Elderly Gastric Cancer Patients Research Articles

Development and validation of a prognostic prediction model for elderly gastric cancer patients based on oxidative stress biochemical markers

BackgroundThe potential of the application of artificial intelligence and biochemical markers of oxidative stress to predict the prognosis of older patients with gastric cancer (GC) remains unclear.MethodsThis retrospective multicenter study included consecutive patients with GC aged ≥ 65 years treated between January 2012 and April 2018. The patients were allocated into three cohorts (training, internal, and external validation). The GC-Integrated Oxidative Stress Score (GIOSS) was developed using Cox regression to correlate biochemical markers with patient prognosis. Predictive models for five-year overall survival (OS) were constructed using random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), and support vector machine (SVM) methods, and validated using area under the curve (AUC) and calibration plots. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was used for model interpretation.ResultsThis study included a total of 1,859 older patients. The results demonstrated that a low GIOSS was a predictor of poor prognosis. RF was the most efficient method, with AUCs of 0.999, 0.869, and 0.796 in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. The DT and SVM models showed low AUC values. Calibration and decision curve analyses demonstrated the considerable clinical usefulness of the RF model. The SHAP results identified pN, pT, perineural invasion, tumor size, and GIOSS as key predictive features. An online web calculator was constructed based on the best model.ConclusionsIncorporating the GIOSS, the RF model effectively predicts postoperative OS in older patients with GC and is a robust prognostic tool. Our findings emphasize the importance of oxidative stress in cancer prognosis and provide a pathway for improved management of GC.Trial registrationRetrospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (trial registration number: NCT06208046, date of registration: 2024–05-01).

ASO Author Reflections: A Simpler Predictor of Postoperative Delirium in Elderly Gastric Cancer Patients.

ASO Author Reflections: A Simpler Predictor of Postoperative Delirium in Elderly Gastric Cancer Patients.

Preoperative malnutrition in elderly gastric cancer patients and adverse postoperative outcomes of radical gastrectomy

Malnutrition is not only a prevalent condition among the elderly but also a common comorbidity in elderly people with gastric cancer (GC). Malnutrition is closely linked to high rates of postoperative complications and poor wound healing in elderly GC patients, which may lead to a higher incidence and mortality rate of GC. Malnutrition decreases the physical function of elderly GC patients after surgery, severely affecting their postoperative life quality and hindering subsequent treatments. This retrospective study was conducted by Zhao et al , focusing on the clinical baseline data, postoperative complications, and hospitalization times of elderly GC patients who underwent curative gastrectomy. Additionally, the underlying causes of poor outcomes for patients were discussed. This study may provide a solid basis for the clinical treatment of elderly GC patients in the future. Therefore, malnutrition can serve as a negative prognostic factor for curative surgery in GC patients. Addressing malnutrition and its adverse effects can benefit elderly GC patients from surgical treatment.

Effect of Intensive Nursing Management on Quality of Life and Mental Health in Elderly Gastric Cancer Patients Undergoing Chemotherapy: A Retrospective Study.

Aims/Background Implementing effective nursing management is particularly critical in the case of elderly gastric cancer (GC) patients receiving chemotherapy, who are more vulnerable to risk events. Therefore, this study explored the effect of intensive nursing management on quality of life (QoL) and mental health in elderly GC patients receiving chemotherapy. Methods A total of 155 elderly patients with GC undergoing chemotherapy in Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University from July 2021 to July 2023 were selected as the study subjects. The sample was divided into two groups according to different nursing methods: 74 patients who received intensive nursing management were classified in the observation group, while 81 patients treated with routine nursing management were classified under the reference group. The QoL, mental health and adverse reactions to chemotherapy were compared between the two groups. Results Before nursing management was implemented, there was no significant difference in the scores of the quality of life questionnaire-core 30 (QLQ-C30), patient health questionnaire-9 items (PHQ-9), and the Chinese version of the M.D. Anderson Symptom Inventory (MDASI-C) (p > 0.05). After management, in comparison with the reference group, the observation group showed significantly higher scores in each dimension of QLQ-C30, as well as significantly lower scores in PHQ-9 and MDASI-C (p < 0.001). The incidences of gastrointestinal reaction, myelosuppression, neurotoxicity, and hepatorenal damage were lower in the observation group than in the reference group (45.95% vs 70.37%, 40.54% vs 65.43%, 35.14% vs 53.09%, and 33.78% vs 51.25%, respectively; p < 0.05). Conclusion The application of intensive nursing management in treating elderly GC patients during chemotherapy effectively improves their physical and mental states, ameliorates clinical symptoms and enhances the QoL, showing certain clinical application value.

Risk factor analysis and establishment of a predictive model for complications of elderly advanced gastric cancer with Clavien-Dindo classification ≥ II grade

BackgroundThe occurrence of complications following radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer significantly impacts patients’ quality of life. Elderly patients are susceptible to postoperative complications. This study seeks to investigate the risk factors associated with Clavien-Dindo ≥IIgrade complications following radical gastrectomy for advanced gastric cancer in elderly patients, develop a nomogram risk prediction model, and validate its accuracy.MethodsRetrospective collection of clinical and pathological data was conducted on 442 elderly patients with advanced gastric cancer who underwent radical gastrectomy at Shaanxi Provincial People’s Hospital from January 2015 to December 2020. They were randomly divided into a training set (n = 310) and a validation set (n = 132) in a 7:3 ratio. The severity of postoperative complications was graded using the Clavien-Dindo classification system, resulting in two complication groups: Clavien-Dindo <II group (n = 229) and Clavien-Dindo ≥II group (n = 81). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors affecting the occurrence of Clavien-Dindo ≥II grade complications, and a predictive model was established based on the results. The model was then validated using the validation set.ResultsAmong the 442 patients included in the study, 121 cases (27.38%) experienced postoperative complications, with 111 cases (25.11%) classified as Clavien-Dindo ≥II grade complications. Multivariable logistic analysis revealed that the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), surgical duration, age, and history of Diabetes mellitus were independent risk factors for the occurrence of Clavien-Dindo ≥IIgrade complications in elderly patients with advanced gastric cancer after surgery (P < 0.05). The nomogram model constructed based on these factors demonstrated good discriminative ability, as indicated by the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. Calibration plots showed that the predicted probability of gastric cancer lymph node metastasis using the nomogram model was well aligned with actual outcomes. Decision curve analysis indicated the clinical utility of the nomogram model across a wide range of thresholds, demonstrating its practicality and potential for clinical benefit.ConclusionThis study identified Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), surgical duration, age, and history of Diabetes mellitus as risk factors for the occurrence of Clavien-Dindo ≥ II grade complications in elderly patients with advanced gastric cancer after surgery. Based on these four risk factors, a nomogram risk prediction model was constructed. This model can be used to personalize the prediction of the risk of Clavien-Dindo ≥ II grade complications occurring after surgery in elderly patients with advanced gastric cancer.

Effect of perioperative blood transfusion (BTF) on elderly gastric cancer patients.

Effect of perioperative blood transfusion (BTF) on elderly gastric cancer patients.

Impact of perioperative blood transfusion on elderly gastric cancer patients.

Impact of perioperative blood transfusion on elderly gastric cancer patients.

Survival improvements in esophageal and gastric cancers in the Nordic countries favor younger patients.

Esophageal cancer (EC) and gastric cancer (GC) are fatal cancers with a relatively late age of onset. Age is a negative risk factor for survival in many cancers and our aim was to analyze age-specific survival in EC and GC using the recently updated NORDCAN database. NORDCAN data originate from the Danish, Finnish, Norwegian, and Swedish nationwide cancer registries covering years 1972 through 2021 inviting for comparison of 50-year survival trends between the countries. Relative 1- and 5-year survival and 5/1-year conditional survival (i.e., survival in those who were alive in Year 1 to survive additional 4 years) were analyzed. Survival in EC showed large gains for patients below age 80 years, 5-year survival in Norwegian men reaching 30% and in women over 30% but for 80-89 year old survival remained at 10%. In contrast, hardly any gain was seen among the 80-89 year patients for 1-year survival and small gains in 5 year and 5/1-year survival. Survival gaps between age-groups increased over time. For GC there was also a clear age-related negative survival gradient but the survival gaps between the age groups did not widen over time; Norwegian male and female 5-year survival for 80-89 year old was about 20%. The age-specific survival difference in GC arose in Year 1 and did not essentially increase in 5-year survival. While there were differences in survival improvements between the countries, poor survival of the 80-89 year old patients was shared by all of them. To conclude, survival has improved steadily in younger GC and EC patients in most Nordic countries. While the 80-89 year old population accounts for nearly a quarter of all patients and their poor survival depressed overall survival, which can therefore be increased further by improving diagnostics, treatment and care of elderly EC and GC patients.

Impact of nutritional support on immunity, nutrition, inflammation, and outcomes in elderly gastric cancer patients after surgery.

Postoperative rehabilitation of elderly patients with gastric cancer has always been the focus of clinical attention. Whether the intervention by a full-course nutritional support team can have a positive impact on the postoperative immune function, nutritional status, inflammatory response, and clinical outcomes of this special population has not yet been fully verified. To evaluate the impact of full-course nutritional support on postoperative comprehensive symptoms in elderly patients with gastric cancer. This is a retrospective study, including 60 elderly gastric cancer patients aged 70 years and above, divided into a nutritional support group and a control group. The nutritional support group received full postoperative nutritional support, including individualized meal formulation, and intravenous and parenteral nutrition supplementation, and was regularly evaluated and adjusted by a professional nutrition team. The control group received routine postoperative care. After intervention, the proportion of CD4+ lymphocytes (25.3% ± 3.1% vs 21.8% ± 2.9%, P < 0.05) and the level of immunoglobulin G (12.5 G/L ± 2.3 G/L vs 10.2 G/L ± 1.8 G/L, P < 0.01) were significantly higher in the nutritional support group than in the control group; the changes in body weight (-0.5 kg ± 0.8 kg vs -1.8 kg ± 0.9 kg, P < 0.05) and body mass index (-0.2 ± 0.3 vs -0.7 ± 0.4, P < 0.05) were less significant in the nutritional support group than in the control group; and the level of C-reactive protein (1.2 mg/L ± 0.4 mg/L vs 2.5 mg/L ± 0.6 mg/L, P < 0.01) and WBC count (7.2 × 109/L ± 1.5 × 109/L vs 9.8 × 109/L ± 2.0 × 109/L, P < 0.01) were significantly lower in the nutritional support group than in the control group. In addition, patients in the nutritional support group had a shorter hospital stay (10.3 d ± 2.1 d vs 14.8 d ± 3.6 d, P < 0.05) and lower incidence of infection (15% vs 35%, P < 0.05) in those of the control group. The intervention by the nutritional support team has a positive impact on postoperative immune function, nutritional status, inflammatory response, and clinical outcomes in elderly patients with gastric cancer.

Clinical significance of preoperative nutritional status in elderly gastric cancer patients undergoing radical gastrectomy: A single-center retrospective study.

The population of elderly patients with gastric cancer is increasing, which is a major public health issue in China. Malnutrition is one of the greatest risk factors for adverse clinical outcomes in elderly patients with gastric cancer. To investigate the preoperative nutritional status and its association with delayed discharge of elderly gastric cancer patients following radical gastrectomy. A total of 783 patients aged 65 years and older harboring gastric adenocarcinoma and following radical gastrectomy were retrospectively analyzed from the prospectively collected database of Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University between January 2018 and May 2020. The overall rate of malnutrition was 31.8%. The incidence of postoperative complications was significantly higher in the malnourished group compared to the well-nourished group (P < 0.001). Nutritional characteristics in the malnourished group, including body mass index, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), albumin, prealbumin, and hemoglobin, were all significantly lower than those in the well-nourished group. The percentage of patients who received postoperative total nutrient admixture was lower in the malnourished group compared to the well-nourished group (22.1% vs 33.5%, P = 0.001). Age ≥ 70 years (HR = 1.216, 95%CI: 1.048-1.411), PNI < 44.5 (HR = 1.792, 95%CI: 1.058-3.032), operation time ≥ 160 minutes (HR = 1.431, 95%CI: 1.237-1.656), and postoperative complications grade III or higher (HR = 2.191, 95%CI: 1.604-2.991) were all recognized as independent risk factors associated with delayed discharge. Malnutrition is relatively common in elderly patients undergoing gastrectomy. Low PNI is an independent risk factor associated with delay discharge. More strategies are needed to improve the clinical outcome of these patients.

Study of the therapeutic strategy to improve survival outcomes from the perspective of perioperative conditions in elderly gastric cancer patients: a propensity score-matched analysis

BackgroundElderly gastric cancer patients (EGCPs) require treatment according to not just the stage of their cancer, but also to their general condition and organ function, and rather than full treatment, the appropriate amount of treatment is necessary.MethodsA total of 425 patients who underwent gastrectomy for primary gastric cancer in our institution between April 2013 and March 2020 were classified by age into two groups: elderly patients (EP, age ≥ 80 years, n = 89); and younger patients (YP, age < 80 years, n = 336). The preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative conditions of the two groups were then compared. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed, and factors affecting complications and survival outcomes were examined in detail. In addition, the necessary treatment strategy for EGCPs in the preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative periods was investigated.ResultsOf the preoperative factors, American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status (ASA-PS) was significantly higher, and respiratory function was significantly lower in the EP group than in the YP group, and the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) also tended to be lower. Of the intraoperative factors, there was no difference in the level of lymph node dissection. However, the EP group had significantly higher rates of postoperative pneumonia and anastomotic leakage. Of the postoperative factors, on simple comparison, postoperative long-term outcomes of the EP group were significantly worse (63.8% vs. 85.4%, p < 0.001), but there was no significant difference in disease-specific survival (DSS), and the DSS survival curves after PSM were almost identical, indicating that the survival rate in the EP group was decreased by death from other disease. Though the survival rate of laparoscopic surgery was significantly better than that of open surgery in the YP group, there was a significantly lower rate of postoperative complications in the EP group after PSM.ConclusionsIn EGCPs, one needs to be aware of short-term complications such as pneumonia and anastomotic leakage due to respiratory dysfunction and malnutrition that are present before surgery. Furthermore, to suppress deaths from other diseases that reduce postoperative survival rates, prevention of postoperative complications (particularly pneumonia) through minimally invasive surgery can be effective.

Possibilities of using the accelerated rehabilitation program (ERAS) for gastric cancer in elderly patients

The aim of this work is to evaluate the possibility of implementing the concept of enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) in perioperative treatment of an 80-year-old female patient with gastric stump carcinoma.Analysis of the clinical case and available literature data was performed. The concept of ERAS demonstrates its effectiveness not only in standard oncosurgical practice, but also can be successfully extended to difficult clinical situations including in elderly patients. However, personalized approach to development of a specific ERAS protocol is necessary taking into account surgery volume, concomitant pathology and individual patient characteristics.The use of individually selected points of the ERAS protocol taking into account oncological diagnosis, comorbidity, the type and technical features of the upcoming operation make the surgical stage of treatment not only safe, devoid of postoperative complications, but also more comfortable for the patient, positively affecting their quality of life. Оur experience can be successfully applied in real clinical practice.

Drug-resistant bacterial infection after radical resection of gastric cancer in elderly patients: Influencing factors and distribution characteristics of pathogens

Drug-resistant bacterial infection after radical resection of gastric cancer in elderly patients: Influencing factors and distribution characteristics of pathogens

Analysis of metabolic characteristics of metabolic syndrome in elderly patients with gastric cancer by non-targeted metabolomics.

The relationship between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and gastric cancer (GC), which is a common metabolic disease, has attracted much attention. However, the specific metabolic characteristics of MetS in elderly patients with GC remain unclear. To investigate the differentially abundant metabolites and metabolic pathways between preoperative frailty and MetS in elderly patients with GC based on nontargeted metabolomics techniques. In this study, 125 patients with nonfrail nonmeal GC were selected as the control group, and 50 patients with GC in the frail group were selected as the frail group. Sixty-five patients with GC combined with MetS alone were included in the MetS group, and 50 patients with GC combined with MetS were included in the MetS group. Nontargeted metabolomics techniques were used to measure plasma metabolite levels by ultrahigh-performance liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. Multivariate statistical analysis was performed by principal component analysis, orthogonal partial least squares, pattern recognition analysis, cluster analysis, and metabolic pathway annotation. A total of 125 different metabolites, including amino acids, glycerophospholipids, sphingolipids, fatty acids, sugars, nucleosides and nucleotides, and acidic compounds, were identified via nontargeted metabolomics techniques. Compared with those in the control group, there were 41, 32, and 52 different metabolites in the MetS group, the debilitated group, and the combined group, respectively. Lipid metabolites were significantly increased in the MetS group. In the weak group, amino acids and most glycerol phospholipid metabolites decreased significantly, and fatty acids and sphingosine increased significantly. The combined group was characterized by significantly increased levels of nucleotide metabolites and acidic compounds. The alanine, aspartic acid, and glutamate metabolic pathways were obviously enriched in the asthenic group, and the glycerol and phospholipid metabolic pathways were obviously enriched in the combined group. Elderly GC patients with simple frailty, simple combined MetS, and frailty combined with MetS have different metabolic characteristics, among which amino acid and glycerophospholipid metabolite levels are significantly lower in frail elderly GC patients, and comprehensive supplementation of fat and protein should be considered. Many kinds of metabolites, such as amino acids, lipids, nucleotides, and acidic compounds, are abnormally abundant in patients with MetS combined with fthenia, which may be related to tumor-related metabolic disorders.

Study on correlation between perioperative cognitive function and nutritional status in elderly patients with gastric cancer

Objective: To investigate the cognitive function and nutritional status of elderly patients with gastric cancer during perioperative period, and to analyze their correlation. Methods: Aged patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery in The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Shandong First Medical University from March to October 2021 were selected as the subjects of this study. The monitoring data of cognitive function and nutritional status were retrospectively analyzed from 1 to 3 days before surgery, 1 and 3 days after surgery, 7 days after surgery (before discharge) and 30 days after surgery to analyze the correlation between cognitive function and nutritional status in elderly patients with gastric cancer. Results: the incidence of mild cognitive impairment in elderly patients with gastric cancer was 52.43 %, the visual space of the two groups' (mild cognitive impairment) ability of execution, name, attention, language, abstract thinking, delayed memory and cognitive function scores were lower than 1 set of directional force (cognitive function in normal group), statistically significant difference (P < 0.05). The nutritional status of elderly patients with gastric cancer was lower than that of healthy elderly group at the same period (P < 0.05). The scores of visual spatial executive function, name, attention, delayed memory, orientation and total score of cognitive function in elderly gastric cancer patients were positively correlated with nutritional status (P < 0.05). Conclusions: The cognitive function and nutritional status of elderly patients with gastric cancer are both in a low state during treatment and a higher level of cognitive function can help patients maintain a more correct nutritional cognition, and the nutritional status of patients will be relatively better. There is a positive correlation between cognitive function and nutritional status in elderly patients with gastric cancer, which should be paid attention to in the treatment.

Enhancing surgical outcomes in elderly gastric cancer patients: the role of comprehensive preoperative assessment and support

BackgroundAs the prevalence of gastric cancer rises in aging populations, managing surgical risks and comorbidities in elderly patients presents a unique challenge. The Comprehensive Preoperative Assessment and Support (CPAS) program, through comprehensive preoperative assessments, aims to mitigate surgical stress and improve outcomes by enhancing patient awareness and preparation. This study investigates the efficacy of a CPAS program, incorporating frailty and sarcopenia evaluations, to improve short-term outcomes in elderly gastric cancer patients.MethodsA retrospective analysis was conducted on 127 patients aged 75 or older who underwent surgery with CPAS between 2018 and August 2023, compared to 170 historical controls from 2012 to 2017. Propensity score matching balanced both groups based on age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index and surgical details. The primary focus was on the impact of CPAS elements such as rehabilitation, nutrition, psychological support, oral frailty, and social support on short-term surgical outcomes.ResultsAmong 83 matched pairs, the CPAS group, despite 40.4% of patients in the CPAS group and 21.2% in the control group had an ASA-PS score of 3 or higher (P < 0.001), demonstrated significantly reduced blood loss (100 ml vs. 190 ml, P = 0.026) and lower incidence of serious complications (19.3% vs. 33.7%, P = 0.034), especially in infections and respiratory issues. Sarcopenia was identified in 38.6% of CPAS patients who received tailored support. Additionally, the median postoperative hospital stay was notably shorter in the CPAS group (10 days vs. 15 days, P < 0.001), with no in-hospital deaths. These results suggest that personalized preoperative care effectively mitigates operative stress and postoperative complications.ConclusionImplementing CPAS significantly enhances surgical safety and reduces complication rates in elderly gastric cancer patients, emphasizing the critical role of personalized preoperative care in surgical oncology for this demographic.

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival of elderly patients with unresected gastric cancer who received chemotherapy

This investigation aimed to explore the prognostic factors in elderly patients with unresected gastric cancer (GC) who have received chemotherapy and to develop a nomogram for predicting their cancer-specific survival (CSS). Elderly gastric cancer patients who have received chemotherapy but no surgery in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database between 2004 and 2015 were included in this study. Cox analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors, leading to the formulation of a nomogram. The nomogram was validated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves. The findings elucidated six prognostic factors encompassing grade, histology, M stage, radiotherapy, tumor size, and T stage, culminating in the development of a nomogram. The ROC curve indicated that the area under curve of the nomogram used to predict CSS for 3, 4, and 5 years in the training queue as 0.689, 0.708, and 0.731, and in the validation queue, as 0.666, 0.693, and 0.708. The calibration curve indicated a high degree of consistency between actual and predicted CSS for 3, 4, and 5 years. This nomogram created to predict the CSS of elderly patients with unresected GC who have received chemotherapy could significantly enhance treatment accuracy.

Is recovery enhancement after gastric cancer surgery really a safe approach for elderly patients?

This study aimed to evaluate the safety of enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) in elderly patients with gastric cancer (GC). To evaluate the safety of ERAS in elderly patients with GC. The PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were used to search for eligible studies from inception to April 1, 2023. The mean difference (MD), odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were pooled for analysis. The quality of the included studies was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale scores. We used Stata (V.16.0) software for data analysis. This study consists of six studies involving 878 elderly patients. By analyzing the clinical outcomes, we found that the ERAS group had shorter postoperative hospital stays (MD = -0.51, I2 = 0.00%, 95%CI = -0.72 to -0.30, P = 0.00); earlier times to first flatus (defecation; MD = -0.30, I² = 0.00%, 95%CI = -0.55 to -0.06, P = 0.02); less intestinal obstruction (OR = 3.24, I2 = 0.00%, 95%CI = 1.07 to 9.78, P = 0.04); less nausea and vomiting (OR = 4.07, I2 = 0.00%, 95%CI = 1.29 to 12.84, P = 0.02); and less gastric retention (OR = 5.69, I2 = 2.46%, 95%CI = 2.00 to 16.20, P = 0.00). Our results showed that the conventional group had a greater mortality rate than the ERAS group (OR = 0.24, I2 = 0.00%, 95%CI = 0.07 to 0.84, P = 0.03). However, there was no statistically significant difference in major complications between the ERAS group and the conventional group (OR = 0.67, I2 = 0.00%, 95%CI = 0.38 to 1.18, P = 0.16). Compared to those with conventional recovery, elderly GC patients who received the ERAS protocol after surgery had a lower risk of mortality.

A comprehensive study on non-cancer-related mortality risk factors in elderly gastric cancer patients post-curative surgery.

The increasing incidence of gastric cancer in the elderly underscores the need for an in-depth understanding of the challenges and risks associated with surgical interventions in this demographic. This study aims to investigate the risk factors and prognostic indicators for non-cancer-related mortality following curative surgery in elderly gastric cancer patients. This retrospective analysis examined 684 patients with pathological Stage I-III gastric cancer who underwent curative resection between January 2012 and December 2021. The study focused on patients aged 70years and above, evaluating various clinical and pathological variables. Univariate analysis was utilized to identify potential risk factors with to non-cancer-related mortality and to access prognostic outcomes. Out of the initial 684 patients, 244 elderly patients were included in the analysis, with 33 succumbing to non-cancer-related causes. Univariate analysis identified advanced age (≥ 80years), low body mass index (BMI) (< 18.5), high Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and the presence of overall surgical complications as significant potential risk factors for non-cancer related mortality. These factors also correlated with poorer overall survival and prognosis. The most common cause of non-cancer-related deaths were respiratory issues and heart failure. In elderly gastric cancer patients, managing advanced age, low BMI, high CCI, and minimizing postoperative complications are essential for reducing non-cancer-related mortality following curative surgery.

A dynamic online nomogram for predicting the heterogeneity trajectories of frailty among elderly gastric cancer survivors

BackgroundFrailty is very common among older people with gastric cancer and seriously affects their prognosis. The development of frailty is continuous and dynamic, increasing the difficulty and burden of care. ObjectivesThe aims of this study were to delineate the developmental trajectory of frailty in older people with gastric cancer 1 year after surgery, identify heterogeneous frailty trajectories, and further explore their predictors to construct a nomogram for prediction. DesignWe conducted a prospective longitudinal observation study. Clinical evaluation and data collection were performed at discharge, and at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months. Setting and participantsThis study was conducted in a tertiary hospital and 381 gastric cancer patients over 60 years who underwent radical gastrectomy completed the 1-year follow-up. MethodsA growth mixture model (GMM) was used to delineate the frailty trajectories, and identify heterogeneous trajectories. A regression model was performed to determine their predictors and further construct a nomogram based on the predictors. Bootstrap with 1000 resamples was used for internal validation of nomogram, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to evaluate discrimination, calibration curves to evaluate calibration and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the clinical value. ResultsGMM identified three classes of frailty trajectories: “frailty improving”, “frailty persisting” and “frailty deteriorating”. The latter two were referred to as heterogeneous frailty trajectories. Regression analysis showed 8 independent predictors of heterogeneous frailty trajectories and a nomogram was constructed based on these predictors. The area under ROC curve (AUC) of the nomogram was 0.731 (95 % CI = 0.679–0.781), the calibration curves demonstrated that probabilities predicted by the nomogram agreed well with the actual observation with a mean absolute error of 0.025, and the DCA of nomogram indicated that the net benefits were higher than that of the other eight single factors. ConclusionsOlder gastric cancer patients have heterogeneous frailty trajectories of poor prognosis during one-year postoperative survival. Therefore, early assessment to predict the occurrence of heterogeneous frailty trajectories is essential to improve the outcomes of elderly gastric cancer patients. Scientific and effective frailty interventions should be further explored in the future to improve the prognosis of older gastric cancer patients. Contribution of the paper statementsThis study constructed a static and dynamic online nomogram with good discrimination and calibration, which can help to screen high-risk patients, implement preoperative risk stratification easily and promote the rational allocation of medical resources greatly. RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov (Number: NCT05982899). Tweetable abstractOur findings identified three frailty trajectories and constructed a nomogram to implement preoperative risk stratification and improve patient outcomes.