Geostrophic Wind Research Articles

On Some Singular Limits Arising in Fluid Dynamic Modelling

Fluid dynamic equations are used to model various phenomena arising from physics, engineering, astrophysics, geophysics. One feature is that they take place at different time and length scales and it is important to understand which phenomena occur according to the use of single scales or to the interactions of them. From a mathematical point of view, these various physical behaviours give rise to different singular limits and, consequently to a different analysis of the asymptotic state of the governing equations. In this paper we will analyse a very simplified model given by a linearised continuity equation and by the classical momentum equation which include terms that take into account of rotation and we will show, according to the values of different scales, that the asymptotic behaviour of the model will be those of an incompressible fluid or of a geostrophic flow. Finally we point out, that the set of equations analysed in the paper may also fit in the artificial compressibility approximation methods.

How do topography and thermal front influence the water transport from the northern Laotieshan Channel to the Bohai Sea interior in summer?

Water renewal through the Bohai Strait largely dominates the water quality of the semi-enclosed Bohai Sea (BS), which connects only to the northern Yellow Sea (NYS) through the strait. Although the peak water transport through the Bohai Strait occurs in summer, the spatially averaged water residence time of the BS shows no significant decrease compared to other periods. A three-dimensional model is applied to unravel the detailed structure and dynamic processes of the summertime NYS water transport from the northern Laotieshan Channel to the BS interior. Model results from both climatological and hindcasting cases show that despite a large amount of the NYS water enters the strait, they are confined to the Laotieshan Channel between the Central Bank and Dalian surrounded by a strong Ω-shaped tidal front and could not move further north into the Liaodong Bay. The strong along-front flow steered by the topography forms a counter-clockwise circulation pattern in the strait zone, resulting in most of water southward movement east of the Central Bank, then join the outflow south of the strait and leave for the NYS. The Central Bank and the topographic sill north of the Laotieshan Channel act as a barrier that significantly reduces the water exchange between the strait zone and the BS interior, in particular the Liaodong Bay. Particle-tracking experiments suggest that less than 10% of particles released in the NYS could finally reach the BS interior, and among of them only a small portion of them could move further north into the Liaodong Bay. Momentum diagnostics suggest that the water transport northwest of the strait is dominated by geostrophic balance in the Ω-shaped frontal region. Sensitivity experiments indicate that tides promote the surface water transport from the NYS to the BS interior. The realistic wind forcing including synoptic events may facilitate the water transport from the strait to the BS interior by modulating the barotropic and baroclinic pressure gradient than that with the climatological wind case.

Long-term wave energy potential estimation in the Aegean and Ionian seas using dynamic downscaling and wave modelling techniques.

The current work focuses on the use of dynamic downscaling methods based on 40 years ERA5 hindcast climatic data, for estimating the Wave energy potential for the Hellenic region. The main areas of interest are the Aegean and Ionian islands. The combination of local and reanalysis climatic data, has been used, as it is linking the mesoscale meteorology, with microclimatic weather phenomena. This way the driving geostrophic winds are effectively taken into account for the estimation of low altitude wind distribution. WRF is used to downscale the raw reanalysis ERA5 input data grid to a finer 3 × 3 Km results grid. This way, high computational accuracy can be achieved over the investigated regions, thus revealing finer wind scales phenomena. The downscaled climatic data are used as initial and boundary conditions for NOAA/NCEP's WAVEWATCH III to produce the required wave climate for the areas of interest over a finer grid. The computational results are compared with existing measurements and the significant wave height, wave period and direction distributions are used to assess in detail the potential wave energy distribution in specific areas of interest. The seasonal wave-climate variability and long-term periodicity are also investigated.

Global Sea Surface Cyclogeostrophic Currents Derived From Satellite Altimetry Data

AbstractSea surface currents (SSC) derived from the sea surface height anomalies (SSHA) as measured by multi‐satellite altimeters are widely used for various applications including studies on ocean dynamics, marine ecology, and climate change. However, present SSC products estimated on the assumption of an idealized geostrophic balance is biased. To overcome this idealization, this study considers flow curvature in the estimation of sea surface velocities in the global ocean, with the computation scheme validated using numerical model results. It is demonstrated that the inclusion of curvature into SSC estimations significantly changes SSC dynamic features in terms of kinetic energy, enstrophy (the maximum spatial difference is about 15%), and strain rate (the maximum spatial difference is about 10%). Such correction is of importance to the application studies relying on the SSC products from the satellite measured SSHA.

Roles of the Topographically-Affected Boundary Layer Low-Level Jet in the Moisture Transport Process of Nocturnal Rainstorms in Mountainous Areas around the Western Sichuan Basin

Fifteen cases were selected from May to September 2010 to 2021 to study the moisture transport of nocturnal rainstorms in mountainous areas around the western Sichuan Basin (western SCB). Nocturnal rainstorms mainly occur along mountains in southwestern SCB, from 22 to 04 LST, peaking at 00 LST. The four following moisture transport paths (proportions) were obtained using the Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory model (HYSPLIT): the local path from southeastern SCB (51.9%), the southerly path from the South China Sea (35.1%), the northwestern path from western Tibetan Plateau (TP) (6.6%), and the easterly path from the East China Sea (6.4%). The persistent southwest monsoon is the large-scale circulation for nocturnal rainstorms in western SCB while the boundary layer low-level jet (BLJ) over southeastern SCB plays a key role in diurnal variations of moisture transport in western SCB. To discuss the roles of the topographically-affected BLJ in moisture transport, the wind field is decomposed into creeping flows (flows over mountains) and circumfluence flows (flows around mountains). At 22 LST, ageostrophic creeping flows turn southeast due to the clockwise rotation caused by inertial oscillations of the BLJ, transporting moisture directly into western SCB and converging because of the blocking effect of TP. Meanwhile, the opposite geostrophic circumfluence flows and ageostrophic circumfluence flows meet and accumulate at the “trumpet” topography in western SCB, leading to moisture convergence, and the moisture budget peaks at 22 LST, 2 h earlier than the rainstorm peak. The creeping flows force upward motions over western SCB, and the conflict between upward warm–moist flows and cold–dry downslope flows from TP triggers convection, which significantly strengthens the vertical velocity. The results confirm the existence of the BLJ over southeastern SCB both in the Eulerian and Lagrangian viewpoints and reveal the roles of the topographically-affected BLJ in the moisture transport process of nocturnal rainstorms in western SCB.

Variation of upper-layer flow structures and water masses observed around the Noto Peninsula and Sado Island, Japan

After classifying various water masses around the Noto Peninsula and Sado Island, Japan and identifying their seasonal variation, we investigated flow fields in the area. Distributions of flow structures and water properties were analyzed based on intensive observations using a conductivity–temperature–depth profiler during 2002–2020. Tide gauge and satellite altimetry data were also analyzed to elucidate the temporal and the more widespread horizontal variation of the sea surface geostrophic flow field. Interannual change of the northeastward baroclinic jet formed offshore of the Noto Peninsula in fall was found. Furthermore, anticyclonic eddy formation around Toyama Bay which is part of the current path transition of the coastal branch of the Tsushima Warm Current was found to result from effects of bathymetric change behind the Noto Peninsula. At that time, the sea-surface current speed of the coastal branch was also high. We propose new methods for predicting current path transition events two weeks in advance.

An ensemble Kalman filter-based ocean data assimilation system improved by adaptive observation error inflation (AOEI)

Abstract. A previous study proposed an adaptive observation error inflation (AOEI) method for an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)-based atmospheric data assimilation system to assimilate all-sky infrared brightness temperatures. Brightness temperature differences between clear- and cloudy-sky radiances are large, and observation-minus-forecast differences (or innovations) are therefore likely to be large around boundaries between clear- and cloudy-sky regions. The AOEI method mitigates these discrepancies by adaptively inflating observation errors. Ocean frontal regions have similar characteristics to the borders between clear- and cloudy-sky regions with large innovations. Consequently, we have implemented the AOEI with an EnKF-based regional ocean data assimilation system, in which the assimilation interval is set to 1 d to utilize frequent satellite observations. We conducted sensitivity experiments to investigate the impacts of the AOEI on salinity structure, geostrophic balance, and accuracy. A control run, in which the AOEI is not applied, shows the degradation of low-salinity North Pacific Intermediate Water around the Kuroshio Extension region, where the innovation amplitude and forecast ensemble spread are large in association with the fronts and eddies. The resulting large temperature and salinity increments weaken the density stratification, leading to large vertical diffusivity. As a result, the low-salinity water in the intermediate layer is lost through strong vertical diffusion. When the AOEI is used, the salinity structure in the ocean interior is preserved because the AOEI suppresses the salinity degradation by reducing the temperature and salinity increments. We also demonstrate that the AOEI provides significant improvement of the geostrophic balance and the analysis accuracy of temperature, salinity, and surface-flow fields.

Skillful decadal prediction of German Bight storm activity

Abstract. We evaluate the prediction skill of the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) decadal hindcast system for German Bight storm activity (GBSA) on a multiannual to decadal scale. We define GBSA every year via the most extreme 3-hourly geostrophic wind speeds, which are derived from mean sea-level pressure (MSLP) data. Our 64-member ensemble of annually initialized hindcast simulations spans the time period 1960–2018. For this period, we compare deterministically and probabilistically predicted winter MSLP anomalies and annual GBSA with a lead time of up to 10 years against observations. The model produces poor deterministic predictions of GBSA and winter MSLP anomalies for individual years but fair predictions for longer averaging periods. A similar but smaller skill difference between short and long averaging periods also emerges for probabilistic predictions of high storm activity. At long averaging periods (longer than 5 years), the model is more skillful than persistence- and climatology-based predictions. For short aggregation periods (4 years and less), probabilistic predictions are more skillful than persistence but insignificantly differ from climatological predictions. We therefore conclude that, for the German Bight, probabilistic decadal predictions (based on a large ensemble) of high storm activity are skillful for averaging periods longer than 5 years. Notably, a differentiation between low, moderate, and high storm activity is necessary to expose this skill.

A modeling study of hydrographic and flow variability along the river-influenced coastal ocean off central Chile

The coast of central Chile has multiple rivers with a marked seasonal discharge variability. Few studies have addressed primarily the seasonal variability of river plume extension and vertical structure. Here, we have analyzed the effects of multiple river outflows on the hydrography (salinity and density) and meridional transports off central Chile. This study is focused on synoptic and intraseasonal scales of variability using eight years of semi-realistic model outputs. Our results reveal that the plume spreading is much broader during winter than spring. Wind-driven changes in plume shapes modulate the geostrophic component of the flow field off Biobío and Itata rivers in winter (spring) after downwelling (upwelling) favorable winds. The geostrophic flow was important off Mataquito and Maule rivers after upwelling-favorable winds, primarily in spring. The stratification in winter was mostly associated with the freshwater content in all coastal regions and showed a rapid response to the wind stress forcing. The mixing through wind stress decreased in spring, modifying the stratification and uncoupling the wintertime variability between stratification and freshwater.

Modeling dissolved organic carbon exchange across major straits and shelf breaks in the South China Sea

The South China Sea (SCS) is the largest semienclosed marginal sea in the western Pacific. The advective supply of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from the open ocean to the SCS influences its carbon cycle and biogeochemical processes. However, quantitative studies of DOC exchange across different straits and the shelf to the SCS are particularly limited. In this study, we investigated seasonal DOC transport across four major straits and cross-shelf breaks using a coupled physical–biogeochemical model. The modeling results show that the seasonal variations in DOC transport through the major straits are largely controlled by the monsoon. In winter, associated with the northeast monsoon, the magnitudes of DOC transport from the four straits are generally larger than those in summer with the southwest monsoon. DOC transport is eastward at the Luzon Strait and northward at the Taiwan and Karimata straits during the southwest monsoon and changes direction during the northeast monsoon. The annual mean of depth-integrated DOC transport is 86.7 Tg C yr−1 westward at the Luzon Strait, 19.1 Tg C yr−1 northward at the Taiwan Strait, 25.9 Tg C yr−1 southward at the Karimata Strait, and 46.0 Tg C yr−1 southward at the Mindoro Strait. DOC transport across the shelf break is a result of geostrophic or quasigeostrophic balance. In the north and west, the annual net cross-shelf break transports are onshore with magnitudes of 8.8 and 31.1 Tg C yr−1, respectively. In the southern SCS, the annual net transport is offshore with a magnitude of 18.3 Tg C yr−1. The net export of total labile and semilabile DOC from the SCS has a flux of 10.7 Tg C yr−1. This study provides seasonal budgets of DOC exchange between the SCS and its adjacent oceans, which contribute to a better evaluation of the carbon cycle in the SCS.

Vertical Motions Driven by Geostrophic Stress in Surface Boundary Layer under a Finite Ekman Number Regime

Abstract Geostrophic stress caused by a strong horizontal density gradient embedded in the surface boundary layer plays an important role in generating vertical motion and associated tracer transport. However, dependence of this frictionally driven vertical velocity on the Ekman number (Ek), a key dimensionless parameter for frictional flows in a rotating reference frame, has not been systematically analyzed, especially for a finite Ek. In this study, we theoretically demonstrate that the geostrophic stress always induces an ageostrophic stress acting to offset itself, and such an offsetting effect becomes more evident with increasing Ek. When Ek approaches unity or larger, vertical motion driven by geostrophic stress is much weaker than that derived by Garrett and Loder (GL81), who neglect effects of ageostrophic stress and predict a vertical velocity magnitude scaled with curl of geostrophic stress. Although the cancellation tendency between geostrophic and ageostrophic stress is universal, its underlying dynamics depends on vertical structures of turbulent viscosity and geostrophic flows. A realistic simulation in the winter Kuroshio Extension is conducted to validate the theoretical results and examine which regime, a small versus finite Ek, is more relevant in this region. It is found that the characteristic vertical scale involved in the definition of Ek is primarily determined by the vertical structure of turbulent viscosity and evidently smaller than that of geostrophic flow. The value of Ek in the winter Kuroshio Extension is generally larger than unity. Correspondingly, the GL81 model results in severe overestimation of the geostrophic stress-driven vertical velocity and tracer transport.

What Can Hydrography Between the New England Slope, Bermuda and Africa Tell us About the Strength of the AMOC Over the Last 90 years?

AbstractThe Gulf Stream is the only pathway in the subtropical North Atlantic by which warm water flows poleward. This transport of warm water and return of cold water at depth is called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The dynamic method is applied to hydrocasts collected since the 1930s to estimate upper‐ocean transport (0–1,000 m) between the U.S. Continental Slope and Bermuda and separately to Africa with focus on the longest directly observable timescale. Calculating transport between the Slope and Bermuda eliminates the Gulf Stream's northern and southern recirculation gyres, while calculations between the Slope and Africa remove all other recirculating geostrophic flow. The net Slope‐Bermuda upper‐ocean transport is estimated to be 41.1 ± 0.4 Sv, decreasing by 2.0 ± 0.8 Sv between 1930 and 2020. The AMOC contribution is 18.4 ± 0.6 Sv, decreasing by 0.4 ± 0.6 Sv between 1930 and 2020.

Seasonal variability of eddy kinetic energy in the north Indian Ocean

The seasonality of eddy kinetic energy (EKE) is analyzed in the north Indian Ocean by adopting high-resolution ocean reanalysis data. Significant eddy energy can be mainly spotted in six regions, including the Somali Current (SC) region, the Gulf of Aden, the Laccadive Sea, the east of Sri Lanka, the East Indian Coastal Current (EICC) region, and the northwest of Sumatra. As the most energetic region, the EKE averaged above 200 m could exceed 0.15 m2·s-2 in the SC region, whereas the mean EKE above 200 m is less than 0.04 m2·s-2 in the other regions. The barotropic and baroclinic instabilities are vital to eddy energy, and the contribution of each term in the barotropic/baroclinic equations varies with season and region. In the SC region and EICC region, EKE is primarily generated by barotropic conversion due to the sharp velocity shear caused by the strong SC during the summer monsoon and the EICC from March to June. For the other regions, the leading source of EKE is the eddy potential energy (EPE), which is extracted from available potential energy of mean flow via baroclinic conversion, and then the EPE is converted into EKE through vertical density flux. Once generated, EKE will be redistributed by pressure work and advection via eddy energy flux, which varies in sync with the monthly variation of total EKE, transporting EKE to the adjacent region or deeper layer. From the vertical aspect, eddy energy conversions are more prominent above 200 m. The maximal EKE and barotropic conversion mostly occur at the surface, whereas the EPE and baroclinic conversion may have two peaks, which lie at the surface and in the thermocline. Using the satellite altimeter data and wind data, we further investigate the impact of geostrophic eddy wind work, which reveals a slightly dampening effect to EKE in the north Indian Ocean.

An ensemble Kalman filter system with the Stony Brook Parallel Ocean Model v1.0

Abstract. This study develops an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)-based regional ocean data assimilation system in which the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) is implemented with version 1.0 of the Stony Brook Parallel Ocean Model (sbPOM) to assimilate satellite and in situ observations at a daily frequency. A series of sensitivity experiments are performed with various settings of the incremental analysis update (IAU) and covariance inflation methods, for which the relaxation-to-prior perturbations and spread (RTPP and RTPS, respectively) and multiplicative inflation (MULT) are considered. We evaluate the geostrophic balance and the analysis accuracy compared with the control experiment in which the IAU and covariance inflation are not applied. The results show that the IAU improves the geostrophic balance, degrades the accuracy, and reduces the ensemble spread, and that the RTPP and RTPS have the opposite effect. The experiment using a combination of the IAU and RTPP results in a significant improvement for both balance and analysis accuracy when the RTPP parameter is 0.8–0.9. The combination of the IAU and RTPS improves the balance when the RTPS parameter is ≤0.8 and increases the analysis accuracy for parameter values between 1.0 and 1.1, but the balance and analysis accuracy are not improved significantly at the same time. The experiments with MULT inflating the forecast ensemble spread by 5 % do not demonstrate sufficient skill in maintaining the balance and reproducing the surface flow field regardless of whether the IAU is applied or not. The 11 d ensemble forecast experiments show consistent results. Therefore, the combination of the IAU and RTPP with a parameter value of 0.8–0.9 is found to be the best setting for the EnKF-based ocean data assimilation system.

Resonant growth of inertial oscillations from lee waves in the deep ocean

The interactions between inertial oscillations (IO) and lee waves (LW) close to the bottom of the ocean and the role of IO in energy dissipation are addressed for a range of physical parameters typical of Southern Ocean conditions. Idealized numerical simulations in a vertical plane and resonant interaction theory are combined for this purpose. The lee waves are emitted by a uniform geostrophic flow over a sinusoidal topography for a constant buoyancy frequency at mid-latitude. We show that IO can grow by triadic resonant interactions with the LW. Two triads are dominant, which involve waves with frequency , f and , where is the intrinsic frequency of the LW and f the Coriolis frequency (assumed positive). These triads differ by the sign and value of the IO vertical wavenumber. Results from the numerical simulations show that the triad associated with the upward phase propagation of the IO is selected, consistent with oceanic observations, that a good agreement is obtained with the IO growth rate predicted theoretically and that the IO develop in a bottom layer of height less than 1000 m. A quasi-steady flow regime is eventually reached, with the IO amplitude being of the same order as the geostrophic flow speed. During this regime, depending upon the flow parameters, the IO kinetic energy is equal to 30–70% of the LW energy flux during one inertial period. This large range of values is not reflected in the turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) dissipation rate, which is comprised between 10 and 30% of the LW energy flux, whatever the IO amplitude, even if vanishingly small. Therefore, for the set of parameters we consider, the TKE dissipation rate cannot be inferred from the IO amplitude. Yet, the nonlinear interactions between the lee waves and the IO are critical in setting the energy spectrum, and similarly for the internal tide and the IO at low latitudes according to the literature. This implies that IO should be taken into account in the parameterisation of mixing in the ocean.

Winter–Summer Transition in the Southern South China Sea Western Boundary Current

Abstract The winter–summer transition in the southern South China Sea (SCS) western boundary current (WBC) is studied. Two categories have been identified. In case 1, the southern SCS WBC transition in the lower layer (below the thermocline) lags that in the upper layer (above the thermocline). In case 2, there is no transition lag at full depth. In both categories, the geostrophic balance dominates the transition. In case 1, the upper layer geostrophic balance is dominated by the sea surface height pressure gradient (SSHPG) and Coriolis forcing during southern SCS WBC transition. Therefore, there is no transition lag with depth in the upper layer. Below the thermocline layer, the competition between the SSHPG and the density pressure gradient (DPG) determines the transition. During the transition, the amplitudes of the SSHPG and DPG are basically equivalent. The SSHPG needs time to develop sufficiently larger than the DPG. Therefore, the transition in the deeper layer significantly lags that in the shallower layer. The reversal of the SSHPG is mainly attributed to the change in the basin-scale wind stress curl over the southern SCS. The change in the DPG is mainly associated with the cooling of the water along the western continental slope, which is induced by upwelling. In case 2, there is no cooling along the western continental slope, and then the amplitude of the DPG is always far smaller than that of the SSHPG. Responding to the change in the SSHPG, the southern SCS WBC transition behaves consistently at full depth. Significance Statement We have a comprehensive understanding of the South China Sea (SCS) circulation patterns in winter and summer. However, their seasonal transitions remain unclear, and a better understanding of them is potentially helpful for improving ocean circulation modeling and prediction. This paper focuses on the winter–summer transition in the SCS western boundary current (WBC). Above the thermocline (∼100 m), the transition behaves consistently in the vertical direction and is controlled by the conversion of the sea surface height–induced pressure gradient. Below the thermocline, the transition in the deeper layer of the WBC significantly lags that in the shallower layer of the WBC, which is associated with the competition between the SSH-induced pressure gradient and the density-induced pressure gradient at the sea surface.

The Origin and Fate of Antarctic Intermediate Water in the Southern Ocean

Abstract Using observationally based hydrographic and eddy diffusivity datasets, a volume budget analysis is performed to identify the main mechanisms governing the spatial and seasonal variability of Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) within the density range γn = (27.25–27.7) kg m−3 in the Southern Ocean. The subduction rates and water mass transformation rates by mesoscale and small-scale turbulent mixing are estimated. First, Ekman pumping upwells the dense variety of AAIW into the mixed layer south of the Polar Front, which can be advected northward by Ekman transport into the subduction regions of lighter-variety AAIW and Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW). The subduction of light AAIW occurs mainly by lateral advection in the southeast Pacific and Drake Passage as well as eddy-induced flow between the Subantarctic and Polar Fronts. The circumpolar-integrated total subduction yields from −5 to 19 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) of AAIW volume loss. Second, the diapycnal transport from subducted SAMW into the AAIW layer is predominantly by mesoscale mixing (2–13 Sv) near the Subantarctic Front and vertical mixing in the South Pacific, while AAIW is further replenished by transformation from Upper Circumpolar Deep Water by vertical mixing (1–10 Sv). Last, 3–14 Sv of AAIW are exported out of the Southern Ocean. Our results suggest that the distribution of AAIW is set by its formation due to subduction and mixing, and its circulation eastward along the ACC and northward into the subtropical gyres. The volume budget analysis reveals strong seasonal variability in the rate of subduction, vertical mixing, and volume transport driving volume change within the AAIW layer. The nonzero volume budget residual suggests that more observations are needed to better constrain the estimate of geostrophic flow and mesoscale and small-scale mixing diffusivities.

Effect of the continental shelf in seasonal oceanographic conditions at the Northern edge of the Eastern Tropical Pacific

The continental shelf in front of Nayarit is located in the northern limit of the tropical Eastern Pacific, characterized by constituting a convergence zone of different masses of water, forming an area of significant hydrographic variability. Based on satellite remote sensing data and reanalysis between 2003 and 2019 of sea surface temperature (SST), wind stress, Ekman velocity, and geostrophic velocity, the contribution of the seasonal cycle to the variability of the study area were analyzed through climatological means, Hovmöhler diagrams, and Empirical Orthogonal Functions. The results show that in the zone in front of Matanchén Bay (21.5 °N) and the adjacent continental shelf, there is a core of warm surface water. The distribution of the SST is explained by the seasonal pattern of meridional/zonal variability in the thermal gradient, where the EOFs show the influence of the annual scale in both modes, with the only difference being that the first describes the meridional gradient as the dominant signal (66.2%), and the second shows the zonal behavior of the thermal gradient (16.6%). The summer weakening of the wind stress and Ekman speed is the product of the irregular shape of the coastline, the extension of the continental shelf, and the divergence of the North American monsoon around 21°N, whereas during the rest of the year an intensification of these parameters prevailed in front of Cabo Corrientes. On the other hand, the intense geostrophic flow in summer does not contribute to the increase in SST on the continental shelf because it diverges around 22.5°N. Likewise, during the winter, the formation of a cyclonic geostrophic gyre located inside the continental shelf, between the coast and the Marías Islands, stands out.

Regimes and Transitions in the Basal Melting of Antarctic Ice Shelves

Abstract The Antarctic Ice Sheet is losing mass as a result of increased ocean-driven melting of its fringing ice shelves. Efforts to represent the effects of basal melting in sea level projections are undermined by poor understanding of the turbulent ice shelf–ocean boundary layer (ISOBL), a meters-thick layer of ocean that regulates heat and salt transfer between the ocean and ice. To address this shortcoming, we perform large-eddy simulations of the ISOBL formed by a steady, geostrophic flow beneath horizontal ice. We investigate melting and ISOBL structure and properties over a range of free-stream velocities and ocean temperatures. We find that the melting response to changes in thermal and current forcing is highly nonlinear due to the effects of meltwater on ISOBL turbulence. Three distinct ISOBL regimes emerge depending on the relative strength of current shear and buoyancy forcing: “well-mixed,” “stratified,” or “diffusive-convective.” We present expressions for mixing-layer depth for each regime and show that the transitions between regimes can be predicted with simple nondimensional parameters. We use these results to develop a novel regime diagram for the ISOBL which provides insight into the varied melting responses expected around Antarctica and highlights the need to include stratified and diffusive-convective dynamics in future basal melting parameterizations. We emphasize that melting in the diffusive-convective regime is time dependent and is therefore inherently difficult to parameterize. Significance Statement The purpose of this study is to investigate the processes that control ocean-driven melting of Antarctic ice shelves (100–1000-m-thick floating extensions of the Antarctic ice sheet). Currently, these processes are poorly understood due to the difficulty of accessing the ocean beneath ice shelves. Using an ocean model, we determine the melting response to different ocean conditions, including feedbacks whereby cold, fresh meltwater can enhance or suppress turbulent eddies beneath the ice, depending on the ocean state. Our results point the way to improvements in the representation of ocean-driven melting in ocean/climate models, which will allow more accurate predictions of future climate and sea level.

Impact of Negative Geostrophic Wind Shear on Wind Farm Performance

Impact of Negative Geostrophic Wind Shear on Wind Farm Performance