Geological Archives Research Articles

Hydrological fluctuations in the Tarim Basin, northwest China, over the past millennium

Abstract Reconstruction of hydrological fluctuations in arid regions has proven challenging due to a lack of reliable chronologic constraints on sparse geological archives. The aim of this study was to establish an independent record of hydrologic changes in the hyper-arid Tarim Basin (TB; northwest China) with high spatiotemporal resolution. We present comprehensive radiocarbon and tree-ring data sets of subfossilized plant remains in the TB compiled from geomorphological investigations of the paleochannels of the Tarim River (TR), the longest endorheic river in China, crossing the world's second-largest shifting sand desert. Results show that the late medieval configuration of the TR basin was characterized by enhanced hydrological connectivity, as indicated by the formation of significant riparian forests in the desert regions at ca. 1170 CE. A distinct low-flow interval (ca. 1500–1650 CE) is identified for the first time, refining the period of a wetter-than-present TB. The present-day organization of streams in the lower TR was proto-formed after the dry period, possibly led by episodic flood-induced diversion. Our study describes the centennial-scale dynamics in the TR flow over the past millennium, offering a robust long-term context for hydrological assessment in the extensive drylands of the Asian interior.

Geological evidence of extensive N-fixation by volcanic lightning during very large explosive eruptions

Most of the nitrogen (N) accessible for life is trapped in dinitrogen (N2), the most stable atmospheric molecule. In order to be metabolized by living organisms, N2 has to be converted into biologically assimilable forms, so-called fixed N. Nowadays, nearly all the N-fixation is achieved through biological and anthropogenic processes. However, in early prebiotic environments of the Earth, N-fixation must have occurred via natural abiotic processes. One of the most invoked processes is electrical discharges, including from thunderstorms and lightning associated with volcanic eruptions. Despite the frequent occurrence of volcanic lightning during explosive eruptions and convincing laboratory experimentation, no evidence of substantial N-fixation has been found in any geological archive. Here, we report on the discovery of a significant amount of nitrate in volcanic deposits from Neogene caldera-forming eruptions, which are well correlated with the concentrations of species directly emitted by volcanoes (sulfur, chlorine). The multi-isotopic composition (δ18O, Δ17O) of the nitrates reveals that they originate from the atmospheric oxidation of nitrogen oxides formed by volcanic lightning. According to these first geological volcanic nitrate archive, we estimate that, on average, about 60 Tg of N can be fixed during a large explosive event. Our findings hint at a unique role potentially played by subaerial explosive eruptions in supplying essential ingredients for the emergence of life on Earth.

Astronomically forced paleoclimate and sea-level changes recorded in the continental margin of the South China Sea over the past ∼23 m.y.

The Earth has witnessed the emergence of continental-sized ice sheets, starting with Antarctica and gradually extending to both hemispheres over the past 40 million years. These ice accumulations have had a dramatic impact on both paleoclimate and sea level, substantially influencing sediment deposition in the continental margins. However, understanding sediment accumulation on an orbital scale in continental margins remains limited because of the scarcity of high-resolution, chronologically constrained sedimentary records. Here, we conducted a highly resolved cyclostratigraphic analysis based on natural gamma radiation (GR) series in depth domain at the continental margin of the South China Sea. We established a 22.8 m.y.-long high-resolution astronomical time scale spanning from the Miocene to the Quaternary by tuning the GR records to the global deep-sea benthic foraminifera carbon isotope curves and the 405 k.y. eccentricity cycles. The m.y.-scale sea-level changes since the Miocene were reconstructed through the sedimentary noise modeling of the 405-k.y.-tuned GR series. These reconstructions aligned with regional and global sea-level changes. The phase correlation between the filtered 1.2 m.y. cycles of sea-level change curves (dynamic noise after orbital tuning and ρ1 median models) from δ13Cbenthic and tuned GR series and the 1.2 m.y. obliquity amplitude modulation cycles revealed a shift from an anti-phase to an in-phase relationship across the middle Miocene climate transition (ca. 13.8 Ma), suggesting extensive expansion of the Antarctic ice sheet played a key role. In addition, a shift from an in-phase to an anti-phase relationship during the late Miocene (ca. 8 Ma and 5.3 Ma), indicating ephemeral expansion of the Arctic ice sheets or the changes in carbon cycle involving the terrestrial and deep ocean carbon reservoirs, might be the primary driver of eustatic changes. Furthermore, obliquity forcing and changes in meridional gradients in insolation that transported poleward flux of heat, moisture, and precipitation increased ice accumulation in both pole ice sheets and nonlinearly transferred high-latitude signals to low-latitude regions. This phenomenon is supported by the observation of strong obliquity signals in low latitude during global climate cooling interval. Our results suggest that m.y.-scale sea-level variations respond to astronomically induced climate change and ice sheet dynamics of both poles. This work contributes a highly resolved low-latitude geological archive to the future reconstruction of paleoclimate evolution on a global scale.

Modernization of the basic gravimetric control network Polish Geological Institute – implementing a modern international gravimetric system and relationship with the historical Potsdam system

Abstract The project of the gravimetric database reambulation from the collections of the Central Geological Archives set itself the goal of ending the era of gravimetric bases dualism and transferring both databases: gravimetric base and archival gravimetric semi-detailed measurements to the modern frame of gravity reference, consistent with ITGRS/F definitions and realizations. This will strengthen the interpretational potential of gravimetric data and will open the possibility of fully integrating Polish gravity data with international databases of this type, and will also allow for the performance of modern works in relation to the modern gravimetric control network, i.e., in relation to the highest possible precision of the reference definition of gravimetric measurements in the country. Whenever the article refers to the units in which the gravity vector is determined, milliGal [mGal] is used, and the relation to the SI system is as follows: 1mGal = 10–5ms–2 or microGal [µGal] where 1µGal = 10–8ms–2.

Paleoecological and paleobiogeographic implications of a seagrass-indicating foralgal skeletal assemblage: Retracing the Burdigalian Quilon Limestone (Kerala Basin, SW India)

Seagrasses are marine angiosperms documented in shallow-marine, soft bottom settings across the Cenozoic. They proliferated globally after their divergence from other alismatid monocots in the late Cretaceous followed by an adaptation to the marine environment. Detailed evaluation of seagrasses in the geological archives is of utmost importance to understand their responses to climatic and environmental alterations in the deep time perspective. Here we examine the lower Miocene Quilon Limestone from the Kerala Basin (southwest India) that encompasses a Pseudotaberina-Halimeda floatstone signalling a robust photozoan foralgal skeletal assemblage. This is characterized by the dominant soritid foraminifer Pseudotaberina and the calcareous green alga Halimeda, in association with other foraminifera and representatives from various biotic groups that indicate a tropical seagrass paleoenvironment. Abundant soritids together with various bryopsidalean Halimeda species indicate light and temperature as the major ecological drivers regulating the Quilon Limestone seagrass paleocommunity during the early Miocene (Burdigalian). The spatio-temporal distribution patterns of Halimeda also indicate temperature as the most prominent ecological constraint determining its dispersal and evolution at multiple latitudes. A well illuminated substrate is envisaged to support the development and calcification of the Halimeda thalli. Abundance of K-strategist foraminifera with minor occurrence of suspension-feeding bryozoans and some gastropods, bivalves indicate a low-nutrient environment.

Cold climatic snaps during the Eocene-Oligocene transition in the central Tibetan Plateau: Implications for ice-induced sedimentary structures and isotope geochemistry

The Eocene-Oligocene transition was a time of major climate instability and a shift from an ice-free world to a predominant icehouse climate. Identifying the ancient glacial deposits and their associated sedimentary structures are of paramount significance for understanding the Earth's climate in the Cryogenian Period. Ice-induced sedimentary structures (IISS) are considered as types of primary structures preserved on surfaces and in upper parts of unconsolidated sediments by physical cryospheric processes of seasonal ice freezing and thawing, and therefore sensitive not only to climate, but also to paleogeography, hydrology, and type of environment. Despite the common occurrence of modern IISS in a wide variety of environments, from high-latitude regions to low-latitude areas of high altitude, available records from ancient geologic archives are scarce. Herein, we integrated sedimentological and geochemical proxies to study IISS and geochemical signals as reliable indicators of cold climate in an outstanding example of the Eocene-Oligocene interval from the Niubao Formation in the Lunpola Basin, central Tibet. Detailed field sedimentological, petrographic microscopic investigations, and bulk carbonate oxygen (δ18Ocarb) and carbon (δ13Ccarb) isotope geochemistry were conducted in this lacustrine succession. Seven sets of IISS are represented by ice crystal marks, frozen cracks, ice-frozen bubbles, ice-expanding laminae, ice-rafted debris (dropstones), ice water pea-like, and ice water pits. They are classified into three groups based on major deriving mechanisms: ice-related crystal marks, deformation-related ice structures, and gravitational fall IISS. Positive δ18Ocarb excursions at the Eocene-Oligocene transition provide evidence of a shift toward cold or near-freezing climatic snaps in response to global cooling episodes at this time. Integrating the paleogeomorphic scenario of central Tibet with the stratigraphically reported IISS and glendonite clusters, the results support that the Lunpola lake sustained cold or near-freezing conditions at Eocene-Oligocene transition. These findings provide one of the most comprehensive sedimentological and isotopic analyses of ancient IISS and a more direct spatial-temporal constraint for the regional climate system of central Tibet.

Refining the history of extreme coastal events in southern Newfoundland, NW Atlantic, with lake sediment archives

Extreme events, including tsunamis, storm surges and hurricanes, affect the western North Atlantic coast, threatening communities and impacting ecosystems. Although these extreme coastal events (ECEs) are currently thoroughly monitored in the area, older ECEs are known only from short historical evidence. Therefore, establishing a reliable ECE history that extends more than several decades into the past requires data from geological records. This study aims to refine the existing record of ECEs on the southern Burin Peninsula (Newfoundland, Canada) that extends back to the mid-18th century by providing the first lake-sediment-based reconstruction of the event history of the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. We investigated short sediment cores collected from four shallow coastal lakes. The identification of ECEs relied mainly on lithostratigraphic evidence and peak detection of sand grain counts. Diatoms, dry bulk density, and loss-on-ignition were also analyzed. The age-depth models of the cores were based on 210Pb and 137Cs dating. The correlation of our records with major historical events confirmed that statistically significant sand count peaks, sand layers, and redeposited peat clasts are indicative of major ECEs. We found that the type and characteristics of ECE records depended mainly on the availability of sediment, distance from the seashore, and magnitude of the event. Although some of our ECE markers are associated with marine inundations, only slight diatom community changes were observed, contrary to what is commonly expected from the disturbance of brackish and freshwater ecosystems by major saltwater intrusions. Combined, our records indicate that at least eight ECEs occurred since the late 17th century, three of which might correlate with historically documented events, namely the 1755 CE Lisbon tsunami, the 1775 CE Great Independence Hurricane, and the 1929 CE Newfoundland tsunami. Although further investigations are required to better constrain the type and magnitude of particular ECEs, our study confirms the suitability of geological archives for improving hazard assessment in coastal regions.

The effects of diachronous surface uplift of the European Alps on regional climate and the oxygen isotopic composition of precipitation

Abstract. This study presents the simulated response of regional climate and the oxygen isotopic composition of precipitation (δ18Op) to different along-strike topographic evolution scenarios. These simulations are conducted to determine if the previously hypothesized diachronous surface uplift in the Western and Eastern Alps would produce δ18Op signals in the geologic record that are sufficiently large and distinct to be detected using stable isotope paleoaltimetry. We present a series of topographic sensitivity experiments conducted with the water-isotope-tracking atmospheric general circulation model (GCM) ECHAM5-wiso. The topographic scenarios are created from the variation of two free parameters, (1) the elevation of the Western–Central Alps and (2) the elevation of the Eastern Alps. The results indicate Δδ18Op values (i.e., the difference between δ18Op values at the low- and high-elevation sites) of up to −8 ‰ along the strike of the Alps for the diachronous uplift scenarios, primarily due to changes in orographic precipitation and adiabatic lapse rate driven localized changes in near-surface variables. These simulated magnitudes of Δδ18Op values suggest that the expected isotopic signal would be significant enough to be preserved and measured in geologic archives. Moreover, the simulated slight δ18Op differences of 1 ‰–2 ‰ across the low-elevation sites support the use of the δ–δ paleoaltimetry approach and highlight the importance of sampling far-field low-elevation sites to differentiate between the different surface uplift scenarios. The elevation-dependent rate of change in δ18Op (“isotopic lapse rate”) varies depending on the topographic configuration and the extent of the surface uplift. Most of the changes are significant (e.g., −1.04 ‰ km−1 change with slope error of ±0.09 ‰ km−1), while others were within the range of the statistical uncertainties (e.g., −0.15 ‰ km−1 change with slope error of ±0.13 ‰ km−1). The results also highlight the plausible changes in atmospheric circulation patterns and associated changes in moisture transport pathways in response to changes in the topography of the Alps. These large-scale atmospheric dynamics changes can complicate the underlying assumption of stable isotope paleoaltimetry and therefore require integration with paleoclimate modeling to ensure accurate reconstruction of the paleoelevation of the Alps.

Spatiotemporal variation of human settlement distribution between the Shang and Western Zhou dynasties in relation to flooding in the lower Yellow River floodplain, East China

Both historical documents and geological archives have recorded frequent extreme flood occurrences between approximately 3200 and 3000 cal. yr BP (i.e., the late Shang dynasty) in East China. As a flood-prone area, the lower Yellow River floodplain experienced significant changes in human settlement between the Shang (1600–1046 BCE) and Western Zhou (1046–771 BCE) dynasties. However, the relationship between extreme flood occurrences and changes in human settlement remains unclear. This study aims to examine the spatiotemporal variations of settlement distribution between the Shang and Western Zhou dynasties in relation to extreme flooding during the late Shang dynasty. The results indicate that settlement distribution and settlement density exhibited clear shifts between the Shang and Western Zhou dynasties, and the period of the late Shang dynasty was an extreme-flood-rich interval within and around the lower Yellow River floodplain. Because the course of the lower Yellow River was relatively stable during the Shang and Western Zhou dynasties, frequent extreme flood occurrences during the late Shang dynasty should change the hydrological settings in key locations along the lower Yellow River course. The northern Henan and its southeastern low-lying areas were subjected to frequent crevasses from the flooding of the Yellow River between approximately 3200 and 3000 cal. yr BP. These significant hydrological changes in northern Henan and its southeastern low-lying areas, combined with frequent wars and conflicts between local tribes and Shang people, likely contributed to a decrease in settlement number and a contraction of settlement distribution. In response to the floods during the late Shang dynasty, ancient inhabitants most likely elevated their dwellings and created the mound sites that exist in the lower Yellow River floodplain today.

Aeolian activities change and possible mechanisms in central Asia on sub-orbital to decadal timescales

The aeolian activity in central Asia (CA)and its relevant dust emissions significantly influenced the global climate changes and biogeochemical cycles. Fully understanding the formation processes and mechanism of aeolian activity in CA is helpful to elevate our knowledge of global climate change, materials cycles and aeolian disasters monitoring and prevention. However, this issue is still controversial at present. We systematically review and integrate the geological archives and instrumental data to trace the variations of aeolian activity on sub-orbital, centennial, and decadal timescales in CA, and assessed the relationship between aeolian activity changes and climate changes, atmospheric circulation system changes and human activities. The result suggested that on the sub-orbital scale, during the past 8500 years, the low intensity and relatively stable aeolian activity occurred during the early to middle Holocene (8500-4000 Cal. Yr B.P.), followed by a more intensive/frequent and more variable aeolian activity conditions during late Holocene (4000-0 Cal. Yr B.P.). On centennial scale, over the past 1000 years, the more intensive (attenuated)aeolian activity occurred during the Little Ice Age (Medieval Warm Period). On the decadal scale, during the last century, aeolian activity in CA has decreased greatly since the 1960s, accompanied by the increasing of temperature and precipitation. Compared to the changes of climate, atmospheric circulation system and human activities, we proposed that the Siberian High (SH) which related to the temperature variations, rather than the precipitation and human activity, largely controlled aeolian activity in CA on the sub-orbital, centennial, and decadal timescales. Cooling at high latitudes markedly enhances the intensity of the SH, which is displaced southward as a result, causing the incursion of cold air masses from high latitudes which result in more robust wind regimes that provide suitable wind regimes for dust emission the study area.

Paleoenviromental evolution of the Cenozoic foreland basin to intermontane basins in the Eastern Cordillera, North-Western Argentina

The stratigraphic and sedimentological characteristics of the Cenozoic deposits are very important aspects to investigate the tecto-sedimentary evolution of the Andean foreland basin to intermontane hinterland basins in north-western Argentina. These deposits lie in an unconformity or paraconformity relationship over the Salta Group (Cretaceous-Paleocene) or older deposits. During the middle Eocene-Pleistocene, the changes in the sedimentary paleoenvironment and its evolution are the direct result of tectonic effects, a change in base level and accommodation space. This study provides the results of the integrated analysis of the middle-upper Eocene to Plio-Pleistocene basins in the Eastern Cordillera, in north-western Argentina. These basins that have been generated in the Central Andes region in north-western Argentina during the Cenozoic tectonic convergence, we divided in four sequences in the evolution from middle to upper Eocene to Plio-Pleistocene. They present fluvial deposits of different topographic slopes, with development of ephemeral fluvial systems associated with dune fields, meandering fluvial systems in arid climates, interlaced sandy-gravelly fluvial systems, sinuous sandy-gravelly fluvial systems of intermediate to high sinuosity, with the development of lagoons and swamps of tropical climate during ∼10 to ∼5 Ma, and the change to arid - semiarid claimed condition from ∼5 to ∼2.5 Ma. The sedimentary record of the Plio-Pleistocene hinterland basin in the Eastern Cordillera and the adjacent Andean Puna Plateau in the Central Andes of NW Argentina constitutes geological archive that provide spatio-temporal insights into geological evolution and associated surface uplift.These basins, probably connected at their onset during the middle Eocene, are characterized by different subsidence histories, differences in sedimentary paleoenvironment evolution, variations in topographic slopes, changes in provenance and paleocurrents, resulting in differences in tecto-sedimentary history.

Transient vegetation degradation reinforced rapid climate change (RCC) events during the Holocene

High-resolution multi-proxies from geological archives have revealed a series of rapid climate change (RCC) events during the Holocene. These events coincided with the so-called “Bond events”, which were previously linked to a weakened thermohaline circulation. However, the proposed atmosphere-ocean teleconnections associated with these events are regionally distinct, which explains why most previous studies have only explained a subset of the RCC events, depending on region and proxy type; moreover, the suggested mechanisms are much debated. Here, we present a major effort of Holocene transient simulations that identify a series of centennial-scale RCC events that are consistent with records from geological archives. All eight Holocene RCC events were captured in North China (NC) and pervasive throughout the Northern Hemisphere (NH) in experiments with active dynamic vegetation modules (DV), whereas they were largely absent in experiments without DV. These results suggest that the collapse of the terrestrial vegetation and the resulting feedback played a crucial role in RCC events. Our findings supplement or even challenge the notion that North Atlantic cooling, closely linked to ice-rafted debris (IRD) events, was the dominant driver of RCC events.

Eccentricity signal in the nannofossil time-series across the Mid-Pleistocene Transition in the northwestern Pacific Ocean (ODP Site 1209)

The Mid-Pleistocene Transition (MPT; 1.25–0.6 million years ago, Ma) is one of the most important and still debated climate reorganizations during which the glacial/interglacial cycles switched from a 41-thousand years (kyr) cycle (i.e. obliquity) to a quasi-periodic 100-kyr cycle (associated with orbital eccentricity). Variations in the orbital geometry can affect the abundance and distribution of certain marine biota such as the coccolithophores, a group of unicellular calcifying phytoplankton, whose skeletal remains – called nannofossils – represent a valid tool within the geological archives to infer change in surface water conditions and/or coccolithophore productivity and how orbital variations may have impacted them. Here, we apply for the first time various time series analytical techniques to the nannofossil dataset from mid-latitudinal Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 1209 in the northwest Pacific Ocean for the interval spanning the last 1.6 Myr. To better interpret the orbital signal recorded by different nannofossil species we used time series analyses (i.e. wavelet, autocorrelation and cross correlation) to identify the main periodicities by single nannofossil species during the MPT, and to investigate further their response timings to those orbital drivers. In addition, we investigated how the recorded periodicities can improve understanding of the paleoecological preferences of particular species. The combination of multiple time series analyses allowed identification of the 100-kyr periodicity as the main cyclicity recorded in most analyzed species at Site 1209, documenting the predominance of the eccentricity-related signal at mid-latitudes and a reduced or absent influence of the obliquity response. Thus, our data highlight how orbital influence varies by latitude impacting the nannofossil species. The lag between eccentricity and species abundance fluctuations was also investigated, identifying a fast response ranging between 20 and 40 kyr for the taxa Calcidiscus leptoporus subspecies leptoporus, Gephyrocapsa caribbeanica small, and Reticulofenestra spp. (>5 μm). This study corroborates the potential of nannofossils to deepen understanding of the dynamics and effects of variations in orbital geometry through time. It also underlines the need to extend the study of the responses of specific species through the use of different time series analysis techniques in order to return complementary information and detect clearer orbital signals.

What do dust sinks tell us about their sources and past environmental dynamics? A case study for oxygen isotope stages 3–2 in the Middle Rhine Valley, Germany

Abstract. The study of geological archives of dust is of great relevance as they are directly linked to past atmospheric circulation and bear the potential to reconstruct dust provenance and flux relative to climate changes. Among the dust sinks, loess–palaeosol sequences (LPSs) represent the only continental and non-aquatic archives that are predominantly built up by dust deposits close to source areas, providing detailed information on Quaternary climatic and terrestrial environmental changes. Upper Pleistocene LPSs of western central Europe have been investigated in great detail showing their linkage to millennial-scale northern hemispheric climate oscillations, but comprehensive data on dust composition and potential source–sink relationships as well as inferred past atmospheric circulation patterns for this region are still fragmentary. Here, we present an integrative approach that systematically combines sedimentological, rock magnetic, and bulk geochemical data, as well as information on Sr and Nd isotope composition, enabling a synthetic interpretation of LPS formation. We focus on the Schwalbenberg RP1 profile in the Middle Rhine Valley in Germany and integrate our data into a robust age model that has recently been established based on high-resolution radiocarbon dating of earthworm calcite granules. We show that Schwalbenberg RP1 is subdivided into a lower section corresponding to late oxygen isotope stage 3 (OIS; ∼ 40–30 ka) and an upper section dating into the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; ∼ 24–22 ka), separated by a major stratigraphic unconformity. Sedimentological proxies of wind dynamics (U ratio) and pedogenesis (finest clay) of the lower section attest to comparable and largely synchronous patterns of northern hemispheric climatic changes supporting the overall synchronicity of climatic changes in and around the North Atlantic region. The anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility (AMS) reveals a clear correlation between finer grain size and increasing AMS foliation within interstadials, possibly owing to continuous accumulation of dust during pedogenic phases. Such a clear negative correlation has so far not been described for any LPS on stadial–interstadial scales. Distinct shifts in several proxy data supported by changes in isotope composition (87Sr/86Sr and εNd) within the lower section are interpreted as changes in provenance and decreasing weathering simultaneously with an overall cooling and aridification towards the end of OIS 3 (after ∼ 35 ka) and enhanced wind activity with significant input of coarse-grained material recycled from local sources related to increased landscape instability (after ∼ 31.5 ka). We find that environmental conditions within the upper section, most likely dominated by local to regional environmental signals, significantly differ from those in the lower section. In addition, AMS-based reconstructions of near-surface wind trends may indicate the influence of north-easterly winds beside the overall dominance of westerlies. The integrative approach contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of LPS formation including changes in dust composition and associated circulation patterns during Quaternary climate changes.

Amplified surface warming in the south-west Pacific during the mid-Pliocene (3.3–3.0 Ma) and future implications

Abstract. Based on Nationally Determined Contributions concurrent with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 2-4.5, the IPCC predicts global warming of 2.1–3.5 ∘C (very likely range 10–90th percentile) by 2100 CE. However, global average temperature is a poor indicator of regional warming and global climate models (GCMs) require validation with instrumental or proxy data from geological archives to assess their ability to simulate regional ocean and atmospheric circulation, and thus, to evaluate their performance for regional climate projections. The south-west Pacific is a region that performs poorly when GCMs are evaluated against instrumental observations. The New Zealand Earth System Model (NZESM) was developed from the United Kingdom Earth System Model (UKESM) to better understand south-west Pacific response to global change, by including a nested ocean grid in the south-west Pacific with 80 % greater horizontal resolution than the global-scale host. Here, we reconstruct regional south-west Pacific sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) for the mid-Pliocene warm period (mPWP; 3.3–3.0 Ma), which has been widely considered a past analogue with an equilibrium surface temperature response of +3 ∘C to an atmospheric CO2 concentration of ∼350–400 ppm, in order to assess the warming distribution in the south-west Pacific. This study presents proxy SSTs from seven deep sea sediment cores distributed across the south-west Pacific. Our reconstructed SSTs are derived from molecular biomarkers preserved in the sediment – alkenones (i.e. U37K′ index) and isoprenoid glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (i.e. TEX86 index) – and are compared with SSTs reconstructed from the Last Interglacial (125 ka), Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) outputs and transient climate model projections (NZESM and UKESM) of low- to high-range SSPs for 2090–2099 CE. Mean interglacial equilibrium SSTs during the mPWP for the south-west Pacific sites were on average 4.2 ∘C (1.8–6.1 ∘C likely range) above pre-industrial temperatures and show good agreement with model outputs from NZESM and UKESM under mid-range SSP 2–4.6 conditions. These results highlight that not only is the mPWP an appropriate analogue when considering future temperature change in the centuries to come, but they also demonstrate that the south-west Pacific region will experience warming that exceeds that of the global mean if atmospheric CO2 remains above 350 ppm.

The premise of temperature effect playing in regions with complex moisture sources – Evidence from high-resolution water vapor isotopes

Atmospheric precipitation has widely taken part in the formation and accumulation of many geological archives. In these processes, the isotope fractionations are tightly related to the meteorological factors, such as temperature and precipitation amount. Therefore, precipitation isotopes are usually regarded as an effective proxy to reconstruct the paleoclimate and paleoenvironmental changes. However, with the deepening of research, it is found that the temperature effect is not suitable for all regions and time scales, especially in regions with complex moisture sources. Moreover, the applicable mechanism of the temperature effect is still unclear. Here, we chose Xi’an as our study site, because it is located in the transition zone of the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) and the westerlies with relatively complex water vapor sources. Through conducting a three-year, high-resolution, relatively continuous water vapor isotopic composition measurements in Xi’an, we defined the duration of the EASM here, which normally starts in June and is over in September. By separating the δ18Op into monsoon and non-monsoon seasons, we found a significant temperature effect in the non-monsoon seasons, with a correlation coefficient of 0.54, while no temperature effect is observed in the monsoon seasons and the whole year. Our water vapor isotopic results suggested that the establishment of temperature effect of precipitation isotopes should follow two prerequisites: 1. single water vapor source; 2. large temperature gradient. Our results specify the applicable conditions of temperature effect and potentially help us to better use precipitation isotopes to understand the paleo-temperature variations in different regions.

Global Synthesis of Regional Holocene Hydroclimate Variability Using Proxy and Model Data

AbstractSubstantial changes in terrestrial hydroclimate during the Holocene are recorded in geological archives and simulated by computer models. To identify spatial and temporal patterns during the past 12 ka, proxy records sensitive to changing precipitation and effective moisture (precipitation minus evaporation) were compiled from across the globe (n = 813). Proxy composite timeseries were computed for 30 of the IPCC AR6 regions and compared to two full‐Holocene transient model simulations (TraCE‐21ka and HadCM3) and twelve mid‐Holocene CMIP6 simulations. We find that throughout Northern Hemisphere monsoon regions, proxy and model simulations indicate wetter‐than‐modern conditions during the early and mid‐Holocene while Southern Hemisphere monsoon regions were drier. This insolation driven trend toward modern values began approximately 6,000 years ago, and the clear agreement among proxy records and models may reflect the large magnitude of precipitation change and consistent atmospheric circulation forcing mechanism for these regions. In the midlatitudes, the pattern of change is less certain. Generally, proxy composites show a wetting trend throughout the Holocene for the northern midlatitudes, possibly due to strengthening westerlies from an increasing latitudinal temperature gradient. However, simulations indicate that the magnitude of change was relatively low, and for portions of North America, there is a proxy‐model disagreement. At high latitudes, hydroclimate is positively correlated with temperature in both proxies and models, consistent with projected wetting as temperatures rise. Overall, this large proxy database reveals a coherent pattern of hydroclimate variability despite the challenges associated with reconstructing hydroclimate fields.

Seasonal Variations in Triple Oxygen Isotope Ratios of Precipitation in the Western and Central United States.

Triple oxygen isotope ratios offer new opportunities to improve reconstructions of past climate by quantifying evaporation, relative humidity, and diagenesis in geologic archives. However, the utility of in paleoclimate applications is hampered by a limited understanding of how precipitation values vary across time and space. To improve applications of , we present , d-excess, and data from 26 precipitation sites in the western and central United States and three streams from the Willamette River Basin in western Oregon. In this data set, we find that precipitation tracks evaporation but appears insensitive to many controls that govern variation in , including Rayleigh distillation, elevation, latitude, longitude, and local precipitation amount. Seasonality has a large effect on variation in the data set and we observe higher seasonally amount-weighted average precipitation values in the winter (40 ± 15 per meg [± standard deviation]) than in the summer (18 ± 18 per meg). This seasonal precipitation variability likely arises from a combination of sub-cloud evaporation, atmospheric mixing, moisture recycling, sublimation, and/or relative humidity, but the data set is not well suited to quantitatively assess isotopic variability associated with each of these processes. The seasonal pattern, which is absent in d-excess and opposite in sign from , appears in other data sets globally; it showcases the influence of seasonality on values of precipitation and highlights the need for further systematic studies to understand variation in values of precipitation.

The DiSCPersal model: A simple model for the small-scale atmospheric transport of spheroidal carbonaceous particles (SCPs)

Spheroidal carbonaceous particles (SCPs) are atmospherically mobile by-products of anthropogenic, high-temperature fossil fuel combustion. Since they are preserved in many geologic archives across the globe, SCPs have been identified as a potential marker for the onset of the Anthropocene. Our ability to reliably model the atmospheric dispersal of SCPs remains limited to coarse spatial scales (i.e., 102–103 km). We address this gap by developing the DiSCPersal model, a multi-iterative and kinematics-based model for dispersal of SCPs at local spatial scales (i.e., 10°–102 km). Although simple and limited by available measurements of SCPs, the model is nonetheless corroborated by empirical data of the spatial distribution of SCPs from Osaka, Japan. We find that particle diameter and injection height are the primary controls of dispersal distance, whereas particle density is of secondary importance. Further, stark differences in the modelled dispersal distances of SCPs between non-point vs. smokestack sources could explain the ambiguity of dispersal distances and the relative magnitude of long-range vs. localized sourcing of SCPs reported in the literature. This research underscores the need to incorporate understanding of the localized dispersal patterns of SCPs when interpreting their preservation in geologic archives. By extension, our findings have implications for the reliability of SCPs as a globally synchronous marker for the onset of the Anthropocene.

Past Analogues of Deoxygenation Events in the Mediterranean Sea: A Tool to Constrain Future Impacts

Human-induced carbon emissions are altering the modern climate, with severe repercussions on ecosystems. Among others, anthropogenic pressure is causing deoxygenation of the bottom water, with the widespread establishment of hypoxic zones in several Mediterranean areas. The geological archives allow investigating past deoxygenation dynamics (sapropel events) and their impact on marine ecosystems. Here, we compare the causes and the evolution of deoxygenation dynamics which occurred during two different time periods (Messinian and Holocene) in different paleoceanographic settings based on their micropaleontological content. The Messinian sapropel events are the result of increased export productivity during a relatively cold and arid context, triggering bottom anoxic conditions. The Holocene sapropel formed in response to weakening/stopping of the thermohaline circulation due to increasing temperature and freshwater input. Our results suggest that the deoxygenation dynamics in the Mediterranean in the near future will not follow the trend characteristic of the Holocene deep-sea sapropel because of the predicted drying trend. Differently, the paleoceanographic setting triggering the Messinian shallow-sea sapropels is comparable with the modern situation in different Mediterranean areas, where human-induced eutrophication is promoting deoxygenation. Based on these results, we suggest that the patchy deoxygenation trend in the Mediterranean Sea caused by climate warming may lead to a drastic change in the ecosystem services which would likely impact human activities.