Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) often occur together. Restoring and maintaining sinus rhythm in these patients appears to be beneficial, however difficult. Purpose The aim of the study was to assess AF recurrence after catheter ablation and its predictors in patients with diagnosed HF. Methods Consecutive patients with AF undergoing first-time AF ablation in 2019-2022 were enrolled. Comprehensive echocardiography was performed in all patients on the day of ablation. AF recurrence was assessed during a follow-up consisting of outpatient visits/televisits and 7-day Holter monitoring (at 6 and 12 months after ablation and annually thereafter). Results Out of total 293 patients enrolled in the study (7 of whom were excluded due to poor image quality), 27.6% (n=81) were diagnosed with HF (12.3% with reduced ejection fraction – HFrEF; 27.2% with mildly reduced EF – HFmrEF, and 60.5% with preserved EF – HFpEF). Median follow-up was at 12 months (IQR 6–16). The incidence of AF recurrence did not differ between the group with and without HF (33.3% vs. 30.7%, p=0.67). There were no differences in AF recurrence rate between the different types of HF (30% AF recurrence rate in HFrEF, 31.8% in HFmrEF and 34.7% in HFpEF, p=0.75). The AF recurrence rate did not vary between patients with AF during echocardiography and those with sinus rhythm (p=0.24), so therefore a combined analysis of them was performed. The groups of HF patients with and without AF recurrence did not differ in terms of demographic data, comorbidities, or results of baseline laboratory tests. In a univariable Cox regression analysis only echocardiographic parameters (left atrial (LA) volume index, LA reservoir strain, LA emptying fraction - LAEF, E wave, e’average, E/e’ average ratio, LA appendage velocity) correlated significantly with AF recurrence in the group of patients with HF. In a multivariable Cox regression analysis, after exclusion of interdependent values, only LAEF (determined automatically using automated functional imaging of the LA) remained significant predictor of the AF recurrence (hazard ratio (HR) 0.962, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.926-0.998, p=0.043). An LAEF threshold of 35% presented with 62% sensitivity and 85% specificity in predicting AF recurrence (with area under curve 0.733). Conclusions AF recurrence rate after ablation was similar in AF patients with and without diagnosed HF as well as in the different types of HF. LAEF was found to be the best predictor of AF recurrence in patients with AF and HF undergoing catheter ablation.
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