Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment Research Articles

Decoding uranium variation over the Indian peninsula through leveraging standardized precipitation evapotranspiration indices and groundwater level fluctuations

The present study aims to predict the concentration of uranium (U) in groundwater in India by utilizing water quantity indicators, such as Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) based groundwater levels. The study adopts a multi-scale approach, ranging from state-level to agroclimatic zones. The findings indicate that the highest levels of U (101–500 μg.L−1), which surpass the World Health Organization (WHO) prescribed limit of 30 μg.L−1 for drinking water, are primarily concentrated in India's plateau and hills regions. The GRACE data map portrays a downward trend in groundwater levels throughout India, with the mid-Gangetic plains experiencing the most significant decline. The meteorological aspect of the study, as indicated by SPI and SPEI, reveals that the plateau and hills region is experiencing a decline in rainfall. The SPEI further underscores the grim picture of decreasing precipitation in northern India. Additionally, the study employs cluster analysis to cluster states according to the division of agro-climatic zones. Lastly, the study employs a random forest algorithm to assess the relative importance of each predictor and predict U concentration under the trinity of precipitation, extraction, and evaporation. The most significant contribution of this work is to identify the hotspots in India that require the most attention in terms of U toxicity owing to groundwater decline. Overall, this study highlights the need for immediate attention to mitigate the adverse impacts of U contamination and aims at sensitizing the stakeholders towards the compelling need to fulfil SDG-3 (health aspects due to U hazard) and SDG-6 (groundwater over-exploitation and deteriorating water quality).

Rapid mapping of global flood precursors and impacts using novel five-day GRACE solutions

Floods affect communities and ecosystems worldwide, emphasizing the importance of identifying their precursors and enhancing resilience to these events. Here, we calculated Antecedent Total Water Storage (ATWS) anomalies from the new 5-day (5D) Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and its Follow-On (GRACE-FO) satellite solutions to enhance the detection of pre-flood and active flood conditions and to map post-flood storage anomalies. The GRACE data were compared with ~ 3300 flood events reported by the Dartmouth Flood Observatory (2002–2021), revealing distinct ATWS precursor signals in 5D solutions, in contrast to the monthly solutions. Specifically, floods caused by saturation-excess runoff—triggered by persistent rainfall, monsoonal patterns, snowmelt, or rain-on-snow events—show detectable ATWS increases 15 to 50 days before and during floods, providing a valuable opportunity to improve flood monitoring. These 5D solutions also facilitate a more rapid mapping of post-flood storage changes to assess flood recovery from tropical cyclones and sub-monthly weather extremes. Our findings show the promising potential of 5D GRACE solutions, which are still in the development phase, for future integration into operational frameworks to enhance flood detection and recovery, facilitating the rapid analysis of storage changes relative to monthly solutions.

The Extraction of Terrestrial Water Storage Anomaly from GRACE in the Region with Medium Scale and Adjacent Weak Signal Area: A Case for the Dnieper River Basin

The accuracy of estimating changes in terrestrial water storage (TWS) using Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) level-2 products is limited by the leakage effect resulting from post-processing and the weak signal magnitude in adjacent areas. The TWS anomaly from 2003 to 2016 in the Dnieper River basin, with characteristics of medium scale and an adjacent weak TWS anomaly area, are estimated in this work. Two categories of leakage error repair approaches (including forward modeling, data-driven, single, and multiple scaling factor approaches) are employed. Root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) are used to evaluate the efficiency of approaches. The TWS anomaly inverted by the forward modeling approach (FM) is more accurate in terms of RMSE 3.04 and NSE 0.796. We compared single and multiple scaling approaches for the TWS anomaly and found that leakage signals mostly come from semi-annual terms. From the recovered results demonstrated in the spatial domain, the South of Dnieper River basin is more sensitive to the leakage effect because of it is adjacent to a weak hydrological signal region near the Black Sea. Further, comprehensive climate insights and physical mechanisms behind the TWS anomaly were confirmed. The temperate continental climate of this river basin is shown according to the variation in TWS anomaly in the spatial domain. Snowmelt plays a significant role in the TWS anomaly of the Dnieper River basin, following the precipitation record and the 14-year temperature spatial distribution for February. We compared single and multiple scaling approaches for the TWS anomaly and found that leakage signals mostly come from semi-annual terms.

Groundwater Storage Variations across Climate Zones from Southern Poland to Arctic Sweden: Comparing GRACE-GLDAS Models with Well Data

The aim of this paper is to assess the correlation of groundwater level changes (or groundwater level anomalies (GWLA)) obtained from direct measurements in wells with groundwater storage anomalies (GWSA) calculated using Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) products and Global Land Data Assimilation Systems (GLDAS) models across different climate zones, from temperate Poland to Arctic Sweden. We recognize that such validation studies are needed to increase the understanding of the spatio-temporal limits of remote sensing model applicability, not least in data-scarce sub-Arctic and Arctic environments where processes are complex due to the impacts of snow and (perma) frost. Results for temperate climates in Poland and southern Sweden show that, whereas one of the models (JPL_NOAH_GWSA) failed due to water balance term overestimation, the other model (CSR_CLM_GWSA) produced excellent results of monthly groundwater dynamics when compared with the observations in 387 groundwater wells in the region during 2003–2022 (cross-correlation coefficient of 0.8). However, for the sub-Arctic and Arctic northern Sweden, the model suitable for other regions failed to reproduce typical northern groundwater regimes (of the region’s 85 wells), where winter levels decrease due to the blocking effect of ground frost on groundwater recharge. This suggests, more generally, that conventional methods for deriving GWSA and its seasonality ceases to be reliable in the presence of considerably infiltration-blocking ground frost and permafrost (whereas snow storage modules perform well), which hence need further attention in future research. Regarding long-term groundwater level trends, remote sensing results for southern Sweden show increasing levels, in contrast with observed unchanged to decreasing (~10 mm/a) levels, which may not necessarily be due to errors in the remote sensing model but may rather emphasize impacts of anthropogenic pressures, which are higher near the observation wells that are often located in eskers used for water supply. For sub-Arctic and Arctic Sweden, the (relatively uncertain) trend of the remote sensing results nevertheless agrees reasonably well with the groundwater well observations that show increasing groundwater levels of up to ~14 mm/a, which, e.g., is consistent with reported trends of large Siberian river basins.

Global Ocean Mass Change Estimation Using Low‐Degree Gravity Field From Satellite Laser Ranging

AbstractSatellite laser ranging (SLR) is a well‐established geodetic technique for measuring the low‐degree time‐variable gravity field for decades. However, its application in mass change estimation is limited by low spatial resolution, even for global mean ocean mass (GMOM) change which represents one of the largest spatial scales. After successfully correcting for signal leakage, for the first time, we can infer realistic GMOM changes using SLR‐derived gravity fields up to only degree and order 5. Our leakage‐corrected SLR GMOM estimates are compared with those from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) for the period 2005 to 2015. Our results show that the GMOM rate estimates from SLR are in remarkable agreement with those from GRACE, at 2.23 versus 2.28 mm/year, respectively. This proof‐of‐concept study opens the possibility of directly quantifying GMOM change using SLR data prior to the GRACE era.

Projection of future water availability in the Amu Darya Basin

AbstractWater scarcity is a major challenge facing many regions worldwide, especially arid and semi‐arid areas that are increasingly vulnerable to climate change. This study aimed to project water availability in the Amu Darya Basin (ADB) of Central Asia under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase Six (CMIP6) during two upcoming periods (2020–2059 and 2060–2099). The study used a robust machine learning approach, namely a Random Forest (RF) model, to simulate Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) data from precipitation and maximum and minimum temperatures (Tmax and Tmin). It then incorporated precipitation, Tmax and Tmin from four selected CMIP6 GCMs, into a water storage model to project spatiotemporal changes in water availability across the basin. The study also evaluated the relative impacts of land use and population on TWS. Results indicate an increase in TWS by approximately 4 cm in the basin's eastern, northwestern and southwestern regions in both future periods, while a decrease by approximately −4 cm in the remaining areas. These projections suggest that TWS will decline in densely populated regions and increase in certain intensively cultivated areas. The most pronounced increase in TWS is anticipated in the snow‐covered Tundra climate zone of the basin. This is attributed to the melting of glaciers, which contributes to runoff in the tributaries of the Amu River. The findings highlight the importance of considering climate change and socioeconomic factors when projecting water availability in arid and semi‐arid regions. The projected changes in TWS have important implications for water resources management in the ADB, particularly in densely populated and intensively cultivated areas.

Detection and interpretation of the time-varying seasonal signals in China with multi-geodetic measurements

The time-varying periodic variations in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations affect the reliable time series analysis and appropriate geophysical interpretation. In this study, we apply the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) method to characterize and interpret the periodic patterns of GNSS deformations in China using multiple geodetic datasets. These include 23-year observations from the Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC), displacements inferred from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), and loadings derived from Geophysical models (GM). The results reveal that all CMONOC time series exhibit seasonal signals characterized by amplitude and phase modulations, and the SSA method outperforms the traditional least squares fitting (LSF) method in extracting and interpreting the time-varying seasonal signals from the original time series. The decrease in the root mean square (RMS) correlates well with the annual cycle variance estimated by the SSA method, and the average reduction in noise amplitudes is nearly twice as much for SSA filtered results compared with those from the LSF method. With SSA analysis, the time-varying seasonal signals for all the selected stations can be identified in the reconstructed components corresponding to the first ten eigenvalues. Moreover, both RMS reduction and correlation analysis imply the advantages of GRACE solutions in explaining the GNSS periodic variations, and the geophysical effects can account for 71% of the GNSS annual amplitudes, and the average RMS reduction is 15%. The SSA method has proved to be useful for investigating the GNSS time-varying seasonal signals. It could be applicable as an auxiliary tool in the improvement of non-linear variations investigations.

Analysis of terrestrial water storage variations in South Korea using GRACE satellite and GLDAS data in Google Earth Engine

ABSTRACT With the requirement of a macroscopic approach to understanding the relationship between water resources and hydrological phenomena, such as severe droughts under climate change, this study investigates South Korea’s long-term terrestrial water storage (TWS) using GRACE satellite data. A detailed analysis of water balance in TWS, based on the GLDAS model outputs in Google Earth Engine, reveals the following results: (1) TWS anomaly shows an average decrease of −33.5 mm year−1 from 2003 to 2016; (2) spatial shifts in TWS anomaly (−1.176 to −0.424 cm) unveil regional water storage dynamics, indicating negative temporal slope changes per grid cell (−0.393 to −0.225); (3) contributions of precipitation to TWS are not always straightforward, due to runoff inefficiencies affecting water storage and groundwater; (4) accessible water, integrating surface water and groundwater linked only to the shallow layer’s soil moisture, constrains deep groundwater accounting, emphasizing the need for local groundwater surveys in further research.

Colored noise in GRACE total water storage time series: Its impact on trend significance in the Türkiye region and major world river basins

Temporal correlations are prevalent in most geophysical time series data, leading to what is known as colored noise, which become more apparent in the frequency domain rather than time domain. Neglecting this type of noise in modeling can result in underestimated standard errors for the parameters of the model used to analyze the time series. As a result, statistical tests misinterpret the significance of these parameters, such as the overall trend rate, because the “signal to noise” ratio becomes incorrectly larger than it should be. In this study, we investigate the temporal correlations in the time series data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission. GRACE and its successor mission GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) have been successfully employed to monitor global total water storage anomalies over two decades since its initial launch in 2002. We primarily utilize monthly GRACE mascon (mass concentration) solutions provided by NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), examining both regional and global scales. The power spectrum density of the residuals, calculated after applying standard harmonic regression to each mascon time series on Earth’s land, reveals an average spectral index of κ = −1. This indicates the predominance of flicker noise, one of the most common forms of colored noise in geodetic time series. Notably, the noise becomes more Brownian (κ < −1) in regions with intense hydrological events, while it tends to be more white noise (κ → 0) in areas with less water circulation compared to other land regions. This observation suggests that unmodelled hydrological events, such as droughts, floods, and ones associated with ice-melting, contribute to the residuals as colored noise in the time series. To account for this noise in our time series modeling, we primarily consider autoregressive (AR) moving average (MA) process, commonly known as ARMA, in addition to the standard variance component estimation for noise amplitudes. We focus on individual mascon blocks in the Türkiye Region and mascon solutions for 24 world’s major river basins. Our findings demonstrate that an ARMA(1,1) model is sufficient for describing the noise in these regions. The results underscore the importance of considering colored noise, as it leads to approximately three times larger standard errors for the overall trend rate. This substantially impacts the significance of the trend rates.

Significant Local Sea Level Variations Caused by Continental Hydrology Signals

AbstractSpace gravity missions have enabled the quantification of the mass component of sea‐level rise over the past two decades. Barystatic sea‐level rise is predominantly driven by melting polar ice sheets and mountain glaciers. However, continental hydrological processes also contribute to global sea level change at significant magnitudes. We show that for most coastal areas in low‐to‐mid latitudes, up to half of manometric sea‐level rise is due to changes in water storage in ice‐free continental regions. At other locations the direct attraction effect of anthropogenic pumping of groundwater over the duration of the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow‐On (GRACE‐FO) mission offsets sea‐level rise from ice sheet and glacier melt. If these trends in continental hydrological storage were to slow or stop, these regions would experience greatly accelerated sea‐level rise, posing a risk to coastal settlements and infrastructure, however, for most coastal communities current rates of sea‐level rise would be significantly reduced.

Revealing the Hidden Consequences of Increased Soil Moisture Storage in Greening Drylands

Vegetation primarily draws water from soil moisture (SM), with restoration in drylands often reducing SM storage (SMS). However, anomalies have been detected in the Beijing–Tianjin Sand Source Region (BTSSR) of China via the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE). This study quantified the sources of increased SMS in drylands to elucidate the effects of vegetation restoration on SMS. The results indicated the following: (1) In vegetated drylands, 46.2% experienced a significant increase in SMS while 53.8% remained stable; both were positively correlated with the normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI). (2) The increase in SMS was accompanied by a decrease in groundwater storage (GWS), as indicated by the significant correlation coefficients of −0.710 and −0.569 for SMS and GWS, respectively. Furthermore, GWS served as the primary source of water for vegetation. (3) The results of the redundancy analysis (RDA) indicated that the initial vegetation, the driver of the observed trend of increased SMS and decreased GWS, accounted for 50.3% of the variability in water storage. Therefore, to sustain dryland ecosystems, we recommend that future vegetation restoration projects give due consideration to the water balance while concurrently strengthening the dynamic monitoring of SMS and GWS.

Temporal and spatial variations of terrestrial water storage in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau retrieved by GNSS observations

The variation of solid Earth's hydrologic loading could cause the elastic vertical deformation of the crust, and the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) could effectively monitor the vertical displacement of surface loads. However, the widely used Green's function method does not work well in areas where GNSS sites are sparse. Here, the vertical displacement time series of GNSS stations and the Slepian basis function method have been applied to convert displacement signals into spatial spectrum signals. The elastic mass load theory is used to study the changes in terrestrial water storage on the Northeastern Tibetan Plateau (NETP). The temporal and spatial characteristics of seasonal water changes are well-represented by the GNSS, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), and the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). Several data points suggest that the change in water storage shows a gradual increase from the northeast to the southwest. The greatest annual amplitude of water storage retrieved by GNSS is ∼159 mm, which is greater than the ∼47 mm and ∼44 mm obtained by GRACE and GLDAS. These results demonstrate that GNSS is capable of capturing small-scale hydrological changes in this region, whereas GRACE and GLDAS data tend to underestimate seasonal variations in water storage. We also used GNSS to describe the hydrological drought conditions in NETP, showing that GNSS could be used as an independent method to characterize hydrological drought events. The findings suggest it could observe water storage with high spatial and temporal resolution and aid in comprehending regional hydrological trends with a sparse GNSS station network.

Estimation of groundwater storage variations in African river basins: Response to global climate change using GRACE and GRACE-FO among past two decades

Groundwater Storage (GWS) is an important component of the water cycle and a vital resource for supplying water to millions of people as well as sustaining domestic and economic activities, especially in arid and semi-arid regions such as Africa. This study aims to estimate and analyze the recent groundwater changes (ΔGW) for 11 major African basins in light of climate changes and global warming utilizing the data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) from January 2003 to December 2021. We proposed a new gap-filling technique to calculate the missing months between GRACE and GRACE-FO missions for the continuous estimation of groundwater changes. Then, we establish a new framework to analyze and investigated the climate parameters that could affect groundwater changes using Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) technique. Our analysis reveals that the new gap-filling technique is significantly consistent with the TWS time-series based on the trend line analysis. The lowest GPCC drought index value occurs in the lower Nile basin by approximately −0.93, while the highest occurs in the middle of Africa in Congo basin by approximately −0.02. The precipitation rate is mostly concentrated in mid-Africa while North and South Africa shows a weak rate. Meanwhile, according to the analysis of dependent climate parameters, climate change has had a negative impact on groundwater. However, the long-term effect on the groundwater does not clearly appear because most of Africa is located within semi-arid and arid regions. The effect of rain on groundwater was evident through EOF analysis, which shows GWS EOF Mode-2 (36.28%) and precipitation EOF Mode-1 (78.34%) were found to be in significant agreement in spatio-temporal domains.

Spatiotemporal coupling analysis of surface water and groundwater in Tibet based on multi-source sensors

Abstract. Lakes and groundwater are two crucial components of the global terrestrial water cycle, collectively forming a vital network for Earth's water resources. However, in the Tibetan region, the spatiotemporal relationship between lakes and groundwater and their impact on the local hydrological cycle remain inadequately understood. Satellite remote sensing serves as an effective observational tool, enabling comprehensive investigation and analysis of surface lakes and groundwater in Tibet with high spatial resolution. Therefore, this study integrates Landsat and Cryosat-2 satellite data to examine the spatiotemporal patterns of surface lake extents and water levels in Tibet. Additionally, combining Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite observations with the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) model data, we quantitatively analyze the spatiotemporal variations in groundwater storage and its correlation with lake water. The results indicate that: 1) Rivers and lakes in Tibet are mainly located in the central and northwest regions, displaying noticeable intra-annual variations; 2) Substantial lagged relationships exist between groundwater storage and lake water levels and areas, revealing that lakes contribute significantly to groundwater replenishment, especially in the Ngari prefecture and Lhokha prefecture. This study comprehensively utilizes multi-source remote sensing data to dynamically monitor surface and groundwater in Tibet, providing robust support for a better understanding of the interaction between groundwater and surface water.

Understanding the shift in drivers of terrestrial water storage decline in the central Inner Mongolian steppe over the past two decades

Terrestrial water storage (TWS) in mid-latitude arid and semiarid Eurasia steppe is under threat from climate change and human activities. The central Inner Mongolian steppe is a hotspot of this change, and in addition serves as an important ecological barrier in North China. However, the limitations of scarce observations make the variations of TWS in this study area have not been well tracked and quantified yet, and the drivers of TWS remain unclear. Here we use the gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE) satellites and its follow-on (GRACE-FO) missions, combined with data-driven models to fill the data gaps between GRACE and GRACE-FO. A significant TWS decrease (−2.7 ± 0.2 mm/yr, p < 0.05) was captured over the past two decades (2002–2020), which is consistent with land surface models (LSMs) that assimilated with GRACE data (R = 0.81, p < 0.01). By integrating GRACE satellites and open-loop LSMs, the contrary trends of TWS were identified over the period, and GRACE contrasts with the increase in TWS simulated by LSMs that excludes human activities. We observe a shift in the dominant factor driving the TWS decline from climatic (2002–2010) to anthropogenic factors (2011–2020). This shift accounts for the anthropogenic-driven increase in TWS decline from −2.0 mm/yr to −4.4 mm/yr, indicating the increasingly significant impact of human activities on TWS. We further reveal the climate-driven mechanisms of TWS using wavelet analysis and multiple drought indicators. The results showed that the TWS decline in the first period was mainly caused by continuous droughts, which were driven by the deficit in precipitation-minus-evapotranspiration. This study highlights the risk of TWS depletion in the central Inner Mongolian steppe that is eco-fragile, providing insights into the water resources sustainability and ecosystem conservation in vast dryland ecosystems of the world.

Changes in terrestrial water storage in the Three-North region of China over 2003–2021: Assessing the roles of climate and vegetation restoration

Large-scale vegetation restoration has markedly enhanced ecosystem services in the Three-North (TN) region, concurrently exacerbating the pre-existing water resource crisis stemming from climate change in this arid domain. However, the specific contributions of climate and vegetation changes to the evolution of water resources in the TN region have yet to be elucidated. This study leverages data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and its Follow-on mission (GRACE-FO), specifically the terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA) from 2003 to 2021. We identify two TWSA rising (TWSA_rⅠ and TWSA_rⅡ) and two declining (TWSA_dⅠ and TWSA_dⅡ) hotspots in the TN region. By exploring the relative importance of climate drivers and vegetation dynamics in influencing the temporal dynamics of TWSA, we found that vegetation restoration assumes a more pivotal role than climate factors in 45.2% of the total area within the identified hotspots, predominantly evident in TWSA declining hotspots. The heightened TWSA in TWSA_rⅠ and TWSA_rⅡ primarily stems from precipitation recharge, with precipitation-dominated areas constituting 19.3% of the area within the identified hotspots. Potential evapotranspiration dominates TWSA changes in only 4.6% of the region within the identified hotspots, primarily scattered in TWSA_dⅠ and TWSA_dⅡ. Furthermore, a comparative assessment of soil moisture and groundwater responses to environmental factors indicates that water storage at shallower layers is more responsive to climate factors, while the impacts of vegetation changes on TWSA are more discernibly reflected in water storage at deeper layers. These findings furnish scientific guidance for future ecological restoration planning and sustainable water resources management.

Regionalization of GRACE data in shorelines by ensemble of artificial intelligence methods

Groundwater (GW) plays a crucial role in coastal aquifers and arid regions, serving as a lifeline for communities by providing a reliable and resilient water source, making its monitoring essential for sustainable water management. This study aimed at modeling GW via regionalization of the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) data based on two methods. The first method directly regionalized the GRACE data for modeling GW via in situ measurements, including the lake level, precipitation, temperature, observed GW and Penman-Monteith-Leuning (PML) evapotranspiration data. The second method included two stages, in the first stage, the GRACE data were downscaled via the Famine Early Warning Systems Network Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS) data which contains satellite based precipitation, temperature, soil moisture, and snow water equivalent data. In the second stage, the downscaled GRACE was bias corrected to provide regionalized data. Artificial intelligence models consist of shallow networks (Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN), Adaptive neuro fuzzy (ANFIS), Support Vector Machine (SVR)), the ensemble of shallow networks and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning method were employed in the modeling process and the observed GW level data were targeted for the regionalization. The Link CluE clustering ensemble method was implemented to cluster the piezometers of the aquifer to separate different GW patterns in the area. The proposed methodology was examined over the Miandoab plain, one of the sub-basins of the Lake Urmia, located in Northwest Iran. The modeling results demonstrated that the first method could exhibit superior performance with the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of up to 17% higher than the second method. Thus, using in situ observed data for downscaling proved to be more accurate than relying on the data based on the satellite imagery. The results indicated that the ensemble of shallow networks could lead to more precise results than using the deep and shallow learning models, individually, where the NSE for the ensemble of shallow networks was up to 50% higher compared to the LSTM model.

Statistical downscaling of GRACE terrestrial water storage changes based on the Australian Water Outlook model

The coarse spatial resolution of the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) dataset has limited its application in local water resource management and accounting. Despite efforts to improve GRACE spatial resolution, achieving high resolution downscaled grids that correspond to local hydrological behaviour and patterns is still limited. To overcome this issue, we propose a novel statistical downscaling approach to improve the spatial resolution of GRACE-terrestrial water storage changes (ΔTWS) using precipitation, evapotranspiration (ET), and runoff data from the Australian Water Outlook. These water budget components drive changes in the GRACE water column in much of the global land area. Here, the GRACE dataset is downscaled from the original resolution of 1.0° × 1.0° to 0.05° × 0.05° over a large hydro-geologic basin in northern Australia (the Cambrian Limestone Aquifer—CLA), capturing sub- grid heterogeneity in ΔTWS of the region. The downscaled results are validated using data from 12 in-situ groundwater monitoring stations and water budget estimates of the CLA’s land water storage changes from April 2002 to June 2017. The change in water storage over time (ds/dt) estimated from the water budget model was weakly correlated (r = 0.34) with the downscaled GRACE ΔTWS. The weak relationship was attributed to the possible uncertainties inherent in the ET datasets used in the water budget, particularly during the summer months. Our proposed methodology provides an opportunity to improve freshwater reporting using GRACE and enhances the feasibility of downscaling efforts for other hydrological data to strengthen local-scale applications.

Optimal combinations of global evapotranspiration and terrestrial water storage products for catchment water balance

ABSTRACT During the last two decades, a great number of global products about evapotranspiration ( E ) and terrestrial water storage ( S ) have been released. This has led to numerous combinations for describing catchment water balance, and hence determining an appropriate combination has become an important issue. The main objective of this study is to evaluate various global products of E and S at the catchment scale and determine the most appropriate combination, taking two Korean catchments as examples. For E , we evaluated global evapotranspiration (Global ET), Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM), and Penman–Monteith–Leuning (PML). For S , six individual datasets of Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) were evaluated, with Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) products used for comparison. We found that the performance is sensitive to the choice of E product while various S products displayed minimal differences in results. Based on four evaluation criteria, the combination of PML and GRACE-SH-GFZ is suggested as the most suitable pair. For the period between 2003 and 2013, these data exhibit noteworthy trends of increasing E , offset by decreasing S . Warming climate is suspected to be behind these trends. Our research presents an approach that allows for the estimation of monthly streamflow exclusively with global data products, which is an advancement in hydrological analysis and particularly useful for regions that lack in-situ data networks. This approach provides a new perspective in the application of global datasets for the assessment of water balance and could significantly improve predictions in ungauged basins.

Study on the vertical deformations induced by terrestrial water storage changes in Huang-Huai-Hai river basin

Terrestrial water storage (TWS) variations are associated with water mass movements, which may cause the deformation displacements of the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations. This study investigates the spatio-temporal TWS variations and addresses the relationship between deformation variations observed in the Huang-Huai-Hai River Basin (HHHRB) and local hydrological features. Results indicate that the vertical velocities at the GNSS stations induced by TWS changes are relatively small, and the impacts of the terrestrial water storage changes are mainly reflected in the changes of seasonal characteristics. Although there is a downward TWS trend from 2011 to 2022 in most HHHRB areas, velocities from the vertical displacements of both Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GFO) and the GNSS reflect that the HHHRB is undergoing an uplift process, while the magnitude of the GRACE/GFO derived velocities is much smaller than that of the GNSS solutions. Common hydrological deformations estimated from GRACE/GFO and GNSS measurements reveal that the TWS-derived displacements can explain 54.5% of the GNSS seasonal variations, with the phases of terrestrial water storage advancing by about one month relative to GNSS common signal phases. Moreover, the decrease of the groundwater storage in the HHHRB has been accelerating since 2008. After reaching its lowest level around mid-2020, it began to rise rapidly, which might be closely related to the implementation of the South-North Water Transfer Central Project.