Abstract Over the past 50 years, nutrient discharge into freshwater ecosystems has significantly increased due to intensive fertilizer applications in China. This has led to frequent environmental issues associated with nutrient enrichment, such as algal blooms, in a number of individual lakes. However, the link between terrestrial nutrient sources and algal bloom occurrences (BO) at large scales remains under-explored. Here, we simulated long-term changes in nitrogen leaching from terrestrial ecosystems at the national scale from 1979 to 2018, and examined its connection to satellite-derived BO in 56 large lakes across China. Our findings reveal that leached nitrogen exhibited significant increasing trends in 74.5% of the national landmass, with an average increase rate of 0.40 kg N ha-1 yr-2 over the past four decades. Using a 95% quantile regression model, we analyzed the linkage between nitrogen leaching and BO from 2003 to 2018. The results indicated significantly positive correlations in the lakes of the Yangtze Plain during autumn and the lakes of the Northern China and Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau during both summer and autumn. These findings suggest that terrestrial nitrogen discharge critically contributes to algal bloom variations in warmer seasons. Our study provides a comprehensive understanding of escalating nitrogen discharge from terrestrial ecosystems and highlights the potential benefits of fertilization management in mitigating and controlling inland water eutrophication in China.
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