Research Article| October 19, 2016 Earthquake Potential of Active Faults in Taiwan from GPS Observations and Block Modeling Wu‐Lung Chang; Wu‐Lung Chang aDepartment of Earth Sciences, National Central University, 300, Zhongda Road, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwanwuchang@ncu.edu.tw Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Kuo‐En Ching; Kuo‐En Ching bDepartment of Geomatics, National Cheng Kung University, 1, University Road, Tainan 701, Taiwan Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Chiou‐Hsien Lee; Chiou‐Hsien Lee aDepartment of Earth Sciences, National Central University, 300, Zhongda Road, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwanwuchang@ncu.edu.tw Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Yi‐Rui Lee; Yi‐Rui Lee cSinotech Engineering Consultants, Inc., 14F, 171, Section 5, Nanking E. Road, Taipei 105, Taiwan Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Chi‐Fang Lee Chi‐Fang Lee aDepartment of Earth Sciences, National Central University, 300, Zhongda Road, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwanwuchang@ncu.edu.tw Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Seismological Research Letters (2016) 87 (6): 1274–1286. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220160094 Article history first online: 14 Jul 2017 Cite View This Citation Add to Citation Manager Share Icon Share Facebook Twitter LinkedIn MailTo Tools Icon Tools Get Permissions Search Site Citation Wu‐Lung Chang, Kuo‐En Ching, Chiou‐Hsien Lee, Yi‐Rui Lee, Chi‐Fang Lee; Earthquake Potential of Active Faults in Taiwan from GPS Observations and Block Modeling. Seismological Research Letters 2016;; 87 (6): 1274–1286. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220160094 Download citation file: Ris (Zotero) Refmanager EasyBib Bookends Mendeley Papers EndNote RefWorks BibTex toolbar search Search Dropdown Menu toolbar search search input Search input auto suggest filter your search All ContentBy SocietySeismological Research Letters Search Advanced Search ABSTRACT Taiwan is located at the boundary between the Philippine Sea plate and the passive continental margin of the Eurasian plate and is one of the most seismically active regions in the world. In an attempt to evaluate the seismogenic potential of active faults in Taiwan, we separated the region into 34 blocks with 27 known active faults as their boundaries and employed a 3D elastic block modeling method to invert the Global‐Positioning‐System‐measured surface deformation for block rotations and the fault coupling. Additional constraints from an up‐to‐date dataset of geologic fault‐slip rates were introduced to reconcile the discrepancy between the geodetically and geologically determined long‐term slip rates. Our results show that the Hsinhua fault and the southern part of the Longitudinal Valley fault may be weakly coupled near the surface and therefore experience shallow creeping in the interseismic period. The slip‐deficit rates, which relate to how fast the elastic strain is accumulated on faults, are relatively low (0.8–2.2 mm/yr) for faults in northern Taiwan compared with up to 4 mm/yr in the Western foothill of the central and southwestern Taiwan. Evaluations of earthquake potential based on our new modeling results indicate that the frontal thrust and the westernmost branch faults of central Taiwan and the northern Longitudinal Valley fault of eastern Taiwan are capable of generating Mw 6.0–7.3 earthquakes in the next few decades. You do not have access to this content, please speak to your institutional administrator if you feel you should have access.
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