This study presents an innovative methodology for predicting seismic-induced sliding displacement, a key determinant in evaluating the seismic stability of landfills. The novelty of this research lies in the incorporation of the softening characteristics of the geosynthetic interface within the liner system, a factor that has been largely overlooked in previous studies. A dynamic stability analysis was performed on a landfill using the ABAQUS software, with an emphasis on the impact of coupled parameters, particularly the strength of the interface. The results highlight PGA (Peak Ground Acceleration), PGV (Peak Ground Velocity), Ia (Arias Intensity), and residual interface shear strength (μ) as effective predictors. The study further identifies the combination of PGA and μ as the optimal parameter pairing for predicting the seismic permanent deformation of the landfill. A multi-dimensional data regression approach was employed to propose a calculation formula for seismic permanent deformation, taking into account liner damage. To enhance the seismic design methodology for landfills, the probability density function was integrated into the study. This innovative approach provides a new perspective on seismic stability assessment in landfill engineering and designs.
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