Government Strategic Planning Research Articles

An adaptation of reference class forecasting for the assessment of large-scale urban planning vision, a SEM-ANN approach to the case of Hong Kong Lantau tomorrow

An outline strategic urban planning vision is a front-end government strategic plan with sparsely defined goals. Methods for an ex-ante appraisal of such sparsely defined vision are limited in the literature. By adapting a reference class forecasting (RCF) methodology, we propose an innovative two-stage combination of Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as an explainable ANN strategy to the appraisal of urban planning vision outline. The SEM-ANN operationalizes interaction between job, resident, and multi-modal accessibility in a public transport-dominated city. This strategy is applied to Lantau Tomorrow Vision in Hong Kong, as an extreme case study of a large, reclaimed island. The vision is broadly outlined as a New Town with a third CBD, residential and job targets, road and urban rail transport infrastructure routing, and an overall cost. The results show that the New Town scenario job/population goal should be plausibly attainable by increasing the transport infrastructure accessibility supply. Yet, the simulation indicates that the CBD3 employment goal based on CBD1 is out of range. Overall, our SEM-ANN method, as an adaptation of RCF, is of particular interest in front-end large-scale outline urban planning vision appraisal.

Factors Affecting Sharia Banking Market Share in Indonesia 2018

Based on the Vision of Sharia banking in Indonesia, it must support the real sector through share-based financing activities with fair transactions for the whole community. It is necessary to develop Human Resources (SDI), Promotion and Strategic Policies in Islamic Banking. This policy is what makes the basis and purpose of research on Effect of Promotional Costs, Training Education Costs and Government Strategic Plans on the Sharia Banking Market Share in This study uses secondary data consist of 77 months in the period of (2012-2018) that is processed using Eview 6 with the Dynamic Tauhidi String Relations (TSR) Model. The results obtained from this study indicate that the cost of promotion, education costs, and promotion costs positively and significantly impact the market share of Islamic Banking in Indonesia. The growth of market share shows that there is still a lack of learning process and public understanding of the Syariah banking business.

An ensemble approach based on transformation functions for natural gas price forecasting considering optimal time delays.

Natural gas, known as the cleanest fossil fuel, plays a vital role in the economies of producing and consuming countries. Understanding and tracking the drivers of natural gas prices are of significant interest to the many economic sectors. Hence, accurately forecasting the price is very important not only for providing an effective factor for implementing energy policy but also for playing an extremely significant role in government strategic planning. The purpose of this study is to provide an approach to forecast the natural gas price. First, optimal time delays are identified by a new approach based on the Euclidean Distance between input and target vectors. Then, wavelet decomposition has been implemented to reduce noise. Moreover, fuzzy transform with different membership functions has been used for modeling uncertainty in time series. The wavelet decomposition and fuzzy transform have been integrated into the preprocessing stage. An ensemble method is used for integrating the outputs of various neural networks. The results depict that the proposed preprocessing methods used in this paper cause to improve the accuracy of natural gas price forecasting and consider uncertainty in time series.

The rise of E-Sports and potential for Post-COVID continued growth

E-sports is an event involving professional game competitions. Despite a significant growth of e-sports industry, research findings and literature, including systematic evaluation and comparison of destinations are still in infant stage. Thus, the current paper attempts to review e-sports industry and address the multiple indicators for success. The results of this study show that the economic impact by esports is significant for a destination. In particular, government strategic plans and investment should be considered for strategic development of e-sports particularly in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The potential of sustainable municipal solid waste-to-energy management in the Palestinian Territories

Global energy demand and MSW generation are increasing as population and living quality continue to grow. Efforts are oriented towards developing and adopting sustainable solutions. Palestinian territories depend on imported energy (100% fossil fuel and 89% electricity) from Israel, and suffer from MSW accumulation environmental consequences due to improper disposal method. West Bank MSW generation rate reached 2600 ton per day (0.91 kg per capita per day) in 2019, and it increases 4% annually. Three MSW dumping sites are currently operating, namely; Zahrat Al-Finjan to serve middle and northern West Bank area (of 88% utilization rate), Al-Menia (of 9% utilization rate) to serve southern area, and one in the city of Jericho (overloaded). Palestinian government strategic plans (2017–2022) aim to reduce imported energy dependency, reduce CO2eq emissions, and adopt sustainable solutions for MSW disposal. WTE is considered a promising solution to achieve these objectives.This research investigates three WTE options for the West Bank, two of them assume producing electricity by incineration, which are building a plant in Zahrat Al-Finjan (1500 ton/day), or building a smaller plant in a transfer station (750 ton/day), the third option assumes waste-to-heat option for local industrial loads. To perform the study, all MSW, energy, and population data were collected and analyzed spatially. After that, considered options were analyzed from economic and environmental point of view, and different operational incentives were proposed to enhance its feasibility.Results show that waste to heat plant is the most feasible. Unfortunately, this option is impractical due to demand unavailability. For electric generation plants in Zahrat Al-Finjan and the transfer station, MARR and plant life time were assumed 10% and 30 years, respectively. If the proposed plants will be responsible for handling MSW collection and transferring costs, NPV for it will be 25.2 and −2.63 million U.S dollars, RoR equals to 12% and 9.7%, and SPP equals to 8.5 and 11 years, respectively. While if the Palestinian government will continue taking this burden, Zahrat Al-Finjan and transfer station WtE plants NPV will be 207 and 12.5 million U.S dollars, RoR equals to 22% and 11.3%, and SPP equals to 4.6 and 9 years, LCOE equals to 0.0486 and 0.0497 $/kWh, and annual saved CO2eq equals to 1.23 and 0.58 Mt CO2eq, respectively.

Optimal selection of seawater desalination technology in Oman

Groundwater is the main water source in the Sultanate of Oman, which is overexploited to meet water needs as the country faces a deficit between replenishment and demand. In order to conserve groundwater resources, Oman started using seawater desalination technology in 1997. In the future, the government strategic plan is to meet 90% of its drinking water demand from desalinating seawater. The selection of a desalination technology depends on the need and capability of the country, and as the technologies have improved and become efficient over the years, it is necessary to evaluate the technologies to make an informed decision. Therefore, this research adopts the analytical hierarchy process to select the best seawater desalination technology for Oman based on several desired criteria. This study considered several criteria and sub-criteria in the evaluation process and concluded that the most important criteria influencing the selection of desalination technology are environmental, social and economic criteria, with priority vectors of 0.362, 0.238 and 0.179, respectively. The study further concluded that the optimum seawater desalination technology for Oman, based on the desired criteria, is reverse osmosis, followed by forward osmosis, multistage flash and multiple-effect distillation.

Metropolitan tier of government to facilitate a bottom-up two-tier metropolitan governance model in Melbourne, Australia

ABSTRACT This article compares government tiers, governance models, and strategic planning policies applying to metropolitan Vancouver and Melbourne. The method of comparison was chosen to reveal gaps in policies to assess the potential for improving the governance model for metropolitan Melbourne. The regional or metropolitan tier of government is absent in Australia. This deficit causes the absence of institutional frameworks and policy delivery tools at the metropolitan level – the metropolitan governance deficit. The establishing of the additional fourth tier of government could be effective to address the implementation deficit in Melbourne. This paper reviews the bottom-up two-tier metropolitan governance model and how it could impact positively on the infrastructure delivery using the Strategic Plan as a planning tool.

Strategic planning of freight transportation to support smart cities design: The Brazilian soybean case

Freight transportation can impact the effectiveness of smart city development if it is not well planned. Commodities with international flows such as soy can cause traffic in urban areas where ports are installed, negatively influencing economic (e.g. delays and fines), social (e.g. population quality of life) and environmental (e.g. intensification of pollutant and greenhouse gases emissions) dimensions. Thus, this paper aims to apply a location-allocation mathematical model to determine the ideal location of logistics integration centers - LICs dedicated to soybean transportation. We believe that, by properly locating structures that allow intermodality, the use of road transport would decrease by replacing it with intermodal alternatives with less environmental impact, reducing road congestion in urban centers under port influence. In addition, the total costs of the network would be optimized, promoting positive economic impacts on the soybean logistics chains. Therefore, eight scenarios were established varying the model's input parameters (such as investment and minimum volume of soybean moved through a LIC). The model was implemented in the Mosel language using the Xpress IVE solver version 1.24.24. The costs of each scenario were investigated, and the benefits related to the currently configuration (with no LIC) were pointed out. In the end, it was observed that the applied model might support government strategic planning (including, here, the design of smart cities).

МОНИТОРИНГ РАЗРАБОТКИ И РЕАЛИЗАЦИИ ДОКУМЕНТОВ СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОГО ПЛАНИРОВАНИЯ: КЛЮЧЕВЫЕ АСПЕКТЫ

The paper touches upon the key aspects of building a system for monitoring the development and implementa-tion of government strategic planning documents. The notion of a monitoring system as such and its place in the public administration system is revealed. It is shown that monitoring of strategic planning documents has several specific features compared to monitoring the regulatory framework in general. The object of monitor-ing is the process of development and subsequent im-plementation of various strategic planning documents. The result of monitoring are proposals for the adjustment of both individual state initiatives, and, if necessary, the entire direction of state policy. It is shown that monitor-ing should be carried out throughout the entire life cycle of a document, starting from its draft and ending with the reporting period based on the results of its execution. Four key aspects of the construction of such monitoring were identified and considered: strategic, methodologi-cal, departmental and scientific-expert. The primary problems standing in the way of creating a monitoring system are considered. It is concluded that in some cases, to eliminate them, it may be necessary to revise the current approaches to strategic goal setting.

Sharjah Government Employees’ e-Readiness

Given the current coronavirus global crisis, e-services have never been more relevant as they are today. Like many countries and for many years, the UAE government has focused on the rapid adoption of smart government services in the public sector in orderto achieve the highest international standardsin the electronic-based services. The UAE has established its government strategic plan 2021 vision. In light of this vision, the government of Emirate of Sharjah formed a SupremeCommittee for Digital Transformation. This article aims to investigate Sharjah'sgovernment employees' readiness and preparation for the digital transformation.This article provides an assessment of employees’ readiness by examining how employees perceive e-government andthe extent to which they are ready to embark on the digital transition.The theoretical framework is based on Everett Rogers’ diffusion theory (1962). Diffusion of innovation is the process through whichnew technologies, products, or ideasare diffused and adopted in a social system. The paper used a survey of 110 government employees using both quantitative questions and open-ended qualitative questions. The paper found that while a lot of progress has been made, government employees are still ambivalent about the implementation of Sharjah digital transformation.

Legislating deliberative engagement: Is local government in Victoria willing and able?

AbstractGrowing dissatisfaction with representative democracy and concomitantly, the increasing expectation that citizens assert more influence over public policy have seen the emergence of more participatory and deliberative forms of governance in public management practice. This article explores the attempt of the state government of Victoria, Australia to legislate for mandatory deliberative engagement as part of its local government strategic planning instruments. The ambition of the reform was significant; however, it was almost unanimously rejected by the local government sector. Based on analysis of the key themes that emerged from the submissions made during the 3‐year Victorian Local Government Act Review process, we explore the limitations and barriers to implementing deliberative engagement practice at a local government level. We demonstrate that whilst the promise of participatory democracy might have been compelling, in the case of Victoria there were a series of contextual and capacity considerations that needed to be taken into account before the implementation of such reforms were pursued.

New development: Implementing and evaluating government strategic plans—the Europe 2020 Strategy

ABSTRACT This article examines the implementation of the Europe 2020 Strategy. The authors analysed the strategic and management plans of the European Commission’s directorates-general (DGs) to identify the main and dominant discourses in the documents. The supplementing or supplanting of the simple strategy framework of the early years by a political framework after 2014 can be seen as caused by an interaction between rational management evaluation on one hand and political values and will on the other.

Social determinants in organizing government strategic management

The author of this article relies on the premise that strategic management is the highest function of any government, with it being implemented by government bodies through a system of government strategic planning, as well as a specific type of administrative activity – developing and executing strategies, as well as national projects and programs. In essence strategies are normatively burdened formalized priorities, goals and tasks associated with the development of Russia and its regions in the long term. These strategies are meant to be an effective means of implementing relevant government policy, to serve as a source of compromise for society and to ensure purposeful action when it comes to a multitude of social subjects cooperating with each other in order to attain the results in mind. You can tell that there is a problem in organizing government strategic management by the fact that we are dealing with a constant increase in territorial disproportions in the socio-economic, socio-cultural development of Russia’s cities and regions, as well as the population’s indifference towards strategies, federal and regional projects. Among the factors which limit government bodies’ capacity to execute plans for social development is a multitude of various systems of social management in place on a regional and municipal level which do not allow for implementing linear correlations when it comes to administration. Furthermore, internal determination is a factor in developing territorially localized communities, which is when the behavior of any given social group is defined not so much by external factors or administrative pressure, but rather by the actual nature of internal relationships, by recollection of past situations, rules of cooperation for social subjects, life plans and life strategies of individuals and social groups. Solving the problem of organizing government strategic planning systems and ensuring control over the course of Russian society’s development is linked, in the author’s opinion, to revealing those social factors and phenomena which define how appropriate certain innovations are for any given local community, figure out whether the planned results are achievable on a regional level, and to choosing such methods of administrative pressure that the social group in question will be susceptible to. Based on the empirical data, the author of this article argues that there is a connection between the population’s attitude towards the system of government strategic management and a region’s level of development (according to Nikolai Lapin’s classification), while insisting that the differentiation of regions based on their level of modernization is vital information when it comes to differentiating structures and functions of government bodies in regards to strategic planning and choosing regulative mechanisms (from management and handling resources to normative-value and institutional management).

SEM-ANN, an adaptation of reference class forecasting for the assessment of large-scale urban planning vision

An outline strategic urban planning vision is a front-end government strategic plan with sparsely defined goals. Methods for an ex-ante appraisal of such sparsely defined vision are limited in the literature. By adapting a reference class forecasting (RCF) methodology, we propose an innovative two-stage combination of Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as an explainable ANN strategy to the appraisal of urban planning vision outline. The SEM-ANN operationalizes interaction between job, resident, and multi-modal accessibility in a public transport-dominated city. This strategy is applied to Lantau Tomorrow Vision in Hong Kong, as an extreme case study of a large, reclaimed island. The vision is broadly outlined as a New Town with a third CBD, residential and job targets, road and urban rail transport infrastructure routing, and an overall cost. The results show that the New Town scenario job/population goal should be plausibly attainable by increasing the transport infrastructure accessibility supply. Yet, the simulation indicates that the CBD3 employment goal based on CBD1 is out of range. Overall, our SEM-ANN method, as an adaptation of RCF, is of particular interest in front-end large-scale outline urban planning vision appraisal.

Stjórnkerfismiðjur: Samhent stjórnsýsla í framkvæmd á Íslandi

Stjórnkerfismiðjur eru jafnan einingar innan forsætisráðuneyta sem hafa það hlutverk að veita forsætisráðherra stuðning við að ná fram pólitískri og tæknilegri samhæfingu á aðgerðum stjórnvalda, við stefnumótun og við eftirfylgni mála. Jafnframt að upplýsa um ákvarðanir og frammistöðu stjórnvalda. Rannsóknir á stjórnkerfismiðjum gefa til kynna að ríki setji slíkar einingar á fót. Annars vegar til að mæta nútíma áskorunum innan stjórnkerfisins á tímum alþjóðavæðingar. Hins vegar til að draga úr óhóflegri valddreifingu sem varð að veruleika með innleiðingu nýskipunar í ríkisrekstri í mörgum ríkjum. Í fyrsta hluta greinarinnar er fjallað um hlutverk, verkefni og skipulag stjórnkerfismiðja. Í öðrum hluta er greint frá starfsemi stjórnkerfismiðja á Norðurlöndunum og þær bornar saman við sambærilega einingu á Íslandi. Gerð er tilraun til að greina þróun stjórnkerfismiðja, frá nýskipan að samhentri stjórnsýslu. Auk þess er fjallað um þær kenningar sem settar hafa verið fram af fræðimönnum til að skýra mismunandi leiðir ríkja til að styrkja stjórnkerfismiðjur. Að lokum er fjallað um þróun stjórnkerfismiðju á Íslandi með hliðsjón af þeim kenningum sem settar hafa verið fram, s.s. um fjölgun ráðgjafa, skipulagða samhæfingu og markvisst eftirlit. Í síðasta kaflanum er jafnframt stuðst við nýlega könnun frá árinu 2018 sem gerð var sérstaklega fyrir þessa rannsókn. Könnunin er endurtekning á sambærilegri könnun OECD frá árinu 2003.

Shared governance strategic plan creation and implementation.

Shared governance strategic plan creation and implementation.

Peran Manajemen Keuangan Pada Usaha Mikro Kecil Dan Menengah (UMKM) Batik Dalam Memajukan Sektor Kewirausahaana

One of the steps taken by Indonesia based on the government's strategic plan to deal with MEA is to strengthen the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME) sector. But in reality the knowledge of batik entrepreneurs is still low about the importance of financial management for the continuity of the business he initiated to be able to participate in free trade between countries in the Southeast Asian region to be a problem that must be resolved, so that Indonesia has a good opportunity to show product quality and quantity and Human Resources (HR) to other countries openly. In MSME management skills are very necessary, especially Financial Management. Financial management is all company activities related to businesses obtaining company funds with low costs and efforts to use and allocate these funds efficiently (Sutrisno: 3, 2009). For this reason, the purpose of this study was to determine the role of financial management in Batik Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (UMKM) in filling the MEA (Asean Economic Community. This research included quantitative descriptive research carried out in Batik Satrio Micro Small and Medium Enterprises (UMKM) Manah Bangoan Village, Kedungwaru Subdistrict, Tulungagung District, is said to be because in this study only describes financial management in the Satrio Manah Batik Micro Small and Medium Enterprises (UMKM) .The respondents in this study were all 50 Satrio Manah Batik employees Data in this study are interviews, questionnaires, and documentation Data analysis is done by processing the scores of observations on financial statements and questionnaires.The results obtained by the researchers are management of financial management in Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (UMKM) Batik Satrio Manah has not met the standard keu management good dreams, and there still needs to be improvement in accordance with financial management standards

ESCOLA SUPERIOR DE GUERRA COMO O MAIS IMPORTANTE CENTRO DE ESTUDOS ESTRATÉGICOS DO BRASIL

Este artigo é um extrato da monografia, apresentada em 2012, como requisitopara conclusão do Curso de Altos Estudos de Política e Estratégia (CAEPE) eaborda a questão da revitalização da Escola Superior de Guerra (ESG) e desua utilização efetiva pelo Estado Brasileiro como orientadora da aplicaçãodo Poder Nacional no futuro de curto, médio e longo prazos, voltado para ofortalecimento da Nação com o fim específico de converter seu poder potencialem poder efetivo. O objetivo final do trabalho consistie em apresentar umconjunto de propostas para a atuação da Escola Superior de Guerra (ESG) nofuturo, de modo que possa voltar e ter um papel predominante na orientaçãoda aplicação do Poder Nacional e a assumir novos papéis necessários parasubsidiar a atuação do Governo Federal na condução do Estado Brasileiro nadireção do atingimento e da consolidação do status do País como potênciacentral no concerto das nações.

СОЦІАЛЬНІ ПРОЕКТИ В СИСТЕМІ СОЦІАЛЬНОГО ЗАХИСТУ НАСЕЛЕННЯ

The paper discusses the issues of social projects development to meet the citizens’ needs or to resolve certain social problems by changing the social situation. The reason for designing social projects is responding to the challenges with conflicting, multi-vector development trends or those to be adequately addressed. Social projects demonstrate their specifics. In this context, the principal expert in their assessment is not the government or the project contractor but the society. In modern realia, it is critical to build a strong social state which can not be achieved through the government’s policies alone, however the combined efforts and close cooperation between the community and the state contributes to the desired effect. evidence revealed that such partnerships have gained great significance, although it is argued that there is a need to clearly demarcate the roles of each of the parties. An appropriate information platform was created in Ukraine that optimizes the process of selecting the best projects and accessing the results after their testing. Social projects have a large variety of forms, dimensions, sources of funding and terms of execution. The issue of project feasibility remains paramount. The key criteria to evaluate the social project implementation expediency are the following: harmonization of project proposals, business goals and the overall government strategic development plan; identifying the significance of the project results for the government; specification of the social project capability to adapt for most regions of the country; social project effectiveness. Social projects have become an essential element within the social protection framework, since modern society have no more expectations as to the government assistance, but ultimately seek to search for their own tools to resolve social issues through developing social projects and programs, attracting investment, etc.

Utilizing co-design approach to identify various stakeholders’ roles in the protection of intangible place-making heritage

PurposeThe protection of traditional grassroots place-making knowledge and skills that comprise valuable intangible heritage has not been attracting enough attention in the field of post-disaster reconstruction and recovery. Based on the Guchengping Village’s reconstruction that followed the Lushan earthquake (Sichuan, China), the purpose of this paper is to identify the benefits of a co-design approach for post-disaster reconstruction and recovery, in order to ascertain various stakeholders’ contributions toward the protection of community-based intangible place-making heritage.Design/methodology/approachA qualitative method was employed to assist the professional designers in facilitating the co-design approach by bridging governments closer together with local communities. At the governmental level, focus groups and personal interviews were conducted to discover the government’s role in preserving the communities’ intangible heritage. At the community level, community-based workshops and family-based design partnerships engaged various community stakeholders to decipher their roles and contributions toward advancing the heritage age.FindingsAs the advocates of intangible heritage, all levels of government guaranteed that intangible heritage would be safeguarded in the government strategic plans. At the community level, local residents played a fundamental role as the grassroots protectors. Professional designers utilized cutting edge technologies to improve weaknesses found in the traditional knowledge and skills, by performing the protection in practice. Community-based service agencies promoted the value of heritage to address societal issues.Originality/valueThe co-design approach offered a new method of intangible heritage protection in post-disaster reconstruction and recovery by engaging different stakeholders, in order to effectively transfer the governmental strategic plans into community-based action plans, and in turn, enabled the grassroots voice to inform the government policies.