Introduction: It is unknown if there are disparities in the transition from heart failure (HF) to listing for heart transplant (HT), although there are clear disparities in this transition in the transplant of other organs. Methods: We used CDC WONDER data and SRTR transplant data to identify county-level age-adjusted HF mortality and number of candidates listed for HT from 2006 to 2018 among racial/ ethnic subgroups. We determined rates of candidate listing and age-adjusted HF deaths (AAHFD) per 100,000 persons on aggregate and by racial/ ethnic subgroups. County-level demographic, socioeconomic, cardiovascular disease risk, and healthcare factors from public databases were used in multivariate models to determine factor groups explaining variation in candidates listed per AAHFD. Results: The median (IQR) candidates per AAHFD for the aggregated county cohort was 1.3 (0.75-2.0; 2558 counties reported data), the non-Hispanic white (NHW) county cohort was 1.5 (0.88-2.2; 2426 counties), the non-Hispanic black (NHB) county cohort was 1.1 (0.64-1.6; 860 counties), and the Hispanic county cohort was 1.1 (0.67-1.8; 254 counties) (p-value <0.001). The lowest candidates per AAHFD were in the South for NHW (median 1.3) and NHB (0.97), but in the West for Hispanic (0.84). Multivariate models with all county-level variables, explained (R 2 ) 28.7%, 38.7%, and 57.3% of variation in candidates listed per AAHFD for NHW, NHB, and Hispanic cohorts, respectively. Socioeconomic factors (R 2 0.14), healthcare factors (R 2 0.21), and cardiovascular disease risk factors (R 2 0.18), respectively, explained the greatest variation in models using variable subgroups. Conclusions: When age-adjusted rates of HF mortality by race/ ethnicity group is considered, HT candidate listing for NHB and Hispanic candidates is 27% lower than for NHW. County-level factors that explain variation in HT listing vary by racial/ ethnicity group, and explain more variation in NHB and Hispanic cohorts.
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