Fault Segments Research Articles

Quantifying the Pabu Normal Fault Scarp, Southern Tibetan Plateau: Insights into Regional Earthquake Risk

The location of the main boundary fault of the Yadong-Gulu Rift (YGR) shifts from the east side in the southern segment to the west side in the northern segment. The Nyemo Graben Group (NGG) connects the southern and northern segments of the YGR and provides clues for understanding the migration of boundary fault locations along the YGR. However, the NGG has received very little attention. In this study, we map the geometry of the Pabu normal fault, which is the boundary fault of the westernmost graben in the NGG, using high-resolution remote sensing images. We then utilized a digital elevation model (DEM) with a spatial resolution of 1 m. Morphometric parameters such as scarp height, width, and slope were obtained from elevation profiles in three typical deformation regions. Our results reveal a fault segment approximately 3 km long that links the southern and northern segments of the Pabu Fault. Each fault segment could be a major segment. Furthermore, based on regional tectonic activity, the Pabu Fault has the potential to produce an earthquake with a magnitude of around M 6.7.

Westward Migration of the Chenghai–Jinsha Drainage Divide and Its Implication for the Initiation of the Chenghai Fault

The Chenghai Fault in the Chuan–Dian block terminates at the northwestern segment of the Red River Fault, and is a significant seismogenic structure. The kinematic evolution of this fault should be closely related to the regional tectonic deformation. However, it is difficult to obtain information on structural deformation of the Chenghai Fault due to the large amount of precipitation and well-developed vegetation. The Chenghai normal faulting may drive drainage reorganization in this region, which provides a new perspective for reconstructing and evaluating the tectonic history. High-resolution digital elevation models (DEM) obtained by remote sensing greatly facilitate the study of drainage evolution and active tectonics. We use two methods (χ-plot and Gilbert metrics) to measure the drainage divide stability based on the ALOS DEM (12.5 m resolution) and further reproduce the drainage evolution process in response to the asymmetric uplift by numerical modeling. The results show that the Chenghai–Jinsha drainage divide, hosted by the footwall block of the Chenghai Fault, is migrating westward (away from the Chenghai Fault) and will continue moving ~2.2–3.5 km to reach a steady state. Its migration is controlled by the Chenghai normal faulting. The Chenghai–Jinsha drainage divide formed close to the Chenghai Fault’s surface trace and continues to migrate westward in response to the asymmetric uplift. It only took a few million years for the Chenghai–Jinsha drainage divide to migrate to its current location based on the numerical modeling. The restoration of the drainage reorganization implies that the Chenghai Fault initiated in the Pliocene, which probably results from kinematic reversal along the Red River Fault.

Forearc crustal faults as tsunami sources in the upper plate of the Lesser Antilles subduction zone: the case study of the Morne Piton fault system

Abstract. In this study, alternatively to the megathrust, we identify upper-plate normal faults orthogonal to the trench as a possible tsunami source along the Lesser Antilles subduction zone. The Morne Piton fault system is such a trench-perpendicular upper crustal fault at the latitude of Guadeloupe. By means of seismic reflection, high-resolution bathymetry, remotely operated vehicle (ROV) imaging and dating, we reassess the slip rate of the Morne Piton fault since 7 Ma, i.e., its inception, and quantify an average rate of 0.25 mm yr−1 since ca. 1.2 Ma. This result divides by two previous estimations, increases the earthquake time recurrence and lowers the associated hazard. The ROV dive revealed a metric scarp with striae at the toe of the Morne Piton fault system, suggesting a recent fault rupture. We estimate a fault rupture area of ∼ 450–675 km2 and then a magnitude range for a maximum seismic event around Mw 6.5 ± 0.5, making this fault potentially tsunamigenic as the nearby Les Saintes fault responsible for a tsunami following the 2004 Mw 6.3 earthquake. Consequently, we simulate a multi-segment tsunami model representative of a worst-case scenario if all the identified Morne Piton fault segments ruptured together. Our model provides clues for the potential impact of local tsunamis on the surrounding coastal area as well as for local bathymetric controls on tsunami propagation. We illustrate that (i) shallow-water plateaus act as secondary sources and are responsible for a wrapping of the tsunami waves around the island of Marie-Galante; (ii) canyons indenting the shallow-water plateau slope break focus and enhance the wave height in front of the most touristic and populated town of the island; and (iii) the resonance phenomenon is observed within the Les Saintes archipelago, showing that the waves' frequency content is able to perturb the sea level for many hours after the seismic rupture.

The Miocene Acceleration of Strike-Slip Deformation in the Northern Tian Shan, Central Asia

Abstract The Tian Shan has been deformed during the Cenozoic as a far-field response to the India–Eurasia collision. This contribution reports new apatite fission-track (AFT) and apatite (U-Th)/He data from the northern Tian Shan, including areas along the southern margin of the Junggar Basin and adjacent to the western segment of the Bolokenu-Aqikekuduk Fault (BAF). Thermal history modeling of the presented data suggests that the Cenozoic exhumation along the basin margin started >20 Ma, and the oblique-slip BAF could have been active since at least ~10 Ma with a total exhumation magnitude of ~2 km during the late Cenozoic. Since then, the mean exhumation rate on southern wall of the BAF is comparable to the Quaternary uplift rate previously measured on the same segment of the fault. To examine the extent of the Miocene acceleration of the transpressional deformation pattern, an exhumation model since 50 Ma was established by inverse modeling >1000 published and new AFT and (U-Th)/He ages from the Tian Shan and the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. The model suggests that after the initial unroofing, a significant acceleration in exhumation occurred during 15–10 Ma, in regions including the interiors of northern and southwestern Tian Shan near major strike-slip structures. This change coincided with the northward propagation of the Pamir and the eastward expansion of the northeastern Tibetan Plateau along the west and south margins of the Tarim Basin, respectively.

Tidal triggering of seismic swarm associated with hydrothermal circulation at Blanco ridge transform fault zone, Northeast Pacific

Seismicity associated with hydrothermal systems (e.g., submarine volcanoes, mid-oceanic ridges, oceanic transform faults, etc.) share a complex relationship with the tidal forcing and induced fluid flow process under different tectonic settings. The hydrothermal circulation drives the deformation at the brittle-ductile transition zone within a permeable brittle crust. Although the tidal loading amplitudes are too small to generate a brittle deformation, the incremental pressure exerted by the tidal loading can modulate the flow of hydrothermal fluid circulation and trigger the critically stressed faults or fracture zones. We present a compelling case of tidal modulation in seismicity along the Blanco Ridge Transform Fault Zone (BRTFZ), in the northeast Pacific. The strong diurnal and fortnightly periodicity has been observed in the deeper seismic swarm (7–15 km), whereas the shallow seismic swarm (0–7 km) does not exhibit any such tidal periodicity. The dominance of diurnal and fortnightly periodicity in the deeper seismic swarm is explained by the high amplitude tidal cycles providing additional stress on the fluid circulation at the crust-mantle boundary. Moreover, our robust statistical correlation of seismicity with tidal stress and resonance destabilization model under rate-and-state friction formalism suggests that the fault segments are conditionally unstable and more sensitive to periodic tidal stress perturbation.

Intraplate active deformation: Lake Salt fault zone and source of the Obruk (Bor-Niğde) earthquakes, Cappadocia-central Anatolia, Türkiye

Intraplate strike slip deformation structures play a crucial role in understanding how the earthquake are triggered, and respond to long-term deformation in plate interiors. One of the examples for intraplate structure is the Lake Salt Fault Zone (LSFZ) in Türkiye, located at the Central Anatolia region which has hosted a few moderate magnitude earthquakes. The LSFZ extends in NW-SE direction along the eastern border of the Lake Salt basin. In the western and central sections, it exhibits a rather linear trace, and it marks the west-northwestern boundary of the Cappadocian plateau. Along its strike, two big cities, namely, Aksaray and Niğde, and some significant eruption centers (the Hasan, Keçibuyduran and Melendiz Mountain stratovolcanoes) are located, and there is a 12 km right lateral offset. LSFZ has four main segments, namely, Karacaören, Keçikalesi, Obruk and Büyükkaraoğlan fault segments, and they have hosted two moderate-sized (Mw = 5.1 to 5.2) earthquakes (on September 20, 2020 and February 25, 2023) at the localities approximately 5 km ENE and SSW of Obruk Town (Niğde). Their focal mechanisms revealed that the LSFZ exhibits dominantly dextral strike-slip faulting with normal component. The vertical and horizontal displacement rates along the LSFZ are 0.14 mm/yr and 4.6 mm/yr, respectively. The recurrence interval of earthquakes of Mw ≥ 6.7 on the LSFZ is more than one thousand years, owing to the low slip rate. We propose that the LSFZ is in a seismic gap having potential to host a large earthquake.

The Miocene Acceleration of Strike-Slip Deformation in the Northern Tian Shan, Central Asia

Abstract The Tian Shan has been deformed during the Cenozoic as a far-field response to the India–Eurasia collision. This contribution reports new apatite fission-track (AFT) and apatite (U-Th)/He data from the northern Tian Shan, including areas along the southern margin of the Junggar Basin and adjacent to the western segment of the Bolokenu-Aqikekuduk Fault (BAF). Thermal history modeling of the presented data suggests that the Cenozoic exhumation along the basin margin started >20 Ma, and the oblique-slip BAF could have been active since at least ~10 Ma with a total exhumation magnitude of ~2 km during the late Cenozoic. Since then, the mean exhumation rate on southern wall of the BAF is comparable to the Quaternary uplift rate previously measured on the same segment of the fault. To examine the extent of the Miocene acceleration of the transpressional deformation pattern, an exhumation model since 50 Ma was established by inverse modeling >1000 published and new AFT and (U-Th)/He ages from the Tian Shan and the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. The model suggests that after the initial unroofing, a significant acceleration in exhumation occurred during 15–10 Ma, in regions including the interiors of northern and southwestern Tian Shan near major strike-slip structures. This change coincided with the northward propagation of the Pamir and the eastward expansion of the northeastern Tibetan Plateau along the west and south margins of the Tarim Basin, respectively.

Unveiling complex fault geometry and driving mechanisms: insights from a refined data processing and multiplet analysis of the 2010 Beni-Ilmane seismic sequence (NE Algeria)

SUMMARY This paper offers a comprehensive re-analysis of the Beni-Ilmane 2010 seismic sequence, using a data set that is 100 per cent larger than previous studies. This unprecedented sequence in Algeria features three main shocks with magnitudes Mw 5.4, 5.1 and 5.1. Our approach involves high-precision relocation, which includes the development of a new 1-D minimum velocity model, followed by a double-difference (DD) procedure and hierarchical clustering. We determined the focal mechanisms (FMs) for 128 key events and identified 21 multiplet groups using an average cross-correlation threshold of 0.8. Our analysis offers new insights into fault geometry and addresses ongoing debates, by proposing a seismotectonic model that reveals the activation of 14 fault segments during the sequence, in contrast to previous oversimplified models that suggested two or three faults. The computed stress field from the inversion of 128 FMs aligns with a tectonic loading force due to the convergence of the African and Eurasian plates. These findings highlight the complexity of the fault network in the study area and shed light on the role of strike-slip faults in shaping the thrust belt. We found a strong link between multiplet groups and fluid movement along the fault network. Analysis of the temporal history of these multiplet groups provides new insights into fluid dynamics timescales, with an estimated hydraulic diffusivity (D) of 0.36 m2 s−1 suggesting a fluid pressure diffusion process. The observed expansion of the aftershock area with the logarithm of time and the existence of repeating earthquakes indicates, for the first time, an aseismic slip mechanism that adds an additional layer to the driven processes. In conclusion, our results suggest that the underlying mechanisms governing the BI-2010 seismic sequence involve a complex interplay of tectonic loading, coseismic stress transfer, fluid dynamics and aseismic slip transients. We attempt to correlate our findings with various studies linking the structure, mechanics and fluid flow properties of fault zones and fault systems. The activation of smaller fault segments potentially averted a larger quake, resulting in three moderate main shocks and numerous aftershocks. This work not only enrich our understanding of seismic phenomena but also provides useful insights for seismic hazard assessment and risk mitigation strategies.

Coseismic deformation analysis of the 2017 Milin Ms 6.9 earthquake in the Namche Barwa Syntaxis: Implications for regional tectonics

The 2017 Milin earthquake occurred near Namche Barwa on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. This research employed Sentinel-1 imagery to capture the corresponding coseismic deformation field and adopted a joint inversion approach using geodetic measurements and teleseismic waveform data to assess earthquake mechanics. The coseismic deformation indicated distinct differential movements, indicating a thrust movement of this fault with uplift in northeast side. The calculated seismic moment magnitude was Mw 6.5, with the fault striking of 305° and a dip angle of 72° The earthquake hypocenter was located at a depth of approximately 10 km, and the maximum fault slip was approximately 1.08 m. The event was attributed to the northwestern segment of the Xixingla fault. Numerical simulations indicated a peak ground velocity of approximately 0.3 m/s. The northwestern segment of the Xixingla fault was identified as the seismogenic fault of the event. Furthermore, the Coulomb stress analysis indicates that the earthquake induced stress loading on the Dongju–Milin and Jiali faults. The surface strain analysis reveals a region of high strain adjacent to the fault. The 2017 Milin earthquake occurred because the Xixingla fault underwent predominantly thrust-type sliding due to the continuous tectonic stress induced within the Tibetan Plateau. Notably, the middle segment of the Xixingla fault currently experiences relatively low seismic activity and is in a state of stress and strain accumulation. Thus, strong earthquakes may occur within the middle segment of the Xixingla fault.

The September 6, 2021 MW 5.4 Tofalaria earthquake at a weakly active segment of the Main Sayan fault (Eastern Siberia)

We study in detail the Mw 5.4 September 6, 2021 Tofalaria earthquake occurred in a mountain area of the Eastern Sayan which is characterized by a low level of seismic activity. An interest in the seismic event is caused, on the one hand, by poor knowledge about stress-strain field of the crust in the considered region, and, on the other hand, by its relation to the NW segment of the ancient Main Sayan fault – a structural boundary between the Sayan-Baikal fold belt and the tectonically stable Siberian platform. Seismic moment tensors and hypocentral depths of the mainshock and its largest aftershock (Mw 4.6) are inverted from intermediate-period surface wave amplitude spectra calculated at the stations located at teleseismic distances. Integral source parameters of the mainshock, characterizing its spatio-temporal development, are also estimated and the fault plane is determined. Epicenters of 31 aftershocks with M ≥ 1.8, occurred up to the end of 2021, are constrained from body waves recorded at regional seismic stations. The obtained results show that the Tofalaria earthquake occurred under the influence of the SW-NE compression, which is observed in Western Mongolia. Focal mechanism of the largest aftershock and the NE elongation of the aftershock epicentral field (22 km) indicate stress redistribution after the mainshock in a local crustal volume, bordered by small-scale faults.

Fine Shallow Structures of Binchuan Basin Inverted From Receiver Functions and Implications for Basin Evolution

AbstractThe understanding of the velocity structure and basement morphology within the basin is crucial for seismic hazard mitigation and the study of basin evolution. To explore the intricate structure of the Binchuan Basin in western Yunnan, China, we deployed a linear dense array in the northern region of the Binchuan Basin, with inter‐station distance ranging from 50 to 100 m. We propose a novel receiver function processing workflow. Initially, we extracted coherent receiver functions based on the dense array, followed by a inversion of basement morphology, S‐wave velocities, and sedimentary layer's average Vp/Vs ratio jointly with frequency‐dependent teleseismic apparent shear velocity and receiver function waveforms. The results show that S‐wave velocity anomalies correspond to the unconsolidated sediments. The thickness of the sedimentary layer ranges from ∼0.5 to ∼0.75 km. The basement morphology suggests the basin is controlled by normal faults. Additionally, intra‐basin faults displayed higher fault displacement to length ratios (∼0.27) than most isolated normal faults (10−3–10−1), which may result from accumulated fault displacement due to interactions between fault segments. These results emphasize the significant role of N–S trending intra‐basin faults in basin evolution, suggesting that micro‐block rotations and transitional movements within the Northwestern Yunnan Rift Zone are primary mechanisms shaping the Binchuan Basin. We further proposed a multi‐stage model for the evolution of the Binchuan Basin. The robustness testing validates that the proposed processing flow is an effective approach to comprehensively image the basin velocity structure and the basement morphology.

Surface Rupture and Fault Characteristics Associated With the 2020 Magnitude (MW) 6.6 Masbate Earthquake, Masbate Island, Philippines

AbstractOn 18 August 2020, Masbate Island was struck by a magnitude (MW) 6.6 earthquake. This seismic event represents the second occurrence of a strong earthquake (M > 6) in 17 years, emphasizing the necessity for further investigation into the characteristics of this event. In this study, we employ Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar, seismicity analysis, and field investigations to comprehensively characterize the coseismic and postseismic slip associated with the event. Our findings reveal a 50‐km‐long fault rupture along the Masbate segment of the Philippine Fault, with ∼23 km surface rupture mapped onshore, despite the occurrence of interseismic creep. The slip distribution demonstrates decreasing displacements northwestward toward the creeping section, with a maximum left‐lateral displacement of 0.97 m near the epicenter. Toward the southeast offshore, the rupture terminates at a left stepover of a fault. While the surface rupture appears relatively straight and narrowly concentrated, the secondary ruptures and mapped offshore faults reveal a more complex transtensional fault structure in the southeastern part of Masbate Island. This fault complexity represents an asperity that facilitates high‐stress accumulation and rupture initiation. Postseismic slip persists for several months along the onshore creeping segment. Based on comprehensive measurements of both cumulative and coseismic slip along the Masbate fault segment, we calculate a slip rate ranging between 2.8 and 3.8 cm/year and a recurrence interval of 16–41 years for earthquakes similar to the 2020 earthquake. Our study highlights how heterogeneity in fault properties, including geometry and coupling state, influences the distribution of slip and magnitude of earthquakes. The 2020 Masbate earthquake provides valuable insights into the rupture dynamics and fault behavior of the Philippine Fault in the Masbate region.

FaultSeg3D plus: A comprehensive study on evaluating and improving CNN-based seismic fault segmentation

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been widely used for seismic fault segmentation and show more powerful performance than conventional attribute-based methods to obtain a fault map with noise-free and continuously trackable fault features. However, CNN-based methods face the potential problem of poor generalization in field seismic images, and factors affecting fault segmentation remain incompletely studied or unexplored. Moreover, the existing pixel-wise metrics, borrowed from the natural image segmentation tasks, cannot fairly or reasonably evaluate the fault segmentation results. We first develop a distance-based metric to provide a geologically more reasonable evaluation on fault interpretation. We then use the most commonly used U-net architecture as an example to study how the CNN-based fault segmentation is affected by some significant factors such as training data, many kinds of network hyperparameters, and scaling and rotation in the inference step. Experimental results show that a training data set with more realistic reflection features and multiple sampling rates can enrich the data set variations in the structure and waveform signatures, thus significantly enhancing the fault segmentation. Moreover, a novel loss function we developed outperforms others with notable margins. Last, but not least, it is necessary to apply a test-time augmentation strategy by merging predictions with multiple scales and rotations in the reference step because the CNN does not preserve transformation invariance. Based on the studies, we optimally train a properly designed CNN and apply it to multiple field examples, where we obtain accurate, clean, continuous fault detections, and quantitatively evaluate them with manual interpretations.

Abnormal low-magnitude seismicity preceding large-magnitude earthquakes

Unraveling the precursory signals of potentially destructive earthquakes is crucial to understand the Earth’s crust dynamics and to provide reliable seismic warnings. Earthquake precursors are ambiguous, but recent experimental studies suggest that robust warning signs may precede large seismic events in the short (day-to-months) term. Here, we show that the M6.4-M7.1 2019 Ridgecrest sequence (California) and the M7.1 2018 Anchorage earthquake (Alaska) were preceded by up to ~3 months of tectonic unrest on regional scales, as evidenced by abnormal low-magnitude seismicity spreading over the ~15-25% of Southern California and Southcentral Alaska. This precursory unrest has been discovered with an algorithm that integrates an innovative random forest machine learning approach and statistical features built from earthquake catalogs. Supported by a novel suite of finite element solid mechanics models, we propose that precursory, abnormal, low-magnitude seismicity arises if the pore fluid pressure within large fault segments escalates significantly as they approach failure, which leads to major uneven changes in the regional stress field. Our findings and method may open up new perspectives for surveillance agencies to anticipate when a region approaches an earthquake of great magnitude weeks to months before it occurs.

Drought-induced seismicity modulation in the New Madrid Seismic Zone, central United States

The New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ) in the central United States is a seismically active intraplate region composed of two fault segments: the Reelfoot and Cottonwood Grove fault segments. It has witnessed several major earthquakes, including a devastating 1811–1812 earthquake sequence of three ~M7 events. Nearly 200 years later, earthquakes still continue today in this complex seismic zone. This seismic zone is located in a domain with higher hydrological load than surrounding regions, which may play a crucial role in seismicity modulation. However, the hydrological unloading or loading-induced seismicity modulation and the underlying earthquake dynamics on this stable plate interior remain equivocal. Our study demonstrates that increased climate variability and drought-induced hydrological unloading can be potential drivers for the crustal stress change in the upper Mississippi embayment and seismicity modulation in the NMSZ. The seismicity rate associated with the Reelfoot fault segment shows ~60% increase during drought-induced prolonged drier periods, linked to La Niña cycles, than during the relatively wetter periods. However, such a feature is lacking for the seismicity associated with the Cottonwood Grove fault segment. We argue that the near-lithostatic pore pressure condition explicitly on the Reelfoot fault segment leads to an increase in the amplitude of the velocity perturbation, making this fault segment more susceptible to seismicity modulation on a multi-annual or annual time scale by the resonance destabilization process.

Kinematic Source Properties of the 2023 Mw 7.7 Türkiye Earthquake Inferred from Near-Fault Strong Ground Motions

Abstract The 2023 Mw 7.7 Türkiye earthquake provided densely observed near-fault ground-motion data, which enabled us to investigate their characteristics and generations. This study aimed to obtain an intuitive understanding of the characteristics of near-fault strong ground motions and their relationship with kinematic source properties using a simple source model. Synthetic ground motions were calculated using the discrete wave number method and compared with observed ground motions. The observed strong motions were used after a time correction based on the first P-wave arrival. Results showed that near-fault pulse-like velocities (0.02–0.6 Hz) were generally explained by the simple kinematic source model that assumed a continuous rupture propagation along the faults. Comparisons at individual sites indicate the various rupture properties of the fault segments. Near-fault ground motions along the Narli segment were explained by the fault plane along the surface trace and not by aftershock distribution. A supershear rupture propagation speed is necessary for a part of the Amanos segment. Rupture stops and restarts were implied near the stepover along the Amanos segment. Empirical site factors estimated by generalized inversion techniques did not show peaks around the frequency of observed large velocity pulses, indicating that the velocity pulses were mainly generated by the source. The model bias and uncertainties were also examined to supplement the simplified subsurface structure used in the simulation. Our results will help to associate the qualitative and quantitative aspects of the kinematic source process with near-fault strong ground motions.

Fault rock properties and conditions produce variance in slip during earthquake rupture propagation at the Nankai Trough

Although drilled samples of fault rocks have yielded information on frictional features of shallow subduction zones, the relationship of rupture propagation to the levels of friction and pore-fluid pressure remains uncertain. To investigate this topic, we performed dynamic rupture simulations along the megasplay fault that slipped during the 1944 Mw 8.0 Tonankai earthquake in the Nankai Trough. We used actual data from friction experiments on rocks from the fault segment and pre-existing pore pressures deduced from geophysical surveys for the shallow portion of 0–10 km depth along the fault. Simulations of low friction (friction coefficient ca. 0.04) produced large slip (about 30 m), whereas simulations using higher friction (friction coefficient ca. 0.2) suppressed the rupture. In simulations with low friction in which the pore-fluid pressure was nearly equal to the lithostatic stress, the slip decreased to about 25 m. However, when the simulations included slip-strengthening at shallow depth and higher friction, the slip still reached roughly 20 m. Such variability in slip during rupture propagation is caused by differences in the friction features and fluid pressure conditions of fault rocks, in which the friction features might be related to the mineral composition. Spatiotemporal heterogeneity in fault-rock type and their physical and hydraulic properties may fundamentally produce the complexity and variability of earthquake rupture propagation along the Nankai plate-subduction boundary.

TECTONOPHYSICAL ZONING OF ACTIVE FAULTS OF THE BAIKAL RIFT SYSTEM

Tectonophysical zoning of active faults of the Baikal rift system (BRS) was performed based on the degree of hazard caused by the generation of earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 and higher. The first basis for this procedure was the results of the natural stress state reconstruction, earlier performed from seismological indicators of rupture deformations (earthquake focal mechanisms). The second important element of fault zoning was electronic maps of active faults of Eurasia hosted on the GIN RAS sever. Within the algorithmic framework for Rebetsky’s method of cataclastic analysis, both of these datasets allowed calculating the Coulomb stresses for the segments of the BRS faults. During the study, a development of the cataclastic method has been carried out in using a diagram of brittle fracture as the Mohr–Coulomb model, considering a decrease in the range of positive Coulomb stress values with an increase in effective normal stress levels. Such an approach provides a more reliable identification of the fault segments with the maximum Coulomb stress levels. The performed calculations showed that in the BRS crust there are several up to 50 km long fault segments having critically high (80–100 % of the maximum) and high (40–80 % of the maximum) Coulomb stress levels. It is these corebased hazardous zones that are considered as places where seismogenic ruptures of future М>7.0 earthquakes may start. There have been distinguished three zones that present such hazard: 1) in the western segment of the BRS in the western part of the Tunka Valley in the Tunka, Khamardaban-Mondy and Baikal-Mondy fault systems; 2) in the Selenga River delta in the Proval, Delta, Ust-Selenga and Sakhalin-Enkhauk fault systems; 3) within the northeastern flank of the BRS on the fault system of the Muyakan basin (along the North Muya ridge). It is proposed to perform tectonophysical monitoring of changes in the stress state of these three zones and make observations of their surface motions using remote sensing methods.

Multiphase growth and basin control of main faults on Northern sub-basin, Beibuwan basin, Northwestern South China sea

The basement-involved faults and multiphase extension control the three-dimensional (3-D) fault geometries and kinematics, producing different fault growth models in continental rift basins. In this paper, we apply qualitative and quantitative fault analysis techniques to 3D high-resolution seismic data from the Northern sub-basin of Beibuwan basin, building the tectonic-stratigraphic framework and proposing the evolutionary meachanisms of main normal faults. The results suggest that extensional stress changed from NW-SE direction during Paleocene-Middle Eocene to N-S direction in Late Eocene-Oligocene, leading to the ENE or E-W directed propagation of fault networks together with lateral and vertical linkage of fault segments. This includes three conceptual models: (1) F1 originated from propagation, interaction, linkage and failure of initial seven ENE-directed isolated faults, and grows following isolated fault growth model; (2) F2 nucleated as a normal fault before buried in Late Eocene, and reactivated as dextral strike-slip fault in Oligocene, therefore experienced vertical segmentation and linkage; (3) F3 activated as a long-term constant-length fault with generally increased displacement in Paleogene. Our study proposes that the T83 interface (the top of the second member of the Liushagang Formation) is a tectonic stress transition interface, while the T60 interface is both a tectonic inversion interface and a post-rift unconformity interface. Furthermore, the growth of extensional faults commonly accompanied single breached, transfer-fault breached or double breached relay ramps and fault-related folds, thereby exerting a significant influence on the basin architecture and sediment distribution.

Small-scale segmented fault rupture along the East Anatolian fault during the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake

Rupture velocity affects the shaking damage potential of an earthquake, but it is hard to estimate. Here we track the rupture front of the first 25 s of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake using the P-wave polarization vector vs time as measured by the dense three-component accelerometer network surrounding the slipping fault. We find a coherent increase of the rupture velocity along portions of the fault zone where high coseismic slip has been previously mapped. This is detected in a domain of the Pazarcık segment of the East Anatolian fault at 40 km NE of the mainshock epicenter where the rupture becomes super-shear. This domain spatially matches the part of the Pazarcık segment where most micro-earthquakes nucleate in the inter-seismic phase and edges at north a nearly aseismic domain. We postulate the existence of a velocity-weakening subsegment on the Pazarcık fault sandwiched between velocity-strengthening domains and/or mechanic barriers to the fault slipping.