Abstract To adapt to the increasing proportion of new energy power generation capacity, coal power must transition from its traditional role as the primary power source to serving as a fundamental backup and system regulation energy source. The circulating fluidized bed technology is known for its wide range of load regulation capabilities; however, emissions of pollutants during load regulation can exhibit significant variability. This study utilized Aspen Plus software to develop a circulating fluidized bed combustion model based on a gas-solid fluid dynamics model, an equivalent coal pyrolysis model, and a multi-phase macroscopic combustion reaction dynamics model of pyrolysis products. This model was used to predict both the temperature distribution within the furnace chamber and the distribution of pollutant concentrations. Predictions of pollutant emissions from 100 % load to 30 % load of the circulating fluidized bed were explored under the original combustion condition and 5 % proportion of recirculated flue gas. Under the primary combustion condition, the emission concentration of NO x showed a decreasing and then increasing trend with decreasing load, while the concentration of nitrous oxide, in contrast to NO x , showed an increasing and then decreasing trend. The effect of recirculated flue gas on pollutant emissions was not significant at reduced loads. This study aims to provide technical support and theoretical guidance for the management of pollutant emissions from the deep peak regulation of actual circulating fluidized beds.