High Risk Factors Research Articles

The significance of risk stratification through nomogram-based assessment in determining postmastectomy radiotherapy for patients diagnosed with pT1 − 2N1M0 breast cancer

ObjectiveTo explore the high-risk factors affecting the prognosis of pT1 − 2N1M0 patients after mastectomy, establish a nomogram prediction model, and screen the radiotherapy benefit population.MethodThe clinical data of 936 patients with pT1 − 2N1M0 who underwent mastectomy in the fourth hospital of Hebei Medical University from 2010 to 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. There were 583 patients received postmastectomy radiotherapy(PMRT), and 325 patients without PMRT. Group imbalances were mitigated using the propensity score matching (PSM) method, and the log-rank test was employed to compare overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) between the cohorts. The efficacy of PMRT across various risk groups was evaluated using a nomogram model.ResultThe median follow-up period was 98 months, Patients who received PMRT demonstrated significantly improved 5-year and 8-year OS and DFS compared to those who did not (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that age, primary tumor site, positive lymph node, stage, and Ki-67 level independently influenced OS, while age, primary tumor site, and stage independently affected DFS. PMRT drastically enhanced OS in the high-risk group (P = 0.001), but did not confer benefits in the low-risk and intermediate risk groups (P = 0.057, P = 0.099). PMRT led to a significant improvement in disease-free survival (DFS) among patients in the intermediate and high-risk groups (P = 0.036, P = 0.001), whereas the low-risk group did not experience a significant benefit (P = 0.475).ConclusionAge ≤ 40 years, tumor located in the inner quadrant or central area, T2 stage, 2–3 lymph nodes metastasis, and Ki67 > 30% were the high-risk factors affecting the prognosis of this cohort of patients. In OS nomogram, patients with a risk score of 149 or higher who received PMRT exhibited improved OS. Similarly, in DFS nomogram, patients with a risk score of 123 or higher who received PMRT demonstrated enhanced DFS.

The clinical significance of pyogenic liver abscess after transarterial chemoembolization or microwave ablation on malignant liver tumors: A retrospective study.

Pyogenic liver abscess (PLA) is a rare but severe complication of interventional therapy that has been little studied. We aimed to find the risk factors for PLA after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or microwave ablation (MWA), further explore its clinical significance and summarize our experience with its treatment. Twenty-two patients with PLA and 118 randomly selected patients without PLA after TACE/MWA were enrolled. Logistic regression was used to analyze risk factors, a nonparametric test was used to compare recovery duration, the log-rank test was used to compare progression-free survival, and Spearman correlation coefficient was calculated between the time from fever to drainage and the total duration of fever. The disease process and treatment were summarized. Sphincter of Oddi manipulation increased the risk of PLA by 70.781-fold. The PLA group took longer to recover (36.56 ± 16.42 days) than the control group (5.54 ± 4.33 days), and had a shorter progression-free survival. Escherichia coli was the major pathogenic bacterium, and multidrug resistance was found in 8 patients with E coli or Enterococcus faecium. The time from fever to drainage was 15.89 ± 13.78 days, which was positively correlated with the total duration of fever (24.29 ± 18.24 days). Overall, 18 patients recovered, and 4 patients died of PLA, for a mortality rate of 18.18%. The fever of 10 patients (45.45%) was controlled by cefoperazone sodium and sulbactam sodium or piperacillin sodium and tazobactam sodium; the fever of 7 patients (31.81%) was controlled by imipenem and cilastatin sodium; and the fever of 3 patients (13.63%) was controlled by tigecycline. Sphincter of Oddi manipulation is a high-risk factor for PLA after TACE or MWA. PLA can accelerate cancer progression and even lead to death. E coli was the major pathogenic bacterium, and multidrug resistance was most common in E coli and E faecium. Timely drainage and appropriate antibiotics are the key primary measures for treating PLA. Cefoperazone sodium and sulbactam sodium or piperacillin sodium and tazobactam sodium is a good choice for the first treatment of PLA, especially before pathogenic bacteria are identified. With the emergence of drug resistance, imipenem and cilastatin sodium, and tigecycline can be used for posterior treatment.

Factors Influencing Bone Resorption after Augmentation Mentoplasty with Implants: A Retrospective Study Using Three-Dimensional Imaging.

Augmentation mentoplasty with implants is an extremely rewarding procedure. Bone resorption is almost unavoidable. The high-risk factors for chin bone resorption have not been explored in the past. This study aimed to analyze and evaluate the factors influencing bone resorption after augmentation mentoplasty with implants using three-dimensional imaging. We retrospectively analyzed preoperative craniofacial Computed Tomography scan data from 105 patients who underwent mandibular implantation surgery and 108 patients who did not. We also examined the extent to which different factors influenced the occurrence of bone resorption in the chin area. Patients with silicone gel implants are more prone to bone resorption than those with Medpor implants. Patients who experienced bone resorption had thicker mentalis muscles than those who did not experience bone resorption (6.35 ± 1.mm vs. 5.73 ± 1.25mm, P < 0.05), and thinner cortical bone (3.25 ± 1.65mm vs. 5.22 ± 2.04 mm, P < 0.05). Additionally, implants placed above the mandibular bone were more likely to induce bone resorption than those placed below it. This study is the first to systematically reveal the impact of implant type, placement position, mentalis muscle thickness, and cortical bone thickness on bone resorption after chin augmentation surgery. For patients with thicker mentalis muscles and thinner cortical bones, greater attention should be paid to the occurrence of bone resorption. Choosing silicone implants or placing the implants higher on the mandible can help reduce the occurrence of bone resorption. This study can assist clinicians in selecting appropriate treatment methods, thereby reducing post-implantation bone resorption. This journal requires that authors assign a level of evidence to each article. For a full description of these Evidence-Based Medicine ratings, please refer to the Table of Contents or the online Instructions to Authors www.springer.com/00266.

Myoinositol and Metformin in the Prevention of Gestational Diabetes in High-Risk Patients: A Narrative Review.

Our hypothesis is that myoinositol and metformin in pregnant women with high-risk factors for glucose intolerance would reduce insulin resistance and consequently lower the incidence of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), a metabolic disorder of pregnancy characterized by maternal hyperglycemia due to deficient response to physiological insulin resistance, which may have a negative impact on perinatal outcome and long-term sequelae. In recent years, this pathology has become increasingly important given the global obesity epidemic and the delay in becoming pregnant, especially in industrialized countries. For this reason, the attempt to prevent, rather than cure, gestational diabetes is particularly important. In addition to lifestyle changes (especially diet and doing more exercise), myoinositol and metformin are the most promising factors at the moment, although not all RCTs published so far agree on their real effectiveness. A review of the articles published so far allows us to assume, albeit with some distinctions, that they can play a positive role.

Current situation and influencing factors of oral frailty for community-dwelling older adults in the northeastern border areas of China: A cross-sectional study

ObjectivesUnique lifestyle and cultural factors in China may lead to distinct patterns of risk factors for oral frailty among older adults, especially in regions inhabited by northeastern border minority groups. MethodsFrom July to November 2023, a convenience sampling method was employed to select older adults from three communities in Yanji City as the subjects. Data were collected by a set of questionnaires. ResultsA total of 478 older adults were included, revealing a prevalence rate of 71.6 % for oral frailty. Factors influencing were found to include age, ethnicity, gender, income, number of chronic diseases, body mass index, drinking, physical frailty, sleep disorders, and attitudes towards aging (p < 0.05). ConclusionsThere is a higher prevalence of oral frailty. It is crucial to prioritize the oral health issues of older adults with high-risk factors and implement targeted intervention measures to reduce and control the occurrence and progression of oral frailty.

A Real-World Data-Based Analysis of Prognostic Indices as Part of Trial Eligibility Criteria in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma Patients.

Recent front-line clinical trials used the International Prognostic Index (IPI) to identify trial-eligible patients with newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). However, many IPI-like variants with improved accuracy have been developed over the years for rituximab-treated patients. We assessed the impact of International Prognostic Indices on patient enrolment in clinical trials, aiming to exclude low-risk IPI patients based on POLARIX/EPCORE DLBCL-2 trial criteria. We identified 2877 patients in the Danish Lymphoma Registry who would have been eligible for the POLARIX trial if patients with IPI 0-1 scores were included. IPI and NCCN-IPI assigned 33.3% and 11.9% of patients to the low-risk group, respectively. Shorter 5-year overall survival (91.4% vs. 97.5%), higher relapse rate (9.9% vs. 4.4%), and more deaths (16.1% vs. 4.4%) occurred in the low-risk IPI group compared with low-risk NCCN-IPI group. Analyzed models failed to identify true high-risk patients with poor prognosis. Similar results were found in the confirmatory cohort developed based on EPCORE DLBCL-2 trial eligibility criteria. True low-risk patients are more optimal identified by NCCN-IPI and should be excluded from front-line clinical trials due to their excellent prognosis. However, additional high-risk factors besides clinical prognostic models need to be considered when selecting trial-eligible patients.

High-risk factors for massive haemorrhage in medical abortion patients with missed miscarriage

BackgroundRecently, the incidence of missed miscarriage has gradually increased, and medical abortion is a common method to terminate a pregnancy. In the process of medical abortion, massive vaginal bleeding takes place, leading to emergency surgical haemostasis. Emergency surgery may produce infection and organ damage. Our study aimed to investigate the high-risk factors for massive haemorrhage during a medical abortion.MethodsA total of 1062 missed miscarriage patients who underwent medical abortion participated in this retrospective study. According to the amount of bleeding, the patients were divided into a massive haemorrhage group and a control group. By comparing the general conditions of the two groups, such as fertility history, uterine surgery history, uterine fibroids, etc., the high-risk factors for massive haemorrhage during medical abortion were identified.ResultsRelative to the control group, the massive haemorrhage group exhibited a higher proportion of patients with a previous artificial abortion (51.9% vs. 38.1%, P = 0.001). Additionally, the massive haemorrhage group had a lower percentage of first-time pregnant women (32.1% vs. 40.4%) and a higher proportion of women with shorter pregnancy intervals (44.9% vs. 33.1%, P = 0.03). Furthermore, there were notable differences between the two groups regarding maximum fibroid size, the duration of amenorrhea, and gestational week (P < 0.05).ConclusionIn this study, we determined that a history of artificial abortion and an amenorrhea duration of > 11 weeks represented high-risk factors for massive vaginal bleeding during medical abortion in missed miscarriage patients.

Recurrence Rate and Associated Factors of Primary Fallopian Tube Carcinoma in the South of Vietnam

Abstract Objectives: This study aimed to determine the recurrence rate and related risk factors of primary fallopian tube cancer (PFTC). Materials and Methods: We conducted a retrospective study of 47 patients with histopathological diagnosis of PFTC treated at Tu Du Hospital between January 1, 2015, and July 31, 2022. The cumulative recurrence rate was estimated using the life table method, and recurrence-associated factors were determined using the Log–rank test and Cox proportional hazard model. Results: The median follow-up period was 40 months (range, 7–96 months). Eight patients (17.0%) experienced recurrence. The cumulative recurrence rate of PFTC patients at 12 months was 4.4% (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.12–16.45), at 24 months was 9.1% (95% CI:3.52–22.5), at 36 months was 14.9% (95% CI: 6.92–30.41), at 48 months was 19.3% (95% CI: 9.35–37.24), and at 60 months was 25.7% (95% CI: 12.68–47.88). A higher recurrence rate was significantly associated with elevated pretreatment CA 125 level (&lt;35 U/mL vs. ≥35 U/mL, hazards ratio [HR] = 36.9, 95% CI: 1.47–921.37), advanced FIGO stages (Stage I-II vs. stages III, HR = 6.61, 95% CI: 1.18–36.93), and suboptimal debulking surgery (residual disease ≤1 cm vs. residual disease &gt;1 cm, HR = 7.52, 95% CI: 1.47–38.49). Conclusion: The overall recurrence rate of PFTC patients in Southern Vietnam was 17.0%. Appropriate follow-up strategies for patients with high-risk factors are needed for early detection and management of recurrence.

Preliminary analysis of risk factors of tinnitus related to female menopause

Objective: To investigate the possible pathogenesis and possible risk factors of tinnitus related to female menopause. Methods: From April 2016 to October 2016, 59 female patients with menopausal syndrome were diagnosed in the menopause comprehensive management clinic. Tinnitus and menopause questionnaires were conducted, based on whether having tinnitus, those patients were divided into two groups: tinnitus group and no tinnitus group. Age, body mass index (BMI), Kupperman menopausal index (KMI) score, follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) level of patients in the two groups were analyzed. Menopausal symptoms, related medical history and possible related factors of tinnitus were statistically analyzed. Results: A total of 59 cases were collected, 22 of which were accompanied by tinnitus. The incidence of idiopathic tinnitus was 35.1% (20/57) because 2 cases of thyroid related tinnitus with clear etiology were removed. Complete data were obtained from 17 of 20 patients with idiopathic tinnitus and 26 of 37 patients without tinnitus. Age, BMI, menopause KMI score, hormone level, menopause symptoms and possible factors related to tinnitus were statistically analyzed between the two groups, and the incidence of headache was statistically different between the two groups (χ2=9.098, P=0.003), but no other factors were statistically significant(P>0.05). The severity of insomnia and tinnitus were further analyzed (χ2=2.841, P=0.417), and there was no significant difference between the two groups. Conclusion: Headache history may be one of the high risk factors for the occurrence of menopausal tinnitus.

The prophylactic application of low-dose rabbit antithymocyte globulin in matched siblings HSCT with high-risk factors for graft-versus-host disease

Relapse and graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) are currently the predominant causes of mortality post allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). The contentious use of antithymocyte globulin (ATG) for preventing GVHD in matched sibling HSCT scenarios has been a topic of significant debate. A retrospective analysis was conducted on matched sibling HSCT cases with high-risk factors for GVHD in our center from January 2018 to June 2023. Our assessment revealed that the group administered with ATG exhibited a 30 % incidence of acute GVHD (aGVHD), in contrast to 81.8 % in the non-ATG cohort (P = 0.037) among matched sibling HSCT cases with high GVHD risk factors. Furthermore, chronic GVHD (cGVHD) occurred in 20 % of the ATG group and 72.7 % of the non-ATG group (P = 0.03). Notably, the administration of ATG did not significantly impact disease relapse (p = 0.149), infection rates (p = 0.64), granulocyte recovery time (p = 0.15), platelet recovery time (p = 0.12), overall survival (p = 0.889), or disease-free survival time (p = 0.787). The use of rabbit antithymocyte globulin (r-ATG) at a 5 mg/kg dosage demonstrated a notable reduction in aGVHD and cGVHD incidences within sibling matched HSCT cases with high-risk factors for GVHD, without increasing rates of disease recurrence or infections. These findings highlight the potential benefit of using low-dose r-ATG in high-risk of GVHD sibling matched allogeneic HSCTs, although further validation with a larger cohort is necessary.

Model Predicting the Risk of Endometrial Hyperplasia Developing into Endometrial Cancer.

This study retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 200 patients with endometrial hyperplasia to predict the risk of concurrent endometrial cancer. Patients were categorized into either the endometrial cancer group or the endometrial hyperplasia group based on post-hysterectomy pathology. The investigation compared general information, tumor indices, fertility history, preoperative endometrial sampling methods, comorbidities, and clinical symptoms between the groups to identify risk factors for endometrial hyperplasia complicating endometrial cancer. (1) Of the 200 patients, 68 (34.0%) were diagnosed with concurrent endometrial cancer post-hysterectomy. Among these, 60 (88.24%) had endometrioid adenocarcinoma, while 8 (11.76%) had other types. Stage I was identified in 58 patients (85.29%) and Stage II in 10 patients (14.71%). High differentiation was observed in 57 cases (83.82%), moderate differentiation in 7 cases (10.29%), and poor differentiation in 4 cases (5.89%), indicating that most endometrial cancers complicated by hyperplasia were early-stage, well-differentiated endometrioid carcinomas; (2) Univariate analysis revealed statistically significant differences in age, menopausal status, length of menopause, and preoperative endometrial pathology of severe atypical hyperplasia between the groups; (3) Multivariate analysis indicated significant differences for age ≥ 53.5 years (OR: 4.307, 95% CI: 2.018-9.192, p < 0.05), menopausal status (OR: 5.250, 95% CI: 2.449-11.252, p < 0.05), and severe atypical endometrial hyperplasia (OR: 4.817, 95% CI: 1.260-18.419, p < 0.05); (4) Significant differences were observed among patients with endometrial hyperplasia when stratified by the presence of zero, one, two, or three high-risk factors. In conclusion, patients aged ≥ 53.5 years, those who are menopausal, and those with severe atypical endometrial hyperplasia preoperatively are at higher risk for endometrial cancer. The risk increases with the number of high-risk factors present in patients with atypical endometrial hyperplasia.

Preoperative risk factors for prolonged length of stay after bullectomy: A single-center retrospective study

ObjectiveProlonged length of stay (LOS) increases the economic burden on patients, therefore, optimizing LOS is a critical clinical challenge for physicians. This study aims to examine the correlation between the postoperative LOS and surgery-related adverse events after bullectomy. We defined prolonged postoperative LOS after bullectomy and analyzed the preoperative risk factors linked to prolonged LOS. MethodsIn this retrospective study, we analyzed patient data from thoracoscopic bullectomy performed at our hospital between January 2018 and December 2023. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to identify the optimal cut-off values defining prolonged LOS after bullectomy. It was then characterized as prolonged LOS. Patients were divided into prolonged and normal LOS groups based on their postoperative duration. Further, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify preoperative risk factors associated with prolonged postoperative LOS after bullectomy. ResultsAmong the 152 patients analyzed, binary logistic regression revealed a significant effect of surgery-related adverse events after bullectomy on the LOS (P < 0.001). A postoperative LOS exceeding 3 days was considered prolonged. Among the 152 patients, 38.2 % (58/152) experienced a prolonged LOS out of which 20.4 % (31/152) developed surgery-related adverse events. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that preoperative risk factors associated with prolonged LOS included age ≥60 years (OR = 3.052, 95%CI 1.226–7.586, P = 0.016), current smoking status (OR = 2.754, 95%CI 1.482–6.346, P = 0.025), and ASA grade 3 (OR = 4.783, 95%CI 2.356–9.131, P = 0.003). ConclusionIn summary, the postoperative length of stay beyond 3 days after bullectomy was considered prolonged. The preoperative risk factors associated with prolonged postoperative stays after bullectomy included age (over 60), current smoking, and grade 3 ASA. Therefore, quick identification and intervention in patients with these high-risk factors may promote rapid recovery.

948P Drug type and duration of adjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitors in hepatocellular carcinoma with high-risk recurrence factors (PREVENT): An update analysis of a prospective, multicentric cohort study

948P Drug type and duration of adjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitors in hepatocellular carcinoma with high-risk recurrence factors (PREVENT): An update analysis of a prospective, multicentric cohort study

Effect of amubarvimab-romlusevimab for treatment of severe COVID-19 in intensive care units: A retrospective cohort study

Amubarvimab-romlusevimab is a commonly recommended antiviral treatment in China for adult patients with mild or moderate SARS-CoV-2 infections, especially for patients with a high risk factor for progression to severe COVID-19. However, its exact efficacy in patients with severe Covid-19 is not yet known.This is a single-center retrospective cohort study, in which we collected the general data, laboratory tests, radiological characteristics, viral conversion status, and prognosis of the disease from patients with COVID-19 hospitalized, from December 2022 to March 2023 in the Department of Critical Care Medicine. The amubarvimab-romlusevimab therapy can reduce the 28-day mortality (29.79 % vs 51.35 %, p = 0.02), and ICU mortality (29.79 % vs 55.41 %, p = 0.006) of severe COVID-19.A 1:1 PSM (Propensity Score Matching) was performed to reduce bias, in order to ensure the two groups were balanced and comparable. In the matched population (n = 47), there were no statistically significant differences between the mAbs (monoclonal antibody)group and the Non-antiviral group in 28-day, and thromboembolic events in COVID-19 patients. The 40-day survival analysis shows that mAbs therapy can improve patient prognosis (HR = 0.45, 95%CI = 0.26–0.76, p = 0.008). However, no significant intergroup difference in the 40-day cumulative viral conversion rate. In a univariate Cox regression analysis, The Amubarvimab - romlusevimab therapy(HR:0.464; CI:[0.252–0.853]; p:0.013) is a protective factor and CRP, PCT, PLT, Lactate, PT, PT-INR, and pt% level at admission were risk factors for clinical prognosis. After including the above covariates, Multifactorial COX regression shows that the Amubarvimab - romlusevimab therapy(HR:0.392; CI:[0.211–0.729]; p:0.003), CRP, Lactate and PT-INR at admission are independent factors for mortality of severe COVID-19. Based on the current data, we conclude that amubarvimab-romlusevimab therapy is beneficial for patients with severe COVID-19.

Application Value of the Apolipoprotein in the Prediction of Acute Ischemic Death and in the Assessment of Functional Outcomes.

In recent years, research on the apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene has gradually proven that many diseases, including atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, and neurological diseases, are closely related to ApoE gene diversity. However, the relationship between the APOE gene and the prediction and prognosis evaluation of ischemic stroke has not been determined or unified so far. The purpose of this study was to investigate the application value of APOE allele-4 combined with high-resolution vascular wall imaging in predicting the occurrence and prognosis of acute ischemic stroke. A total of 511 patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), who were admitted from January 2022 to December 2023, were included in the study, including 317 patients with intracranial artery stenosis. Blood lipids, lipoproteins, apolipoprotein E (including allelic typing), and lipoproteins (a) were measured in all cases, and high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging of the vascular walls was performed. At 6 months, the functional outcomes of the AIS patients were followed up, assessed by using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) (a score of 2 - 6 was rated as poor prognosis), and the high-definition vascular wall imaging results were followed up as well. High-definition vascular wall imaging ensures the accurate location of vascular stenosis and the accurate diagnosis of acute stroke. There were no significant differences in the total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, or lipoprotein (a) in patients with and without intracranial artery stenosis, but the plasma apolipoprotein E (APOE) levels were significantly reduced in patients with intracranial artery stenosis (ICAS). At the 6-month follow-up, 230 patients with the APOE-ε4 gene were enrolled, out of which 104 had a poor prognosis (mRS score ≥ 2), accounting for 45.22%. Among 281 patients without the APOE-ε4 gene, 45 had a poor prognosis (mRS score ≥ 2), accounting for 16.01%. Patients with the APOE-ε4 gene had a worse functional prognosis after 6 months. It is suggested that low plasma APOE levels may be a high risk factor for ICAS in patients with acute ischemic stroke, and carrying the APOE-ε4 gene may be a high risk factor for a poor functional prognosis in AIS patients. The APOE-ε4 genotype, combined with high-resolution vascular wall imaging, has certain clinical application value in predicting the occurrence of acute ischemic death and evaluating the functional outcome.

Predictive Value of Simulated CT Radiomics Combined with Ipsilateral Lung Dosimetry Parameters for Radiation Pneumonitis in Patients with Esophageal Cancer: A Machine Learning-Based Retrospective Study.

To explore how non-surgical esophageal cancer patients can identify high-risk factors for radiation-induced pneumonitis after receiving radiotherapy. We retrospectively included 228 esophageal cancer patients who were unable to undergo surgical treatment but received radiotherapy for the first time. By retrospective analysis and identifying potential risk factors for symptomatic radiation-induced pneumonitis (ie ≥grade 2), as well as delineating the affected lung as an area of interest on localized CT and extracting radiomics features, along with extracting dosimetric parameters from the affected lung area. After feature screening, patients were randomly divided into training and testing sets in a 7-to-3 ratio, and a prediction model was established using machine learning algorithms. Finally, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to validate the predictive performance of the model. A total of 54 cases of symptomatic radiation pneumonitis occurred in this study, with a total incidence rate of 23.68%. The results of multivariate analysis showed that the occurrence of symptomatic radiation pneumonitis was significantly correlated with the mean lung dose (MLD), esophageal PTVD90, esophageal PTVV50, V5, V10, V15, and V20 in patients. The machine learning prediction model constructed based on candidate prediction variables has a prediction performance interval between 0.751 (95% CI: 0.700-0.802) and 0.891 (95% CI: 0.840-0.942) in the training and validation sets, respectively. Among them, the RFM algorithm has the best prediction performance for radiation-induced pneumonitis, with 0.891 (95% CI: 0.840-0.942) and 0.887 (95% CI: 0.836-0.938) in the training and validation sets, respectively. The combination of localization CT radiomics features and diseased lung dosimetry parameters has good predictive value for radiation-induced pneumonitis in esophageal cancer patients after radiotherapy. Especially, the radiation-induced pneumonitis prediction model constructed using RF algorithm can be more effectively used to guide clinical decision-making in esophageal cancer patients.

Efficiency evaluation of dual-energy CT to predict the postoperative early recurrence of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

ObjectivesTo evaluate the efficacy of quantitative parameters from dual-energy CT (DECT) and basic CT features in predicting the postoperative early recurrence (ER) of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). MethodsIn this study, patients with PDAC who underwent radical resection and DECT from 2018 to 2022 were enrolled and categorised into ER and non-ER groups. The clinical data, basic CT features and DECT parameters of all patients were analyzed. Independent predictors of ER were identified with Logistic regression analyses. Three models (model A: basic CT features; model B: DECT parameters; model C: basic CT features + DECT parameters) were established. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was utilized to evaluate predictive performance. ResultsA total of 150 patients were enrolled (ER group: n = 63; non-ER group: n = 87). Rim enhancement (odds ratio [OR], 3.32), peripancreatic strands appearance (OR, 2.68), electron density in the pancreatic parenchymal phase (P-Rho; OR, 0.90), arterial enhancement fraction (AEF; OR, 0.05) and pancreatic parenchyma fat fraction in the delayed phase (OR, 1.25) were identified as independent predictors of ER. Model C showed the highest area under the curve of 0.898. In addition, the corresponding ER risk factors were identified separately for resectable and borderline resectable PDAC subgroups. ConclusionsDECT quantitative parameters allow for the noninvasive prediction of postoperative ER in patients with PDAC, and the combination of DECT parameters and basic CT features shows a high prediction efficiency. Our model can help to identify patients with high-risk factors to guide preoperative decision making.

786. ANATOMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HUMAN PAPILLOMAVIRUS INFECTION IN ESOPHAGEAL SQUAMOUS CELL CARCINOMA

Abstract Background Human Papillomavirus (HPV) infection is a high-risk factor for many types of cancer development. The reported infectious rate in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) varies widely, ranging from 0% to 88.9%. It may be caused due to geographical location, sample size, and detection methods. In general, p16 expression is considered as a biomarker for HPV infection. However, the correlation between the p16 expression and HPV infectious status has been controversial. Methods Patients with ESCC underwent esophagectomy without neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) from 2007 to 2021 were included. Three formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded blocks (oral side, tumor, and esophagogastric junction (EGJ)) from each surgical resected specimen were collected. p16 expression was examined by immunohistochemistry (labeling index ≥ 10% is defined as positive expression). The presence of HPV DNA was investigated by polymerase chain reaction. In addition, the anatomical distribution of HPV infection was investigated. Results A total of 158 patients with 417 samples were included. The positive expression rate of p16 was 3.6% (5/137), 19.2% (30/156) and 2.1% (3/146) in oral side, tumor, and EGJ, respectively. The HPV infectious rate was 7% (11/158), and six cases were detected in tumor site and the other 5 cases were detected in oral side or EGJ. In tumor tissue, HPV positive cases showed p16 positive, and the sensitivity and specificity for detecting HPV DNA by IHC of p16 were 100% and 84%, respectively. The HPV infection in ESCC specimens appears to be irregular. Conclusion This study is the largest sample size in Japan, demonstrating the p16 positive rate of 19.2% and HPV infectious rate of 7% in ESCC patients without NAC. IHC of p16 can be used as a screening examination for predicting HPV infection in ESCC because the false negative rate was 0%. In addition, we firstly reported the HPV infectious mapping in ESCC specimens, and it appears irregular and random.

Assessing the Role of Fetal Doppler in High-Risk Obstetrics: Evidence From a Comprehensive Study.

Background Colour Doppler ultrasound is pivotal in modern obstetrics for evaluating maternal and fetal health, especially in high-risk pregnancies. It enhances fetal oxygenation and nutrient delivery assessment, aiding in the early detection of adverse outcomes. However, its effectiveness is influenced by operator skill and the potential for interpretative variability. Aim This study aims to assess the utility of Doppler ultrasound in evaluating fetal status in high-risk pregnancies at Dr. D. Y. Patil Medical College, Hospital and Research Centre, Pune, India. Materials and methods A hospital-based observational study was conducted from September 2022 to July 2024, including 145 high-risk pregnant women, of whom 120 delivered at the institute. The study included thorough maternal and fetal assessments, with regular Doppler studies starting at 28 weeks of gestation. The frequency of these studies was adjusted according to the changes and severity observed in the indices. Detailed documentation of both maternal and neonatal outcomes was meticulously maintained. Statistical analyses were performed using MS Excel (Microsoft® Corp., Redmond, WA, USA) and RStudio,Version 2023.08.0-daily+170 (RStudio, Inc., Boston, MA, USA), with a significance threshold of p < 0.05. Results The majority of participants were aged 21-30 years, with multigravida constituting 63.33%. Pregnancy-induced hypertension (PIH) and preeclampsia were the most common high-risk factors (28.33%). Abnormal umbilical artery (UA) flow patterns were observed in 58.33% of cases. Abnormal UA and middle cerebral artery (MCA) Doppler indices correlated significantly with adverse outcomes. Most deliveries were via caesarean section (82.5%), and 63.33% of neonates required Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) admission. Neonates with abnormal antenatal Doppler studies had significantly lower APGAR (appearance, pulse, grimace, activity, and respiration) scores and higher NICU admission rates. Discussion The study highlights the critical role of Doppler ultrasound in managing high-risk pregnancies, providing essential data for early interventions. Consistent with other studies, abnormal Doppler patterns were significantly associated with adverse neonatal outcomes, necessitating timely caesarean deliveries. Conclusion Fetal Doppler ultrasonography is essential for managing high-risk pregnancies, enabling timely therapeutic interventions and improving perinatal outcomes. Despite its limitations, Doppler technology remains invaluable in identifying at-risk foetuses and guiding clinical decisions for optimal pregnancy management.

Endoscopic Resection of Stage T1 Colorectal Adenocarcinoma Followed by Surgical Intervention: a Single-center Retrospective Study

BackgroundDomestic and international guidelines recommend endoscopic resection for stage T1 colorectal adenocarcinoma with indications. However, completion surgery remains imperative for patients exhibiting high-risk factors subsequent to endoscopic procedures.ObjectiveTo investigate the evidence, pathological features, and surgical outcomes of completion surgery in patients with T1 colorectal adenocarcinoma following endoscopic resection.MethodsWe retrospectively collect data on the clinical features and treatment outcomes of patients with stage T1 colorectal adenocarcinoma who underwent endoscopic resection followed by surgical resection and those who initially completed surgical intervention at Peking University International Hospital between January 2019 and October 2022, with the aim of assessing the necessity and feasibility of surgical intervention.ResultsSeventeen patients (Group A) with high-risk factors following endoscopic procedure, especially with deep submucosal invasion and vascular or lymphatic invasion, experienced further surgical resection. The median interval between endoscopic resection and completion surgery was 23.71 days ± 15.89. Sixteen patients (Group B) underwent radical resection without any prior interventions. The surgical approach involves integration of laparoscopy and colonoscopy for precise localization and quantitative diagnosis, followed by radical surgery. The two groups demonstrated significant differences statistically with reference to tumor diameter (1.65 cm ± 0.77 vs 3.36 cm ± 1.39, P = 0.000) and the attainment of standard lymph node count (cases of detected lymph nodes larger than or equal to 12, 5 vs 12, P = 0.015). Postoperative complications and hospital stay manifested no significant disparity statistically in two groups. Patients who underwent completion surgery had no inferior outcomes compared with those who underwent direct surgery in terms of 5-year disease-free survival (Log rank test: P = 0.083, Breslow test: P = 0.089). The two groups also exhibited no significant differences statistically in the context of overall survival (Log rank test: P = 0.652, Breslow test: P = 0.758).ConclusionCompletion surgery is a safe and feasible treatment option for T1 colorectal adenocarcinoma patients with high-risk factors, particularly those with deep submucosal invasion and vascular or lymphatic invasion following endoscopic treatment. Furthermore, subsequent treatment should be chosen based on a comprehensive analysis of the patient’s history of abdominal surgery, willingness, and pathological features.