This discussion of fertility decline in sub-Saharan Africa is based on a review of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) volumes on demographic change in sub-Saharan Africa. The seven NAS volumes are viewed as committee products that expand knowledge through a broad social science view. Chapters 3 4 and 5 were criticized as disappointing due to unconvincing conclusions inappropriate treatment and uneven quality. This review focuses on whether a decline in fertility has occurred in sub-Saharan Africa and whether family planning was a chief instrument in this decline. It is concluded that the weakest part of the NAS volumes pertained to future expectations and desirable research and policy interventions. The 1993 NAS volumes addressed demographic change demographic effects of economic reversals effects of health programs on mortality factors affecting contraceptive use population dynamics of Kenya population dynamics of Senegal and the social dynamics of adolescent fertility. The volume on demographic change is described as complete but repeats material from previously published articles. Substantial fertility decline is identified in NAS for Botswana Zimbabwe and Kenya but not elsewhere in west and middle Africa. Evidence of different patterns in contraceptive use is alluded to without a detailed examination. NAS neglects to address the difference in patriarchal control over resources that differentiate eastern from western Africa and may constitute the single most important determinant of contrasting times for the onset of fertility transition. The volumes generally are criticized for sensitivity to subregional patterns. Generalizations were made in the NAS volume to all of Africa when data pertained exclusively to western Africa. The extent of contraceptive use among unmarried women was not given the proper attention. A better understanding of fertility declines in Botswana and Zimbabwe would have accounted for their inclusion within the South African economic system which was not as sensitive to the economic adjustments that occurred in Ghana Nigeria and Zaire. An index was needed for all seven volumes and an additional volume was needed on southern Africa.
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