BackgroundPodocytopathies, including minimal change disease (MCD), focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), and collapsing glomerulopathy (CG), are kidney diseases that damage glomerular podocytes, leading to heavy proteinuria and nephrotic syndrome (NS). Inflammation plays a critical role in the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), with recent studies linking inflammatory biomarkers to declining kidney function. Tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), an essential inflammatory cytokine, interacts with its circulating receptors, TNFR1 and TNFR2. The TNF-α pathway has been implicated in the pathogenesis of FSGS and MCD. Increased circulating TNFR2 levels have been associated with worsening renal function in podocytopathies, suggesting that the TNF-α inflammatory pathway significantly contributes to disease progression.MethodsWe conducted a study involving 53 patients with biopsy-proven MCD or FSGS and 53 healthy, age- and gender-matched controls. All patients were followed for 18 months. We analyzed serum and urine TNFR2 levels and gene expression at baseline and after three months. To assess the ability of TNFR2 to predict persistent decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73m2), remission, and relapse, we employed Cox regression analysis. Additionally, we evaluated its prognostic utility for predicting progression to stage 4 CKD using ROC curve analysis.ResultsSerum and urine TNFR2 levels were significantly elevated in patients compared to controls. Serum TNFR2 was a significant predictor in univariate Cox regression analysis for persistent eGFR decline (HR 1.017, 95% CI: 1.003 to 1.032, p = 0.018), remission (HR 0.995, 95% CI: 0.992 to 0.999, p = 0.006), and relapse (HR 1.005, 95% CI: 1.001 to 1.010, p = 0.029). The ROC curve analysis demonstrated that serum TNFR2 levels had a strong prognostic ability for predicting progression to stage 4 CKD, with an AUC of 0.848 (95% CI: 0.737—0.960), sensitivity of 81%, and specificity of 71%.ConclusionThis study underscores the critical role of circulating TNFR2 in kidney injury among patients with primary podocytopathy. Elevated TNFR2 levels are significant predictors of persistent eGFR decline and disease relapse, highlighting their potential as biomarkers for disease progression and prognosis.