Great Aletsch Glacier Research Articles

Cast shadows reveal changes in glacier surface elevation

Abstract. Increased rates of glacier retreat and thinning need accurate local estimates of glacier elevation change to predict future changes in glacier runoff and their contribution to sea level rise. Glacier elevation change is typically derived from digital elevation models (DEMs) tied to surface change analysis from satellite imagery. Yet, the rugged topography in mountain regions can cast shadows onto glacier surfaces, making it difficult to detect local glacier elevation changes in remote areas. A rather untapped resource comprises precise, time-stamped metadata on the solar position and angle in satellite images. These data are useful for simulating shadows from a given DEM. Accordingly, any differences in shadow length between simulated and mapped shadows in satellite images could indicate a change in glacier elevation relative to the acquisition date of the DEM. We tested this hypothesis at five selected glaciers with long-term monitoring programmes. For each glacier, we projected cast shadows onto the glacier surface from freely available DEMs and compared simulated shadows to cast shadows mapped from ∼40 years of Landsat images. We validated the relative differences with geodetic measurements of glacier elevation change where these shadows occurred. We find that shadow-derived glacier elevation changes are consistent with independent photogrammetric and geodetic surveys in shaded areas. Accordingly, a shadow cast on Baltoro Glacier (the Karakoram, Pakistan) suggests no changes in elevation between 1987 and 2020, while shadows on Great Aletsch Glacier (Switzerland) point to negative thinning rates of about 1 m yr−1 in our sample. Our estimates of glacier elevation change are tied to occurrence of mountain shadows and may help complement field campaigns in regions that are difficult to access. This information can be vital to quantify possibly varying elevation-dependent changes in the accumulation or ablation zone of a given glacier. Shadow-based retrieval of glacier elevation changes hinges on the precision of the DEM as the geometry of ridges and peaks constrains the shadow that we cast on the glacier surface. Future generations of DEMs with higher resolution and accuracy will improve our method, enriching the toolbox for tracking historical glacier mass balances from satellite and aerial images.

Conservation of World Heritage glacial landscapes in a changing climate: The Swiss Alps Jungfrau-Aletsch case

Many glacial landscapes on all continents are inscribed on the World Heritage List. Due to climate change, most of the glaciers are retreating rapidly, thus questioning their Outstanding Universal Value. This paper clarifies what constitutes the heritage values of glacial landscapes and outlines how the heritage values could evolve in a future with less (or without) ice. For two sites in the UNESCO Swiss Alps Jungfrau-Aletsch property (the Great Aletsch Glacier and the Upper Lauterbrunnen Valley), we describe the evolution of the glacial landscape using a Past-Present-Future framework. We then evaluate the present and post-glacial heritage values according to criteria used in the literature on geomorphosites. The results outline two main issues: (1) As glaciers retreat, the geoscientific value will depend more and more on the inherited glacial landforms, such as moraine ridges, which allow the understanding of the Earth and climate history, and less and less on the glacier itself and its dynamics. Their protection is therefore an important issue. (2) The aesthetic value of glacial landscapes could decrease because of the disappearance of the glacier (landscape greying). One possible adaptation could be a shift from glacier tourism, which is mainly oriented towards the contemplation of an aesthetic landscape, to geotourism, where the understanding of landscape evolution is proposed to the public.

Evidence of the climate control of strong seismicity in the Italian Apennines through groundwater recharge

This work explores the possibility that the destructive earthquakes occurring along the Apennine Chain in Italy are systematically triggered by groundwater recharge. The focus is on multi-year transitions toward phases of wet climate rather than on short-term heavy rainfall occurring in a few days or seasonally. The analysis takes into consideration the earthquakes with a moment magnitude of Mw ≥5.8 that have occurred since 1901. Their time distribution is compared with the fluctuations of the self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI), an indicator of soil moisture, here assumed to be a proxy for groundwater recharge. It is found that the scPDSI evolved through six main oscillations lasting from 11 to 25 years, and that, with one exception, the strongest earthquake in each phase is placed within 2 years from the maximum of soil moisture. Based on a statistical test for pairs of point processes, such a coincidence indicates a significant synchrony between the two phenomena. In particular, the two strongest earthquakes of the study period (the 1915 Marsica earthquake and the 1980 Irpinia–Basilicata earthquake, with moment magnitudes of Mw 7.1 and 6.8, respectively) occurred exactly in the year of two of the largest peaks of scPDSI. The connection between wet climate conditions and the occurrence of strong earthquakes is further investigated by comparing the time distribution of Mw ≥6.1 historical earthquakes that have occurred since 1200 AD with the evolution of the Great Aletsch Glacier in Switzerland, representative of water accumulation at the continental level. Even in this case, the earthquakes clustered during time periods of increased precipitation and lower water evaporation, corresponding to the extreme phases of the Little Ice Age. The agreement of the results at different time scales and using different climate indexes leads to postulate a significant and systematic role of groundwater recharge in the triggering of large earthquakes along the Apennines. It is also suggested that the earthquakes might be triggered by pore-pressure propagation, where the necessary hydraulic continuity is made possible by the intersection of the shallow karst structures with the seismogenic faults.

Hydro‐Mechanical Interactions of a Rock Slope With a Retreating Temperate Valley Glacier

AbstractRock slope failures often result from progressive rock mass damage which accumulates over long timescales. In deglaciating environments, rock slopes are affected by stress perturbations driven by mechanical unloading due to ice downwasting and concurrent changes in thermal and hydraulic boundary conditions. Since in‐situ data are rare, the different processes and their relative contribution to slope damage remain poorly understood. Here, we analyze borehole monitoring data from a rock slope adjacent to the retreating Great Aletsch Glacier (Switzerland) and compare it to englacial water levels, climate data, and decreasing ice levels. Rock slope pore pressures show a seasonal signal controlled by infiltration events as well as effects from the connectivity to the englacial hydrological system. We find that reversible and irreversible strains are driven by: (a) hydromechanical effects caused by englacial pressure fluctuations and infiltration events, (b) stress transfer related to changing mechanical glacial loads from short‐term englacial water level fluctuations and longer term ice downwasting, and (c) thermomechanical effects from annual temperature cycles penetrating the shallow subsurface, which primarily result in reversible deformation. We relate most observed irreversible strain (damage) to mechanical unloading from ice downwasting. Damage is strongest directly at the ice margin and moves through the slope at the pace of glacial retreat and advance. Locations with many retreat/advance cycles are very sensitive to landslide formation. The current climate warming impacts very sensitive valley sectors, which is confirmed by landslide distributions and activity in the study area.

Controls on Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Slope Deformation in an Alpine Valley

AbstractA comprehensive surface displacement monitoring system installed in the recently deglaciated bedrock slopes of the Aletsch Valley shows systematic reversible motions at the annual scale. We explore potential drivers for this deformation signal and demonstrate that the main driver is pore pressure changes of groundwater in fractured granitic mountain slopes. The spatial pattern of these reversible annual deformations shows similar magnitudes and orientations for adjacent monitoring points, leading to the hypothesis that the annually reversible deformation is caused by slope‐scale groundwater elevation changes and rock mass properties. Conversely, we show that the ground reaction to infiltration from snowmelt and summer rainstorms can be highly heterogeneous at local scale, and that brittle‐ductile fault zones are key features for the groundwater pressure‐related rock mass deformations. We also observe irreversible long‐term trends (over the 6.5 years data set) of deformation in the Aletsch valley composed of a larger uplift than observed at our reference GNSS station in the Rhone valley, and horizontal displacements of the slopes towards the valley. These observations can be attributed respectively to the elastic bedrock rebound in response to current glacier mass downwasting of the Great Aletsch Glacier and gravitational slope deformations enabled by cyclic groundwater pressure‐related rock mass fatigue in the fractured rock slopes.

Robotic Total Station Monitoring in High Alpine Paraglacial Environments: Challenges and Solutions from the Great Aletsch Region (Valais, Switzerland)

Investigating surface displacements in high alpine environments is often subject to challenges due to the difficult accessibility or harsh climatic conditions. Measurement systems have improved greatly in recent years regarding accuracy, range, or energy consumption. Continuously receiving high-precision, real-time monitoring data from a remote location can still support a better understanding of slope dynamics and risk. We present the design, construction, operation, and performance of a complex surface displacement monitoring system installed in the surroundings of the Great Aletsch Glacier in the Swiss Alps, based on two robotic total stations to continuously measure 3D displacements with high accuracies. In addition, GNSS stations are also considered in order to pass from a local to a geographic reference system, as well as to improve the measurement accuracy. The monitoring network is aimed at studying several types of deformation processes, i.e., (i) gravitationally driven and irreversible rockslide movements around the tongue of the Great Aletsch Glacier, (ii) reversible rock slope deformations caused by annual cycles of groundwater recharge and depletion, and (iii) small irreversible deformations of stable rock slopes resulting from progressive rock damage driven by glacier retreat and cyclic hydraulic and thermal loading. We describe the technical details of the monitoring system, which has been in operation successfully for 6 years, and discuss the system performance in terms of its robustness and accuracy.

TanDEM-X:Deriving InSAR Height Changes and Velocity Dynamics of Great Aletsch Glacier

Great Aletsch Glacier (Grosser Aletschgletscher), the largest glacier in the European Alps, contains 20% of the entire Swiss ice mass. Therefore, it has been selected as a super-testsite for the TanDEM-X satellite mission. Dense time series with a repeat interval down to 11 d were acquired between 2011 and 2019 using two polarizations (HH and VV) and across-track baselines of 0-1 km. To evaluate the use of interferometric single-pass synthetic aperture radar mission for glaciological applications, we implemented a processing pipeline in interactive data language (IDL) and computed 130 digital elevation models (DEMs) from bistatic radar interferograms. We present a method to circumvent a common pitfall during orthorectification of radar DEM differences. Regression analysis of DEM time series shows a height loss of up to 8 m a$^{-1}$ on the tongue and 1.5 m a$^{-1}$ when averaged over the whole glacier area. In spring 2013, we observed X-band penetration depths of 4±2 m in the accumulation area. For strongly crevassed areas, the coherence drops already to 0.5 for across-track baselines <b xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">B</b> <sub xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">⊥</sub> > 200 m. With patch-based incoherent offset tracking, we obtained an almost complete 200 m resolution velocity map. Velocities reach up to 0.8 m d$^{-1}$, show a seasonal variability of ±0.05 m d$^{-1}$, and agree within 0.04 m d$^{-1}$(root mean square error) with field measurements. Copolar phase differences suggest an approximation of snow accumulation. We demonstrate orthorectification of the backscatter intensity using simultaneously acquired TanDEM-X interferograms, which allows for the decoupling of horizontal velocity estimates from phase-center height changes due to penetration and ice melt.

Cross-Correlation Stacking for Robust Offset Tracking Using SAR Image Time-Series

Offset tracking is widely applied for measuring ground surface displacements from remote sensing data. Displacements are determined by the offset where two image templates match best. The match can be evaluated with normalized cross correlation (NCC), in which the height and location of the NCC peak represent the matching quality and the corresponding offset. Attaining robust offset estimations requires an unambiguous tracking of the peak in the NCC noise floor. To improve offset estimations, we propose a cross-correlation stacking method that can significantly suppress the noise floor of NCC. Instead of deriving offsets from each pairwise NCC, we stack a series of consecutive pairwise NCCs and determine the offset after averaging the NCC stack. Thereby, tracking benefits from the redundant information in multiple NCCs and is more robust to noise. We assessed the method by measuring the flow velocity of the Great Aletsch Glacier in Switzerland using image time series collected by the synthetic aperture radar satellites TanDEM-X and Sentinel-1 A. Using relatively small templates of <inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$48\times 48$</tex-math></inline-formula> pixels combined with a stack of seven pairwise NCCs of TanDEM-X images, we obtain velocity fields whose spatial coverage are almost equivalent to the coverage of velocity fields obtained with templates of <inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$96\times 96$</tex-math></inline-formula> pixels applied on a single image pair. Similar improvements in spatial coverage are observed for Sentinel-1 A. The results demonstrate that the stacking method can greatly enhance both the spatial resolution and the coverage of the obtained velocity fields.

The effect of pre-existing structures on the Moosfluh landslide and its lateral propagation (Great Aletsch Glacier, Switzerland)

The retreat of the Great Aletsch Glacier is accompanied by a series of slope failures in solid bedrock, which are heavily influenced by the presence of pre-existing deformation structures. Since the 1880's, the Great Aletsch Glacier has shortened by more than 3 km and decreased about 400 m in thickness. As a reaction to the loss of the stabilizing effect of the ice, one of the largest active deep-seated landslides in the European Alps with an affected surface area of about 1.5 km2, called Moosfluh landslide, is evolving. In this study, a multimethod approach combining field work, remote sensing techniques and microseismic monitoring is used to assess the effect of pre-existing structures on the landslide deformation processes.The landslide evolution from 2008 to 2018 could be reconstructed with high spatial resolution. Surface deformation analysis reveals the concentration of high deformation in narrow zones, allowing to directly link pre-existing tectonic and exhumation structures with landslide deformation processes. Toppling as the main gravity-driven process is enabled by reactivation of NE-SW striking, steeply SE dipping Alpine Handegg phase shear zones. Differences in the lateral detachment processes are attributed to shear zone bridges in the NE as well as fractures and shear zones similarly oriented to Alpine Oberaarb phase shear zones in the SW. At the landslide toe, a transition from toppling to sliding mechanism due to the formation of a continuous basal detachment surface can be observed, which is favored by the presence of exfoliation joints. The dramatic acceleration of the Moosfluh landslide in autumn 2016 is directly related to an increase in glacier height loss rate, which implies that glacier retreat is the main trigger of the landslide. A temporal stabilization of the landslide is recorded after 2017, most probably caused by the self-stabilizing properties of flexural toppling. However, microseismic data records a lateral propagation of the landslide, following the retreating Great Aletsch Glacier.

Monitoring and analysis of active rockslide-glacier interactions (Moosfluh, Switzerland)

Valley glaciers have traditionally been expected to significantly influence the stability and movement rates of adjacent paraglacial landslides. However, detailed studies related to the mechanical and displacement interactions between glacier ice and unstable rock slopes are very rare. Here we present a detailed in-situ investigation of the spatial variations of the displacement field of the Great Aletsch Glacier in the surroundings of a large active instability, i.e., the Moosfluh Landslide, a Deep-Seated Gravitational Slope Deformation, with superimposed large (1–5 million m3) secondary rockslides formed during fall 2016. We performed repeat UAV-based photogrammetric surveys during ~3 days (74 h) and applied Digital Image Correlation techniques to record high-resolution surface displacement vector fields of the landslide, stable slopes and adjacent glacier. Our results show that the secondary rockslide adjacent to the glacier is composed of two parts of 1.5 and 2.8 million m3 volume respectively, showing significant differences in mean displacement velocities (0.4 and 0.9 m in 74 h respectively, excluding rapid movements from detached blocks). Both rockslide compartments induce clear deflections of the glacier flow field, moving with a maximum velocity of about 0.3 to 0.4 m in 74 h. This influence is highest near the ice-contact boundary and decreases within a distance of about 100–200 m from the rock slope instability. We investigate the viscous forces at the landslide/glacier contact using a straightforward analytical model for an incompressible rockslide block sliding along a planar, cohesionless surface into ice. These forces are then applied to a slope stability model based on the limit equilibrium concept, representing the real geometry at the interface boundary to quantitatively explore the true buttressing effects of valley glaciers on an already moving slope instability. We show that the viscous ice deformation plays an important role in mediating the displacement velocities of landslides in unstable conditions, while, on the other hand, the slope support from the valley glacier has very little influence on the stability of the investigated rockslides.As most valley glaciers are currently strongly retreating due to global warming, uncovering significant numbers of pre-LIA slope instabilities, this detailed investigation provides important hints on their potential displacement behavior. Understanding the factors controlling landslide velocity is of great importance for hazard analyses and early warning. Hence, this study has implications beyond academic interest, e.g., for the planning and operation of alpine infrastructure, such as cable cars or hydropower systems.

Borehole monitoring of thermo-hydro-mechanical rock slope processes adjacent to an actively retreating glacier

Most natural rock slope failures result from long-term strength degradation. It is often hypothesized that glacial retreat leads to enhanced progressive damage accumulation in adjacent rock slopes, due to mechanical unloading and changes to the thermal and hydraulic boundary conditions. However, direct observations of subsurface processes in a rock slope subject to glacial retreat are rare. In this paper, we present the design, implementation, and performance of a new borehole monitoring system installed on a rock slope in fractured crystalline rock located beside the glacier tongue of the retreating Great Aletsch Glacier (Valais, Switzerland). The three vertical, 50 m deep boreholes were instrumented to continuously monitor groundwater pressure, temperature and deformation at high resolution, in order to investigate thermo-hydro-mechanical coupled slope processes that drive progressive rock mass damage. We show that the system is capable of measuring both reversible and irreversible displacements along single fractures at magnitudes ranging between 0.001 mm to >2 mm in the studied rock slope, and that it is often possible to identify drivers of these deformation signals. The transient subsurface temperature field shows clear indications of former ice occupation in form of cold temperatures preserved at depth and superimposed annual temperature cycles penetrating down to a depth of about 17 m. The variability of the pressure head in the slope is driven by annual snowmelt infiltration cycles, rainfall events, and the assumed connection to englacial water of the temperate glacier. The new and continuously growing dataset presented here will enable us to relate the changing boundary conditions caused by glacial retreat and fatigue from daily to annual thermal and hydraulic loading cycles to progressive rock mass weakening, which may ultimately result in rock slope failure.

From Toppling to Sliding: Progressive Evolution of the Moosfluh Landslide, Switzerland

AbstractThis paper presents a detailed analysis of a dramatic rock slope acceleration that occurred in fall 2016 at the Moosfluh Landslide, located at the glacier tongue of the Great Aletsch Glacier (Switzerland). The acceleration that occurred in 2016 was unanticipated and exposed the valley bottom and an adjacent damned lake to high risk. This acceleration occurred in an active deep‐seated gravitational slope deformation (DSGSD) controlled primarily by deep block‐flexural toppling. In 2013, a highly accurate displacement monitoring system was developed and installed in the surroundings of the Great Aletsch Glacier, including a time‐lapse camera, GNSS, and robotic total stations. This monitoring system provided unique data during the 2016 slope acceleration which are used in this study to assess failure mechanisms, landslide volumes, and subsurface displacement geometry. Based on a novel displacement vector analysis, we find that three retrogressive secondary rockslides developed during the first six weeks of the slope acceleration, with rupture surface depths of 30 to 40 m, and estimated volumes between 1 and 4 Mm3. These rockslides display complex deformation features, including head and lateral scarps, which developed during the slope acceleration. The kinematics of these secondary rockslides changed through time, from primarily toppling to combined toppling and sliding. Our results provide a uniquely detailed understanding of the spatial and temporal evolution of deformation features and movement kinematics that occur when several sectors of a slowly moving DSGSD transitions into rapid rockslides.

Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier

AbstractWe model the future evolution of the largest glacier of the European Alps – Great Aletsch Glacier, Switzerland – during the 21st century. For that purpose we use a detailed three-dimensional model, which combines full Stokes ice dynamics and surface mass balance forced with the most recent climate projections (CH2018), as well as with climate data of the last decades. As a result, all CH2018 climate scenarios yield a major glacier retreat: Results range from a loss of 60% of today's ice volume by 2100 for a moderate CO2 emission scenario (RCP2.6) being in line with the Paris agreement to an almost complete wastage of the ice for the most extreme emission scenario (RCP8.5). Our model results also provide evidence that half of the mass loss is already committed under the climate conditions of the last decade.

Paraglacial history and structure of the Moosfluh Landslide (1850–2016), Switzerland

Rock slopes next to the tongue of the Great Aletsch Glacier, Switzerland are characterized by rapid environmental adjustment to non-glacial conditions. This study investigates and describes in detail the historic development of the largest rock slope instability in this area, called Moosfluh Landslide. We study in detail the structure, evolution and stability since the end of the Little Ice Age (LIA) until September 2016 and discuss their relationships with the evolution of the Great Aletsch Glacier since the Lateglacial period. In 2016 around 50 m of glacial ice thickness were left at the Moosfluh Landslide toe, where in 1850 glacial ice was >400 m thick. The changing stability conditions at the interface with the melting valley glacier are studied based on novel balanced cross sections and kinematic model of the Moosfluh Landslide dominated by toppling phenomena in metamorphic rock. The morphology and evolution of this landslide since the LIA are investigated with multi-temporal landslide maps based on aerial digital photogrammetry (ADP) applied to historic images since 1961. Internal deformation at Moosfluh is accommodated by shear slip along uphill-facing foliation and fault planes, and by extensional faulting forming tension cracks and graben-structures at the landslide head. Together with Digital Image Correlation (DIC) and total station monitoring (TPS) the Moosfluh Landslide displacement history was reconstructed, evidencing post-Egesen landslide displacements and an acceleration of movements since the LIA and especially since 2007. The displacement rates increase from few mm per year until the nineties to several meter per day in September 2016. Different kinematic models have been tested and changes in the Moosfluh rock slope stability in response to retreating glacial ice and changing groundwater conditions was explored with limit-equilibrium analysis of the stepped planar block toppling model of Goodman and Bray (1976). For the observed conditions and a toppling joint friction angle of 19° the simulated factor of safety drops non-linearly from the LIA maximum (1.12) to the year 2007 (1.02), when the height of ice above the valley bottom melted down to 100 m.This study illustrates with unprecedented detail the time scales, displacement magnitudes and structural evolutions of a large toppling mode slope instability in a paraglacial setting. The long-term cumulative slope displacements between the Egesen stadial and the LIA are of the same magnitude as the cumulative displacements between the LIA and the year 2016. As large portions of the studied slope underwent multiple retreats and advances of the Great Aletsch Glacier during the Lateglacial and Postglacial period, the observed onset of large slope displacements should be related to incremental damage (slip weakening and weathering) occurring along steeply dipping toppling fractures during the LIA.

Short Communication: Monitoring rockfalls with the Raspberry Shake

Abstract. We evaluate the performance of the low-cost seismic sensor Raspberry Shake to identify and monitor rockfall activity in alpine environments. The test area is a slope adjacent to the Great Aletsch Glacier in the Swiss Alps, i.e. the Moosfluh deep-seated instability, which has recently undergone a critical acceleration phase. A local seismic network composed of three Raspberry Shake was deployed starting from May 2017 in order to record rockfall activity and its relation with the progressive rock-slope degradation potentially leading to a large rock-slope failure. Here we present a first assessment of the seismic data acquired from our network after a monitoring period of 1 year. We show that our network performed well during the whole duration of the experiment, including the winter period in severe alpine conditions, and that the seismic data acquired allowed us to clearly discriminate between rockfalls and other events. This work also provides general information on the potential use of such low-cost sensors in environmental seismology.

Configuration of a High-Resolution Paraglacial Borehole Monitoring System at the Great Aletsch Glacier

Configuration of a High-Resolution Paraglacial Borehole Monitoring System at the Great Aletsch Glacier

Beyond debuttressing: Mechanics of paraglacial rock slope damage during repeat glacial cycles

AbstractCycles of glaciation impose mechanical stresses on underlying bedrock as glaciers advance, erode, and retreat. Fracture initiation and propagation constitute rock mass damage and act as preparatory factors for slope failures; however, the mechanics of paraglacial rock slope damage remain poorly characterized. Using conceptual numerical models closely based on the Aletsch Glacier region of Switzerland, we explore how in situ stress changes associated with fluctuating ice thickness can drive progressive rock mass failure preparing future slope instabilities. Our simulations reveal that glacial cycles as purely mechanical loading and unloading phenomena produce relatively limited new damage. However, ice fluctuations can increase the criticality of fractures in adjacent slopes, which may in turn increase the efficacy of fatigue processes. Bedrock erosion during glaciation promotes significant new damage during first deglaciation. An already weakened rock slope is more susceptible to damage from glacier loading and unloading and may fail completely. We find that damage kinematics are controlled by discontinuity geometry and the relative position of the glacier; ice advance and retreat both generate damage. We correlate model results with mapped landslides around the Great Aletsch Glacier. Our result that most damage occurs during first deglaciation agrees with the relative age of the majority of identified landslides. The kinematics and dimensions of a slope failure produced in our models are also in good agreement with characteristics of instabilities observed in the field. Our results extend simplified assumptions of glacial debuttressing, demonstrating in detail how cycles of ice loading, erosion, and unloading drive paraglacial rock slope damage.

Pushing the sensitivity limits of RTS-based continuous deformation monitoring of an alpine valley

Monitoring applications may require operating robotic total stations (RTS) at the limit of their sensitivity with respect to target displacements. Thorough understanding and mitigation of systematic effects are required in order to reach or push this limit. We investigate some of these effects, in particular effects external to the total station, using data and experience gained from a continuously operating monitoring system installed at the terminus of the Great Aletsch Glacier in Switzerland. The system consists of two robotic total stations, about 60 prisms, four global navigation satellite system (GNSS) receivers, thermocouples, inclinometers, and meteo-sensors. The purpose of the monitoring is to study reversible deformations of the adjacent slopes, likely driven by snowmelt and mountain water level changes. The deformations reach the millimeter- to centimeter-level and shall be studied on time scales ranging from annual to sub-annual, and ideally even down to daily or sub-daily resolution. Our investigation focuses on four aspects: protective housing, pillar stability, refraction, and stability of orientation, all of which were found to affect the measurements on the milligon-level with lines-of-sight of up to 2 km. The results highlight signatures of apparent point displacements, and the discussion comprises approaches to bounding or mitigating these effects which may also be expected in similar monitoring situations at other locations.

Contemporary glacier retreat triggers a rapid landslide response, Great Aletsch Glacier, Switzerland

AbstractThe destabilization and catastrophic failure of landslides triggered by retreating glaciers is an expected outcome of global climate change and poses a significant threat to inhabitants of glaciated mountain valleys around the globe. Of particular importance are the formation of landslide‐dammed lakes, outburst floods, and related sediment entrainment. Based on field observations and remote sensing of a deep‐seated landslide, located at the present‐day terminus of the Great Aletsch Glacier, we show that the spatiotemporal response of the landslide to glacier retreat is rapid, occurring within a decade. Our observations uniquely capture the critical period of increase in slope deformations, onset of failure, and show that measured displacements at the crown and toe regions of the landslide demonstrate a feedback mechanism between glacier ice reduction and response of the entire landslide body. These observations shed new light on the geomorphological processes of landslide response in paraglacial environments, which were previously understood to occur over significantly longer time periods.

Solar and proxy-sensitivity imprints on paleohydrological records for the last millennium in west-central Europe

This paper presents a lake-level record established for the last millennium at Lake Saint-Point in the French Jura Mountains. A comparison of this lake-level record with a solar irradiance record supports the hypothesis of a solar forcing of variations in the hydrological cycle linked to climatic oscillations over the last millennium in west-central Europe, with higher lake levels during the solar minimums of Oort (around AD 1060), Wolf (around AD 1320), Spörer (around AD 1450), Maunder (around AD 1690), and Dalton (around AD 1820). Further comparisons of the Saint-Point record with the fluctuations of the Great Aletsch Glacier (Swiss Alps) and a record of Rhône River floods from Lake Bourget (French Alps) give evidence of possible imprints of proxy sensitivity on reconstructed paleohydrological records. In particular, the Great Aletsch record shows an increasing glacier mass from AD 1350 to 1850, suggesting a cumulative effect of the Little Ice Age cooling and/or a possible reflection of a millennial-scale general cooling until the mid-19th century in the Northern Hemisphere. In contrast, the Saint-Point and Bourget records show a general trend toward a decrease in lake levels and in flood magnitude anti-correlated with generally increasing solar irradiance.