Abstract Background Despite being in clinical remission, ulcerative colitis (UC) patients continue to have a risk of disease flare-ups. Although endoscopic and histological evaluations are considered the gold standard for follow-up, the value of histological inflammation in predicting disease flare-ups in clinically remitted patients is not clearly known. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between histological inflammation and disease flare-ups in UC patients in clinical remission. Methods Adult patients with UC, no history of colectomy, followed up in our outpatient clinic, and in clinical remission were included in the study (total Mayo score < 2). Biopsy reports from colonoscopies performed during clinical remission were examined for histological activity. The follow-up period was defined as 10 years, based on the last clinical remission recorded in the outpatient clinic records. The Nancy histological index (NHI) was used as the histological activity score. Patients with NHI < 2 were considered to be in histological remission. The temporal relationship between histological inflammation and the first clinical flare-up was evaluated using Spearman correlation analysis. Results A total of 53 patients, including 26 women and 27 men, with a diagnosis of UC in clinical remission were included in the study. The mean age of the patients was 51.5 years. While 28 patients were in endoscopic remission, 25 were followed up as endoscopically active. Among the 28 patients in endoscopic remission, 15 were in histological remission, and 13 were histologically active. Flare-ups were observed after a median of 18.0 months in patients with endoscopic remission and 10.0 months in those with endoscopic activity (p=0.07). Flare-ups were observed after a median of 96.0 months in patients with histological remission and 10.5 months in those with histological activity (p<0.05). A negative correlation was found between histological inflammation and disease flare-up (r=-0.381, p<0.05). Conclusion The risk of disease flare-ups is higher in patients who do not achieve disease clearance (i.e., those who are histologically active even in endoscopic remission).
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