Introduction. This study analyzed a model of visual fire detection in textile production buildings. It was found that the search performance used in the calculation is a constant. However, in the case of search by reconnaissance teams without monitoring equipment, the search performance decreases with an increase in the smoke cover of the premises. Goals and objectives. The purpose of the study is to improve the model of estimation of probability of visual fire detection in buildings by gas and smoke rescue squads, taking into account the change of search performance of search teams. The aim of the investigation is to develop a mathematical model of estimation of probability (efficiency) of visual fire detection in the buildings of textile productions. Methods. To achieve the purpose of the study, we used methods of scientific knowledge: analysis, mathematical logic. To describe the process of search of source of a fire we have used a mathematical model of the type "birth-death". Results and discussion. The result of the lead research is the modified model of estimation of probability of visual fire detection in a building of textile manufactures. The analytical solution of the "birth-death" model is received, provided that the search (breeding) performance is a function of the death rate, that is, decreases over time from the maximum value to a minimum, and it is found that the law of decreasing performance search is not linear. On the basis of the received data, it has become possible to determine time of search of fire origin with the set probability of visual detection for cases of change of optical properties in a zone of search. A comparison of modeling results with original and modified models has been made. The results obtained can be used when planning actions of fire-fighting subdivisions on extinguishing fires in buildings of textile productions, and also when determining an order of equipping subdivisions with breathing apparatuses and monitoring means. Conclusions. A modification of the model of estimation of probability of visual fire detection in the buildings of textile manufactures has been made. The result received extends the area of application of the given methodology in practical work of fire protection divisions at the organization of fire focuses' reconnaissance. Keywords: fire search; monitoring tools; textile production; probability of visual detection; fire and rescue units.
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