Hard Cardiac Events Research Articles

Niacin Alternatives for Dyslipidemia: Fool's Gold or Gold Mine? Part II: Novel Niacin Mimetics.

Two cardiovascular outcome trials established niacin 3 g daily prevents hard cardiac events. However, as detailed in part I of this series, an extended-release (ER) alternative at only 2 g nightly demonstrated no comparable benefits in two outcome trials, implying the alternative is not equivalent to the established cardioprotective regimen. Since statins leave a significant treatment gap, this presents a major opportunity for developers. Importantly, the established regimen is cardioprotective, so the pathway is likely beneficial. Moreover, though effective, the established cardioprotective regimen is cumbersome, limiting clinical use. At the same time, the ER alternative has been thoroughly discredited as a viable substitute for the established cardioprotective regimen. Therefore, by exploiting the pathway and skillfully avoiding the problems with the established cardioprotective regimen and the ER alternative, developers could validate cardioprotective variations facing little meaningful competition from their predecessors. Thus, shrewd developers could effectively tap into a gold mine at the grave of the ER alternative. The GPR109A receptor was discovered a decade ago, leading to a large body of evidence commending the niacin pathway to a lower cardiovascular risk beyond statins. While mediating niacin’s most prominent adverse effects, GPR109A also seems to mediate anti-lipolytic, anti-inflammatory, and anti-atherogenic effects of niacin. Several developers are investing heavily in novel strategies to exploit niacin’s therapeutic pathways. These include selective GPR109A receptor agonists, niacin prodrugs, and a niacin metabolite, with encouraging early phase human data. In part II of this review, we summarize the accumulated results of these early phase studies of emerging niacin mimetics.

Long-Term (>10 Years) Prognostic Value of Dobutamine Stress Echocardiography in a High-Risk Cohort

The prognostic value of dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) at >10-year follow-up is unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the very long-term prognostic value of DSE in a high-risk cohort of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease. This prospective, single-center study included 3,381 patients who underwent DSE from January 1990 to January 2003. Two-dimensional echocardiographic images were acquired at rest, during dobutamine stress, and during recovery. Follow-up events were collected and included overall mortality, cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and revascularization. The incremental value of DSE in the prediction of selected end points was evaluated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis. During a mean follow-up of 13 ± 3.2 years (range 7.3 to 20.5 years), there were 1,725 deaths (51%), of which 1,128 (33%) were attributed to cardiac causes. Patients with an abnormal DSE had a higher mortality rate (44% vs 35% at 15-year follow-up, p <0.001) than those with a normal DSE. When comparing echocardiographic variables at rest to variables at maximum dose dobutamine, the chi-square of the test improved from 842 to 870 (p <0.0001) and from 684 to 740 (p <0.0001) for all-cause mortality and cardiac death, respectively. DSE provided incremental value in predicting all-cause mortality, cardiac death, and hard cardiac events. There seems, however, to be a "warranty period" of approximately 7 years, when the survival curves of a normal and abnormal DSE no longer diverge.

Prognostic value of dipyridamole stress cardiac magnetic resonance in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease: a mid-term follow-up study.

Dipyridamole stress cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) evaluates the key phases (perfusion and wall motion) of the ischemic cascade. We sought to determine the prognostic value of dipyridamole stress-CMR in consecutivepatients symptomatic for chest pain. Seven hundred and ninety-three consecutive patients symptomatic for chest pain underwent dipyridamole stress-CMR and were followed up for 810 ± 665 days. Patients were classified in group 1 (no- reversible ischemia), group 2 (stress perfusion defect alone), and group 3 [stress perfusion defect plus abnormal wall motion (AWM)]. End points were "all cardiac events" (myocardial infarction, cardiac death and revascularization) and "hard cardiac events" (all cardiac events excluding revascularization). One hundred and ninety-five (24 %) all cardiac events and 53 (7 %) hard cardiac events were observed. All and hard cardiac event rates in groups 1, 2, and 3 were 11 %, 49 %, 69% and 4 %, 8 %, 21 %, respectively, with a higher rate in group 2 vs. group 1 (p<0.01) and group 3 vs. groups 1 and 2 (p<0.01). Multivariate analysis showed the presence of late gadolinium enhancement and stress perfusion defect plus AWM as independent predictors of all and hard cardiac events. Dipyridamole stress-CMR improves prognostic stratification of patients through differentiation between the different components of the ischemic cascade. • Dipyridamole stress cardiac magnetic resonance helps to assess coronary artery disease. • Novel technique to study the key phases of myocardial ischemia. • Combined assessment of perfusion and motion defects. • Dipyridamole stress imaging has additional value for predicting cardiac events.

Prediction of 14-year outcomes in patients with a limited exercise capacity: Utility of dobutamine myocardial perfusion imaging in a high-risk population

ObjectiveDespite multiple studies on the diagnostic and prognostic use of dobutamine myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), information on its long-term prognostic value is scarce. The aim of this study was to assess the value of this technique for the prediction of very long-term outcome. MethodsA total of 721 patients with limited exercise capacity underwent dobutamine MPI for the evaluation of suspected or known coronary artery disease. 719 of 721 patients attended follow-up (99.7%). Twenty-eight patients who underwent early coronary revascularization were excluded from analysis. Endpoints were all-cause mortality, cardiac death, nonfatal infarction, and coronary revascularization. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed, and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors of long-term outcome. ResultsThe mean age of patients was 60 ± 11 years, and 61% were male. Myocardial perfusion abnormalities were present in 381 patients (55%) and included fixed defects in 190 patients (27%) and reversible defects in 191 patients (28%). During a median follow-up time of 14 years (range 0-16), 295 deaths occurred (43%), of which 158 were cardiac deaths (23%). Nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 35 (5%), and late coronary revascularization was performed on 133 patients (19%). An abnormal dobutamine MPI provided significant prognostic information for prediction of cardiac death, hard cardiac events, and MACE, after adjustment for significant clinical variables and stress test variables. ConclusionsDobutamine MPI provides incremental prognostic information for the prediction of cardiovascular outcomes in patients with limited exercise capacity. The long-term prognosis of patients with limited exercise capacity who have an abnormal dobutamine MPI is significantly worse than those with a normal MPI.

Prognostic Value of Echocardiographic Calcium Score in Patients With a Clinical Indication for Stress Echocardiography

ObjectivesThe value of the echocardiographic calcium score (eCS) was evaluated to predict cardiac events in a multicenter cohort of subjects without known coronary disease, who underwent stress echocardiography (SE) for suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). BackgroundSeveral studies have established that aortic valve sclerosis and/or calcification and mitral calcification, as detected by echocardiography, predict cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. The use of a semiquantitative total cardiac calcium score (eCS) to assess aortic and mitral valves, papillary muscles, and the ascending aorta has never been tested in multicenter studies; the inherent subjectivity and clinical applicability of such a parameter remains a concern. MethodsWe identified 1,303 patients from 5 Italian institutions and 1 U.S. institution, who had no known CAD and who underwent clinically-indicated pharmacological or exercise SE. They were followed up for myocardial infarction (MI) and all-cause death. eCS was assessed from archived images, and its discrimination and reclassification prognostic potential was determined. ResultsFifty-eight patients met the combined endpoint of all-cause death (n = 37; 2.8%) or MI (n = 21; 1.6%) during a median follow-up of 808 days. Age, diabetes mellitus, eCS >0, and ischemic SE were multivariate predictors of hard events. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that patients with ischemic SE or eCS >0 had worse outcomes. When both variables were abnormal, the prognosis was worse (p < 0.001). The multivariate model demonstrated that both eCS and ischemic SE independently contributed to risk prediction more than clinical variables. Both wall motion during SE and eCS were able to significantly reclassify the risk of events, but only stress wall motion demonstrated an incremental discrimination value. ConclusionseCS demonstrated significant prognostic value in predicting hard cardiac events in a multicenter population of patients who required noninvasive evaluation. Its value was independent from clinical assessment and wall motion during SE, although it did not show incremental value over these factors for discrimination of patients with and without events.

Combined Assessment of High-Sensitivity Troponin T and Noninvasive Coronary Plaque Composition for the Prediction of Cardiac Outcomes.

To determine the risk-stratification ability of plaque volume and composition assessment with cardiac computed tomographic (CT) angiography and high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT) in patients at intermediate risk for coronary artery disease (CAD). The study complied with the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the local ethics committee. All patients gave written informed consent. Five hundred twenty-one consecutive patients (mean age ± standard deviation, 62 years ± 10; 256 men and 265 women) were included in this prospective, observational, longitudinal, single-center study. Quantitative cardiac CT angiography analysis was performed in all patients (for 7690 coronary segments), whereas biomarkers (hsTnT and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) were available in 408 patients (78%). To evaluate the incremental value of cardiac CT angiography and hsTnT for the prediction of cardiovascular events, multivariate Cox regression and integrated discrimination improvement analysis were applied. In 521 patients, 13 hard cardiac events occurred during a mean follow-up period of 2.3 years ± 1.1 (median, 2.4 years; range, 0.5-4.5 years), while 23 patients underwent late coronary revascularization. The Duke clinical score was 51% ± 30, indicating intermediate risk. The presence of no plaques or purely calcified versus noncalcified plaques, plaque volume according to tertiles, and increased hsTnT (≥14 pg/mL) was independently associated with hard cardiac events (hazard ratio [HR] = 26.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.78, 244.99; HR = 12.14, 95% CI: 1.87, 78.74; and HR = 10.31, 95% CI: 2.72, 39.0, respectively; P < .01 for all). Patients with increased hsTnT and plaque burden (n = 53) showed the highest incidence for hard cardiac events (annual rate, 12.7%), followed by those with either increased hsTnT or plaque burden (n = 145; annual rate = 0.44%, P < .03), while those with lower hsTnT and plaque burden exhibited excellent outcomes and no hard event during the follow-up duration (n = 210; annual rate = 0%, P < .001). Use of hsTnT as a marker of myocardial microinjury and cardiac CT angiography as a marker of the total atherosclerotic burden improves the prediction of cardiac outcome in patients with presumably stable CAD and may aid in personalized risk stratification in patients at intermediate risk.

Long-term prognostic effect of coronary atherosclerotic burden: validation of the computed tomography-Leaman score.

Computed tomography-adapted Leaman score (CT-LeSc) was developed to quantify coronary CT angiography information about atherosclerotic burden (lesion localization, stenosis degree, and plaque composition). The objective of the study is to evaluate CT-LeSc long-term prognostic value in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Single-center prospective registry including 1304 consecutive patients undergoing coronary CT angiography for suspected CAD. High CT-LeSc was defined by upper tertile (score, >5) cutoff. Segment involvement score and segment stenosis score were also evaluated. Hard cardiac events (cardiac death and nonfatal acute coronary syndromes) were considered for analysis. Different Cox regression models were used to identify independent event predictors. Kaplan-Meier event-free survival was evaluated in 4 patient subgroups stratified by obstructive (≥50% stenosis) versus nonobstructive CAD and a high (>5) versus a low (≤5) CT-LeSc. Of 1196 patients included in the final analysis (mean follow-up of 52±22 months), 125 patients experienced 136 hard events (18 cardiac deaths and 118 nonfatal myocardial infarction). All atherosclerotic burden scores were independent predictors of cardiac events (hazard ratios of 3.09 for segment involvement score, 4.42 for segment stenosis score, and 5.39 for CT-LeSc). Cumulative event-free survival was 76.8% with a high CT-LeSc and 96.0% with a low CT-LeSc. Event-free survival in nonobstructive CAD with high CT-LeSc (78.6%) was similar to obstructive CAD with high CT-LeSc (76.5%) but lower than obstructive CAD with low CT-LeSc (80.7%). CT-LeSc is an independent long-term predictor of hard cardiac events. Patients with nonobstructive CAD and high CT-LeSc had hard event-free survival similar to patients with obstructive CAD.

Assessment of prognostic value of semiquantitative parameters on gated single photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion scintigraphy in a large middle eastern population.

Objectives:Coronary artery disease is the leading cause of mortality worldwide. The goal of this study is to determine the prognostic value of semiquantitative parameters of electrocardiogram-gated single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) in a large Middle Eastern (Iranian) population.Materials and Methods:This study was a prospective study including all patients referred to our center for myocardial perfusion scan. The patients were followed annually up to 24 months and their survival information was collected.Results:From 1148 patients, 473 (41.2%) men and 675 (58.8%) women, 40.6% had normal MPI, 13.3% near normal and 46.1% abnormal MPI. After follow-up of 929 patients, 97.4% of patients were alive, and 2.6% succumbed to cardiac deaths. Abnormal ejection fraction was related with cardiac events (P = 0.001), but neither transient ischemic dilation (TID) (P = 0.09) nor lung/heart ratio (P = 0.92) showed such relationship. Association between summed difference score (SDS) and soft cardiac events (P < 0.001) was significant. Summed motion score (SMS) and summed thickening score (STS) showed a significant relation with hard cardiac events, including myocardial infarction and cardiac death (P < 0.001 and P = 0.001, respectively). Totally, risk of all cardiac events was significantly higher in abnormal MPI group than normal group (P < 0.001, 0.02, and 0.025, respectively). No significant relationship was found between TID and total cardiac events (P = 0.478).Conclusion:Semiquantitative variables derived from gated SPECT MPI have independent prognostic value. Rate of total cardiac events is higher in patients with higher summed stress score and SDS. Total and hard cardiac events are higher in upper scores of functional parameters (SMS and STS). Total cardiac events are higher in patients with lower left ventricular ejection fraction.

Comprehensive Bio-Imaging Using Myocardial Perfusion Reserve Index During Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging and High-Sensitive Troponin T for the Prediction of Outcomes in Heart Transplant Recipients

We sought to determine the ability of quantitative myocardial perfusion reserve index (MPRI) by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) and high-sensitive troponin T (hsTnT) for the prediction of cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) and cardiac outcomes in heart transplant (HT) recipients. In 108 consecutive HT recipients (organ age 4.1 ± 4.7 years, 25 [23%] with diabetes mellitus) who underwent cardiac catheterization, CAV grade by International Society for Heart & Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) criteria, MPRI, late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) and hsTnT values were obtained. Outcome data including cardiac death and urgent revascularization (“hard cardiac events”) and revascularization procedures were prospectively collected. During a follow-up duration of 4.2 ± 1.4 years, seven patients experienced hard cardiac events and 11 patients underwent elective revascularization procedures. By multivariable analysis, hsTnT and MPRI both independently predicted cardiac events, surpassing the value of LGE and CAV by ISHLT criteria. Furthermore, hsTnT and MPRI provided complementary value. Thus, patients with high hsTnT and low MPRI showed the highest rates of cardiac events (annual event rate = 14.5%), while those with low hsTnT and high MPRI exhibited excellent outcomes (annual event rate = 0%). In conclusion, comprehensive “bio-imaging” using hsTnT, as a marker of myocardial microinjury, and CMR, as a marker of microvascular integrity and myocardial damage by LGE, may aid personalized risk-stratification in HT recipients.

Risk Stratification by Regadenoson Stress Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Patients With Known or Suspected Coronary Artery Disease

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and inducible ischemia on regadenoson cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) performed at 3.0 T. Regadenoson stress CMR MPI is increasingly used to assess patients with suspected ischemia; however, its value in patient prognostication and risk reclassification is only emerging. A total of 346 patients with suspected ischemia who were referred for regadenoson CMR were studied. The prognostic association of presence of inducible ischemia by CMR with MACEs was determined. In addition, we assessed the extent of net reclassification improvement by CMR beyond a clinical risk model. There were 52 MACEs during a median follow-up period of 1.9 years. Patients with inducible ischemia were fourfold more likely to experience MACEs (hazard ratio, 4.14, 95% confidence interval 2.37 to 7.24, p <0.0001). In the best overall model, presence of inducible ischemia conferred a 2.6-fold increased hazard for MACEs adjusted to known clinical risk markers (adjusted hazard ratio 2.59, 95% confidence interval 1.30 to 5.18, p = 0.0069). Patients with no inducible ischemia experienced a low rate of cardiac death and myocardial infarction (0.6% per patient-year), whereas those with inducible ischemia had an annual event rate of 3.2%. Net reclassification improvement across risk categories (low <5%, intermediate 5% to 10%, and high >10%) by CMR was 0.29 (95% confidence interval 0.15 to 0.44), and continuous net reclassification improvement was 0.58. In conclusion, in patients with clinical suspicion of myocardial ischemia, regadenoson stress CMR MPI provides robust risk stratification. CMR MPI negative for ischemia was associated with a very low annual rate of hard cardiac events. In addition, CMR MPI provides effective risk reclassification in a substantial proportion of patients.

Prognostic value of stress-only and stress-rest normal gated SPECT imaging: higher incidence of cardiac hard events in diabetic patients who underwent full stress-rest imaging.

The European procedural guidelines for cardiac gated SPECT imaging demonstrate considerable variability in recommended administered radiopharmaceutical activity and imaging protocols. This study compared stress-only and stress-rest protocols to evaluate the safety of stress-only imaging, and to identify characteristics of patients who need full stress-rest imaging. Patients referred for a chest pain were scheduled for stress-rest gated SPECT imaging. If the stress images were interpreted as normal according to the perfusion and left ventricular function, the examination of patients was finished and patients did not undergo the rest imaging. A total number of 1063 patients was included (mean age 61 ± 11 years). These patients have been followed for hard cardiac events, i.e. cardiac deaths or nonfatal myocardial infarction. During a follow-up of 3.2 ± 2.5 years, hard events occurred in 12 patients with normal SPECT and 59 with abnormal SPECT had hard events (0.7 vs. 3.6% /year, P < 0.001). Among the 536 patients with normal study, there was no significantly lower incidence of hard events in the subgroup of patients with stress-only imaging (0.6 vs. 0.8% /year, P = 0.641). Diabetes mellitus was an independent predictor of hard events in patients with normal SPECT (1.3 vs. 0.5%/year, P < 0.001). We found a higher incidence of hard events in diabetic patients with normal study with the necessity of full stress-rest imaging in comparison with those with stress-only imaging (1.7 vs. 0.7% /year, P < 0.001). Our results support the good prognosis of normal stress-only study. Diabetes mellitus was an independent predictor of hard events in patients with normal SPECT. Diabetic patients with normal results who required additional rest imaging had significant adverse outcome.

The Prognostic Value of Normal Stress Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Imaging

The purpose of our study was to determine the prognostic value of normal stress cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) by a systematic literature review and meta-analysis. A comprehensive literature search of published studies through November 2011 in MEDLINE database and Cochrane Library, regarding prognostic value of stress CMR in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease, was performed. Ultimately, we identified 11 studies. The summary relative risk ratio for major adverse cardiac events was 0.50 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.44-0.58) for normal cine CMR and 0.09 (95% CI, 0.02-0.35) for normal perfusion CMR. The summary relative risk ratio for hard cardiac events was 0.36 (95% CI, 0.16-0.8) for normal cine CMR and 0.22 (95% CI, 0.07-0.66) for normal perfusion CMR. Normal stress CMR for patients known or suspected of having coronary artery disease has good prognostic value in predicting cardiac events.

Dobutamine stress cardiac magnetic resonance versus echocardiography for the assessment of outcome in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease. Are the two imaging modalities comparable?

PurposeTo compare the value of Dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) with that provided by Dobutamine Cardiac Magnetic Resonance (DCMR) for the non-invasive risk stratification of patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease (CAD). MethodsPatients with suspected or known CAD underwent either DSE or DCMR using the same standardized protocol. Patient matching was then performed retrospectively for age, gender and risk factors. Outcome data including cardiac death and non-fatal myocardial infarction (defined as hard cardiac events) and ‘late’ revascularization performed >90days after the diagnostic procedures were collected during at least 6months. ResultsFollow-up data were available in 1852 patients who completed either DSE (n=884) or DCMR (n=884) during a mean follow-up duration of 4.1±2.4 and 3.9±1.9years, respectively (p=NS). Matched patients exhibited an overall high risk profile (69±9years; 69% male, 70% history of CAD and 26% diabetes mellitus in both groups). Using multivariable analysis, both modalities successfully identified patients with inducible ischemia at higher risk for subsequent hard cardiac events, surpassing the value of conventional risk factors like age, male gender and diabetes (HR=9.2; 95%CI=5.6–14.9 for DCMR versus 2.5; 95%CI=1.7–3.7 for DSE). By testing for interaction the predictive capacity of DCMR was higher than that provided by DSE (p=0.02). Patients with negative DCMR exhibited lower event rates compared to those with negative DSE (annual hard cardiac event rate of 0.8% versus 3.2%, p=0.002). ConclusionsDSE & DCMR aid the risk stratification of CAD patients. However, inducible WMA during DCMR are associated with a higher risk for subsequent cardiac events. Patients with negative DCMR on the other hand, exhibited a lower event rate compared to those with negative DSE.

Prognostic value of stress imaging after revascularization: A systematic review of stress echocardiography and stress nuclear imaging

Risk assessment may be important in patients being considered for repeat revascularization after prior coronary intervention or surgery. We sought the prognostic value of radionuclide stress myocardial perfusion imaging or echocardiography among patients with previous revascularization. Studies on the outcomes of stress imaging tests after revascularization were selected from an electronic search if they reported the odds or hazard ratio (HR) of an abnormal stress test in the prediction of mortality (cardiac or total), hard cardiac events (cardiac death and myocardial infarction [MI]), total hard events (total mortality and MI]), or overall events (cardiac death, MI, and repeat revascularization). In 29 studies (12,874 patients, 63 ± 3 years, 80% men), an abnormal test result was associated with hard cardiac events (HR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1-1.3), cardiac mortality (HR 5.8, 95% CI 0.8-10.8), total mortality (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.3-3.1), total hard events(HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.4-3.3), and overall events (HR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1-1.3). The nature of the end point was not associated with differences in the prediction of events, but the type of revascularization showed a significant association with outcome, with percutaneous intervention portending a worse outcome. Age and the timing of the stress imaging postrevascularization were inversely associated with survival. Gender, length of follow-up after testing, symptom status, past infarction, and risk factor status did not explain interstudy heterogeneity. In patients with previous revascularization, abnormal results at stress echocardiography or radionuclide myocardial perfusion imaging are predictive of subsequent events, with age, type of revascularization, and the timing of the stress imaging after revascularization being important sources of heterogeneity between studies.

Dobutamine stress echocardiography in patients undergoing orthotopic liver transplantation: a pooled analysis of accuracy, perioperative and long term cardiovascular prognosis

Pre-transplant evaluation for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) commonly includes a cardiac evaluation using dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE). We performed a quantitative systematic review assessing DSE's use in detecting coronary artery disease (CAD) and predicting perioperative and long term cardiac events in patients undergoing OLT. Published studies in pubmed were accessed using keyword searches and bibliographic review. Included studies evaluated the use of DSE in patients undergoing OLT, including its accuracy for detection of CAD, and in predicting perioperative and long term cardiac prognosis for both hard (myocardial infarction, cardiac death, cardiac arrest, and asystole) and soft cardiac events (all other events that were cardiovascular in nature). We calculated DSE's sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), and positive predictive value (PPV) in the above areas. We identified 7 studies, including a total of 580 patients, which included 4 accuracy studies (n=110 patients), 4 perioperative studies, and 3 long term studies. Accuracy for CAD included a sensitivity of 0.32, specificity of 0.78, PPV of 0.37, and NPV of 0.75. Accuracy for prediction of perioperative hard and soft cardiac events was a sensitivity of 0.20 and 0, specificity of 0.99 and 0.99, PPV of 0.33 and 0, and NPV of 0.98 and 0.89, respectively. For long term hard and soft cardiac events, sensitivity was 0.5 and 0, specificity 0.99 and 0.98, PPV 0.33 and 0, and NPV 0.99 and 0.96, respectively. DSE has a limited accuracy for the detection of CAD in candidates for OLT. However, among those patients selected for OLT, the negative predictive value of DSE for both perioperative and long term cardiac events is high.

Rapid-acquisition myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (MPS) on a novel gamma camera using multipinhole collimation and miniaturized cadmium-zinc-telluride (CZT) detectors: prognostic value and diagnostic accuracy in a 'real-world' nuclear cardiology service

To study the prognostic value of rapid-acquisition adenosine stress-rest myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (MPS) on a gamma camera using multipinhole collimation and cadmium-zinc-telluride (CZT) detectors. The secondary aim was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the technique compared with invasive coronary angiography. Retrospective analysis of 1109 consecutive patients undergoing MPS in a routine clinical setting on a high-efficiency multipinhole gamma camera. MPS acquisition, performed with a standard injection of 550 MBq of (99m)Tc-tetrofosmin, required a mean (±SD) scanning time of 322 ± 51 s. The hard cardiac event rate at a median (inter-quartile range) follow-up of 624 (552-699) days was 0.4% (95% CI 0.1-1.1) in patients with no significant perfusion abnormality versus 6.8% (95% CI 4.3-10.7%, P < 0.001) in those with an abnormal scan. In a sub-group of 165 patients, comparison with obstructive coronary artery disease on X-ray angiography gave a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy for rapid-acquisition MPS of 84% (95% CI 74-91), 79% (95% CI 68-87), 82% (95% CI 72-89), 81% (95% CI 70-89), and 82% (95% CI 73-89), respectively. MPS performed on a CZT solid-state detector camera with multipinhole collimation is an evolutionary development that provides reliable prognostic and diagnostic information, while significantly reducing image acquisition time.

Prognostic value of CT angiography in coronary bypass patients: a 73 months follow-up study

Purpose: Multidetector computed tomography coronary angiography (MDCT-CA) is a non-invasive and accurate tool for the detection of obstructive coronary artery disease and for the evaluation of coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) patency and MDCT-CA appears to have prognostic value in patients without previous revascularization. However, the prognostic value of MDCT-CA in CABG patients is still unclear. Aim of the present study is to investigate the long-term prognostic value of MDCT-CA in a large population of CABG patients. Methods: Between March 2005 and April 2009, 721 CABG patients (mean age 66.8±8.4, 577 males) were enrolled in our study. Patients were classified by unprotected coronary territory (UCTs) or a summary of native vessel disease and graft patency: the coronary artery protection score (CAPS). The composite rate of hard cardiac events (cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina) and all cardiac events (including revascularization) were end points of the study. Results: 10 patients were excluded because MDCT-CA data set was uninterpretable. Of the remaining 711, clinical follow up (mean 73.5±14 months) was obtained in 698 patients. By univariate analysis, the strongest MDCT-CA predictors of hard and all events were UCT 2 and 3 and CAPS 4 and 8. Cumulative event-free survival was 85% for hard events and 75% for all events in patients with UCT 0, 75% for hard events and 50% for all events in patients with UCT 1, 30% for hard events and 8% for all events in patients with UCT 2 and 10% for hard events and 2% for all events in patients with UCT 3. Cumulative event-free survival by CAPS ranging from 95% for hard events and 90% for all events in patients with CAPS 2 and 3% for hard events and 2% for all events in patients with CAPS 4. Conclusions: MDCT-CA appears to be a promising tool for long-term risk stratification of CABG patients. Particularly, assessing prognosis by UCTs appears to have prognostic value in CABG patients more than CAPS score.

Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is superior to the demonstration of distal collaterals in predicting cardiac events in chronic total occlusion (CTO)

BackgroundIn chronic total occlusion (CTO), the evidence for revascularization is less robust than for stable angina. A medical therapy strategy is common and often based on distal collateralization, regardless of the presence of ischemia. AimThe aim of this study was to examine the correlation between distal collateralization, myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), and hard cardiac events (HCE) in CTO. MethodRetrospective analysis of consecutive patients undergoing coronary angiography revealed 21 non-revascularized patients with CTO and MPI, over a 24-month period. Blinded review of patient charts, MPI, and angiography was undertaken. HCE of death, myocardial infarct, and unstable angina were assessed. Mean follow up was 23 months. ResultsSummed difference scores were calculated on a 17-segment model and collaterals graded on the Rentrop scale. 43% of patients had HCE, and 62% had collaterals. Ischemia on MPI accurately predicted HCE in CTO (60% vs 0%, P = .01). Distal collateralization failed to predict freedom from ischemia on MPI (31% vs 25%, P = .53) or HCE (31% vs 62%, P = .15). ConclusionMPI in patients with CTO accurately predicted HCE. This allows for accurate triage of patients by MPI for consideration of revascularization. Patients without ischemia can be safely managed with optimal medical therapy. The presence of collateralization did not predict either ischemia or HCE.

Prognostic Value of Multidetector Computed Tomography Coronary Angiography in Diabetes

OBJECTIVETo assess the prognostic role of multidetector computed tomography coronary angiography (MDCT-CA) in patients with diabetes with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Use of MDCT-CA is increasing in patients with suspected CAD. However, data supporting its prognostic value in patients with diabetes are limited.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSBetween January 2006 and September 2007, 429 consecutive diabetic patients were prospectively studied with MDCT-CA for detecting the presence and assessing the extent of CAD (disease extension and coronary plaque scores). Patients were classified according to the presence of normal coronary arteries and nonobstructive (<50%) and obstructive (≥50%) coronary lesions. The composite rates of hard cardiac events (cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina) and all cardiac events (including revascularization) were the end points of the study.RESULTSTwenty-four patients were excluded because MDCT-CA data were not able to be interpreted. Of the remaining 405 patients, clinical follow-up (mean 62 ± 9 months) was obtained in 390 (98%). Multivariate analysis showed that predictors of hard and all events were obstructive CAD, three-vessel CAD, and left main coronary artery (LMCA) disease. Cumulative event-free survival was 100% for hard and all events in patients with normal coronary arteries, 78% for hard events and 56% for all events in patients with nonobstructive CAD, and 60% for hard events and 16% for all events in patients with obstructive CAD. Three-vessel CAD and LMCA disease were associated with a higher rate of hard cardiac events.CONCLUSIONSMDCT-CA provides long-term prognostic information for patients with diabetes with suspected CAD, showing excellent prognosis when there is no evidence of atherosclerosis and allowing risk stratification when CAD is present.

A Long-Term Prognostic Value of CT Angiography and Exercise ECG in Patients With Suspected CAD

The aim of the study was to perform a comparison of the prognostic performance of computed tomography coronary angiography (CTA) and exercise electrocardiography (ex-ECG) in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). CAD is a major cause of mortality and morbidity, and its management consumes a large proportion of the health care budget. Therefore, identification of patients at high risk of adverse events is crucial. Despite its limited accuracy, ex-ECG is the most commonly used noninvasive test in CAD evaluation. CTA was recently introduced as alternative test. We enrolled 681 patients (age 61.3 ± 10.4 years, 461 men) with atypical or typical angina and no history of CAD. All patients underwent ex-ECG and CTA and were followed for 44 ±12 months. The endpoints were all cardiac events, defined as nonfatal myocardial infarction, cardiac death, and revascularization, and hard cardiac events, defined as all cardiac events excluding revascularization. ex-ECG and CTA were rated as positive in 419 (61%) and 274 (40%) of 681 patients, respectively. In univariate analysis, both ex-ECG and CTA were predictors of all cardiac events (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.5 to 2.8; p < 0.0001 and HR: 21.1, 95% CI: 14.6 to 30.5; p < 0.0001, respectively) and hard cardiac events (HR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.1 to 3.2; p= 0.02 and HR: 6.8, 95% CI: 3.9 to 11.0; p < 0.0001, respectively), whereas in a multivariate analysis, CAD with ≥50% stenoses detected by CTAwas the only independent predictor of hard cardiac events. Stratifying our population by ex-ECG and CTA findings, Kaplan-Meier curves showed that ex-ECG provides only a further risk stratification in the subset of patients with positive findings on CTA and a low to intermediate likelihood of CAD. Moreover, positive findings on CTA identify a shorter event-free period, regardless the ex-ECG findings for both all cardiac events and hard cardiac events, respectively. CTA may have a higher prognostic value compared with ex-ECG in patients with suspected CAD, mainly in those with a low to intermediate pre-test likelihood of CAD.