To develop machine learning models based on preoperative dynamic enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) radiomics and to explore their potential prognostic value in the differential diagnosis of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-low from HER2-positive breast cancer (BC). A total of 233 patients with pathologically confirmed invasive breast cancer admitted to our hospital between January 2018 and December 2022 were included in this retrospective analysis. Of these, 103 cases were diagnosed as HER2-positive and 130 cases were HER2 low-expression BC. The Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique is employed to address the class imbalance problem. Patients were randomly split into a training set (163 cases) and a validation set (70 cases) in a 7:3 ratio. Radiomics features from DCE-MRI second-phase imaging were extracted. Z-score normalization was used to standardize the radiomics features, and Pearson's correlation coefficient and recursive feature elimination were used to explore the significant features. Prediction models were constructed using 6 machine learning algorithms: logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, AdaBoost, decision tree, and auto-encoder. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed, and predictive models were evaluated according to the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. In the training set, the AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of all models were 1.000. However, in the validation set, the auto-encoder model's AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.994, 0.976, 0.972, and 0.978, respectively. The remaining models' AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 1.000. The DeLong test showed no statistically significant differences between the machine learning models in the training and validation sets (Z = 0, P = 1). Our study investigated the feasibility of using DCE-MRI-based radiomics features to predict HER2-low BC. Certain radiomics features showed associations with HER2-low BC and may have predictive value. Machine learning prediction models developed using these radiomics features could be beneficial for distinguishing between HER2-low and HER2-positive BC. These noninvasive preoperative models have the potential to assist in clinical decision-making for HER2-low breast cancer, thereby advancing personalized clinical precision.
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