High Latitudes Of Northern Hemisphere Research Articles

Local Insolation Drives Afro‐Asian Monsoon at Orbital‐Scale in Holocene

AbstractInsolation changes play an important role in driving monsoon changes at orbital time scales. One key issue that has remained outstanding is whether the Asian monsoon is driven by local insolation from the Northern Hemisphere (NH) or remote insolation from the Southern Hemisphere (SH) at orbital band. Here, we perform a set of sensitivity experiments to quantify the impacts of local and remote insolation changes on the Afro‐Asian summer monsoon at 11 ka BP relative to the present. We show that the Afro‐Asian summer monsoon is overwhelmingly driven by the precession induced local insolation change in the tropical‐subtropical NH. The insolation from NH high latitudes also affects the Afro‐Asian summer monsoon. In contrast, the insolation from SH plays a negligible role. Our model experiments support the idea that the Afro‐Asian summer monsoon are driven predominantly by the direct forcing of NH low latitudes summer insolation for the Holocene.

Possible consequences of climate change on global water resources stored in dam reservoirs

Construction of dams and transformation of rivers, not only affects river-related and adjacent habitats, but also establishes new threats to surface freshwater resources globally. Predicted climate changes and increase of mean annual temperature will affect thermal regimes of dam reservoir ecosystems, severely altering their functioning. Analyzing three projections of representative concentration pathway (RCP 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) for period of 2061–2080, we found that mean annual temperature at dam reservoir locations will increase by 3.06 °C to 4.74 °C from present. The highest projected increase of temperature was identified for dam reservoirs located in high latitudes of Northern Hemisphere, and therefore dam reservoirs located there will be most significantly affected. Numerous consequences of temperature increase are already recorded. Further increase will amplify unfavorable effects on numerous ecosystems, including dam reservoirs which are built on the purpose of the human population development. Our study indicates a threat for artificially stored water globally, with special attention to high latitudes in northern hemisphere and latitudes close to 200S meridian in southern hemisphere.

Abrupt Indian summer monsoon shifts aligned with Heinrich events and D-O cycles since MIS 3

The tropics experienced a unique monsoon climate that drove important changes in socio-economic conditions and shaped different phases of human history during the late Quaternary across the Indian subcontinent. This study presents a new high-resolution speleothem-record of Indian summer monsoon (ISM) variability ranging from ~45,000 to 34,000 yr BP combined with a published record up to 5500 yr BP from the Mawmluh cave, northeastern India. We document significant changes in solar insolation and precession harmonics, implicating solar activity as one of the major forcing factors for rapid monsoonal shifts. Our new δ 18 O time series shows high-amplitude shifts in the ISM during the marine isotope stage 3 (MIS 3), similar to Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) oscillations recorded at high northern latitudes, which mimic the Greenland ice sheet record. The sun driven Northern Hemisphere high latitude climate anomalies played an active role in driving ISM variability and changes in the regional hydrological cycle on centennial to millennial time scales across the Indian subcontinent. • Longest isotope record of speleothem from the South Asian region • Saw-tooth like isotope variability during MIS 3 • Changes in the NH temperatures impacted the hydroclimatic conditions in the Indian subcontinent. • Source region and transport pathways controlled the speleothem isotopic composition.

Eastern African environmental variation and its role in the evolution and cultural change of Homo over the last 1 million years

Characterizing eastern African environmental variability on orbital timescales is crucial to evaluating the hominin evolutionary response to past climate changes. However, there is a dearth of high-resolution, well-dated records of ecosystem dynamics from eastern Africa that cover long time intervals. In the last 1 Myr, there were significant anatomical and cultural developments in Homo, including the origin of Homo sapiens. There were also major changes in global climatic boundary conditions that may have affected eastern African environments, yet potential linkages remain poorly understood. We developed carbon isotopic records from plant waxes (δ13Cwax) and bulk organic matter (δ13COM) from a well-dated sediment core spanning the last ∼1 Myr extracted from the Koora Basin, located south of the Olorgesailie Basin, in the southern Kenya rift. Our record characterizes the climatic and environmental context for evolutionary events and technological advances recorded in the adjacent Olorgesailie Basin, such as the transition from Acheulean to Middle Stone Age tools by 320 ka. A significant shift toward more C4-dominated ecosystems and arid conditions occurred near the end of the mid-Pleistocene Transition, which indicates a link between equatorial eastern African and high-latitude northern hemisphere climate. Environmental variability increases throughout the mid- to late-Pleistocene, superimposed by precession-paced packets of variability modulated by eccentricity. An interval of particularly high-amplitude climate and environmental variability occurred from ∼275 ka to ∼180 ka, synchronous with evidence for the first H. sapiens fossils in eastern Africa. These results support the ‘variability selection hypothesis’ that increased environmental variability selected for adaptable traits, behaviors, and technology in our hominin ancestors.

Beryllium-7 and Lead-210 are Associated with an Increase in the Arctic Oscillation: Evidence from Atmospheric Aerosols in a Remote Tropical Region in East Asia

The Arctic Oscillation (AO) accounts for a large fraction of recent decadal climate trends in Northern Hemisphere (NH) high latitudes. In East Asia, an elevated AO index (AOI) was associated with warmer temperatures in middle- to high-latitude regions, colder temperatures over low-latitude regions, and elevated ozone intrusion from the stratosphere. Elevated beryllium-7 (7Be) is produced in the stratosphere. Few studies have discussed the relationship between 7Be and the AO. Here, we identify the AO signature in 7Be and lead (Pb)-210 observed at a tropical ambient monitoring site in Nanning (22.8°N, 108.5°E) during the December 2014–December 2017 period. Our results show that the 7Be and 210Pb concentrations are positively and significantly correlated with the AOI (P < 0.01). These results show that elevated 7Be and 210Pb are associated with an increase in the AOI, reflecting air masses originating from NH high latitudes and vertically from the high-latitude upper troposphere and lower stratosphere regions to tropical latitudes in East Asia. These results have been verified with ozonesonde data without seasonality and with two meteorological data sets. Our results are also confirmed by observational data over the Pacific regions. We conclude that the AO exerts impacts over the tropical regions in East Asia, and 7Be can be used as a tracer to track the impacts of the AO.

Contribution of the coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice–vegetation model COSMOS to the PlioMIP2

Abstract. We present the Alfred Wegener Institute's contribution to the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2 (PlioMIP2) wherein we employ the Community Earth System Models (COSMOS) that include a dynamic vegetation scheme. This work builds on our contribution to Phase 1 of the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP1) wherein we employed the same model without dynamic vegetation. Our input to the PlioMIP2 special issue of Climate of the Past is twofold. In an accompanying paper we compare results derived with COSMOS in the framework of PlioMIP2 and PlioMIP1. With this paper we present details of our contribution with COSMOS to PlioMIP2. We provide a description of the model and of methods employed to transfer reconstructed mid-Pliocene geography, as provided by the Pliocene Reconstruction and Synoptic Mapping Initiative Phase 4 (PRISM4), to model boundary conditions. We describe the spin-up procedure for creating the COSMOS PlioMIP2 simulation ensemble and present large-scale climate patterns of the COSMOS PlioMIP2 mid-Pliocene core simulation. Furthermore, we quantify the contribution of individual components of PRISM4 boundary conditions to characteristics of simulated mid-Pliocene climate and discuss implications for anthropogenic warming. When exposed to PRISM4 boundary conditions, COSMOS provides insight into a mid-Pliocene climate that is characterised by increased rainfall (+0.17 mm d−1) and elevated surface temperature (+3.37 ∘C) in comparison to the pre-industrial (PI). About two-thirds of the mid-Pliocene core temperature anomaly can be directly attributed to carbon dioxide that is elevated with respect to PI. The contribution of topography and ice sheets to mid-Pliocene warmth is much smaller in contrast – about one-quarter and one-eighth, respectively, and nonlinearities are negligible. The simulated mid-Pliocene climate comprises pronounced polar amplification, a reduced meridional temperature gradient, a northwards-shifted tropical rain belt, an Arctic Ocean that is nearly free of sea ice during boreal summer, and muted seasonality at Northern Hemisphere high latitudes. Simulated mid-Pliocene precipitation patterns are defined by both carbon dioxide and PRISM4 paleogeography. Our COSMOS simulations confirm long-standing characteristics of the mid-Pliocene Earth system, among these increased meridional volume transport in the Atlantic Ocean, an extended and intensified equatorial warm pool, and pronounced poleward expansion of vegetation cover. By means of a comparison of our results to a reconstruction of the sea surface temperature (SST) of the mid-Pliocene we find that COSMOS reproduces reconstructed SST best if exposed to a carbon dioxide concentration of 400 ppmv. In the Atlantic to Arctic Ocean the simulated mid-Pliocene core climate state is too cold in comparison to the SST reconstruction. The discord can be mitigated to some extent by increasing carbon dioxide that causes increased mismatch between the model and reconstruction in other regions.

Significant influence of Northern Hemisphere high latitude climate on appeared precession rhythm of East Asian summer monsoon after Mid-Brunhes Transition interglacials recorded in the Chinese loess

The periodicity and forcing mechanism of the past East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) precipitation are the natural background for predicting future precipitation changes, but they are controversial and intensely debated. Here, we present a high-resolution EASM precipitation record reconstructed from the loess redness in North China over the past 720 kyr. The average precipitation for interglacials is 420 mm/yr, higher than present (~280 mm/yr). Combing through our EASM records and previously published data exhibits a dominated periodicity of 100 kyr on the orbital timescale, and thus supports the hypothesis of high-latitude climate forcing. More importantly, we found the precession cycle appears only after the Mid-Brunhes Transition (MBT, ~430 ka) in the EASM records and it follows the global ice volume prior to the MBT in the interglacials interiors. We argue that during the post-MBT interglacials, abruptly appearing Arctic perennial sea ice resulted southward shift of the Northern Hemisphere Westerlies jet, thereby decreasing the EASM precipitation in North China. This suggests that the precession rhythm in the EASM possibly is a result of Arctic perennial sea ice or Northern Hemisphere ice sheets changes. In the warm Marine Isotope Stages (MIS) 5e and 11e, the strongest EASM precipitation may be related to the strengthening of the moisture transport from the warming tropical ocean. Therefore, the variation of the mid-latitude EASM precipitation intensity during the interglacial interiors is the integrated effect between the North Hemisphere high latitude ice volume and low latitude climate changes.

Life on the ice-edge: Paleoenvironmental significance of the radiolarian species Amphimelissa setosa in the northern hemisphere

The high-latitude Northern Hemisphere is a key region in the global climate balance. Variations in sea-ice extent affect biological productivity, CO2 exchange and carbon drawdown. Marine proxies indicative of proximity of the ice-marginal zone are therefore essential to understand these processes. Amphimelissa setosa is nowadays a dominant radiolarian species in the Arctic basin and very abundant in the high-latitude North Atlantic. This species, now absent from the North Pacific, has been widely used as a qualitative proxy of modern and past environmental conditions in the high-latitude Northern Hemisphere. Using our new and published data on the distribution of A. setosa in plankton, sediment trap, surface sediment and downcore samples, we provide a quantitative ecological context for the occurrence of this species. We find that the optimal depth and season of A. setosa in the modern North Atlantic and the Chukchi Sea are 160 m and the late boreal summer/early fall (August–October), respectively. A regression model combining environmental variables (temperature, salinity, silicate and chlorophyll-a concentrations, apparent oxygen utilization, sea-ice) at that season and depth, are able to explain 43% of the distribution of this species in surface sediments. Based on these new findings, we conclude that the presence of A. setosa in surface sediments is closely related to high primary production in the proximity of the sea-ice and areas of ice rafting. The onset of this species started at ca. 1.5 Ma in the North Pacific, linked to a gradual cooling, increased silica availability and southward advance of the ice-margins since the Early Pleistocene. Amphimelissa setosa’s decline in this region was likely caused by the development of a quasi-permanent halocline, perennial sea-ice and depletion of silica during marine isotope stage 4. In the high-latitude North Atlantic, the relative abundance of A. setosa appears to be related to cooling and supply of dissolved silica from the continent during ice-rafting events. The comprehensive approach taken in this study suggest that A. setosa is a useful proxy to explore past variations in the ice-cover in the high-latitude Northern Hemisphere.

Early Holocene weakening and mid- to late Holocene strengthening of the East Asian winter monsoon

AbstractSub-orbital-scale variations of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and its mechanisms during the Holocene are controversial, partly due to the lack of high-quality records from Chinese loess. Here, we present high-resolution reconstruction of Holocene EAWM intensity based on optically stimulated luminescence dating and grain-size analysis from three loess sections taken from the Chinese Loess Plateau. The EAWM showed a persistent weakening trend during the early Holocene (ca. 11.7–6.5 kyr B.P.) and a strengthening trend during the mid- to late Holocene (since ca. 6.5 kyr B.P.). We propose that this was caused by changes in high-latitude Northern Hemisphere ice volume and middle- to high-latitude Northern Hemisphere atmospheric temperatures, respectively. We also observed an anti-correlation between EAWM and East Asian summer monsoon. Our findings provide a robust solution to the debate regarding Holocene EAWM changes and contribute to the understanding of potential future variations in EAWM intensity.

Fast Warming Has Accelerated Snow Cover Loss during Spring and Summer across the Northern Hemisphere over the Past 52 Years (1967–2018)

With snow cover changing worldwide in several worrisome ways, it is imperative to determine both the variability in snow cover in greater detail and its relationship with ongoing climate change. Here, we used the satellite-based snow cover extent (SCE) dataset of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to detect SCE variability and its linkages to climate over the 1967–2018 periods across the Northern Hemisphere (NH). Interannually, the time series of SCE across the NH reveal a substantial decline in both spring and summer (−0.54 and −0.71 million km2/decade, respectively), and this decreasing trend corresponded with rising spring and summer temperatures over high-latitude NH regions. Among the four seasons, the temperature rise over the NH was the highest in winter (0.39 °C/decade, p &lt; 0.01). More precipitation in winter was closely related to an increase of winter SCE in mid-latitude areas of NH. Summer precipitation over the NH increased at a significant rate (1.1 mm/decade, p &lt; 0.01), which likely contribute to the accelerated reduction of summer’s SCE across the NH. However, seasonal sensitivity of SCE to temperature changes differed between the Eurasian and North American continents. Thus, this study provides a better understanding of seasonal SCE variability and climatic changes that occurred at regional and hemispheric spatial scales in the past 52 years.

Three-dimensional change in temperature sensitivity of northern vegetation phenology.

Understanding how the temperature sensitivity of phenology changes with three spatial dimensions (altitude, latitude, and longitude) is critical for the prediction of future phenological synchronization. Here we investigate the spatial pattern of temperature sensitivity of spring and autumn phenology with altitude, latitude, and longitude during 1982-2016 across mid- and high-latitude Northern Hemisphere (north of 30°N). We find distinct spatial patterns of temperature sensitivity of spring phenology (hereafter "spring ST ") among altitudinal, latitudinal, and longitudinal gradient. Spring ST decreased with altitude mostly over eastern Europe, whereas the opposite occurs in eastern North America and the north China plain. Spring ST decreased with latitude mainly in the boreal regions of North America, temperate Eurasia, and the arid/semi-arid regions of Central Asia. This distribution may be related to the increased temperature variance, decreased precipitation, and radiation with latitude. Compared to spring ST , the spatial pattern of temperature sensitivity of autumn phenology (hereafter "autumn ST ") is more heterogeneous, only showing a clear spatial pattern of autumn ST along the latitudinal gradient. Our results highlight the three-dimensional view to understand the phenological response to climate change and provide new metrics for evaluating phenological models. Accordingly, establishing a dense, high-quality three-dimensional observation system of phenology data is necessary for enhancing our ability to both predict phenological changes under changing climatic conditions and to facilitate sustainable management of ecosystems.

The Impact of Changes in Tropical Sea Surface Temperatures over 1979–2012 on Northern Hemisphere High-Latitude Climate

AbstractWhile rapid changes in Arctic climate over recent decades are widely documented, the importance of different driving mechanisms is still debated. A previous study proposed a causal connection between recent tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) trends and circulation changes over northern Canada and Greenland (NCG). Here, using the HadGEM3-A model, we perform a suite of sensitivity experiments to investigate the influence of tropical SSTs on winter atmospheric circulation over NCG. The experiments are forced with observed SST changes between an “early” (1979–88) and “late” period (2003–12) and applied across the entire tropics (TropSST), the tropical Pacific (PacSST), and the tropical Atlantic (AtlSST). In contrast to the previous study, all three experiments show a negative 200-hPa eddy geopotential height (Z200) anomaly over NCG in winter, which is similar to the response in AMIP experiments from four other climate models. The positive Z200 NCG anomaly in ERA-Interim between the two periods is inside the bounds of internal variability estimated from bootstrap sampling. The NCG circulation anomaly in the TropSST experiment is associated with a Rossby wave train originating from the tropical Pacific, with an important contribution coming from the tropical Atlantic SSTs connected via an atmospheric bridge through the tropical Pacific. This generates anomalous upper-level convergence and a positive Rossby wave source anomaly near the North Pacific jet exit region. Hence, while a tropics–Arctic teleconnection is evident, its influence on recent Arctic regional climate differs from observed changes and warrants further research.

A detailed East Asian monsoon history of Greenland Interstadial 21 in southeastern China

Greenland Interstadial-21 (GIS 21), with a centennial-scale precursor event and a “rebound-type” event, was one of the longest warm millennial-scale events recorded in Greenland ice cores during the last glacial period. Precise determination of its timing and duration can improve our understanding of regional/global climate correlations over Marine Isotope Stages (MIS) 5b/5a and 5a/4. Here, a precisely 230Th-dated decadally-resolved stalagmite δ18O record from Xianyun Cave, Fujian Province, southeastern China, is utilized to reconstruct the sub-millennial-scale changes in East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) from 87.6 to 76.3 kyr BP (before 1950 CE), covering Chinese Interstadial 21 (CIS 21) event. A comparison of spatially-separated Chinese speleothem records during GIS 21 shows a decrease in speleothem δ18O values from southeastern China to northwestern China. These δ18O spatial gradients could be attributed to the “rainout effect” and the amplification mechanism of the seasonal variations of precipitation δ18O. Moreover, Xianyun δ18O record captures the precursor event centered at 85.3 ± 0.3 kyr BP concurrent with the corresponding event in ice cores, revealing an atmospheric teleconnection between high and low latitudes. Unlike gradual cooling at the Greenland and Antarctic ice core records during mid-GIS 21, the Xianyun record reveals a relatively strong monsoon phase. We speculate that the cooling of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) may influence EASM activity through the intensification of cross-equatorial flow and weaken the impact of Northern Hemisphere (NH) high latitude climate, thus pointing to the role of SH climate on EASM on millennial-scale.

Concurrent and lagged effects of spring greening on seasonal carbon gain and water loss across the Northern Hemisphere.

Spring greening has been widely observed across the Northern Hemisphere (NH) using a remotely sensed vegetation index (e.g., the normalized difference vegetation index, NDVI). However, there is still a debate on the ecological effects of spring greening on seasonal carbon and water budgets. This study jointly investigated the concurrent and lagged effects of spring greening on carbon gain (gross primary productivity, GPP) and water loss (evapotranspiration, ET) in the summer-active ecosystems at mid and high latitudes of NH using remote sensing and multimodel ensemble data during 1982-2013. The results showed that the collective promotion of spring greening to concurrent GPP and ET is widespread despite variations in magnitude and significance. Both beneficial and adverse lagged effects of spring greening on summer GPP commonly appear with an obvious spatial heterogeneity and difference among climate-plant types. However, the expected significant suppression of spring greening to summer GPP was rarely observed even in the areas where spring ET was significantly promoted by spring greening. Nevertheless, when drought was taken into account, the response patterns of spring water use to spring greening varied to some extent, and the adverse lagged effect of spring greening to summer GPP appeared or strengthened in some regions, especially during the years with dry summer. Given the predicted warming of the climate and more frequent climatic extremes, the adverse effect of spring greening should be given more attention.

Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies

Abstract. The new PAGES2k global compilation of temperature-sensitive proxies offers an unprecedented opportunity to study regional to global trends associated with orbitally driven changes in solar irradiance over the past 2 millennia. Here, we analyze pre-industrial long-term trends from 1 to 1800 CE across the PAGES2k dataset and find that, in contrast to the gradual cooling apparent in ice core, marine, and lake sediment data, tree rings do not exhibit the same decline. To understand why tree-ring proxies lack any evidence of a significant pre-industrial cooling, we divide those data by location (high Northern Hemisphere latitudes vs. midlatitudes), seasonal response (annual vs. summer), detrending method, and temperature sensitivity (high vs. low). We conclude that the ability of tree-ring proxies to detect pre-industrial, millennial-long cooling is not affected by latitude, seasonal sensitivity, or detrending method. Caution is advised when using multi-proxy approaches to reconstruct long-term temperature changes over the entire Common Era.

Future Global Meteorological Drought Hot Spots: A Study Based on CORDEX Data

AbstractTwo questions motivated this study: 1) Will meteorological droughts become more frequent and severe during the twenty-first century? 2) Given the projected global temperature rise, to what extent does the inclusion of temperature (in addition to precipitation) in drought indicators play a role in future meteorological droughts? To answer, we analyzed the changes in drought frequency, severity, and historically undocumented extreme droughts over 1981–2100, using the standardized precipitation index (SPI; including precipitation only) and standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI; indirectly including temperature), and under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). As input data, we employed 103 high-resolution (0.44°) simulations from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), based on a combination of 16 global circulation models (GCMs) and 20 regional circulation models (RCMs). This is the first study on global drought projections including RCMs based on such a large ensemble of RCMs. Based on precipitation only, ~15% of the global land is likely to experience more frequent and severe droughts during 2071–2100 versus 1981–2010 for both scenarios. This increase is larger (~47% under RCP4.5, ~49% under RCP8.5) when precipitation and temperature are used. Both SPI and SPEI project more frequent and severe droughts, especially under RCP8.5, over southern South America, the Mediterranean region, southern Africa, southeastern China, Japan, and southern Australia. A decrease in drought is projected for high latitudes in Northern Hemisphere and Southeast Asia. If temperature is included, drought characteristics are projected to increase over North America, Amazonia, central Europe and Asia, the Horn of Africa, India, and central Australia; if only precipitation is considered, they are found to decrease over those areas.

Link Between Autumnal Arctic Sea Ice and Northern Hemisphere Winter Forecast Skill

AbstractDynamical forecast systems have low to moderate skill in continental winter predictions in the extratropics. Here we assess the multimodel predictive skill over Northern Hemisphere high latitudes and midlatitudes using four state‐of‐the‐art forecast systems. Our main goal was to quantify the impact of the Arctic sea ice state during November on the sea level pressure (SLP), surface temperature, and precipitation skill during the following winter. Interannual variability of the November Barents and Kara Sea ice is associated with an important fraction of December to February (DJF) prediction skill in regions of Eurasia. We further show that skill related to sea ice in these regions is accompanied with enhanced skill of DJF SLP in western Russia, established by a sea ice‐atmosphere teleconnection mechanism. The teleconnection is strongest when atmospheric blocking conditions in Scandinavia/western Russia in November reduce a systematic SLP bias that is present in all systems.

A quantitative temperature reconstruction of the ‘Little Ice Age’ in southern China

We present a branched glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (brGDGTs)–based mean annual temperature reconstruction covering the last millennium from a subtropical lake in Guangxi Province, southern China (23°N). We demonstrate that the pattern and absolute values of mean annual temperatures reconstructed using the eastern African lake brGDGTs calibration based on the methylation of 5-methyl branched tetraethers index provided the most reliable and accurate temperature estimates from the site. The results resemble regional and Northern Hemisphere changes over this period. The pattern shows a general cool period between ca. AD 1450 and 1950, including cooling minima centred at ca. AD 1600, 1750 and 1900, coeval with the ‘Little Ice Age’ temperature fluctuations in the Northern Hemisphere, followed by a warming trend from the mid-20th century to the present. The results suggest that both solar forcing and high-latitude Northern Hemisphere climate fluctuations play a role in influencing the terrestrial temperatures in southern China, possibly on different timescales. In addition, our results support the hypothesis that changes of the East Asian summer monsoon are primarily driven by the land–sea thermal gradient change between terrestrial southern China and the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool regions during the last millennium, owing to external radiative and/or volcanic forcings.

Comparing high-latitude thermospheric winds from Fabry–Perot interferometer (FPI) and challenging mini-satellite payload (CHAMP) accelerometer measurements

Abstract. It is generally assumed that horizontal wind velocities are independent of height above the F1 region (&gt; 300 km) due to the large molecular viscosity of the upper thermosphere. This assumption is used to compare two completely different methods of thermospheric neutral wind observation, using two distinct locations in the high-latitude Northern Hemisphere. The measurements are from ground-based Fabry–Perot interferometers (FPI) and from in situ accelerometer measurements onboard the challenging mini-satellite payload (CHAMP) satellite, which was in a near-polar orbit. The University College London (UCL) Kiruna Esrange Optical Platform Site (KEOPS) FPI is located in the vicinity of the auroral oval at the ESRANGE site near Kiruna, Sweden (67.8∘ N, 20.4∘ E). The UCL Longyearbyen FPI is a polar cap site, located at the Kjell Henriksen Observatory on Svalbard (78.1∘ N, 16.0∘ E). The comparison is carried out in a statistical sense, comparing a longer time series obtained during night-time hours in the winter months (DOY 300–65) with overflights of the CHAMP satellite between 2001 and 2007 over the observational sites, within ±2∘ latitude (±230 km horizontal range). The FPI is assumed to measure the line-of-sight winds at a height of ∼240 km, i.e. the peak emission height of the atomic oxygen 630.0 nm emission. The cross-track winds are derived from state-of-the-art precision accelerometer measurements at altitudes between ∼450 km (in 2001) and ∼350 km (in 2007), i.e. 100–200 km above the FPI wind observations. We show that CHAMP wind values at high latitudes are typically 1.5 to 2 times larger than FPI winds. In addition to testing the consistency of the different measurement approaches, the study aims to clarify the effects of viscosity on the height dependence of thermospheric winds.

Permafrost-related hiatuses in stalagmites: Evaluating the potential for reconstruction of carbon cycle dynamics

Abstract Permafrost is widely present throughout the Northern Hemisphere high latitudes, and stores large amounts of carbon in the form of frozen soil organic matter. The response of permafrost regions to anthropogenic climate change remains uncertain, in part because of a lack of information on their response to past changes in global climate. Here we test the use of stalagmites from two caves in Siberia as a novel, precisely dated, and highly localised archive of past permafrost carbon cycle dynamics. Stalagmite growth at these sites is controlled by the presence/absence of permafrost above the cave over glacial-interglacial time scales. We target the transition layer between two subsequent growth phases (interglacials) and the interval directly following growth resumption after the last glacial in three stalagmites, as this is where a geochemical imprint of thaw-related processes in the frozen zone between surface and cave would be recorded. We apply a multi-proxy approach including carbon isotopes (δ13C and 14C) and trace element concentrations, combined with petrographic analyses and high-resolution U-Th chronology. Our dataset indicates complex growth patterns and possible intervals of microbial colonisation of the stalagmite surface in the transition layers. High-resolution U-Th ages confirm that the transition layer is not a single, long growth hiatus, but rather a period of extremely slow or episodic growth phases, possibly during “skipped” interglacials. However, we find no conclusive evidence for a geochemical signature related to permafrost degradation and related local carbon cycle dynamics, which might be related to insufficient sensitivity of the archive for high-frequency processes and/or insufficient measurement resolution.