Gridded Precipitation Research Articles

A comprehensive decision support system for the characterization of probability distribution tails for daily precipitation

A conventional Decision Support System (DSS) can be used to characterize tails of probability distributions into distribution families using various graphical methods. Existing DSSs lack efficient segregation of the Lognormal distribution from the Regularly varying and Subexponential distribution families. Also, they lack the ability to identify the distributions from the hyper-exponential distributions. Recently developed graphical diagnostic tools, such as concentration profile, concentration adjusted expected shortfall, discriminant moment ratio plot, maximum-to-sum plot, and Zenga plot can classify the tails of distributions into various classes if used in an appropriate order in combination with tools of conventional DSS. The present study proposes a comprehensive DSS that alleviates the shortcomings associated with the conventional DSS and characterizes the tails of distributions into classes B\\A (Pareto type), C\\B (regularly varying), D\\C (subexponential), E (Exponential type), hyper-exponential class (outside class E) and LN (Lognormal) distribution (the limiting case between class C and D). The robustness of the proposed DSS over the conventional DSS is established through a simulation experiment. Further, this study also evaluates the influence of the sample size on the effective implementation of the proposed DSS. Finally, the proposed DSS is applied to characterize the tails of daily gridded precipitation data over India. Results indicate that precipitation data from about 98% of grids over India exhibit distributions from heavy-tailed families. The study recommends the use of heavy-tailed distributions to model daily precipitation data over India. The study also suggests that one should rely on more than one graphical method for deducing rational conclusions regarding tail characterization.

Evaluation of Satellite-Derived Precipitation Products for Streamflow Simulation of a Mountainous Himalayan Watershed: A Study of Myagdi Khola in Kali Gandaki Basin, Nepal

This study assesses four Satellite-derived Precipitation Products (SPPs) that are corrected and validated against gauge data such as Soil Moisture to Rain—Advanced SCATterometer V1.5 (SM2RAIN-ASCAT), Multi-Source Weighted-Ensemble Precipitation V2.8 (MSWEP), Global Precipitation Measurement Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM Final run V6 (GPM IMERGF), and Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS). We evaluate the performance of these SPPs in Nepal’s Myagdi Khola watershed, located in the Kali Gandaki River basin, for the period 2009–2019. The SPPs are evaluated by validating the gridded precipitation products using the hydrological model, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The results of this study show that the SM2RAIN-ASCAT and GPM IMERGF performed better than MSWEP and CHIRPS in accurately simulating daily and monthly streamflow. GPM IMERGF and SM2RAIN-ASCAT are found to be the better-performing models, with higher NSE values (0.63 and 0.61, respectively) compared with CHIRPS and MSWEP (0.45 and 0.41, respectively) after calibrating the model with monthly data. Moreover, SM2RAIN-ASCAT demonstrated the best performance in simulating daily and monthly streamflow, with NSE values of 0.57 and 0.63, respectively, after validation. This study’s findings support the use of satellite-derived precipitation datasets as inputs for hydrological models to address the hydrological complexities of mountainous watersheds.

Identifying snowfall elevation patterns by assimilating satellite-based snow depth retrievals

Precipitation in mountain regions is highly variable and poorly measured, posing important challenges to water resource management. Traditional methods to estimate precipitation include in-situ gauges, Doppler weather radars, satellite radars and radiometers, numerical modeling and reanalysis products. Each of these methods is unable to adequately capture complex orographic precipitation. Here, we propose a novel approach to characterize orographic snowfall over mountain regions. We use a particle batch smoother to leverage satellite information from Sentinel-1 derived snow depth retrievals and to correct various gridded precipitation products. This novel approach is tested using a simple snow model for an alpine basin located in Trentino Alto Adige, Italy. We quantify the precipitation biases across the basin and found that the assimilation method (i) corrects for snowfall biases and uncertainties, (ii) leads to cumulative snowfall elevation patterns that are consistent across precipitation products, and (iii) results in overall improved basin-wide snow variables (snow depth and snow cover area) and basin streamflow estimates.

Statistical Evaluation of the Performance of Gridded Daily Precipitation Products from Reanalysis Data, Satellite Estimates, and Merged Analyses over Global Land

The Beijing Climate Center of the China Meteorological Administration (BCC/CMA) has developed a gauge-satellite-model merged gridded daily precipitation dataset with complete global coverage, called BCC Merged Estimation of Precipitation (BMEP). Using the unified rain gauge dataset from the CPC (CPC-U) as the independent benchmark, BMEP and the four most widely used global daily precipitation products, including the Global Precipitation Climatology Project one-degree daily (GPCP-1DD), the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR), the Interim ECMWF Re-analysis (ERA-interim), and the 55 year Japanese Reanalysis Project (JRA-55), are evaluated over the global land area from January 2003 to December 2016. The results show that all gridded datasets capture the overall spatiotemporal variation of global daily precipitation. All gridded datasets can basically capture the overall spatiotemporal variation of global daily precipitation. However, CFSR data tend to overestimate precipitation intensity and exhibit a spurious positive trend after 2010, attributed to the transition from CFSR to NCEP’s Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2). On the other hand, JRA-55 and ERA-interim data demonstrate higher skill in characterizing spatial and temporal variations, bias, correlation, and RMSE. GPCP-1DD data perform well in terms of bias but show limitations in detecting the interannual variability and RMSE of daily precipitation. Among these evaluated products, BMEP data exhibit the best agreement with CPC-U data in terms of the spatiotemporal variation, pattern, magnitude of variability, and occurrence of rainfall events across different thresholds. These findings indicate that BMEP gridded precipitation data effectively capture the actual characteristics of daily precipitation over global land areas.

A Simple Method of Coupled Merging and Downscaling for Multi-Source Daily Precipitation Data

High accuracy and a high spatiotemporal resolution of precipitation are essential for the hydrological, ecological, and environmental fields. However, the existing daily gridded precipitation datasets, such as remote sensing products, are limited both by the coarse resolution and the low accuracy. Despite considerable efforts having been invested in downscaling or merging, a method of coupled and simultaneously downscaling and merging multiple datasets is currently lacking, which limits the wide application of individual popular satellite precipitation products. For the first time, in this study, we propose a simple coupled merging and downscaling (CMD) method for simultaneously obtaining multiple high-resolution and high-accuracy daily precipitation datasets. A pixel-repeated decomposition method was first proposed, and the random forest (RF) method was then applied to merge multiple daily precipitation datasets. The individual downscaled dataset was obtained by multiplying the result of merging by an explanatory rate obtained by RF. The results showed that the CMD method exhibited significantly better performance compared with the original datasets, with the mean absolute error (MAE) improving by up to 50%, the majority of the values of bias ranging between −1 mm and 1 mm, and the majority of the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) values being greater than 0.7. CMD was more accurate than the widely used dataset, Multi-Source Weighted-Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP), with a 43% reduction in the MAE and a 245% improvement in the KGE. In addition, the long-term estimation suggested that the proposed method exhibits stable good performance over time.

Evaluation of ERA5 Reanalysis Precipitation Data in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin of the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract Atmospheric simulation-based gridded precipitation datasets have been widely used in hydrological and land surface modeling, but may contain larger uncertainties in mountainous regions. This study compared the performance of the fifth European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA5) precipitation data with two fused precipitation datasets [China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System version 2.0 (CLDAS2.0) and China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD)] in the Yarlung Zangbo River basin (YZRB), which has a complex terrain and climate. Compared to in situ observations, ERA5 could capture the spatial–temporal pattern of precipitation but showed high precipitation, especially in the downstream region (lower Nuxia discharge station). In terms of the correlation coefficient, the overall performance of the ERA5 data was slightly worse than that for CMFD data at both the monthly and yearly scales, and was comparable to that of the CLDAS2.0 data. Given that the spatial mismatch between the gridded and in situ data may influence the evaluation, we also employed the water balance method to constrain basinwide precipitation amounts. We found that CLDAS2.0 and CMFD precipitation data tended to cause long-term water imbalance, and ERA5, with a much larger multiyear average annual precipitation, could better close the water budget. Further analysis showed that the differences in multiyear average annual precipitation between ERA5 and in situ observations were closely related to the slope and standard deviation of the subgrid-scale orography, indicating the substantial influence of subgrid topography on precipitation simulation. These findings highlight that ERA5 could be a potential reference dataset for hydrological modeling of the YZRB.

The High-resolution Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (HICAR v1.1) model enables fast dynamic downscaling to the hectometer scale

Abstract. High-resolution (< 1 km) atmospheric modeling is increasingly used to study precipitation distributions in complex terrain and cryosphere–atmospheric processes. While this approach has yielded insightful results, studies over annual timescales or at the spatial extents of watersheds remain unrealistic due to the computational costs of running most atmospheric models. In this paper we introduce a high-resolution variant of the Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (ICAR) model, HICAR. We detail the model development that enabled HICAR simulations at the hectometer scale, including changes to the advection scheme and the wind solver. The latter uses near-surface terrain parameters which allow HICAR to simulate complex topographic flow features. These model improvements clearly influence precipitation distributions at the ridge scale (50 m), suggesting that HICAR can approximate processes dependent on particle–flow interactions such as preferential deposition. A 250 m HICAR simulation over most of the Swiss Alps also shows monthly precipitation patterns similar to two different gridded precipitation products which assimilate available observations. Benchmarking runs show that HICAR uses 594 times fewer computational resources than the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) atmospheric model. This gain in efficiency makes dynamic downscaling accessible to ecohydrological research, where downscaled data are often required at hectometer resolution for whole basins at seasonal timescales. These results motivate further development of HICAR, including refinement of parameterizations used in the wind solver and coupling of the model with an intermediate-complexity snow model.

Evaluation of the RF-MEP Method for Merging Multiple Gridded Precipitation Products in the Chongqing City, China

Precipitation is a major component of the water cycle. Accurate and reliable estimation of precipitation is essential for various applications. Generally, there are three main types of precipitation products: satellite based, reanalysis, and ground measurements from rain gauge stations. Each type has its advantages and disadvantages. Recent efforts have been made to develop various merging methods to improve precipitation estimates by combining multiple precipitation products. This study evaluated for the first time the performance of the random forest-based merging procedure (RF-MEP) method in enhancing the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates in Chongqing city, China with a complex terrain and sparse observational data. The RF-MEP method was used to merge three widely used gridded precipitation products (CHIRPS, ERA5-Land, and GPM IMERG) with ground measurements from a limited number of rain gauge stations to produce the merged precipitation dataset. Eight stations (approximately 70% of the available stations) were used to train the RF-MEP approach, while four stations (30%) were used for independent testing. Various statistical metrics were employed to assess the performance of the merged precipitation dataset and the three existing precipitation products against the ground measurements. Our results demonstrated that the RF-MEP approach significantly enhances the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates, surpassing the performance of the individual precipitation products and two other merging methods (the simple linear regression model and the simple averaging). Among the three existing products, ERA5-Land exhibited the best performance in capturing daily precipitation, followed by GPM IMERG, while CHIRPS performed the worst. Regarding precipitation intensity, all three existing products and the RF-MEP merged dataset performed well in capturing light precipitation events with an intensity of less than 1 mm/day, which accounts for the majority (more than 70%) of occurrences. However, all datasets showed rather poor capability in capturing precipitation events beyond 1 mm/day, with the worst performance observed for extreme heavy precipitation events exceeding 50 mm/day. The RF-MEP approach significantly improves the detection ability for all precipitation intensities, except for the most extreme intensity (>50 mm/day), where only marginal improvement is observed. Analysis of the spatial pattern of precipitation estimates and the temporal bias of daily precipitation estimates further confirms the superior performance of the RF-MEP merged precipitation dataset over the three existing products.

Assessing the Applicability of Three Precipitation Products, IMERG, GSMaP, and ERA5, in China over the Last Two Decades

The accuracy of gridded precipitation products is uncertain in different temporal and spatial dimensions. Analyzing the applicability of precipitation products is a prerequisite before applying them to hydrometeorological and other related research. In this study, we selected three gridded precipitation products, Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG), Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP), and the fifth generation of atmospheric reanalysis of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ERA5), including their data from 2001 to 2020. Using the data from 699 ground observation stations, we evaluated the applicability of these three precipitation products in China. Based on five statistical and five classification indicators, we first assessed the applicability of the three precipitation products on daily, monthly, and annual time scales, respectively, and then evaluated their applicability in different spatial dimensions, including basins, agriculture, and geomorphology. The results showed that: (1) IMERG data had the best accuracy on annual and monthly time scales, with both correlation coefficient (CC) values greater than 0.95 and Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) values greater than 0.90. On a daily time scale, the accuracy of all three precipitation products differed when statistical or categorical indicators were considered alone. However, the applicability of IMERG data was best among the three precipitation products when both types of indicators were considered. (2) The accuracy of the three precipitation products gradually decreased along the southeast–northwest direction. The applicability of ERA5 data was better in northern regions than in other regions in China, especially in arid and semi-arid regions in northern China. The applicability of IMERG data was better in southern regions with more precipitation and in high-altitude regions than in other regions in China. (3) The applicability of the three precipitation products in plain areas was generally better than in mountain areas. Among them, ERA5 data were more accurate in plain areas, while IMERG data were more accurate in mountain areas. This study can provide a reference for the selection of data sources of gridded precipitation products in different time scales and spatial dimensions in China.

Assessing applicability of two gridded precipitation datasets for hydrological simulation in a poorly gauged river basin towards supporting sustainable water resources management

Reliable and accurate precipitation estimates are important for hydrological studies and sustainable water resource management. However, networks of rain gauges are often sparsely and unevenly distributed in many large river basins in the world including the Red River basin (RRB). Thus this study aimed to comprehensively evaluate the applicability of two widely used gridded precipitation products, gauge-based APHRODITE and gauge satellite-based GSMaP-Gauge, over the RRB using both statistical and hydrological assessment approaches. The accuracy assessment of the gridded precipitation datasets was performed by comparing with the reference precipitation dataset derived from the local weather stations. The hydrological performance of both gridded products was evaluated through the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological modelling scheme for simulation of daily streamflow at the hydrological stations in the RRB. The results demonstrated that both gridded products could generally capture the spatiotemporal variation of the reference precipitation over the RRB during the period of 2005–2014, although both underestimated the reference precipitation. Results of statistical analysis showed that the APHRODITE data outperformed the GSMaP-Gauge data in precipitation estimation. The performance of the VIC model driven by the gridded precipitation products in streamflow simulation was satisfactory, although simulations forced with APHRODITE data displayed the better performance. Generally, the APHRODITE product showed its encouraging potential for hydrological studies over the RRB.

Projected climate extremes over agro-climatic zones of Ganga River Basin under 1.5, 2, and 3° global warming levels.

Recurring floods, droughts, heatwaves, and other hydro-meteorological extreme events are likely to be increased under the climate change scenarios. The increased risk of these extreme events might have more exposure to the population; thus, it is important to discuss such extreme events and their projected behavior under a changing climate scenario. In the present study, we have computed the extreme precipitation and temperature indices over the 10 agro-climatic zones falling under the Ganga River Basin (GRB)utilizing a high-resolution daily gridded temperature and precipitation multi-model ensembled CMIP6 dataset (0.25° × 0.25°) under global warming levels of 1.5°C, 2°C, and 3°C. We found that the annual daily minimum temperature (TNN) showed a higher rise of about 67% than the maximum temperature (TXX) of 48% in GRB. The basin also experiences a greater increase in the frequency of warm nights (TN90P) of about 67.71% compared to warm days (TX90P) of 29.1% for the 3°C global warming level. Along with extreme indices, the population exposed due to the impact of the extreme maximum temperature has also been analyzed for progressive warming levels. Population exposure to extreme temperature event (TXX) has been analyzed with 20-year return period using GEV distribution method. The study concludes that the exposed population to extreme temperature event experienced an increase from 46.99 to 52.16% for the whole Ganga Basin. Consecutive dry days (CDD) and consecutive wet days (CWD) both show a significant increasing trend, but CWD has a significant increase in the majority of the zones, while CDD shows a significant decreasing trend for some of the zones for three warming levels periods. Extreme climate indices help to understand the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall, droughts, and heatwaves to develop early warning systems and adaptation strategies to mitigate such events.

Gridded precipitation products on the Hindu Kush-Himalaya: Performance and accuracy of seven precipitation products

Climate change is expected to change precipitation and temperature patterns, which will impact the hydrological regime in Asia. Most river systems in the region originate from the Hindu Kush-Himalayas, and the altered precipitation patterns pose a threat to their sustainability, making it a major concern for planners and stakeholders. Obtaining accurate data on precipitation distribution is crucial for water accounting, which poses challenge. To address this, gridded precipitation products developed from satellite imagery and modeling techniques have become a viable alternative or addition to observed rainfall. However, the accuracy of these products in the region is uncertain. In this study, we aim to evaluate and compare the seven most commonly used precipitation products for the regions to address this gap. The study evaluated seven rainfall products, namely APHRODITE, TRMM, CHIRPS, PERSIANN-CDR, CMORPH, WFDEI, and GPCC by comparing daily, dekadal, and monthly rainfall data to 168 stations data in six countries and 11 river basins in the HKH region. The analysis used four continuous statistical indicators (Pearson correlation coefficient, Bias, Root Mean Square Error, and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient) and two categorical indicators (Probability of Detection and False Alarm Ratio). APHRODITE consistently performed well in several basins with high r values and low RMSE values, but had positive or negative bias values in different basins. CMORPH had the lowest positive bias value in the Ganga_Brahmaputra basin, while GPCC showed the largest r value and lowest RMSE value in the Sindha basin. CHIRPS performed well in Afghanistan, but had positive bias values. GPCC performed well in Myanmar and Pakistan, but had negative or positive bias values. APHRODITE performed consistently well in Nepal, but had negative bias values. Overall, the performance of different gridded precipitation products varies depending on the country and type of evaluation.

Spatiotemporal Assessment and Correction of Gridded Precipitation Products in North Western Morocco

Accurate and spatially distributed precipitation data are fundamental to effective water resource management. In Morocco, as in other arid and semi-arid regions, precipitation exhibits significant spatial and temporal variability. Indeed, there is an intra- and inter-annual variability and the northwest is rainier than the rest of the country. In the Bouregreg watershed, this irregularity, along with a sparse gauge network, poses a major challenge for water resource management. In this context, remote sensing data could provide a viable alternative. This study aims precisely to evaluate the performance of four gridded daily precipitation products: three IMERG-V06 datasets (GPM-F, GPM-L, and GPM-E) and a reanalysis product (ERA5). The evaluation is conducted using 11 rain gauge stations over a 20-year period (2000–2020) on various temporal scales (daily, monthly, seasonal, and annual) using a pixel-to-point approach, employing different classification and regression metrics of machine learning. According to the findings, the GPM products showed high accuracy with a low margin of error in terms of bias, RMSE, and MAE. However, it was observed that ERA5 outperformed the GPM products in identifying spatial precipitation patterns and demonstrated a stronger correlation. The evaluation results also showed that the gridded precipitation products performed better during the summer months for seasonal assessment, with relatively lower accuracy and higher biases during rainy months. Furthermore, these gridded products showed excellent performance in capturing different precipitation intensities, with the highest accuracy observed for light rain. This is particularly important for arid and semi-arid regions where most precipitation falls under the low-intensity category. Although gridded precipitation estimates provide global coverage at high spatiotemporal resolutions, their accuracy is currently insufficient and would require improvement. To address this, we employed an artificial neural network (ANN) model for bias correction and enhancing raw precipitation estimates from the GPM-F product. The results indicated a slight increase in the correlation coefficient and a significant reduction in biases, RMSE, and MAE. Consequently, this research currently supports the applicability of GPM-F data in North Western Morocco.

Occurrence of heavy precipitation influenced by solar wind high-speed streams through vertical atmospheric coupling

A tendency of heavy rainfall-induced floods in Canada to follow arrivals of solar wind high-speed streams (HSSs) from coronal holes is observed. Precipitation events during the winter, including extreme freezing rain events in the province of New Brunswick, also tend to occur following HSSs. More direct evidence is provided using the satellite-based gridded precipitation dataset Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) in the superposed epoch analysis of high-rate precipitation. The results show an increase in the high-rate daily precipitation occurrence over Canada following arrivals of major HSSs. This is consistent with previously published results for other mid-latitude geographic regions. The ERA5 meteorological reanalysis is used to evaluate the slantwise convective available potential energy (SCAPE) that is of importance in the development of storms. The role of the solar wind-magnetosphere-ionosphere-atmosphere coupling, mediated by globally propagating aurorally excited atmospheric gravity waves releasing the conditional symmetric instability in the troposphere leading to convection and precipitation, is proposed.

A new daily gridded precipitation dataset for the Chinese mainland based on gauge observations

Abstract. High-quality, freely accessible, long-term precipitation estimates with fine spatiotemporal resolution play essential roles in hydrologic, climatic, and numerical modeling applications. However, the existing daily gridded precipitation datasets over China are either constructed with insufficient gauge observations or neglect topographic effects and boundary effects on interpolation. Using daily observations from 2839 gauges located across China and nearby regions from 1961 to the present, this study compared eight different interpolation schemes that adjusted the climatology based on a monthly precipitation constraint and topographic characteristic correction, using an algorithm that combined the daily climatology field with a precipitation ratio field. Results from these eight interpolation schemes were validated using 45 992 high-density daily gauge observations from 2015 to 2019 across China. Of these eight schemes, the one with the best performance merges the Parameter-elevation Regression on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) in the daily climatology field and interpolates station observations into the ratio field using an inverse-distance weighting method. This scheme had median values of 0.78 for the correlation coefficient, 8.8 mm d−1 for the root-mean-square deviation, and 0.69 for the Kling–Gupta efficiency for comparisons between the 45 992 high-density gauge observations and the best interpolation scheme for the 0.1∘ latitude × longitude grid cells from 2015 to 2019. This scheme had the best overall performance, as it fully considers topographic effects in the daily climatology field and it balances local data fidelity and global fitting smoothness in the interpolation of the precipitation ratio field. Therefore, this scheme was used to construct a new long-term, gauge-based gridded precipitation dataset for the Chinese mainland (called CHM_PRE, as a member of the China Hydro-Meteorology dataset) with spatial resolutions of 0.5, 0.25, and 0.1∘ from 1961 to the present. This precipitation dataset is expected to facilitate the advancement of drought monitoring, flood forecasting, and hydrological modeling. Free access to the dataset can be found at https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.21432123.v4 (Han and Miao, 2022).

Modeling Alex Hurricane: flood map simulation applying Multisensor grid precipitation, Monterrey, Mexico

A simulation was carried out in the Santa Catarina River watershed, located in the State of Nuevo Leon, Mexico, to study flood patterns and velocity maps during the occurrence of Hurricane Alex in June-July 2010. To conduct this simulation, a two-dimensional model of the Santa Catarina River Watershed was employed using the HEC-RAS software. The model was driven by Multisensor grid precipitation data as input. Land cover and soil layers were utilized in order to obtain various parameters within the watershed, such as Curve Number, Manning Number, Abstraction Ratio, Infiltration Rate, and Percent of Impervious Land. The simulated water levels were calibrated by comparing them with observed values at the Cadereyta Hydrometric Station, which is located near the city of Monterrey. The utilization of the HEC-RAS two-dimensional model combined with Multisensor grid precipitation demonstrates that this particular model is easy to set up and is user-friendly. Moreover, the model exhibits stability and possesses the ability to accurately simulate flood patterns and velocity maps within the watershed.
 Keywords: Floodmap, HEC-RAS 2D, Mexico, Monterrey, MRMS-QPE.

Machine learning approaches for reconstructing gridded precipitation based on multiple source products

Study regionSouth Korea is situated in the northeastern region of Asia Study focus:Recent technological developments have enabled multi-source precipitation products (MSPs), including satellite-based and model-based, to be useful data sources for quantifying the spatiotemporal variations in precipitation. Unfortunately, the main limitation of MSPs in potential applications is inheritance errors with high uncertainty. To tackle this problem, the capabilities of six machine learning algorithms (Ridge Linear Regression, k-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Regression, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, Light Gradient Boosting Machine, and Random Forest) to produce new precipitation product by merging MSPs with ground-based data have investigated. Ground-based data from 2003 to 2017 were utilized for train and valid process. The robustness of the ML algorithms was highlighted using several evaluation metrics such as continuous indices (modified Kling-Gupta Efficiency and root mean square error) and categorical indices (probability of detection, false alarm rate, and critical success index). New hydrological insights for the regionThe results indicate that (1) the ML approaches can merge MSPs with observed data for accurately estimate rainfall, particularly in basins with sparsely distributed rain gauge stations. (2) The merged precipitation products generated from the six ML approaches showed significant agreement and high accuracy with observation data considering rainfall intensity estimation and improved the capability of detecting rain and non-rain events over South Korea.

Robustness of gridded precipitation products for vietnam basins using the comprehensive assessment framework of rainfall

The use of satellite–based precipitation products (SPPs) have become increasingly prevalent as key inputs to provide regional rainfall for improving hydrological simulations in data–spare regions. This study introduces a new approach – Comprehensive Assessment Framework of Rainfall (CAFR) to evaluate six satellite–based precipitation products (SPPs) for eleven basins with different sizes across Vietnam (2007–2015). These SPPs include the Global Precipitation Mission (GPM) Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement Final run Version 6 (GPM IMERGF V6), Multi–Source Weighted–Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP) V2.2, Soil Moisture to Rain (SM2RAIN) – Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT) V1.5, Asian Precipitation–Highly–Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation (APHRODITE) V1901, Climate Hazards group Infrared Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) V2.0, and Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN) – Climate Data Record (CDR) V1.0. With the proposed CAFR: (1) IMERGF is suggested to have the best performance overall, especially when simulating flood peaks; (2) SM2RAIN–ASCAT demonstrates the best skills in metrics related to the dry season; (3) For streamflow simulations, SPPs' performance is sensitive to basin size, with larger basins showing better performance skills. In this study, we demonstrate the capability of our proposed framework to better understand SPP applications in hydrological modeling.

Validation of precipitation reanalysis products for rainfall-runoff modelling in Slovenia

Abstract. Observational data scarcity often limits the potential of rainfall-runoff modelling around the globe. In ungauged catchments, earth observations or reanalysis products could be used to replace missing ground-based station data. However, performance of different datasets needs to be thoroughly tested, especially at finer temporal resolutions such as hourly time steps. This study evaluates the performance of ERA5-Land and COSMO-REA6 precipitation reanalysis products (PRPs) using 16 meso-scale catchments (41–460 km2) located in Slovenia, Europe. These two PRPs are firstly compared with a gridded precipitation dataset that was constructed based on ground observational data. Secondly, a comparison of the temperature data of these reanalysis products with station-based air temperature data is conducted. Thirdly, several data combinations are defined and used as input for the rainfall-runoff modelling using the GR4H model. A special focus is on the application of an additional snow module. Both tested PRPs underestimate, for at least 20 %, extreme rainfall events that are the driving force of natural hazards such as floods. In terms of air temperature, both tested reanalysis products show similar deviations from the observational dataset. Additionally, air temperature deviations are smaller in winter compared to summer. In terms of rainfall-runoff modelling, the ERA5-Land yields slightly better performance than COSMO-REA6. If a recalibration with PRP has been carried out, the performance is similar compared to the simulations where station-based data were used as input. Model recalibration proves to be essential in providing relatively sufficient rainfall-runoff modelling results. Hence, tested PRPs could be used as an alternative to the station-based data in case precipitation or air temperature data are lacking, but model calibration using discharge data would be needed to improve the performance.

Error correction for IMERG precipitation estimates based on climatological adjustment combining the dry–wet season division and weight allocation

Error correction to obtain more accurate gridded precipitation estimates enhances the application prospects of the integrated multi-satellite retrievals for global precipitation measurement (IMERG). This study developed a climatological adjustment approach combining dry–wet season division and weight allocation (i.e., the DW approach) to achieve IMERG estimate correction without the need for contemporaneous gauge data. By learning the characteristics of an 18-year bias series from June 1, 2000 to December 31, 2017, through empirical probability calculation (the probability distribution function of every bias value in the dry and wet seasons), the bias field can be obtained without mathematical distribution assumptions for the biases. After recognizing the bias field at each of the 687 gauges in mainland China, the error adjustment can be tailored for every gauge to lower the current bias magnitude. The bias adjustment can be obtained as the product of two components, namely, the adjustment amount (AA) and the scaling factor (SF). The SF was discussed under different value intervals of the IMERG estimates to decide whether the original IMERG estimates should subtract or add the AA to generate the adjusted IMERG estimates. The quantile mapping (QM) approach was designed to be the standard method to examine the DW approach proposed. During the validation period from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2019, the capability of two error adjustment approaches to the value reduction of evaluation indicators was inspected at gauge, climatic, and topographic region scales. The main conclusions follow: (1) The DW approach performed better than the QM approach regarding the results of all of the evaluation indicators at the gauge scale. (2) The DW approach maintained higher efficacy than the QM approach at the gauge, climatic, and topographic region scales. (3) The proportion of the DW approach as the better-performing adjustment approach was higher than the QM approach both at the gauge scale and in most subregions. (4) In the areas where the IMERG products greatly overestimate the precipitation, the DW approach will be very effective, whereas the QM approach will be very effective in the areas where the precipitation is significantly underestimated by the IMERG data.