Twin-screw wet granulation (TWSG) is a promising continuous alternative of pharmaceutical wet granulation. One of its benefits is that the components dissolved in the granulation liquid are distributed homogeneously in the granules. This provides an elegant way to manufacture products with ultralow drug doses. Near-infrared (NIR) and Raman spectroscopy are well-established process analytical technology (PAT) tools that can be used for the in-line monitoring of TSWG. However, their detection limit does not enable the measurement of components in the ultralow (i.e., ppm) range. In this paper, an indirect approach is presented that enables the real-time determination of the concentration of a drug in concentrations between 40 and 100 ppm by using the signal of an excipient, in this case, the polyvinylpyrrolidone (PVP). This component is also dissolved in the granulation liquid; therefore, it is distributed in the same way as the active ingredient. Results of HPLC measurements have proved that the models trained to quantify the concentration of PVP in real-time gave an accurate determination for the active ingredient as well (root mean squared error was 7.07 ppm for Raman and 5.31 ppm for NIR spectroscopy, respectively). These findings imply that it is possible to indirectly predict the concentration of ultralow dose drugs with in-line analytical techniques based on the concentration of an excipient.
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