Background: There is insufficient randomised evidence as to whether the effect of blood pressure (BP)-lowering treatment differs in people with type 2 diabetes versus those without this metabolic condition, particularly at a normal or high-normal BP level. Aim: To investigate the effects of BP-lowering treatment on the risk of major cardiovascular events in people with and without type 2 diabetes, and by baseline levels of systolic and diastolic BP. Method: We used the resource provided by the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists' Collaboration (BPLTTC) to conduct a one-stage individual participant data meta-analysis of major randomised trials. The primary outcome was total major cardiovascular events, defined as the first occurrence of fatal or non-fatal stroke or cerebrovascular disease, fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction, and heart failure causing death or requiring hospitalisation. The analysis was stratified for type 2 diabetes status at baseline, and baseline categories of systolic BP (in 10 mm Hg increments from <120 mm Hg to ≥170 mm Hg) and diastolic BP from <70 mm Hg to ≥110 mm Hg diastolic). Cox proportional hazard model stratified by the trial was used to estimate hazard ratio (HR). A Poisson regression model with an identity link was used to calculate the absolute risk reduction (ARR). Results: Data for 358,533 participants (58.4% men) from 51 randomised clinical trials were included in the analysis, in which 28.8% (n=103,325) of the participants had diagnosis of type 2 diabetes at baseline. Baseline mean systolic/diastolic BPs were 149/84 mm Hg in participants with type 2 diabetes (n=103,325) and 153/88 mm Hg in participants without type 2 diabetes (n=255,208). The incidence risks of primary events during the study follow-up time in participants with and without type 2 diabetes were 16.5% and 10.2%, respectively. Over 4.2 years of median follow-up, a fixed value of 5-mm Hg reduction in systolic BP was associated with a lower risk of major cardiovascular events both in participants with type 2 diabetes (HR 0.94 [95% CI 0.91 to 0.98]; ARR -0.015 [95% CI -0.020 to -0.010]) and in those without history of type 2 diabetes (HR 0.89 [95% CI 0.87 to 0.92]; ARR =-0.016 [95% CI -0.018 to -0.013]). In stratified analyses, we did not find reliable evidence for heterogeneity of treatment effects by baseline systolic or diastolic BP level in participants with or without type 2 diabetes (all P for interaction > 0.78). Discussion: The effect of BP reduction for primary and secondary prevention of major cardiovascular events was broadly comparable among people with and without type 2 diabetes, with no clinically important evidence that the level of systolic or diastolic BP at baseline is a determinant of treatment effect. Recommendations by guidelines on different BP reduction treatment in people with and without diabetes, or initiation of BP reduction therapy at a specific BP threshold, are not substantiated by these findings. This work will be presented on behalf of the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists' Collaboration. Working group: Milad Nazarzadeh, Zeinab Bidel, Dexter Canoy, Emma Copland, Abbas Dehghan, Derrick A Bennett, George Davey Smith, Rury R. Holman, Mark Woodward, Ajay Gupta, Amanda Adler, Naveed Sattar, Richard J McManus, Koon Teo, Barry R Davis, John Chalmers, Carl J. Pepine, Kazem Rahimi.
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