Glacier Runoff Research Articles

The cryosphere change will intensify the summer drought in Qilian Mountains, northeastern of the Tibetan plateau

Study regionThis study focuses on the upper reaches of Shule river (URSLH) and Heihe river (URHH) basins and Taolai river (URTLH) basin in Qilian Mountains. Study focusThe impact of the cryosphere changes on runoff components in basins with different cryosphere ratios. New hydrological insights for the regionTotal runoff (TR) increased in URSLH and URHH and decreased in URTLH, snowmelt runoff (SR) decreased in each basin, glacier runoff (GR) increased in URSLH and URTLH but decreased in URHH during 1980–2015. In the future, GR will increase under SSP585 and slightly decrease under SSP126 in 2040–2060 in URSLH and decrease in URHH and URSLH. The peak time of SR will advance by a month in each basin. In the future, GR (The ratio of the coefficient of variation (cv) of TR to cv of non-glacial runoff) will decrease, indicating hydrological regulation of glaciers will be weakened in these basins. SR and Rs (The ratio of summer runoff to spring runoff) will show downward trends, the processes of TR increase will be smoother. Rr (The ratio of maximum to minimum monthly runoff) will show downward trends under SSPs. TR will become smoother in each basin. Furthermore, the change of each runoff components will make TR tends to be smoother in the future and reduce TR especially in summer.

High proportional nitrification-derived nitrate in glacier runoffs on the Tibetan Plateau indicated by triple oxygen isotopes of nitrate

Glacier and Ice sheets are the largest reservoir of freshwater on Earth. Global warming accelerates glacier retreat and enhances the volume of glacier runoff, which heavily impacts the geochemical cycling in downstream ecosystems. Nitrate is the main form of nitrogen in glacier runoff, while little is known about its source in high-altitude regions. Here, we measured complete nitrate isotopes (δ15N-NO3–, δ18O-NO3– and Δ17O-NO3–) in ten geographically separated glacier runoffs on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) with altitudes ranging from 2,409 to 5,564 m. The average NO3– concentration in glacier runoff was 1.0 ± 0.7 mg·L-1, which is lower than that in the river and lake of the TP. This indicates that the glacier runoff on the TP was less influenced by human activities. Nitrification-derived NO3– was the major source of glacier runoff NO3–, which ranged from 57 % to 90 %. The nitrification process could occur in subglacial environments and glacial foreland soils. Furthermore, denitrification process may not occur in glacier runoff over the TP. Our work may shed light on the nitrogen cycle in high-altitude areas.

Simulation of the Water Storage Capacity of Siling Co Lake on the Tibetan Plateau and Its Hydrological Response to Climate Change

Due to their special geographical locations and environments, plateau lakes play a key role in maintaining regional water balance, but lake water storage changes are upsetting this balance. Based on data from lakes on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), this study used the Spatial Processes in Hydrology (SPHY) model to simulate the runoff process in the Siling Co basin from 2000 to 2016 and estimated the changes in water storage of Siling Co and the contribution of each component of runoff into the lake. The results showed that the water storage capacity of Siling Co has increased by 1.2 billion m3/yr, and the lake area continues to expand; declines in precipitation have significantly reduced baseflow (BF), rainfall runoff (RR), and snow runoff (SR), while temperature increases have raised glacier runoff (GR). The simulated average runoff showed that BF, GF, RR, and SR contribute 24%, 22%, 16%, and 38%, respectively, of the flow into Siling Co. Based on hypothetical climate change scenarios and two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0) from the MRI-ESM2-0 GCMs, this study estimated that a 10% increase in precipitation could lead to a 28% increase in total runoff, while a 1 °C increase in temperature could lead to a 10% decrease in runoff. The average runoff depth of the basin is expected to increase by 30–39 mm, since the temperature and precipitation may increase significantly from 2020 to 2050. The intensification of glacial melting caused by the increase in temperature continues, posing a greater challenge to many water resources management problems caused by the expansion of lakes.

The Spatiotemporal Change of Glacier Runoff Is Comparably Attributed to Climatic Factors and Physical Properties in Northwestern China

The spatiotemporal regimes of glacier runoff (GR) under a warming climate are of great concern, especially in dryland areas in northwestern China (DAC). Due to the difficulty of observing GR, little attention has been given to the spatiotemporal change in GR at regional scales. This study uses the regional individual glacier mass balance (GMB) dataset developed by digital elevation models (DEMs) to simulate the spatiotemporal regime of GR using atmospheric parameters considering both ablation and accumulation processes on glaciers. In this study, GR, including glacier meltwater runoff (MR) and delayed water runoff (DR) of the DAC, was quantitatively assessed at a catchment scale from 1961 to 2015. The total annual GR in the DAC was (100.81 ± 68.71) × 108 m3 in 1961–2015, where MR accounted for 68%. Most basins had continuously increasing tendencies of different magnitudes from 1961 to 2015. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random forest techniques were used to explore the contributions of climate factors and glacier physical properties to GR, and the results indicated that climate factors could explain 56.64% of the variation. In comparison, the remaining 43.36% could be explained by the physical properties of glaciers themselves (i.e., degree-day factor on ice, degree-day factor on snow, glacier median height, aspect, and slope). This study not only improves our understanding of the spatiotemporal change in GR in the drylands of northwestern China at spatial and temporal resolutions but also highlights the role of physical properties in explaining the heterogeneous dynamics among GRs unlike previous studies that only emphasize rising temperatures.

Contribution of Glacier Runoff during Heat Waves in the Nooksack River Basin USA

The thirty-eight-year record (1984–2021) of glacier mass balance measurement indicates a significant glacier response to climate change in the North Cascades, Washington that has led to declining glacier runoff in the Nooksack Basin. Glacier runoff in the Nooksack Basin is a major source of streamflow during the summer low-flow season and mitigates both low flow and warm water temperatures; this is particularly true during summer heat waves. Synchronous observations of glacier ablation and stream discharge immediately below Sholes Glacier from 2013–2017, independently identify daily discharge during the ablation season. The identified ablation rate is applied to glaciers across the North Fork Nooksack watershed, providing daily glacier runoff discharge to the North Fork Nooksack River. This is compared to observed daily discharge and temperature data of the North Fork Nooksack River and the unglaciated South Fork Nooksack River from the USGS. The ameliorating role of glacier runoff on discharge and water temperature is examined during 24 late summer heat wave events from 2010–2021. The primary response to these events is increased discharge in the heavily glaciated North Fork, and increased stream temperature in the unglaciated South Fork. During the 24 heat events, the discharge increased an average of +24% (±17%) in the North Fork and decreased an average of 20% (±8%) in the South Fork. For water temperature the mean increase was 0.7 °C (±0.4 °C) in the North Fork and 2.1 °C (±1.2 °C) in the South Fork. For the North Fork glacier runoff production was equivalent to 34% of the total discharge during the 24 events. Ongoing climate change will likely cause further decreases in summer baseflow and summer baseflow, along with an increase in water temperature potentially exceeding tolerance levels of several Pacific salmonid species that would further stress this population.

Variations in Glacier Runoff Contributed by the Increased Negative Mass Balance over the Last Forty Years in the Tien Shan Mountains

In the context of global warming, the melting of glaciers in the Tien Shan Mountains as the important “solid reservoir” in the arid area of Central Asia is accelerating in recent decades, leading to profound changes in regional water resources. Based on the simulated glaciological data from the Python Glacier Evolution Model (PyGEM) and the measured glaciological data from the World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS), this paper analyzed the applicability of simulated data, the changes in glacier mass balance, and the responses of the glacier to climate change and its impacts on glacier runoff in the Tien Shan Mountains. The results show that (1) the PyGEM simulation dataset is in good agreement with the measurements, which can effectively reproduce the change in the glacier mass balance in the Tien Shan Mountains glaciers and is suitable for studying the regional scale glacier change. (2) From 1980 to 2016, the decadal average mass balance change rate of glaciers in the Tien Shan Mountains was −0.012 m w.e. yr−1. The regional mass balance showed an overall negative increasing trend (the area with increasingly negative accounted for 80.13% of the entire area), with a positive increase that only occurred in the West Tien Shan Mountains and western North Tien Shan Mountains (19.87%). (3) The correlation between the temperature and mass balance is much higher than that between the precipitation and mass balance. Temperature dominates the change and development of regional glaciers. The increase in negative glacier mass balance that was observed in the study area is mainly affected by the rising temperature, the decreasing solid precipitation in the accumulation period, and the rapid melting in the ablation period. (4) The glacier runoff in the six representative rivers showed an increasing trend. The contribution rate of glacier runoff to river runoff changed significantly after 2000 but differed among rivers. Overall, the larger the glacier area in the source region is, the greater the contribution rate of glacier runoff is, and the more the contribution rate continuously increases or fluctuates; otherwise, the contribution rate keeps declining, which means the runoff peak may have passed and future runoff may decrease.

A Weak Precipitation Sensitivity of Glacier Runoff

AbstractA clear understanding of the influence of glaciers on the climate sensitivity of catchment runoff is critical to unravel the ongoing and future changes in runoff regimes of glacierized catchments in a warming climate. We demonstrate that irrespective of the climate setting, annual glacier runoff is relatively insensitive to the precipitation variability. A temperature‐dependent runoff from the glaciers and a precipitation‐dependent runoff from the non‐glacierized parts determine the climate response of the runoff of glacierized catchments at different time scales. The buffering effect of glaciers against extreme droughts and the multidecadal runoff peak in catchments with shrinking glaciers, both follow from the above properties of glacier runoff. The empirically observed “glacier‐compensation effect” is caused by an inhibited (amplified) response of the catchment runoff to the interannual precipitation (temperature) variability due to the glaciers present in the catchment.

Glacier Runoff Variation Since 1981 in the Upper Naryn River Catchments, Central Tien Shan

Water resources in Central Asia strongly depend on glaciers, which in turn adjust their size in response to climate variations. We investigate glacier runoff in the period 1981–2019 in the upper Naryn basin, Kyrgyzstan. The basins contain more than 1,000 glaciers, which cover a total area of 776 km2. We model the mass balance and runoff contribution of all glaciers with a simplified energy balance melt model and distributed accumulation model driven by ERA5 LAND re-analysis data for the time period of 1981–2019. The results are evaluated against discharge records, satellite-derived snow cover, stake readings from individual glaciers, and geodetic mass balances. Modelled glacier volume decreased by approximately 6.7 km3 or 14%, and the majority of the mass loss took place from 1996 until 2019. The decreasing trend is the result of increasingly negative summer mass balances whereas winter mass balances show no substantial trend. Analysis of the discharge data suggests an increasing runoff for the past two decades, which is, however only partly reflected in an increase of glacier melt. Moreover, the strongest increase in discharge is observed in winter, suggesting either a prolonged melting period and/or increased groundwater discharge. The average runoff from the glacierized areas in summer months (June to August) constitutes approximately 23% of the total contributions to the basin’s runoff. The results highlight the strong regional variability in glacier-climate interactions in Central Asia.

Variation of Runoff and Runoff Components of the Upper Shule River in the Northeastern Qinghai–Tibet Plateau under Climate Change

Quantifying the impact of climate change on hydrologic features is essential for the scientific planning, management and sustainable use of water resources in Northwest China. Based on hydrometeorological data and glacier inventory data, the Spatial Processes in Hydrology (SPHY) model was used to simulate the changes of hydrologic processes in the Upper Shule River (USR) from 1971 to 2020, and variations of runoff and runoff components were quantitatively analyzed using the simulations and observations. The results showed that the glacier area has decreased by 21.8% with a reduction rate of 2.06 km2/a. Significant increasing trends in rainfall runoff, glacier runoff (GR) and baseflow indicate there has been a consistent increase in total runoff due to increasing rainfall and glacier melting. The baseflow has made the largest contribution to total runoff, followed by GR, rainfall runoff and snow runoff, with mean annual contributions of 38%, 28%, 18% and 16%, respectively. The annual contribution of glacier and snow runoff to the total runoff shows a decreasing trend with decreasing glacier area and increasing temperature. Any increase of total runoff in the future will depend on an increase of rainfall, which will exacerbate the impact of drought and flood disasters.

Assessing the Role of Photochemistry in Driving the Composition of Dissolved Organic Matter in Glacier Runoff

AbstractDissolved organic matter (DOM) in glacier runoff is aliphatic‐rich, yet studies have proposed that DOM originates mainly from allochthonous, aromatic, and often aged material. Allochthonous organic matter (OM) is exposed to ultraviolet radiation both in atmospheric transport and post‐deposition on the glacier surface. Thus, we evaluate photochemistry as a mechanism to account for the compositional disconnect between allochthonous OM sources and glacier runoff DOM composition. Six endmember OM sources (including soils and diesel particulate matter) were leached and photo‐irradiated for 28 days in a solar simulator, until >90% of initial chromophoric DOM was removed. Ultrahigh‐resolution mass spectrometry was used to compare the molecular composition of endmember leachates pre‐ and post‐irradiation to DOM in supraglacial and bulk runoff from the Greenland Ice Sheet and Juneau Icefield (Alaska), respectively. Photo‐irradiation drove molecular level convergence between the initially aromatic‐rich leachates and aromatic‐poor glacial samples, selectively removing aromatic compounds (−80 ± 19% relative abundance) and producing aliphatics (+75 ± 35% relative abundance). Molecular level glacier runoff DOM composition was statistically indistinguishable to post‐irradiation leachates. Bray‐Curtis analysis showed substantial similarity in the molecular formulae present between glacier samples and post‐irradiation leachates. Post‐irradiation leachates contained 84 ± 7.4% of the molecular formulae, including 72 ± 17% of the aliphatic formulae, detected in glacier samples. Our findings suggest that photodegradation, either in transit to or on glacier surfaces, could provide a mechanistic pathway to account for the disconnect between proposed aromatic, aged sources of OM and the aliphatic‐rich fingerprint of glacial DOM.

Tracing Nitrate Source and Transformation in Glacier Runoffs on the Tibetan Plateau Using Triple Nitrate Isotopes

Glaciers are the largest reservoir of fresh water on earth. Global warming accelerates glacier retreat and enhances glacier runoff, which heavily impacts the geochemical cycling in downstream ecosystems. Nitrate is the main form of nitrogen in glacier runoff, while little is known about its source in high-altitude regions. Here, we measured triple nitrate isotopes (δ 15 N, δ 18 O, and Δ 17 O) in ten geographically separated glacier runoffs on the Tibetan Plateau with the altitudes ranged from 2,409 to 5,564 m. The isotope results were combined with hydrogeochemical indicators to assess the primary sources and transformation processes of nitrate. Results showed that all the glacier runoffs exhibited low nitrate concentration, which ranged from 0.3 ± 0.0 to 1.5 ± 0.8 mg·L -1 . The SIAR model results indicated that soil organic nitrogen and atmospherically oxidized nitrate accounted for 67% of nitrate in the runoffs, whereas human-related source (i.e., chemical fertilizers) contributed 33% on average. Significant geospatial differences in the contribution of chemical fertilizers were identified, with their contributions being significantly higher in the monsoon domain (43% ± 3%) than that in the westerlies domain (22% ± 8%). Furthermore, δ 18 O of nitrate ranged from -15‰ to 15‰, this suggested that the nitrification process is responsible for the nitrogen transformation in Tibetan glacier ecosystems. Our study reveals the source of nitrogen in Tibetan glaciers and highlights the substantial impact of human activity on glacier nutrient cycling. Our work may shed light on the understanding of nitrogen cycling in downstream ecosystems.

A Changing Hydrological Regime: Trends in Magnitude and Timing of Glacier Ice Melt and Glacier Runoff in a High Latitude Coastal Watershed

AbstractWith a unique biogeophysical signature relative to other freshwater sources, meltwater from glaciers plays a crucial role in the hydrological and ecological regime of high latitude coastal areas. Today, as glaciers worldwide exhibit persistent negative mass balance, glacier runoff is changing in both magnitude and timing, with potential downstream impacts on infrastructure, ecosystems, and ecosystem resources. However, runoff trends may be difficult to detect in coastal systems with large precipitation variability. Here, we use the coupled energy balance and water routing model SnowModel‐HydroFlow to examine changes in timing and magnitude of runoff from the western Juneau Icefield in Southeast Alaska between 1980 and 2016. We find that under sustained glacier mass loss (−0.57 ± 0.12 m w. e. a−1), several hydrological variables related to runoff show increasing trends. This includes annual and spring glacier ice melt volumes (+10% and +16% decade−1) which, because of higher proportions of precipitation, translate to smaller increases in glacier runoff (+3% and +7% decade−1) and total watershed runoff (+1.4% and +3% decade−1). These results suggest that the western Juneau Icefield watersheds are still in an increasing glacier runoff period prior to reaching “peak water.” In terms of timing, we find that maximum glacier ice melt is occurring earlier (2.5 days decade−1), indicating a change in the source and quality of freshwater being delivered downstream in the early summer. Our findings highlight that even in maritime climates with large precipitation variability, high latitude coastal watersheds are experiencing hydrological regime change driven by ongoing glacier mass loss.

An Estimated Contribution of Glacier Runoff to Mongolia's Upper Khovd River Basin in the Altai Mountains

In the semiarid climate of northwestern Mongolia, glaciers are critical contributors to water resources, particularly during the dry summer months. Nevertheless, our knowledge of the contribution of glacier runoff in the Upper Khovd River Basin (UKRB) is limited. This study investigates the impact of glacier recession on the UKRB's hydrology in western Mongolia's Altai Mountains. The analysis included glaciological method measurements, satellite-derived glacier extent records, and a simple ice ablation model. Our modeling used a mass balance gradient of 0.50 meters water equivalent 100 m–1 for the years 2000, 2010, and 2016 and included a sensitivity analysis that applied lower and upper mass balance gradient values and ±200 m around the equilibrium line altitude (ELA). The glacier contribution to the UKRB's water resources decreased from almost 8% in 2000 to 6.7% in 2016. Hypsometries revealed that glacier areas decreased at all elevations, indicating that only small accumulation zones exist. Therefore, applying a modeled increased ELA better represents glacier contribution to total runoff, at 18.7% in 2000 and 15.4% in 2016. The decreasing glacier runoff contribution indicates that the UKRB glaciers have passed the tipping point of an increased contribution that first follows enhanced melting. The continued glacier recession and uncertain water availability represent challenges for water resource management and future human–water relations in the Mongolian Altai.

Change in the Extent of Glaciers and Glacier Runoff in the Chinese Sector of the Ile River Basin between 1962 and 2012

Change in glacier area in the Kuksu and Kunes river basins, which are tributaries to the internationally important Ile River, were assessed at two different time steps between 1962/63, 1990/93, and 2010/12. Overall, glaciers lost 191.3 ± 16.8 km2 or 36.9 ± 6.5% of the initial area. Glacier wastage intensified in the latter period: While in 1962/63–1990/93 glaciers were losing 0.5% a−1, in 1990/93–2010/12, they were losing 1.2% a−1. Streamflow of the Ile River and its tributaries do not exhibit statistically significant change during the vegetative period between May and September. Positive trends were observed in the Ile flow in autumn, winter, and early spring. By contrast, the calculation of the total runoff from the glacier surface (including snow and ice melt) using temperature-index method and runoff forming due to melting of multiyear ice estimated from changes in glacier volume at different time steps between the 1960s and 2010s, showed that their absolute values and their contribution to total river runoff declined since the 1980s. This change is attributed to a strong reduction in glacier area.

Improving Understanding of Present Glacier Runoff and Future Water Availability in Endorheic Basins

Improving Understanding of Present Glacier Runoff and Future Water Availability in Endorheic Basins

Interrelation Between Glacier Summer Mass Balance And Runoff In Mountain River Basins

Measurements of summer mass balance B s , made over the period 1946-2016, on 56 continental glaciers, located in the basins of mountain rivers in 14 countries, were analysed for the purpose of resolving several tasks: (a) constructing physically based interrelations between river flow W bas and B s ; (b) estimating the representativeness of local measurement of B s for enhancement of hydrological computations and for control of modelled values W bas ; and (c) use of time series of B s for the evaluation of norms and extrema of W bas . Results of the study of the outlined problem serve as the basis for making the transition of local glaciological characteristics to the basin-wide level by using the relationship between runoff and summer balance of glaciers. It includes also analysis and conclusions on the spatial and temporal homogeneity of averaging glaciological mass balance data by the sampling method.

Sensitivity of Glacier Runoff to Winter Snow Thickness Investigated for Vatnajökull Ice Cap, Iceland, Using Numerical Models and Observations

Several simulations of the surface climate and energy balance of Vatnajökull ice cap, Iceland, are used to estimate the glacier runoff for the period 1980–2015 and the sensitivity of runoff to the spring conditions (e.g., snow thickness). The simulations are calculated using the snow pack scheme from the regional climate model HIRHAM5, forced with incoming mass and energy fluxes from the numerical weather prediction model HARMONIE-AROME. The modeled runoff is compared to available observations from two outlet glaciers to assess the quality of the simulations. To test the sensitivity of the runoff to spring conditions, simulations are repeated for the spring conditions of each of the years 1980–2015, followed by the weather of all summers in the same period. We find that for the whole ice cap, the variability in runoff as a function of varying spring conditions was on average 31% of the variability due to changing summer weather. However, some outlet glaciers are very sensitive to the amount of snow in the spring, as e.g., the variation in runoff from Brúarjökull due to changing spring conditions was on average 50% of the variability due to varying summer weather.

The Spatial and Temporal Contribution of Glacier Runoff to Watershed Discharge in the Yarkant River Basin, Northwest China

In this paper, a glacial module based on an enhanced temperature-index approach was successfully introduced into the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to simulate the glacier runoff and water balance of a glacierized watershed, the mountainous region of the Yarkant River Basin (YRB) in Karakoram. Calibration and validation of the SWAT model were based on comparisons between the simulated and observed discharge with a monthly temporal resolution from 1961 to 2011 for the Kaqun hydrological station. The results reaffirmed the viability of the approach for simulating glacier runoff, as evidenced by a Nash–Sutcliff Efficiency (NSE) of 0.82–0.86 as well as a percentage bias (PBIAS) of −4.5% to 2.4%, for the calibration and validation periods, respectively. Over the last 50 years, the total discharge and glacier runoff both exhibited increasing trends with 0.031 × 109 m3·a−1 and 0.011 × 109 m3·a−1. The annual glacier runoff contribution to the streamflow was between 42.3% and 64.5%, with an average of 51.6%, although the glaciers accounted for only 12.6% of the watershed drainage area in the mountainous YRB. The monthly contribution of the glacier runoff ranged from 11.0% in April to 62.1% in August, and the glacier runoff from June to September accounted for about 86.3% of the annual glacier runoff. Runoff from the mountainous regions above 5000 m a.s.l. accounted for 70.5% of the total discharge, with glacier runoff contributions being approximately 46.4%.

Daily Glacier Runoff Estimation Methods—A Case Study of Koxkar Glacier

Using hydrometeorological data from June 1,2005 to May 31,2006 obtained by several automatic stations of Koxkar Glacier(total drainage area is 117.6km2 among which 83.6km2 is covered glacier),and combining it with 1∶50 000 topographic map,TM,FY-2C and NCEP/NCAR data,the authors have created total 10 different distributed runoff models with 60m×60m spatial resolution and 1d time-step.All the models simulate the daily mean runoff well,and they are better than the statistical models.Using FY-2C total cloud cover data and solar radiation parameterized methods could calculate the solar radiation well in China,and it may use global radiation to estimate glacier runoff in some period well.In a year,the relationship between air temperature and glacier runoff is exponential,while in the ablation season,it is linear.That is,the degree-day method is more suitable in the ablation season.In such large glacier basin(glacier coverage is about 71%) as Koxkar watershed,the precipitation measurements neglected in the past in China is very important.With direct or global radiation being added,the temperature-index ice melting model will simulate the glacier runoff better.The authors also for the first time have given 3 simple energy-balanced models in China to estimate the glacier runoff,and the models all estimate the daily mean runoff well.In the Koxkar glacier watershed,improvment should be made for the research on evapotranspiration,sublimation,coagulation and refreezing,especially the runoff concentration processes which are very complex due to its melting Kast in the glacier.Many instruments were installed on the glacier in July,2007,such as the eddy covariance system,a 10m meteorological tower and two automatic stations,etc.In the next few years,more glacier runoff estimation methods in different glacier with different character and size need to be found.

Analysis of Glacier Run-Off and Meteorological Observations

Abstract Linear models of the relationships between meteorological observations and the flow of river Tungnaá at the western margin of glacier Vatnajökull were investigated by means of spectral analysis and estimation of the impulse response. Most of the variation of Tungnaá is confined to the lowest frequencies and the diurnal variations. The temperature has most effect on the rapid variations around 1 cycle/day whereas the largest coherences with the precipitation are in the lowest frequencies. The wind explains over 20% of the variations in the frequency range from 0–1 cycle/day, but this is partly due to its coherence with the precipitation. The time lag between changes in the temperature and the river is about 2 h, but the time lag between precipitation and the river is longer. Analysis of longer records of daily observations from Ϸjórsá shows that the coherence of the run-off and temperature increases at frequencies too low to be estimated from these data. At frequencies over 1 cycle/day most of the observed variations of the river cannot be explained by means of a linear relationship with the meteorological series.