Global Presence Research Articles

Machine Learning Modeling of Aedes albopictus Habitat Suitability in the 21st Century

The Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus, is an important vector of arboviruses that cause diseases such as dengue, chikungunya, and zika. The vector is highly invasive and adapted to survive in temperate northern territories outside its native tropical and sub-tropical range. Climate and socio-economic change are expected to facilitate its range expansion and exacerbate the global vector-borne disease burden. To project shifts in the global habitat suitability of the vector, we developed an ensemble machine learning model, incorporating a combination of a Random Forest and XGBoost binary classifiers, trained with a global collection of vector surveillance data and an extensive set of climate and environmental constraints. We demonstrate the reliable performance and wide applicability of the ensemble model in comparison to the known global presence of the vector, and project that suitable habitats will expand globally, most significantly in the northern hemisphere, putting at least an additional billion people at risk of vector-borne diseases by the middle of the 21st century. We project several highly populated areas of the world will be suitable for Ae. albopictus populations, such as the northern parts of the USA, Europe, and India by the end of the century, which highlights the need for coordinated preventive surveillance efforts of potential entry points by local authorities and stakeholders.

Supply chain resource orchestration in emerging markets: an empirical examination of product launch performance

PurposeEndeavoring to expand their global market presence, firms often launch products into emerging markets where managers face the daunting task of deploying products by managing available, and often limited, supply chain resources. Yet, literature has not empirically examined managerial resource orchestration in this context. Accordingly, by embedding resource orchestration theory (ROT) into the emerging market context, the authors offer middle-range theorizing on supply chain resource orchestration (SCRO) and empirically test how acquiring, bundling and leveraging activities impact new product launch performance.Design/methodology/approachThe authors test the model by analyzing empirical data from 175 individual product launches into emerging markets using a survey methodology.FindingsThe authors’ results suggest that SCRO holds the promise of being a viable middle-range theory in the supply chain field, especially where managers face limited resources and must “work with what they have to do what they can.”Research limitations/implicationsThe authors’ study also has some limitations. First, because a panel data service company was used to collect the data, the authors were not provided with any information regarding the respondents' company names or other identifying data. Second, because the authors did not directly interact with the respondents nor were the authors able to contact multiple individuals from their respective organizations, the study was limited to a single-respondent design. However, to counter issues associated with single-response bias, the central constructs in the study referenced phenomena related to a specific product launch project as opposed to constructs at the firm or inter-firm relational level.Practical implicationsThe authors’ results reveal that SCRO activities can enhance the performance of new product launches, even in resource-starved emerging market contexts.Originality/valueThe results validate measures for several of the SCRO processes (i.e. supply chain resource acquisition, supply chain resource bundling and supply chain leveraging) and provide evidence that supply chain resource bundling and supply chain leveraging mediate the relationship between supply chain resource acquisition and product launch performance. Further, soft logistics infrastructure is found to be an important boundary condition for these relationships.

Pacht ‘naar de strekking’ of toch niet?: de beschikking Cromstrijen (Hof Arnhem 23 mei 1939, De Pacht 1940/67)

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ECLI:NL:CBB:2023:88 (Milieurecht) TvAR 2023/8138

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Annemarie Mol (2021), Eating in Theory, Durham: Duke University Press, 208 p., $ 24,95

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Bufferstroken en pacht

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De postkoloniale spiegel

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Editoriaal

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Koopopties en voorkeursrechten in agrarische overeenkomsten

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Vincent Blok (2022), Van wereld naar aarde: Filosofische ecologie van een bedreigde planeet. Amsterdam: Boom uitgevers, pp. 240, € 24,90.

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GP. 11.830 en GP. 11.831 (Pacht) TvAR 2023/8135

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ECLI:NL:GHARL:2022:8108 (Pacht) TvAR 2023/8136

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Hoe deel je kennis uit onderzoek in de kunsten?

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Inleiding

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Natuuramnesie

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ECLI:NL:GHARL:2022:10271 (Pacht) TvAR 2023/8137

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Kapitaalsoorten. De functie van literaire prijzen in het internationale grensverkeer

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Signalementen

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Fiscale aspecten rondom het nieuwe GLB

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Hybride identiteit in de zeventiende eeuw. Een biografische studie over John Cruso of Norwich

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