Severe Heat Waves Research Articles

Escalating climate-related health risks for Hajj pilgrims to Mecca.

Global temperatures are on the rise, leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves with associated health risks. Heat-related illnesses (HRIs) are an increasing threat for travellers to hot climate destinations. This study was designed to elucidate the interplay between increasing ambient temperatures, incidence of HRIs and the effectiveness of mitigation strategies during the annual Hajj mass gathering over a 40-year period. An observational study was conducted utilizing historical records spanning four decades of meteorological data, and the rates of heat stroke (HS) and heat exhaustion (HE) during the Hajj pilgrimage in Mecca, Saudi Arabia. With an annual population exceeding 2million participants from over 180 countries, the study analysed temporal variations in weather conditions over two distinct Hajj hot cycles and correlated it with the occurrence of HS and HE. The effectiveness of deployed mitigation measures in alleviating health vulnerabilities between the two cycles was also assessed. Throughout the study period, average dry and wet bulb temperatures in Mecca escalated by 0.4°C (Mann-Kendall P < 0.0001) and 0.2°C (Mann-Kendall P = 0.25) per decade, respectively. Both temperatures were strongly correlated with the incidence of HS and HE (P < 0.001). Despite the intensifying heat, the mitigation strategies including individual, structural and community measures were associated with a substantial 74.6% reduction in HS cases and a 47.6% decrease in case fatality rate. The study underscores the escalating climate-related health risks in Mecca over the study period. The mitigation measures' efficacy in such a globally representative setting emphasizes the findings' generalizability and the importance of refining public health interventions in the face of rising temperatures.

Projected population exposure to heatwaves in Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region, China.

The intensification of heatwaves dues to climate change is a significant concern, with substantial impacts on ecosystems and human health, particularly in developing countries. This study utilizes NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) and projected population data accounting for China's population policies to project changes in various grades of heatwaves (light, moderate, and severe) and the population exposure to heatwaves (PEH) in Xinjiang under three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). The results show that the number of days and intensity of heatwaves in Xinjiang are projected to increase. Heatwaves occurring in Xinjiang will predominantly be severe heatwaves (SHW) in the long-term under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, and the number of SHW days projected to increase by 62 ± 18.4days compared to the reference period. Changes in heatwaves are anticipated to influence PEH, estimating population exposure to light, moderate, and severe heatwaves (LPEH, MPEH, and SPEH) at 534.6 ± 64 million, 496.2 ± 43.5 million, and 1602.4 ± 562.5 million person-days, respectively, in the long-term under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. The spatial distribution of PEH is projected to be consistent with that of the reference period, with high values persisting in Urumqi, Kashgar and Hotan. Changes in PEH are primarily driven by climate effects, followed by interactive effects, while population effects contribute the least. Therefore, mitigating climate change is crucial to reduce the PEH in Xinjiang.

Heatwaves in Peninsular Malaysia: a spatiotemporal analysis

One of the direct and unavoidable consequences of global warming-induced rising temperatures is the more recurrent and severe heatwaves. In recent years, even countries like Malaysia seldom had some mild to severe heatwaves. As the Earth's average temperature continues to rise, heatwaves in Malaysia will undoubtedly worsen in the future. It is crucial to characterize and monitor heat events across time to effectively prepare for and implement preventative actions to lessen heatwave's social and economic effects. This study proposes heatwave-related indices that take into account both daily maximum (Tmax) and daily lowest (Tmin) temperatures to evaluate shifts in heatwave features in Peninsular Malaysia (PM). Daily ERA5 temperature dataset with a geographical resolution of 0.25° for the period 1950–2022 was used to analyze the changes in the frequency and severity of heat waves across PM, while the LandScan gridded population data from 2000 to 2020 was used to calculate the affected population to the heatwaves. This study also utilized Sen's slope for trend analysis of heatwave characteristics, which separates multi-decadal oscillatory fluctuations from secular trends. The findings demonstrated that the geographical pattern of heatwaves in PM could be reconstructed if daily Tmax is more than the 95th percentile for 3 or more days. The data indicated that the southwest was more prone to severe heatwaves. The PM experienced more heatwaves after 2000 than before. Overall, the heatwave-affected area in PM has increased by 8.98 km2/decade and its duration by 1.54 days/decade. The highest population affected was located in the central south region of PM. These findings provide valuable insights into the heatwaves pattern and impact.

A multiple baseline approach for marine heatwaves

AbstractMarine heatwaves and other extreme temperature events can drive biological responses, including mass mortality. However, their effects depend on how they are experienced by biological systems (including human societies). We applied two different baselines (fixed and shifting) to a time series of North Sea water temperature to explore how slowly vs. quickly adapting systems would experience extreme temperatures. We tested if the properties of marine heatwaves and the association with atmospheric heatwaves were robust to a change in baseline. A fixed baseline produced an increase in the frequency and duration of marine heatwaves, which would be experienced as the new normal by slowly adapting systems; 7 of the 10 most severe heatwaves occurred between 1990 and 2018. The shifting baseline removed the trend in the frequency but not duration of heatwaves; the 1990s appeared as a period of change in the frequency of strong and severe heatwaves as compared to the 1980s. There were also common patterns among baselines: marine heatwaves were more frequent in late summer when temperatures peak; temperature variability was characterized by low frequency, large amplitude fluctuations (i.e., as red noise), known to drive extinction events. In addition, marine heatwaves occurred during or just after atmospheric heatwaves. Our work highlights the importance of identifying properties of marine heatwaves that are robust or contingent on a change in baseline.

A stakeholder-guided marine heatwave hazard index for fisheries and aquaculture

Marine heatwaves pose an increasing threat to fisheries and aquaculture around the world under climate change. However, the threat has not been estimated for the coming decades in a form that meets the needs of these industries. Tasmanian fisheries and aquaculture in southeast Australia have been severely impacted by marine heatwaves in recent years, especially the oyster, abalone, and salmon industries. In a series of semi-structured interviews with key Tasmanian fishery and aquaculture stakeholders, information was gathered about the following: (i) the impacts they have experienced to date from marine heatwaves, (ii) their planning for future marine heatwaves, and (iii) the information that would be most useful to aid planning. Using CMIP6 historical and future simulations of sea surface temperatures around Tasmania, we developed a marine heatwave hazard index guided by these stakeholder conversations. The region experienced a severe marine heatwave during the austral summer of 2015/16, which has been used here as a reference point to define the index. Our marine heatwave hazard index shows that conditions like those experienced in 2015/16 are projected to occur approximately 1-in-5 years by the 2050s under a low emissions scenario (SSP1-2.6) or 1-in-2 years under a high emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Increased frequency of marine heatwaves will likely reduce productivity by both direct (mortality) and in-direct (ecosystem change, greater incidence of disease) impacts on target species. The illustrative hazard index is one step towards a marine heatwave risk index, which would also need to consider aspects of exposure and vulnerability to be of greater utility to stakeholders.

Species Survey of Leaf Hyponasty Responses to Warming Plus Elevated CO2.

Atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations are increasing and may exceed 800 ppm by 2100. This is increasing global mean temperatures and the frequency and severity of heatwaves. Recently, we showed for the first time that the combination of short-term warming and elevated carbon dioxide (eCO2) caused extreme upward bending (i.e., hyponasty) of leaflets and leaf stems (petioles) in tomato (Solanum lycopersicum), which reduced growth. Here, we examined additional species to test the hypotheses that warming + eCO2-induced hyponasty is restricted to compound-leaved species, and/or limited to the Solanaceae. A 2 × 2 factorial experiment with two temperatures, near-optimal and supra-optimal, and two CO2 concentrations, ambient and elevated (400, 800 ppm), was imposed on similarly aged plants for 7-10 days, after which final petiole angles were measured. Within Solanaceae, compound-leaf, but not simple-leaf, species displayed increased hyponasty with the combination of warming + eCO2 relative to warming or eCO2 alone. In non-solanaceous species, hyponasty, leaf-cupping, and changes in leaf pigmentation as a result of warming + eCO2 were variable across species.

Assessing the escalating human-perceived heatwaves in a warming world: The case of China

With increased global warming, heatwaves are expected to become more intense, frequent, and persistent. Although the spatiotemporal characteristics of heatwaves have been extensively studied, the vast majority of these studies have solely used near-surface air temperatures, particularly daily maximum temperatures (Tmax), to identify heatwaves. Given that air temperature alone proves inadequate as a metric for human heat stress. Here, using the relative threshold in conjunction with the absolute threshold and basing it on wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT), we develop a novel definition of human-perceived heatwaves. The combined effect of temperature and humidity is considered in this definition. On this basis, we quantify the climatology of and long-term changes in heatwaves in China based on homogenized in situ observations and outputs from climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The results show that the distribution of human-perceived heatwaves coincides with densely populated areas in the southeastern part of China, despite their limited spatial extent. The observed trends in human-perceived heatwaves have accelerated since the 1960s. It is now anticipated that moderate or worse human-perceived heatwaves will affect more than half of China's population. Moreover, CMIP6 climate projections suggest that the percentage of China's population exposed to historically unprecedented human-perceived heatwaves would increase rapidly in a warmer future, except for the sustainability scenario. It is noted that the increase in severe human-perceived heatwaves is more rapid than that in severe traditional Tmax-based heatwaves, suggesting that the hazard of heatwaves to humans may have been underestimated by previous Tmax-based studies. Our findings demonstrate the urgent need for additional planning and adaptation actions beyond the framework for short-term disaster reduction frameworks currently in place. Although we concentrated on China in this article, our method for evaluating human-perceived heatwaves is easily extended to handle comparable issues everywhere.

Exploring climate-adaptive green-space designs for hot and humid climates: Lessons from Japanese dry gardens

The number of studies on green spaces’ cooling effects has significantly increased in recent years, driven by the rising occurrence and severity of heat waves. Nevertheless, our current understanding of optimal green space designs for mitigating heat stress remains limited. This study delves into the historic Japanese dry gardens to examine the design strategies employed by ancient Japanese people in addressing hot and humid climates while crafting a thermally comfortable environment for garden visitors. We selectively investigated the thermal condition and spatial design of four compact dry gardens (<1500 m2) in Kyoto, Japan as we aimed to propose design strategies for small urban green spaces which are the major urban green spaces in Japan. The results indicated that the thermal condition in all the resting areas of the gardens was dramatically ameliorated to a “warm” condition when nearby open areas were “extremely hot.” This enhancement was achieved through the provision of extensive shade, primarily in the form of roofs, covering approximately 80% and 70% of the areas within 5 and 10 m radii around the resting areas, respectively. Nonetheless, we observed spatial heterogeneity in thermal conditions among the resting areas, which were influenced by the varying degrees of greenery cover within a 20 m radius. This study demonstrates that Japanese dry gardens were designed climate accordingly and can effectively reduce summer heat stress. It highlights the value of historic gardens as urban green spaces providing regulating ecosystem services and as a strategic design reference for guiding climate-adaptive green space designs.

Satellite derived mixing ratio profile, a resourceful indicator of heat waves: INSAT-3DR sounder based analysis

India, being a tropical country, frequently experiences a natural hazard called heat waves especially during the hot summer season. During the summer months of 2022, India experienced moderate to severe heat waves spanning March to the third week of May. This adverse weather situation severely affects the northwest and the central Indian regions, causing loss of human lives, crop damage, and a scarcity of water. The present study is the first attempt to assess the meteorological situations favoring heat waves using Indian National Satellite (INSAT)-3DR sounder data. Such studies using satellite based sounder data have seldom happened. The study is conducted during March-May 2022 using the mixing ratio data derived from the INSAT-3DR sounder at 500 hPa, 620 hPa, 700 hPa, 850 hPa, and 950 hPa pressure levels of the atmosphere. From the present study, it is observed that the INSAT-3DR derived mixing ratio profile gives clear signatures of an impending heat wave condition. The weather signal can be observed as an apparent dryness representing the low mixing ratio values (<6 g/kg) percolating from upper layers (600 hPa) to lower levels (850 hPa). These percolations (seeping) happen prior to the surface layers actually show the effects of the heat wave. The study verifies the prior studies of heat wave strike over northwest frontiers of Indian land mass and its further expansion to eastern and southern regions. During strong heat wave conditions surface temperatures reaching maximum of 46 ͦ C at northwest regions, 41 ͦ C at eastern regions and 40 ͦ C at southern regions. The corresponding mixing ratio values at 950 hPa diminishes to 2–4 g/kg for northwest regions and 4–6 g/kg at eastern and southern regions. The study also gives hints to locate signals of heat waves regarding their origin, possible expanding directions, and geographical extent from the satellite-derived mixing ratio. The observations from the analysis give scope for further enhancing the study in the future to devise efficient forecasting methodologies to predict heat wave conditions using satellite derived mixing ratio profiles.

Warming-induced hydrothermal anomaly over the Earth’s three Poles amplifies concurrent extremes in 2022

Climate warming is causing an increase in the frequency and severity of heatwaves and extreme precipitation events, posing a threat to both socioeconomic stability and human lives. In 2022, five record-breaking heatwaves and floods occurred, it is suggested a new concurrent extreme feature in the study, which is linked to the three Poles warming and ice/snow melting. The independent and synergistic effect of the three Poles warming has led to the poleward movement of westerly jet streams and amplified Rossby waves, as well as the expansion of subtropical highs in both poleward and zonal directions. Consequently, these have intensified heatwaves in the mid-high latitudes and extreme precipitation events in the Asian regions, combined with a southward displacement and weakening of the inter-hemispheric Asian summer monsoon circulations, which are response to poleward of the mid-latitude and subtropical circulations and the hydrothermal effects of the three Poles. This study highlights the significance of three Poles warming in driving amplified concurrent extremes across tropical and extratropical regions, particularly in 2022. These findings provide valuable insights into the role of snow/ice melting and related hydrothermal factors in global climate predictions and disaster prevention efforts.

Marine heatwaves recurrence aggravates thermal stress in the surfgrass Phyllospadix scouleri

The surfgrass Phyllospadix scouleri grows in highly productive meadows along the Pacific coast of North America. This region has experienced increasingly severe marine heatwaves (MHWs) in recent years. Our study evaluated the impact of consecutive MHWs, simulated in mesocosms, on essential ecophysiological features of P. scouleri. Overall, our findings show that the plants' overall physiological status has been progressively declining. Interestingly, the indicators of physiological stress in photosynthesis only showed up once the initial heat exposure stopped (i.e., during the recovery period). The warming caused increased oxidative damage and a decrease in nitrate uptake rates. However, the levels of non-structural carbohydrates and relative growth rates were not affected. Our findings emphasize the significance of incorporating recovery periods in this type of study as they expose delayed stress responses. Furthermore, experiencing consecutive intense MHWs can harm surfgrasses over time, compromising the health of their meadows and the services they offer to the ecosystem.

Allostasis as a consequence of high heat load in grain-fed feedlot cattle.

Heat wave intensity, frequency, and duration are increasing in many regions of the world, including locations where highly productive livestock are raised. There are animal health and welfare, as well as economic impacts from these events. In this study, the physiological responses of grain-fed steers during a high heat load challenge through to recovery in climate-controlled rooms (CCR) were intensively evaluated. Two cohorts of 12 Black Angus steers (BW, 615.4 ± 40.1kg) sequentially underwent a simulated heatwave event that consisted of 3 phases in the CCR: PreChallenge (5 d duration and temperature humidity index (THI) range of 65 to 71), Challenge (7-d duration and THI 66 to 95 with diurnal cycling), and Recovery (5 d duration and THI 65 to 70). The Challenge period was modeled on a severe heat wave, characterized by 3 very hot days. Individual rumen temperature (RumT, °C) was collected every 10min, and respiration rate (RR, breaths per minute), panting score (PS), and water usage (L·steer-1·day-1) were obtained at multiple time points daily, by trained observers. Individual animal daily DMI was also determined. Morning (0700 hours) rectal temperature (RecT, °C)was measured on days 3, 5, 7 to 13, 15, and 17. Not unexpectedly, RumT, RecT, RR, and PS rose during Challenge and fell rapidly as conditions eased. Conversely, DMI was reduced during Challenge. During the transition between PreChallenge and Challenge, there were abrupt increases in RumT, and RR. It was also very apparent that during Recovery the steers did not return to the baseline PreChallenge state. Compared to PreChallenge, Recovery was characterized by persistent lowered daily mean RumT (P = 0.0010), RecT (P = 0.0922), RR (P = 0.0257), PS (P ≤ 0.0001), and DMI (P ≤ 0.0001). These results provide evidence that these steers have undergone an allostatic response in response to high heat load, and the new adjusted physiological state post-heat event may not be transient.

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE URBAN ENVIRONMENT FOR THE CITY OF BAGHDAD

Humanity has reached a historical point that requires them to formulate their actions around the world, taking the utmost care regarding their environmental consequences, as preserving and improving the human environment for present and future generations has become a goal that human beings have no choice but to achieve. Perhaps ignorance or indifference may have led us to cause serious damage that cannot be remedied. The Earth's environment is the basis of our lives and wellbeing. On the contrary, through more complete knowledge and wisdom in action, we can achieve for ourselves and our descendants a better life in an environment more compatible with human needs and hopes. The higher the level of greenhouse gases, the greater the intensity of climate change and hence the greater its impact. This leads to: At the weather level: more severe storms, wildfires, droughts, floods and heat waves. Water level: Changes in water availability threaten up to a billion people and the world's major cities are threatened by sea level rise. At the food level: decline in agricultural yields in many developing and developed regions. At the ecosystem level: Many species face the risk of extinction. At the societal level: More than a billion people may be forced to migrate – increasing the risk of conflict. At the health level: The World Health Organization estimates that climate change that has occurred since 1970 has already killed more than 140,000 people annually due to malnutrition, heat stress, cardiovascular failure, respiratory allergies, waterborne diseases, insect-borne diseases, and asthma

Comparing Approximated Heat Stress Measures Across the United States.

Climate change is escalating the threat of heat stress to global public health, with the majority of humans today facing increasingly severe and prolonged heat waves. Accurate weather data reflecting the complexity of measuring heat stress is crucial for reducing the impact of extreme heat on health worldwide. Previous studies have employed Heat Index (HI) and Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) metrics to understand extreme heat exposure, forming the basis for heat stress guidelines. However, systematic comparisons of meteorological and climate data sets used for these metrics and the related parameters, like air temperature, humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation crucial for human thermoregulation, are lacking. We compared three heat measures (HImax, WBGTBernard, and WBGTLiljegren) approximated from gridded weather data sets (ERA5-Land, PRISM, Daymet) with ground-based data, revealing strong agreement from HI and WBGTBernard (R 2 0.76-0.95, RMSE 1.69-6.64°C). Discrepancies varied by Köppen-Geiger climates (e.g., Adjusted R 2 HImax 0.88-0.95, WBGTBernard 0.79-0.97, and WBGTLiljegren 0.80-0.96), and metrological input variables (Adjusted R 2 T max 0.86-0.94, T min 0.91-0.94, Wind 0.33, Solarmax 0.38, Solaravg 0.38, relative humidity 0.51-0.74). Gridded data sets can offer reliable heat exposure assessment, but further research and local networks are vital to reduce measurement errors to fully enhance our understanding of how heat stress measures link to health outcomes.

Urban land surface temperature forecasting: a data-driven approach using regression and neural network models

The insinuations of the ailments associated with the unrestrained and disorganized proliferation of artificial impervious materials over natural surfaces are prevalent among city dwellers. These impacts can be comprehended by estimating land surface temperature (LST), as it is vital for evaluating urban climate, particularly to explain the intensity of urban heat islands and to define the health and welfare of the planet as well as the living beings. Urbanization-driven landscape changes severely disrupt comfortable living in almost every city, necessitating monitoring and modelling historical, current, and likely future LSTs. This research article proposes two forecasting techniques: Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. These models have been widely accepted for the efficient prediction of climatic parameters, including LST, over an urban area. The landscape, elevation, and LST trend served as input to the models for an accurate prediction of LST. The analysis was performed over the Kolkata Metropolitan Area (KMA) with an additional 10 km buffer to understand urban growth and its effect on the LST of the entire region. The two developed models (MLR and ANN) effectively anticipated the LST over the KMA region. A continual increment in the surface temperatures ranging from 1 °C to 4 °C, over existing and likely-predicted urban areas was comprehended. It was anticipated that the regions near the urban areas will also experience severe discomfort and heat waves without proper mitigation measures. This scientific literature provides essential insights for decision-makers, stakeholders, and government officials to articulate new policies and modify the existing ones to create a sustainable and livable urban environment for the inhabitants.

Microbiome ecological memory and responses to repeated marine heatwaves clarify variation in coral bleaching and mortality.

Microbiomes are essential features of holobionts, providing their hosts with key metabolic and functional traits like resistance to environmental disturbances and diseases. In scleractinian corals, questions remain about the microbiome's role in resistance and resilience to factors contributing to the ongoing global coral decline and whether microbes serve as a form of holobiont ecological memory. To test if and how coral microbiomes affect host health outcomes during repeated disturbances, we conducted a large-scale (32 exclosures, 200 colonies, and 3 coral species sampled) and long-term (28 months, 2018-2020) manipulative experiment on the forereef of Mo'orea, French Polynesia. In 2019 and 2020, this reef experienced the two most severe marine heatwaves on record for the site. Our experiment and these events afforded us the opportunity to test microbiome dynamics and roles in the context of coral bleaching and mortality resulting from these successive and severe heatwaves. We report unique microbiome responses to repeated heatwaves in Acropora retusa, Porites lobata, and Pocillopora spp., which included: microbiome acclimatization in A. retusa, and both microbiome resilience to the first marine heatwave and microbiome resistance to the second marine heatwave in Pocillopora spp. Moreover, observed microbiome dynamics significantly correlated with coral species-specific phenotypes. For example, bleaching and mortality in A. retusa both significantly increased with greater microbiome beta dispersion and greater Shannon Diversity, while P. lobata colonies had different microbiomes across mortality prevalence. Compositional microbiome changes, such as changes to proportions of differentially abundant putatively beneficial to putatively detrimental taxa to coral health outcomes during repeated heat stress, also correlated with host mortality, with higher proportions of detrimental taxa yielding higher mortality in A. retusa. This study reveals evidence for coral species-specific microbial responses to repeated heatwaves and, importantly, suggests that host-dependent microbiome dynamics may provide a form of holobiont ecological memory to repeated heat stress.

Representations of Extreme Weather and Climate Change in Ingrid Tørresvold’s "Hilsen Ruth"

This article is devoted to the representation of extreme weather as a result of global warming in Ingrid Tørresvold’s Hilsen Ruth [Regards, Ruth]. Published in 2020, the novel imagines the effects of a severe heatwave over Norway, focusing on 39-year-old Ruth, who perceives the crisis as an opportunity to deal with personal problems. Considering the book as a realistic narrative of climate change, I examine the fictional representation of extreme weather as an impending risk and discuss the air conditioner as a symbol of anthropogenic global warming. I also discuss the affective dimension of the novel, drawing attention to the main character’s experience of the crisis caused by the unusual heat. Finally, my analysis seeks to show how Hilsen Ruth addresses climate change as a phenomenon intertwined with individual and cultural perceptions.

Global vegetation, moisture, thermal and climate interactions intensify compound extreme events

Compound extreme events, encompassing drought, vegetation stress, wildfire severity, and heatwave intensity (CDVWHS), pose significant threats to societal, environmental, and health systems. Understanding the intricate relationships governing CDVWHS evolution and their interaction with climate teleconnections is crucial for effective climate adaptation strategies. This study leverages remote sensing, reanalysis data, and climate models to analyze CDVWHS during historical (1982–2014), near-future (2028–2060), and far-future (2068–2100) periods under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP; 245 and 585). Our results show that reduced vegetation health, unfavorable temperature conditions, and low moisture conditions have negligible effects on vegetation density. However, they worsen the intensity of heatwaves and increase the risk of wildfires. Wildfires can persist when thermal conditions are poor despite favorable moisture levels. For example, despite adequate moisture availability, we link the 2012 Siberian wildfire in the Ob basin to anomalous negative thermal conditions and concurrent unfavorable thermal-moisture conditions. In contrast, the Amazon experiences extreme and exceptional drought associated with unfavorable moisture conditions in the same year. A comparative analysis of Siberian and North American fires reveals distinct burned area anomalies due to variations in vegetation density and wildfire fuel. The North American fires have lower positive anomalies in burned areas because of negative anomalous vegetation density, which reduced the amount of wildfire fuel. Furthermore, we examine basin-specific variability in climate teleconnections related to compound CDVWHS, revealing the primary modes of variability and evolution of CDVWHS through climate teleconnection patterns. Moreover, a substantial increase in the magnitude of heatwave severity emerges between the near and far future under SSP 585. This study underscores the urgency for targeted actions to enhance ecosystem resilience and safeguard vulnerable communities from CDVWHS impacts. Identifying CDVWHS hotspots and comprehending their complex relationships with environmental factors are essential for developing effective adaptation strategies in a changing climate.

The Role of the North Atlantic for Heat Wave Characteristics in Europe, an ECHAM6 Study

AbstractThe recent severe European summer heat waves of 2015 and 2018 co‐occurred with cold subpolar North Atlantic (NA) sea surface temperatures (SSTs). However, a significant connection between this oceanic state and European heat waves was not yet established. We performed two AMIP‐like model experiments: (a) employing daily 2018 SSTs as observed and (b) applying a novel approach to remove the negative NA SST anomaly, while keeping SST daily and small‐scale variability. Comparing these experiments, we find that cold subpolar NA SSTs significantly increase heat wave duration and magnitude downstream over the European continent. Surface temperature and circulation anomalies are connected by the upper‐tropospheric summer wave pattern of meridional winds over the North Atlantic European sector, which is enhanced with cold NA SSTs. Our results highlight the relevance of the subpolar NA region for European summer conditions, a region that is marked by large biases in current coupled climate model simulations.

Unveiling microbiome changes in Mediterranean octocorals during the 2022 marine heatwaves: quantifying key bacterial symbionts and potential pathogens

BackgroundClimate change has accelerated the occurrence and severity of heatwaves in the Mediterranean Sea and poses a significant threat to the octocoral species that form the foundation of marine animal forests (MAFs). As coral health intricately relies on the symbiotic relationships established between corals and microbial communities, our goal was to gain a deeper understanding of the role of bacteria in the observed tissue loss of key octocoral species following the unprecedented heatwaves in 2022.ResultsUsing amplicon sequencing and taxon-specific qPCR analyses, we unexpectedly found that the absolute abundance of the major bacterial symbionts, Spirochaetaceae (C. rubrum) and Endozoicomonas (P. clavata), remained, in most cases, unchanged between colonies with 0% and 90% tissue loss. These results suggest that the impairment of coral health was not due to the loss of the main bacterial symbionts. However, we observed a significant increase in the total abundance of bacterial opportunists, including putative pathogens such as Vibrio, which was not evident when only their relative abundance was considered. In addition, there was no clear relation between bacterial symbiont loss and the intensity of thermal stress, suggesting that factors other than temperature may have influenced the differential response of octocoral microbiomes at different sampling sites.ConclusionsOur results indicate that tissue loss in octocorals is not directly caused by the decline of the main bacterial symbionts but by the proliferation of opportunistic and pathogenic bacteria. Our findings thus underscore the significance of considering both relative and absolute quantification approaches when evaluating the impact of stressors on coral microbiome as the relative quantification does not accurately depict the actual changes in the microbiome. Consequently, this research enhances our comprehension of the intricate interplay between host organisms, their microbiomes, and environmental stressors, while offering valuable insights into the ecological implications of heatwaves on marine animal forests.5dDfKCEABnCL_GGsw4qbDQVideo