine acceptance, and trust in the healthcare system play roles in decision-making. As a final step, the pregnant individual must balance the risks and benefits of vaccination for themselves and their fetus, which adds greater complexity to the decision. Our model represents a first step in synthesizing factors informing vaccine decision-making by pregnant women, who represent a highly vaccine-resistant population and who are also at high risk for adverse outcomes for many infectious diseases.

Factors related to unfavorable outcome in minor ischemic stroke

BackgroundStroke recurrence and disability are important challenges to overcome in patients with minor ischemic stroke. The aim of our study was to determine the factors associated with unfavorable outcomes in patients with minor ischemic stroke. MethodsThis was a prospective cohort study including patients with minor ischemic stroke with a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≤ 4 who were treated at the Bach Mai Hospital stroke center from June 15, 2021, to September 15, 2022. Unfavorable outcome was defined as mRS 2-6 at 90 days. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess risk factors related to clinical outcomes. ResultsOf 678 patients presenting with minor ischemic stroke, there were 90 (13.3%, 90/678) patients with no intracranial artery imaging. Hence, 588 were patients analyzed, of whom 6.0% received thrombolytic therapy, 8.5% developed NIHSS > 4 in 24 hours, and 30.4% had intracranial stenosis > 50%. Compared with the group of unfavorable outcomes, the favorable outcome group had more NIHSS 0-1 (29.9% vs.8.7%, P<0.001), lower cardioembolic (3.2% vs.7.9%, P=0.021), low IV-tPA ratio (4.8% vs.10.3%, P=0.019), lower NIHSS progression > 4 in the first 24 hours (3.9% vs.25.4%, P<0.001), and lower ICAS rate (28.1% vs.38.9%, P=0.02). Multivariable regression analysis of factors affecting unfavorable outcomes included baseline NIHSS 2-4 (OR, 3.85; 95% CI, 1.97-7.52), NIHSS progression > 4 (OR, 7.57; 95% CI, 3.80-15.10), and ICAS (OR 1.68; 95%CI, 1.07-2.64). ConclusionsIn patients with minor ischemic stroke, unfavorable outcomes were associated with baseline NIHSS 2-4, NIHSS progression > 4 points in 24 hours, and ICAS. These factors may identify a patient population in need of close monitoring and at higher risk of adverse outcomes.

Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Model to Identify Patients Before Surgery at High Risk for Postoperative Adverse Events

Identifying patients at high risk of adverse outcomes prior to surgery may allow for interventions associated with improved postoperative outcomes; however, few tools exist for automated prediction. To evaluate the accuracy of an automated machine-learning model in the identification of patients at high risk of adverse outcomes from surgery using only data in the electronic health record. This prognostic study was conducted among 1 477 561 patients undergoing surgery at 20 community and tertiary care hospitals in the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (UPMC) health network. The study included 3 phases: (1) building and validating a model on a retrospective population, (2) testing model accuracy on a retrospective population, and (3) validating the model prospectively in clinical care. A gradient-boosted decision tree machine learning method was used for developing a preoperative surgical risk prediction tool. The Shapley additive explanations method was used for model interpretability and further validation. Accuracy was compared between the UPMC model and National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) surgical risk calculator for predicting mortality. Data were analyzed from September through December 2021. Undergoing any type of surgical procedure. Postoperative mortality and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) at 30 days were evaluated. Among 1 477 561 patients included in model development (806 148 females [54.5%; mean [SD] age, 56.8 [17.9] years), 1 016 966 patient encounters were used for training and 254 242 separate encounters were used for testing the model. After deployment in clinical use, another 206 353 patients were prospectively evaluated; an additional 902 patients were selected for comparing the accuracy of the UPMC model and NSQIP tool for predicting mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for mortality was 0.972 (95% CI, 0.971-0.973) for the training set and 0.946 (95% CI, 0.943-0.948) for the test set. The AUROC for MACCE and mortality was 0.923 (95% CI, 0.922-0.924) on the training and 0.899 (95% CI, 0.896-0.902) on the test set. In prospective evaluation, the AUROC for mortality was 0.956 (95% CI, 0.953-0.959), sensitivity was 2148 of 2517 patients (85.3%), specificity was 186 286 of 203 836 patients (91.4%), and negative predictive value was 186 286 of 186 655 patients (99.8%). The model outperformed the NSQIP tool as measured by AUROC (0.945 [95% CI, 0.914-0.977] vs 0.897 [95% CI, 0.854-0.941], for a difference of 0.048), specificity (0.87 [95% CI, 0.83-0.89] vs 0.68 [95% CI, 0.65-0.69]), and accuracy (0.85 [95% CI, 0.82-0.87] vs 0.69 [95% CI, 0.66, 0.72]). This study found that an automated machine learning model was accurate in identifying patients undergoing surgery who were at high risk of adverse outcomes using only preoperative variables within the electronic health record, with superior performance compared with the NSQIP calculator. These findings suggest that using this model to identify patients at increased risk of adverse outcomes prior to surgery may allow for individualized perioperative care, which may be associated with improved outcomes.

Chronic Limb-Threatening Ischemia in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: Revascularization Index as a Predictor for Primary Endovascular Intervention Outcome.

Chronic limb-threatening ischemia in patients with diabetes is associated with a high risk of adverse outcomes. The associated co-morbidities, the heterogeneity of foot presentation and the distribution of atherosclerotic lesions led to the emergence of multiple revascularization strategies and scoring systems to improve management outcomes. This study aimed to introduce a new index, the revascularization index (RI), and to assess its predictive value for the outcomes of primary endovascular intervention in patients with type 2 diabetes presenting with chronic limb-threatening ischemia. A retrospective electronic medical records review was conducted for patients with type 2 diabetes presenting with chronic limb-threatening ischemia managed at King Abdullah University Hospital by primary endovascular interventions between January 2014 and August 2019. The RI was analyzed for its predictive value for the treatment outcomes. A total of 187 patients were included in this study, with a major lower limb amputation rate of 19.3%. The performance of the RI was excellent in predicting secondary revascularization (AUC = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.73-0.86, p-value < 0.001), good to predict major amputation (AUC = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.85, p-value = 0.047), and poor in predicting death (AUC = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.40-0.55, p-value = 0.398). RI of <1.21 was significantly associated with a higher risk of major lower limb amputation (HR = 5.8, 95% CI: 1.25-26.97, p-value < 0.025), and RI of < 1.3 was associated with a higher risk for secondary revascularization. The RI can be used to predict major adverse lower limb events (MALE). It might be used as a guide for the extent of endovascular interventions for diabetic chronic limb-threatening ischemia with multi-level outflow atherosclerotic disease.

Discordances Between Creatinine- and Cystatin C–Based Estimated GFR and Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Routine Clinical Practice

Cystatin C is recommended for measuring estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) when estimates based on creatinine (eGFRcr) are not thought to be accurate enough for clinical decision making. While global adoption is slow, routine cystatin C testing in Sweden has been available for over a decade, providing real-world evidence about the magnitude of differences between eGFRcys and eGFRcr and their association with clinical outcomes. Observational study. 158,601 adults (48% women; mean age 62 years, eGFRcr 80, and eGFRcys 73mL/min/1.73/m2) undergoing testing for creatinine and cystatin C on the same day in connection with a health care encounter during 2010-2018 in Stockholm, Sweden. Percentage difference of eGFRcys minus eGFRcr (eGFRdiff). Kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT), acute kidney injury (AKI), atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), heart failure, and death. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Discordances between eGFRcr and eGFRcys were common, with eGFRcys being lower than eGFRcr (negative eGFRdiff) in most cases (65%). Patients with larger negative eGFRdiff were older, more often female, with higher eGFRcr and albuminuria, and more comorbid conditions. Compared with patients with similar eGFRcys and eGFRcr, the lowest quartile (eGFRcys > 27% lower than eGFRcr) had the higher HR of all study outcomes: AKI, 2.6 (95% CI, 2.4-2.9); KFRT, 1.4 (95% CI, 1.2-1.6); ASCVD, 1.4 (95% CI, 1.3-1.5); heart failure, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.9-2.2); and all-cause death, 2.6 (95% CI, 2.5-2.7). Conversely, patients in the highest quartile (positive eGFRdiff) were at lower risk. Observational study, lack of information on indications for cystatin C testing. Cystatin C testing in routine care shows that many patients have a lower eGFRcys than eGFRcr, and these patients have a higher risk of multiple adverse outcomes. Clinicians require guidance when there are discrepancies between the estimated glomerular filtration rate based on creatinine (eGFRcr) and based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) in the same individual. Routine cystatin C testing in Sweden for over a decade permits exploration of how common and large these discrepancies are, and their associations with adverse clinical outcomes. In this observational study, we found that discordances between eGFRcys and eGFRcr are common, and 1 in 4 patients tested had an eGFRcys > 28% lower than their eGFRcr. We also show that an eGFRcys that is lower than the eGFRcr consistently identifies patients at higher risk of adverse outcomes, including cardiovascular events, kidney replacement therapy, acute kidney injury, and death.

Evaluation of impact of new coronavirus infection on clinical course of rheumatic diseases in real clinical practice

Aim. To evaluate the effect of COVID-19 on the clinical course of immunoinflammatory rheumatic diseases (IRD).Material and methods. The clinical course of IRD was analyzed in 324 patients who underwent new coronavirus infection (NCI) from March 2020 to February 2021 and were treated at Clinical Rheumatology Hospital No. 25 (Saint-Petersburg, Russia) for exacerbation of the underlying disease.Results. The risk factors of severe COVID-19 course in IRD were: age older than 60 years, presence of comorbid conditions (IHD, CHD, COLD), use of glucocorticoids in dose more than 12.5 mg per day and erythrocyte sedimentation rate values ≥ 40 mm/h before development of NCI. The use of immunosuppressive therapy and biological therapy had no effect on the worsening of the course of the viral infection in patients with IRD. The development of post-covid syndrome (asthenia, dyspnea, weight loss, memory loss) was noted in ¼ of the patients. Post-covid articular syndrome was characterized by the formation of arthritis associated with viral infection in 3.6% of patients, transformation of undifferentiated arthritis (UDA) into specific nosological forms in 49.0% (more often into early rheumatoid arthritis, RA), and exacerbation of joint syndrome in 83.4% of patients with advanced stage RA. In patients with diffuse connective tissue disease (DCTD), a significant increase in immunological activity due to antinuclear antibodies (maximum 1: 163840) was noted. We present clinical cases of arthritis associated with viral infection and fatal outcome in a patient with systemic sclerosis and interstitial lung damage after COVID-19.Conclusions. In the cohort of patients with IRD observed at Clinical Rheumatology Hospital No. 25 (Saint-Petersburg, Russia) COVID-19 had a moderate to severe course in half of patients, initiated the development of pneumonic complications in 68.6% of patients, arthritis associated with viral infection in 3.6%, transformation of UDA into IRD in 49.0% of cases and exacerbation of the main disease in the great majority of patients. Patients with DCTD with interstitial lung damage have a high risk of adverse outcome of NCI, especially in cases of unstable course of the disease, pronounced immunosuppression and require special monitoring.The authors present their own clinical experience with the use of Alflutop in a comorbid patient with osteoarthritis and increased pain after undergoing CCI, which indicates its effectiveness and cardiovascular safety. An important practical advantage of Alflutop should be considered the absence of its effect on the parameters of hemocoagulation and the reduction in the need for NSAIDs, which reduces the risk of thrombotic complications characteristic of long-term COVID. A short course of Alflutop (ten intramuscular injections of 2.0 ml every other day) contributes to ease of use and increased adherence to therapy in patients with osteoarthritis.