Global Evapotranspiration Research Articles

Forest evapotranspiration trends and their driving factors under climate change

Forest evapotranspiration (ET) is expected to increase under global warming. However, the relative contribution of the major drivers (such as leaf area index (LAI), climate forcing, atmospheric CO2, etc.) to long-term ET trends in forest is unclear. In addition, the effects of ET changes induced by driving factors and ET changes induced by forest area changes on total forest ET are still remain to be determined. We aim to explore long-term ET trends in global forest and assess the relative contributions of their influencing factors by a remote sensing-based carbon–water coupling model, the second edition of the Penman-Monteith-Leuning (PML-V2). The results showed that: 1) the ET of global forest increased slightly (11.30 ± 4.23 mm year−1 decade-1, p < 0.05), with the greatest increase observed in evergreen broadleaf forest (20.89 ± 6.96 mm year−1 decade-1, p < 0.01). 2) Simulation experiment indicated that upward global forest ET trend was mainly dominated by climate forcing change (56.71 %), increased LAI (5.07 %), albedo and emissivity change (−0.77 %) and increased CO2 (−37.45 %). Only mixed forest exhibited a decrease in ET trend, which was caused by CO2 concentration counteracted the increase trend of ET induced by climate forcing change and LAI increase, resulting in a decrease trend of ET. Different from broadleaf forests and MF, the increase of LAI in needleleaf forests caused a negative contribution of ET. 3) In the overall increasing trend of global forest ET, the driving factors played a dominant role (53.09 %) and the forest area played a secondary role (46.91 %). Our findings highlight the divergent responses of various forest types under climate change, which is beneficial to forest management and sustainable development.

A universal triangle method for evapotranspiration estimation with MODIS products and routine meteorological observations: Algorithm development and global validation

The surface temperature (Ts) and vegetation index (VI) triangle method is one of the most famous and widely applied methods for regional evapotranspiration (ET) estimation. However, no robust validation has been performed yet to evaluate its accuracy on a global scale, making its accuracy unclear when compared with other global ET models. The main reason behind it is that most traditional triangle models depend on the Ts-VI feature space within a certain spatial domain to parameterize their boundary conditions. The domain dependency makes it impossible to derive universal boundaries for continental or global application. Under this background, this study presented a universal triangle method for ET estimation with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products and routine meteorological observations. The solution for boundary conditions was performed pixel by pixel without the consideration of spatial domain based configuration. Specifically, the dry boundary was solved theoretically based on the surface energy balance equation, and the wet boundary was substituted by wet-bulb temperature estimated from dew point temperature and air temperature. The validation against ground observations collected from 33 flux towers worldwide shows that this universal triangle method achieved evaporative fraction (EF) estimation with the correlation coefficient of 0.65, the mean absolute error of 0.17, the root-mean-square-error of 0.20, and the bias of 0.13. These four metrics of daily ET estimation were 0.83, 0.71 mm/d, 0.90 mm/d, and 0.41 mm/d, respectively. This analysis is the first comprehensive validation of the triangle method on a global scale. The comparison with early work suggests that our universal triangle method on a global scale has reached a comparable accuracy to traditional triangle models at regional scale. However, the universal triangle method has the capacity to monitor ET continuously pixel by pixel without domain dependency. This is just what most traditional triangle methods do not possess.

Water budget-based evapotranspiration product captures natural and human-caused variability

Abstract Evapotranspiration (ET) is one of the most important yet highly uncertain components of the water cycle. Available modelled ET products do not necessarily agree with each other at various spatiotemporal scales, either due to limitations on input data and/or due to model assumptions and simplifications. Therefore, using water budget equation to estimate ET has gained attention. However, a large number of water-budget combinations with large uncertainties are available that increases ambiguity in choosing the best ET estimate. Here, the Kalman filter is employed for ingesting 96 water-budget based ET estimates and produce a global ET product with uncertainty &lt; 2 mm, and it captures the general spatiotemporal pattern of ET and the inter-annual variability over all continents. Since the water budget includes storage change due to human interventions, our ET estimates are superior over regions with strong irrigation signal, such as the Ganges basin. We verify our claim by using a modified variable infiltration capacity model that simulates irrigation activities as well. Our ET estimates have a global mean positive trend of 0.18 ± 0.02 mm/year with larger regional variations that are discussed.

Estimation of Evapotranspiration in South Eastern Afghanistan Using the GCOM-C Algorithm on the Basis of Landsat Satellite Imagery

This study aims to assess the performance of the Global Change Observation Mission—Climate (GCOM-C) ETindex estimation algorithm to estimate the actual evapotranspiration (ETa) in southeastern Afghanistan. Here, the GCOM-C ETindex algorithm was adopted to estimate the monthly ETa for the period from November 2016 to October 2017 using a series of Landsat 8, Thermal Infrared Sensor (TIRS) Band 10 satellite imagery. The estimation accuracy was evaluated by comparing the results with other estimates of ETa, namely the mapping evapotranspiration with the internalized calibration (METRIC) model, the MODIS Global Evapotranspiration Project (MOD16), the surface energy balance system (SEBS) tools, and with the crop evapotranspiration under standard conditions (ETc) as estimated by the FAO-56 procedure. The evaluation was made for irrigated wheat, maize, rice, and orchards and for non-irrigated bare soil land. The comparison of ETa values showed good correlation among the GCOM-C, METRIC, and FAO-56, while the MOD16 and SEBS showed significantly lower values of ETa. The agreement with the METRIC ETa implies that the simple GCOM-C algorithm successfully estimated the ETa in the region and that the precision was similar to that of the METRIC. This study provides the first high-quality evapotranspiration data with the spatial resolution of Landsat Band 10 data for the southeastern part of Afghanistan. The estimation procedure is straightforward, and its results are anticipated to enhance the understanding of regional hydrology.

Development and evaluation of the interactive Model for Air Pollution and Land Ecosystems (iMAPLE) version 1.0

Abstract. Land ecosystems are important sources and sinks of atmospheric components. In turn, air pollutants affect the exchange rates of carbon and water fluxes between ecosystems and the atmosphere. However, these biogeochemical processes are usually not well presented in Earth system models, limiting the explorations of interactions between land ecosystems and air pollutants from regional to global scales. Here, we develop and validate the interactive Model for Air Pollution and Land Ecosystems (iMAPLE) by upgrading the Yale Interactive Terrestrial Biosphere Model with process-based water cycles, fire emissions, wetland methane (CH4) emissions, and trait-based ozone (O3) damage. Within iMAPLE, soil moisture and temperature are dynamically calculated based on the water and energy balance in soil layers. Fire emissions are dependent on dryness, lightning, population, and fuel load. Wetland CH4 is produced but consumed through oxidation, ebullition, diffusion, and plant-mediated transport. The trait-based scheme unifies O3 sensitivity of different plant functional types (PFTs) with the leaf mass per area. Validations show correlation coefficients (R) of 0.59–0.86 for gross primary productivity (GPP) and 0.57–0.84 for evapotranspiration (ET) across the six PFTs at 201 flux tower sites and yield an average R of 0.68 for CH4 emissions at 44 sites. Simulated soil moisture and temperature match reanalysis data with high R above 0.86 and low normalized mean biases (NMBs) within 7 %, leading to reasonable simulations of global GPP (R=0.92, NMB=1.3 %) and ET (R=0.93, NMB=-10.4 %) against satellite-based observations for 2001–2013. The model predicts an annual global area burned of 507.1 Mha, close to the observations of 475.4 Mha with a spatial R of 0.66 for 1997–2016. The wetland CH4 emissions are estimated to be 153.45 Tg [CH4] yr−1 during 2000–2014, close to the multi-model mean of 148 Tg [CH4] yr−1. The model also shows reasonable responses of GPP and ET to the changes in diffuse radiation and yields mean O3 damage of 2.9 % to global GPP. iMAPLE provides an advanced tool for studying the interactions between land ecosystems and air pollutants.

Evapotranspiration increment was underestimated in China due to underrepresented land cover changes

Numerous evapotranspiration (ET) products have been produced using various approaches and diverse forcing data even as the magnitude and trends of ET show divergence. We simulated ET using updated land use and cover change (LUCC) data in China from 1900 to 2020. We found that China’s ET increased slightly from 1900 to 1980, but it increased rapidly after 1980 due to LUCC characterized by forest expansion (2.05 mm yr−1, P < 0.01). We also found that the ET trends derived from our simulation were significantly higher than other ET products (−0.70–1.47 mm yr−1, P < 0.01), implying that existing, long-term ET products might have underestimated ET trends in China during the post-1980 period because of underrepresented LUCC. These underestimated ET trends could introduce biases in the regional water budget and water resources management. We advocate for future studies to take into account the impacts of LUCC in global ET simulations.

A global dataset of terrestrial evapotranspiration and soil moisture dynamics from 1982 to 2020

Quantifying terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) and soil moisture dynamics accurately is crucial for understanding the global water cycle and surface energy balance. We present a novel, long-term dataset of global ET and soil moisture derived from the newly developed Simple Terrestrial Hydrosphere model, version 2 (SiTHv2). This ecohydrological model, driven by multi-source satellite observations and hydrometeorological variables from reanalysis data, provides daily global ET-related estimates (e.g., total ET, plant transpiration, soil evaporation, intercepted evaporation) and three-layer soil moisture dynamics at a 0.1° spatial resolution. Validation with in-situ measurements and comparisons with mainstream global ET and soil moisture products demonstrate robust performance of SiTHv2 in both magnitude and temporal dynamics of ET and soil moisture at multiple scales. The comprehensive water path characterization in the SiTHv2 model makes this seamless dataset particularly valuable for studies requiring synchronized water budget and vegetation response to water constraints. With its long-term coverage and high spatiotemporal resolution, the SiTHv2-derived ET and soil moisture product will be suitable to support analyses related to the hydrologic cycle, drought assessment, and ecosystem health.

Optimal combinations of global evapotranspiration and terrestrial water storage products for catchment water balance

ABSTRACT During the last two decades, a great number of global products about evapotranspiration ( E ) and terrestrial water storage ( S ) have been released. This has led to numerous combinations for describing catchment water balance, and hence determining an appropriate combination has become an important issue. The main objective of this study is to evaluate various global products of E and S at the catchment scale and determine the most appropriate combination, taking two Korean catchments as examples. For E , we evaluated global evapotranspiration (Global ET), Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM), and Penman–Monteith–Leuning (PML). For S , six individual datasets of Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) were evaluated, with Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) products used for comparison. We found that the performance is sensitive to the choice of E product while various S products displayed minimal differences in results. Based on four evaluation criteria, the combination of PML and GRACE-SH-GFZ is suggested as the most suitable pair. For the period between 2003 and 2013, these data exhibit noteworthy trends of increasing E , offset by decreasing S . Warming climate is suspected to be behind these trends. Our research presents an approach that allows for the estimation of monthly streamflow exclusively with global data products, which is an advancement in hydrological analysis and particularly useful for regions that lack in-situ data networks. This approach provides a new perspective in the application of global datasets for the assessment of water balance and could significantly improve predictions in ungauged basins.

Global evapotranspiration from high-elevation mountains has decreased significantly at a rate of 3.923 %/a over the last 22 years

Clarifying the responses of human activities and climate change to the water cycle under variable environments is crucial for accurately assessing regional water balance. An analysis of the changes in actual evapotranspiration and its driving factors was conducted in the global high-elevation mountains during the period from 2001 to 2022. Utilizing 18 formulas for calculating evapotranspiration, which are based on comprehensive, temperature, radiation, and mass transfer, and then simulated the variations in reference evapotranspiration. Furthermore, we optimized the ET simulation model based on the most effective simulation results and projected future changes using scenario simulation data. Our findings reveal that: 1) ET at high-elevation mountains has significantly decreased at an average rate of 3.923 %/a, with monthly values ranging from 31.179 to 33.652 mm and an average of 32.646 mm; 2) The radiation-based model of Irmark-Allen is particularly well-suited for simulating ET at high-elevation mountains, with precision analysis and the Taylor diagram confirming its superior simulation performance. After optimizing the model using the method of least squares, the value of R2 before and after the optimization were 0.633 and 0.853, respectively. 3) An upward trend in ET under both SSP245 and SSP585 scenario in future simulation projections. Attribution analysis has identified Vapor Pressure Deficit as the key positive driver influencing the change of ET in global high-elevation mountains. Structural equation modeling further reveals that variations in net radiation and precipitation play a significant role in altering evapotranspiration rates. Meanwhile，The water balance analysis reveals that ET has been declining from 2001 to 2022. This phenomenon can be largely attributed to the substantial decline in vapor pressure deficit, the rise in the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index signifying increased vegetation cover, and the reduction in shallow soil moisture during the same period. These factors collectively explain the notable decrease in ET observed in high-elevation mountains.

Modeling and prediction of high-precision global evapotranspiration: based on a different model of physical relationships

ABSTRACT The interchange of water vapor between the land and the atmosphere is influenced by actual evapotranspiration (AET). A nonlinear model (AET-SWC-PET-GPP, ASPG) was developed in this study to combine potential evapotranspiration (PET), soil water content (SWC), and gross primary productivity (GPP) in order to quantitatively estimate AET. The Fluxnet Network 2015 global flux station dataset was used to compare the AET models (AET-SWC, AS; AET-SWC-PET, ASP and AET-SWC-PET2, ASP2) with various combinations of influencing factors. The results show that the simulation accuracy of the ASPG model is higher than that of AS, ASP, and ASP2, with improvements in a coefficient of determination (R2) of 45.3, 8.1, and 5.7%, respectively.The ASPG performed well for various vegetation types, geographical regions, and time scales. It was also discovered that the fitting coefficients vary depending on the type of vegetation, each with its own range of values. The ASPG model put forth in this study can be used to more effectively estimate AET quantitatively on a global scale and can serve as a theoretical foundation for the accurate calculation of global evapotranspiration and the wise use of water resources.

CAMELE: Collocation-Analyzed Multi-source Ensembled Land Evapotranspiration Data

Abstract. Land evapotranspiration (ET) plays a crucial role in Earth's water–carbon cycle, and accurately estimating global land ET is vital for advancing our understanding of land–atmosphere interactions. Despite the development of numerous ET products in recent decades, widely used products still possess inherent uncertainties arising from using different forcing inputs and imperfect model parameterizations. Furthermore, the lack of sufficient global in situ observations makes direct evaluation of ET products impractical, impeding their utilization and assimilation. Therefore, establishing a reliable global benchmark dataset and exploring evaluation methodologies for ET products is paramount. This study aims to address these challenges by (1) proposing a collocation-based method that considers non-zero error cross-correlation for merging multi-source data and (2) employing this merging method to generate a long-term daily global ET product at resolutions of 0.1° (2000–2020) and 0.25° (1980–2022), incorporating inputs from ERA5L, FluxCom, PMLv2, GLDAS, and GLEAM. The resulting product is the Collocation-Analyzed Multi-source Ensembled Land Evapotranspiration Data (CAMELE). CAMELE exhibits promising performance across various vegetation coverage types, as validated against in situ observations. The evaluation process yielded Pearson correlation coefficients (R) of 0.63 and 0.65, root-mean-square errors (RMSEs) of 0.81 and 0.73 mm d−1, unbiased root-mean-square errors (ubRMSEs) of 1.20 and 1.04 mm d−1, mean absolute errors (MAEs) of 0.81 and 0.73 mm d−1, and Kling–Gupta efficiencies (KGEs) of 0.60 and 0.65 on average at resolutions of 0.1 and 0.25°, respectively. In addition, comparisons indicate that CAMELE can effectively characterize the multiyear linear trend, mean average, and extreme values of ET. However, it exhibits a tendency to overestimate seasonality. In summary, we propose a reliable set of ET data that can aid in understanding the variations in the water cycle and has the potential to serve as a benchmark for various applications. The dataset is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8047038 (Li et al., 2023b).

Global datasets of hourly carbon and water fluxes simulated using a satellite-based process model with dynamic parameterizations

Abstract. Diagnostic terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) forced by remote sensing observations have been a principal tool for providing benchmarks on global gross primary productivity (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET). However, these models often estimate GPP and ET at coarse daily or monthly steps, hindering analysis of ecosystem dynamics at the diurnal (hourly) scales, and prescribe some essential parameters (i.e., the Ball–Berry slope (m) and the maximum carboxylation rate at 25 °C (Vcmax25)) as constant, inducing uncertainties in the estimates of GPP and ET. In this study, we present hourly estimations of global GPP and ET datasets at a 0.25° resolution from 2001 to 2020 simulated with a widely used diagnostic TBM – the Biosphere–atmosphere Exchange Process Simulator (BEPS). We employed eddy covariance observations and machine learning approaches to derive and upscale the seasonally varied m and Vcmax25 for carbon and water fluxes. The estimated hourly GPP and ET are validated against flux observations, remote sensing, and machine learning-based estimates across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The correlation coefficients (R2) and slopes between hourly tower-measured and modeled fluxes are R2=0.83, regression slope =0.92 for GPP, and R2=0.72, regression slope =1.04 for ET. At the global scale, we estimated a global mean GPP of 137.78±3.22 Pg C yr−1 (mean ± 1 SD) with a positive trend of 0.53 Pg C yr−2 (p&lt;0.001), and an ET of 89.03±0.82×103 km3 yr−1 with a slight positive trend of 0.10×103 km3 yr−2 (p&lt;0.001) from 2001 to 2020. The spatial pattern of our estimates agrees well with other products, with R2=0.77–0.85 and R2=0.74–0.90 for GPP and ET, respectively. Overall, this new global hourly dataset serves as a “handshake” among process-based models, remote sensing, and the eddy covariance flux network, providing a reliable long-term estimate of global GPP and ET with diurnal patterns and facilitating studies related to ecosystem functional properties, global carbon, and water cycles. The hourly GPP and ET estimates are available at https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.ecodb.00163 (Leng et al., 2023a) and the accumulated daily datasets are available at https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.ecodb.00165 (Leng et al., 2023b).

Global evapotranspiration simulation research using a coupled deep learning algorithm with physical mechanisms

AbstractEvapotranspiration (ET) and actual evapotranspiration (AET) serve as critical parameters in the water vapour exchange between terrestrial surfaces and the atmosphere. ET denotes the theoretical maximum evapotranspiration achievable under ideal conditions, whereas AET represents the actual evapotranspiration observed, factoring in the constraints imposed by available water resources. Precise estimation of AET is imperative for the optimization of water resource management and the advancement of sustainable development initiatives. In recent years, deep learning techniques have been extensively utilized in AET estimation. However, traditional deep learning models often lack the incorporation of essential physical constraints. We proceeded to enhance the loss function of the temporal convolutional network (TCN) by taking into account the physical relationships that exist among soil water content (SWC), potential evapotranspiration (PET) and AET, thereby introducing a novel physically coupled deep learning model (AET, SWC after kernel principal component analysis, PET, TCN and AKP‐TCN), and checked the rationality of the model with the FLUXNET 2015 dataset. These findings underscore that the AKP‐TCN model exhibits heightened sensitivity to peak fluctuations in AET under the imposition of physical constraints. This approach notably enhances the precision of AET simulations in areas marked by complex and variable climatic conditions, such as the Mediterranean climate zone and Oceania, achieving determination coefficient (R2) values surpassing the threshold of 0.900. Compared to traditional models, which include long short‐term memory (LSTM), convolutional neural networks (CNN) and TCN, the AKP‐TCN delivers substantial R2 improvements of 16%, 16% and 9%, respectively. This advancement offers a novel perspective for coupling deep learning with physical mechanisms.

Integrating Meteorological and Remote Sensing Data to Simulate Cropland Nocturnal Evapotranspiration Using Machine Learning

Evapotranspiration (ET) represents a significant component of the global water flux cycle, yet nocturnal evapotranspiration (ETn) is often neglected, leading to underestimation of global evapotranspiration. As for cropland, accurate modeling of ETn is essential for rational water management and is important for sustainable agriculture development. We used random forest (RF) to simulate ETn at 16 globally distributed cropland eddy covariance flux sites along with remote sensing and meteorological factors. The recursive feature elimination method was used to remove unimportant variables. We also simulated the ETn of C3 and C4 crops separately. The trained RF resulted in a determination coefficient (R2) (root mean square error (RMSE)) of 0.82 (7.30 W m−2) on the testing dataset. C3 and C4 crops on the testing dataset resulted in an R2 (RMSE) of 0.86 (5.59 W m−2) and 0.55 (4.86 W m−2) for the two types of crops. We also showed that net radiation is the dominant factor in regulating ETn, followed by 2 m horizontal wind speed and vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and these three meteorological factors showed a significant positive correlation with ETn. This research demonstrates that RF can simulate ETn from crops economically and accurately, providing a methodological basis for improving global ETn simulations.

Evaluation of seven satellite-based and two reanalysis global terrestrial evapotranspiration products

Although comprehensive evaluation of different types of global terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) products has been conducted, the satellite remote sensing techniques have prompted the development of several available global ET products, warranting a reassessment as products continue to evolve. Recently, we produced the long-term Global LAnd Surface Satellite (GLASS) ET product, but there is a lack of comparison and evaluation with other ET products and EC observations on a global scale. In this study, we evaluated the accuracy and uncertainty of seven satellite-based (GLASS-AVHRR, GLASS-MODIS, BESS, FLUXCOM, GLEAM, MOD16, and PML_V2) and two reanalysis (ERA5 and MERRA2) global terrestrial ET products at multiple scales for selecting the most suitable ET products and developing large-scale ET models. At the point scale, their accuracy was evaluated through direct comparison with in situ observations from 230 global flux towers. The results indicate that no single ET product can provide the most accurate ET estimates for all land cover types, although GLASS-MODIS [coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.51, Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) of 0.68] and FLUXCOM [R2 of 0.51, KGE of 0.66] outperform the seven other products [0.54 =< KGE =< 0.66, 0.35 =< R2 =< 0.50] at all sites. At the basin scale, the accuracy of ET products was assessed through 36 large river basins. The R2 values between all ET products and the water balance-derived ET (WBET) are >0.88, while the accuracies of the nine ET products differ in some sense. The three-cornered hat (TCH) method and comparison analysis are applied to assess the uncertainty of nine ET products at the pixel level. The TCH outputs reveal that GLASS-AVHRR and GLASS-MODIS are the two products with the lowest relative uncertainty, while MERRA2 has the largest relative uncertainty. Our results imply that there is no single ET product performing best in all respects. The selection of ET products for scientific research should consider their performance differences in spatial scale as well as the influence of land cover and climate conditions.

Water-balance-based evapotranspiration for 56 large river basins: A benchmarking dataset for global terrestrial evapotranspiration modeling

A thorough validation of global terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) models requires reliable ground-observed ET data. While the open-access eddy-covariance flux measurements are widely used for such a purpose, they have certain drawbacks, and thus, other alternative publicly available reference datasets are urgently needed. Using remote sensing and ground-based observational data, this study provides water-balance-based evapotranspiration (ETwb) estimates for 56 large (>105 km2) river basins of the world over the 1983–2016 period. For each basin, the observed runoff and four different precipitation (Prec) data sources were combined with three types of terrestrial water storage change (dS) estimates, yielding altogether 12 annual ETwb time-series. An optimally merged ETwb time-series was eventually produced using the Bayesian-based three-cornered hat method. The relative uncertainty in the ETwb estimates is less than 10 % in most basins and it stems primarily from the uncertainty in Prec. In summary, this new ETwb dataset has the following advantages: i) The gauge undercatch in Prec was corrected, thus mitigating the well-known general underestimation of ETwb in mid- and high-latitudes; ii) Multiple Prec and dS datasets were combined to account for the uncertainty in the water balance approach, thereby enabling the quantification of the uncertainty in ETwb and its sources, and; iii) The ETwb dataset stretches more than three decades, making it appropriate for evaluating long-term trends in global ET models. This ETwb dataset is publicly available (https://data.tpdc.ac.cn/en/data/e010cd0d-0881-4e7e-9d63-d36992750b04) and may serve as a benchmarking tool to calibrate/validate large-scale ET models for an improved understanding of regional- and/or global-scale ET processes.

Learning Global Evapotranspiration Dataset Corrections from a Water Cycle Closure Supervision

Evapotranspiration (E) is one of the most uncertain components of the global water cycle (WC). Improving global E estimates is necessary to improve our understanding of climate and its impact on available surface water resources. This work presents a methodology for deriving monthly corrections to global E datasets at 0.25∘ resolution. A principled approach is proposed to firstly use indirect information from the other water components to correct E estimates at the catchment level, and secondly to extend this sparse catchment-level information to global pixel-level corrections using machine learning (ML). Several E satellite products are available, each with its own errors (both random and systematic). Four such global E datasets are used to validate the proposed approach and highlight its ability to extract seasonal and regional systematic biases. The resulting E corrections are shown to accurately generalize WC closure constraints to unseen catchments. With an average deviation of 14% from the original E datasets, the proposed method achieves up to 20% WC residual reduction on the most favorable dataset.

Global Terrestrial Evapotranspiration Estimation from Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Data

It is a difficult undertaking to reliably estimate global terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) using the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) at high spatial and temporal scales. We employ deep neural networks (DNN) to enhance the estimation of terrestrial ET on a global scale using satellite data. We accomplish this by merging five algorithms that are process-based and that make use of VIIRS data. These include the Shuttleworth–Wallace dual-source ET method (SW), the Priestley–Taylor-based ET algorithm (PT-JPL), the MOD16 ET product algorithm (MOD16), the modified satellite-based Priestley–Taylor ET algorithm (MS-PT), and the simple hybrid ET algorithm (SIM). We used 278 eddy covariance (EC) tower sites from 2012 to 2022 to validate the DNN approach, comparing it to Bayesian model averaging (BMA), gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) and random forest (RF). The validation results demonstrate that the DNN significantly improves the accuracy of daily ET estimates when compared to three other merging methods, resulting in the highest average determination coefficients (R2, 0.71), RMSE (21.9 W/m2) and Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE, 0.83). Utilizing the DNN, we generated a VIIRS ET product with a 500 m spatial resolution for the years 2012–2020. The DNN method serves as a foundational approach in the development of a sustained and comprehensive global terrestrial ET dataset. The basis for characterizing and analyzing global hydrological dynamics and carbon cycling is provided by this dataset.

Uncertainty Analysis and Data Fusion of Multi-Source Land Evapotranspiration Products Based on the TCH Method

Evapotranspiration (ET) is a very important variable in the global water cycle, carbon cycle, and energy cycle. However, there are still some uncertainties in existing ET products. Therefore, this paper evaluates the uncertainty of three widely used global ET products (ERA5-Land, GLDAS-Noah, and MERRA-2) based on the three-cornered hat (TCH) method, and generates a new ET product based on this. The new product is a long-series global monthly ET dataset with a spatial resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° and a time span of 21 years. The results show that ERA5-Land (8.46 mm/month) has the lowest uncertainty among the three ET products, followed by GLDAS-Noah (8.81 mm/month) and MERRA-2 (11.78 mm/month). The new product (TCH) captures ET trends in different regions as well as validating against in situ flux observations, and it exhibits better performance than the re-analysis dataset (ERA5-Land) in vegetation classifications such as evergreen needle-leaf forest, grassland, open shrubland, savanna, and woody savanna. The linear trend analysis of the new product shows a significant decreasing trend in south-eastern South America and southwestern parts of Africa, and an increasing trend in almost all other regions, including eastern North America, north-eastern South America, western Europe, north-central Africa, southern Asia, and south-eastern Oceania.

GeeSEBAL-MODIS: Continental-scale evapotranspiration based on the surface energy balance for South America

Monitoring actual evapotranspiration (ET) is critical for the accurate assessment of water availability and water resources management, especially in areas with dry climates and frequent droughts. The Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL) has been used over several land and climate conditions, and is able to estimate ET at field scale with high accuracy. However, model complexity and subjective parameterization have hindered its operationalization, until the recent development of the geeSEBAL model, which implements the SEBAL model on the Google Earth Engine platform. Here, we present a unique methodology for a continental-scale application of SEBAL, called geeSEBAL-MODIS, that employs novel land surface temperature normalization techniques, enabling the application of contextual ET models to very large scales. We introduce a dynamic ET dataset for the entire South American continent, between 2002 and 2021, at 500 m spatial and 8 days temporal resolution. The satellite-based data were compared against daily ET measured at 27 flux towers as well as water balance-based annual ET from 29 large river basins. geeSEBAL-MODIS data were also compared to eight state-of-the-art global ET datasets. At local scale, geeSEBAL-MODIS demonstrated a satisfactory performance (correlation (r) = 0.65, Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) = 0.64, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) = 0.83 mm day−1 (24.7 %) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) = 1.07 mm day−1 (31.8 %)), with negligible bias. At basin scale, geeSEBAL-MODIS generally underestimated ET (bias = -85 mm year−1, r = 0.65, KGE = 0.47, MAE = 107 mm year−1 (10.1 %) and RMSE = 137 mm year−1 (12.9 %)). Compared to other global datasets, geeSEBAL-MODIS demonstrated better performance over multiple South American biomes, climates and land cover types. The developed dataset also provides lower errors (local monthly RMSE = 23.0 mm month−1 and basin annual RMSE = 138 mm year−1) and when compared to the performance of the global datasets (local monthly RMSE between 23.9 and 30.1 mm month−1 and basin annual RMSE between 161 and 308 mm year−1). The analyses demonstrate that geeSEBAL-MODIS can be used as a tool for monitoring climate change and human-related impacts on ET. The geeSEBAL-MODIS model opens the path for high accuracy global ET monitoring at moderate to high resolution, supporting advances in water resources management around the globe.