The fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (fPAR) is an important parameter reflecting the level of photosynthesis and growth status of vegetation, and is widely used in energy cycling, carbon cycling, and vegetation productivity estimation. In agricultural production, fPAR is often combined with the light use efficiency model to estimate crop yield. Therefore, accurate estimation of PAR is of great importance for improving the accuracy of crop yield estimation and ensuring national food security. Existing studies based on vegetation indices have not considered the effects of genetic variety, light, and water stress on fPAR estimation. This study uses ground-based reflectance data to simulate 21 common Sentinel-2 vegetation indices and compare their estimation ability for winter wheat fPAR. The stability of the vegetation index with the highest correlation in inverting fPAR under different cultivars, light, and water stress was tested, and then the model was validated at the satellite scale. Finally, a sensitivity analysis was performed. The results showed that the index model based on modified NDVI (MNDVI) had the highest correlation not only throughout the critical phenological period of winter wheat (R2 of 0.6649) but also under different varieties, observation dates, and water stress (R2 of 0.918, 0.881, and 0.830, respectively). It even performed the highest R2 of 0.8312 at the satellite scale. Moreover, through comparison, we found that considering water stress and variety differences can improve the estimation accuracy of fPAR. The study showed that using MNDVI for fPAR estimation is not only feasible but also has high accuracy and stability, providing a reference for rapid and accurate estimation of fPAR by Sentinel-2 and further exploring the potential of Sentinel-2 data for high-resolution fPAR mapping.
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