Agricultural Policy Research Articles

Simulating Agricultural Water Recycling Using the APEX Model

Irrigation plays a vital role in many agricultural crop production regions. Drainage water recycling (DWR) is a popular irrigation water management system that collects excess water drained from cropland fields and stores it in on-site reservoirs for reuse. The efficacy of these systems varies by location, climate, irrigation frequency, and crop demands. Simulating this system would be beneficial for assessing the impact of water and land management practices on agriculture and natural resources. This study presents the development of computational algorithms for DWR simulation with the Agricultural Policy Environmental eXtender (APEX) model, along with the results for 39 testing sites where both reservoir and drainage systems are adopted. Simulating a DWR system with the revised reservoir module, the APEX model simulates irrigation water reuse ranging between 29% and 93%; sediment reduction of around 66%; nitrogen loss reduction of 23% and 73% for the mineral and organic forms, respectively; and phosphorus loss reduction of 22% and 79% for the soluble and sediment-transported forms, respectively. In conclusion, the results provided by the APEX model for sediment loss reduction align with field data, but discrepancies for nitrogen and phosphorus losses emerged from this test.

How the Soybean Producer Subsidy Policy affects crop planting structure: evidence from Chinese county-level data

PurposeThe Soybean Producer Subsidy Policy (SPSP), an agricultural support policy enacted in China within the past few years, is designed to optimise crop planting structure. This study analyses the impact of SPSP on the crop planting structure in terms of absolute and comparative incomes and elucidates the mechanisms involved.Design/methodology/approachUtilising balanced county-level panel data from 966 counties in China’s major soybean-producing regions, spanning from 2008 to 2021, we investigate the impacts of SPSP on crop planting structure by applying a difference-in-difference (DID) model.FindingsThe findings reveal several crucial insights. First, SPSP optimises the crop planting structure in Northeast China, primarily through an expansion in the area sown to soybeans and a simultaneous reduction in the area sown to maize. Second, the impacts of SPSP gradually strengthen over time but begin to weaken by 2021. Third, heterogeneity analysis indicates that the effects of SPSP are most pronounced in Eastern Inner Mongolia, followed by Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Liaoning. Finally, SPSP incentivises farmers to expand soybean sown areas by improving absolute rather than comparative incomes from soybean cultivation.Practical implicationsAddressing structural contradictions within China’s food supply chain necessitates the adjustment of support policies for different crops to mitigate market distortions. Establishing a holistic agricultural support system encompassing various crops could promote sustainable agricultural practices in the future.Originality/valueOur findings are valuable for policy makers in China and globally who aim to establish support systems for regional linkages that include a variety of crops.

Common Agricultural Policy’s (CAP) Administrative Simplification. Environmental Conditionality After The Early Review Of 2024

Resumen: Las protestas agrícolas de 2024 impulsaron la necesidad de que las Administraciones competentes modificaran de forma anticipada la condicionalidad ambiental de la Política Agraria Común (PAC) mediante una nueva revisión, de tendencia simplificadora y flexibilizadora, de un complejo régimen jurídico-administrativo como es el que regula la política agraria europea en la actualidad. A pesar de su corta vida, cabe analizar los pros y contras de esta recentísima reforma a fin de extraer una serie de conclusiones anticipadas sobre el futuro que aguarda a la PAC tras la adopción del Reglamento de simplificación. Abstract: The farmers’ protests of 2024 prompted the need for the competent administrations to modify in advance the environmental conditionality of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) by means of a new revision simplifying and making a complex legal-administrative system such as the one that currently regulates European agricultural policy more flexible. Despite its short life, it is worth analyzing the pros and cons of this very recent reform in order to draw a series of early conclusions on the future that awaits the CAP after the adoption of the simplification Regulation. Palabras clave: Política Agraria Común. Simplificación administrativa. Condicionalidad ambiental. Protestas agrícolas. Sector agrario español. Keywords: Common Agricultural Policy. Administrative simplification. Environmental conditions. Farmers’ protests. Spanish agricultural sector. Índice: 1. Introducción 2. Origen y evolución de la PAC 2.1. Primer periodo (1957–1984) 2.2. Segundo periodo (1985–2020) 3. Momento actual (2023–2027) 3.1. Antecedentes: el Pacto Verde Europeo 3.2. La reforma del año 2021 3.2.1. Características de la reforma 3.2.2. Los planes estratégicos 3.3. Las intervenciones y su condicionalidad 3.3.1. Primer pilar 3.3.2. Segundo pilar 3.3.3. La arquitectura ambiental de la PAC 4. La PAC en España 4.1. La situación del sector agrario español 4.2. Recepción de la reforma del 2021 en España 5. La simplificación de la PAC 5.1. La crisis social agraria de 2024 5.2. Simplificación administrativa y flexibilización 5.3. Solución: la revisión anticipada 5.3.1. Respuesta desde España 5.3.2. Respuesta desde la UE 5.4. Los claroscuros de la revisión 6. Conclusiones 7. Bibliografía 8. Anexos Index: 1. Introduction 2. Origin and development of the CAP 2.1. First period (1957–1984) 2.2. Second period (1985–2020) 3. Current moment (2023–2027) 3.1. Background: European Green Deal 3.2. The 2021 reform 3.2.1. Reform features 3.2.2. CAP Strategic Plans 3.3. CAP support and cross-compliance 3.3.1. First pillar 3.3.2. Second pillar 3.3.3. CAP environmental architecture 4. CAP in Spain 4.1. Situation of Spain's agricultural sector 4.2. Reception of the 2021 reform in Spain 5. CAP simplification 5.1. The agricultural social crisis of 2024 5.2. Administrative simplification and flexibilisation 5.3. Solution: early review 5.3.1. Spain’s response 5.3.2. EU’s response 5.4. Pros and cons of the review 6. Conclusions 7. Bibliography 8. Annex

Spatial benefit difference of fertilizer reduction and substitution policy based on grid scale: A case study of the Heihe River Basin

Agriculture green development faces the challenge of balancing the application of both organic and chemical fertilizers. Formulating effective policies to harmonize these applications is essential for ensuring food security and environmental sustainability. However, there is a lack of studies investigating the economic and environmental benefits of policy implementation at the grid scale, and insufficient research has been conducted on the subsequent impacts these policies have on diverse crops. Therefore, this paper develops the SIMPLE-G-Heihe model to simulate the impacts of green agricultural policies on multiple crops planting in arid regions. This model addresses limitations found in the SIMPLE-G model, which supported a single crop and lacked organic fertilizer substitution simulation. The results show that: (1) Merely increasing subsidies for organic fertilizers is insufficient to significantly enhance yields, and improving the efficiency of fertilizer utilization should also be emphasized. (2) Combining improvements in fertilizer technology with subsidies for organic fertilizers can concurrently support economic advancement and environmental mitigation. Research indicates that integrating a 3% organic fertilizer subsidy with an 8% improvement in chemical fertilizer technology increases vegetable output value by 0.27% and reduces N2O emissions by 1.09%. (3) The upstream areas of the Heihe River Basin show a significant reduction in fertilizer use. Fertilizer input is mainly reduced for vegetables in the upstream areas, while for wheat and maize, the reduction is primarily in the midstream and upstream areas. The findings discuss the spatial heterogeneity and flexibility of policy impacts, providing valuable insights for the implementation of green agriculture strategies in China.

Agroecology as a new frame of reference for French agricultural policy? Insights from a lexicometric analysis of policy documents

ABSTRACT References to agroecology have gradually started appearing in national and international public policies. We examine the extent to which agroecology is becoming a frame of reference for public action in the French national and regional context. Using textual statistics, we analyzed institutional documents concerning agroecology put out by public policy actors between 2008 and the summer of 2021, and conducted interviews with key actors of the Agroecological Project for France (PAEF, Projet Agroécologique pour la France). Our analysis shows that agroecology invoked in framing texts is reclassified in the vocabulary of triple performance, dominated by the notion of economic performance. A comparative analysis of the national and regional texts reveals mismatches, especially in terms of the level of autonomy of the actors concerned, and in the processes of knowledge transfer and support for changes in agricultural practices.

Growth conditions but not the variety, affect the yield, seed oil and meal protein of camelina under Mediterranean conditions

European agriculture policies emphasize the importance of agricultural sustainability, focusing on increase of biodiversity through crop diversification. In Mediterranean dryland cropping systems, the introduction of crops in rotation with cereals is challenged by scarce precipitation and high evapotranspiration. In this scenario, camelina (Camelina sativa (L.) Crantz), a low-input annual oleaginous crop with a high morphological plasticity, short life cycle, and interesting oil and meal composition, could be an option to be included in rotation with winter cereals. The aim of this experiment was to study the agronomic performance, and seed oil and meal protein contents of camelina in two different climatic conditions, with a sowing delay in one of them. Several trials were conducted in Montargull (Mediterranean semihumid) and in Lleida (Mediterranean semiarid) in two seasons (2020–21 and 2021–22). In Montargull, two sowing dates (November, SD1 and January, SD2) were established. In each growing condition, three spring camelina varieties were sown (Calena, CO46 and GP204). Camelina was harvested between May and July, and yield and harvest index were measured. After cold pressing the seeds, seed oil and meal protein contents were analysed. Camelina yield and quality was not related to the variety, but to two climatic scenarios: 1) a favourable rainfall distribution without important drought periods (2020–21); 2) significant rainfalls in November and April, but with a drought period in between (2021–22). In the first situation, camelina production ranged from 1533 to 2187 kg ha−1, with high seed oil (40.4–41.4 %) and meal protein (41.0–44.8 %) contents. In the second situation, the yield decreased to 242–661 kg ha−1, seed oil content to 31.0–34.7 %, and meal protein content to 37.6–40.4 %. Despite these seasonal differences, SD1 in Montargull obtained higher average yields and protein content than in Lleida and in SD2. In contrast, in Lleida and in SD2 in Montargull camelina produced higher oil content. The implementation of camelina into Mediterranean dryland crop rotation systems is feasible. Considering the importance of moisture in these climatic conditions, the use of no-till practices is recommended in dryland fields to avoid excessive water loss, while the use of camelina in irrigated fields could be explored. However, more long-term agronomic and industrial research is still needed.

Dynamics of living income for coffee farming households in agricultural area development policy: Socio-spatial integration

A decent income is an important part of overcoming economic disparities in agricultural development, especially in developing countries where most of the population are small farmers. As a developing country, Indonesia has also established a decent standard of living by setting a minimum wage as a reference for a decent income at the national and regional levels. However, this benchmark is not relevant to be applied uniformly at all levels of workers. This research determines the national coffee development area as the study center. We developed the Anker living wage methodology as a simple concept for determining living income for certain worker communities, especially for small farmers in rural areas who dominate the type of work in Indonesia. a socio-spatial approach is used to visualize the distribution of the dynamics of a decent life in various conditions of farming households. We found that 96.6% of coffee farming households in the national coffee development area had an inadequate living income, and only 3.4% were at an adequate level. We conclude that the current state of agricultural land management does not guarantee a decent income, even though efforts have been made to maximize agricultural crop productivity. The spatial description also shows that this condition is evenly distributed throughout residential areas. It is hoped that this approach can become an essential reference in implementing agricultural development programs that focus on welfare and equitable development as benchmarks for sustainable development goals in the future.

Youth Engagement in Transforming the Food System to Address Malnutrition in the Philippines

Unless the Philippine food system is made more resilient, the aspirations of AmBisyon Natin 2040 will remain elusive, hindering the country’s ability to achieve inclusive growth, eradicate poverty, and ensure the well-being of all Filipinos. Focused on the youth, this paper brings together three related issues: (1) how can the youth be encouraged to devote their careers to agriculture? (2) How do poor quality diets compromise the cognitive abilities of young people? and (3) How can nutrition concerns be incorporated into agricultural policies? Early exposure to agricultural concepts can inspire young people to pursue careers in agriculture, ensuring a steady influx of leaders and professionals equipped to tackle the challenges within the food system. This approach not only secures the future of the agriculture sector but also promotes innovation and resilience in food production and distribution. One in two preschoolers in the lowest wealth quintile in the Philippines are stunted, while only one in eight in the highest wealth quintile are stunted. Children who are stunted are not reaching the full potential of their cognitive development. The dietary quality of mothers before pregnancy, during pregnancy, and during breastfeeding improves markedly with income and so is associated with the better heights of their children. In the long term, agricultural productivity must be improved with a particular focus on increasing the incomes of the poor. Increasing household income is the most sustainable way to improve dietary quality. In the shorter term, there are two broad strategies to link Philippine agriculture to nutrition by adding more minerals and vitamins to the food supply: (1) by increasing the density of minerals and vitamins in food staples, a strategy referred to as “biofortification,” and (2) by lowering the prices of nutritious nonstaple food such as vegetables, fruits, pulses, fish, and meat through improved productivity that results in rapid supply increases.

The Microeconomics of Agricultural Development: Risk, Institutions, and Agricultural Policy

Assertions of pervasive inefficiency in the behavior and organization of developing agriculture are found to be based on unsound methodologies. Models apparently based on expected utility theory are theoretically flawed and use highly restrictive assumptions that make them largely irrelevant for explaining actual decisions. When a more appropriate model is applied to the case of the green revolution in the Philippines, the hypothesis that loss aversion impedes adoption of new technology is rejected. Common assertions about the inefficiency of agricultural institutions are also found wanting. The risk-bearing theory of share-tenancy, which is thought to imply inefficiency, cannot explain observed tenant shares. Once the disadvantages of fixed-lease contracts are recognized, sharing is plausibly second-best efficient. The purported inefficiency implied by the inverse relationship between farm size and yield per hectare also dissipates once the endogeneity of farm size is accounted for.

Are Governmental Policies an Effective Way to Reduce Agricultural Carbon Emissions? An Empirical Study of Shandong in Main Grain Producing Areas of China

In the context of global and national carbon reduction targets, agricultural carbon emissions have become a critical focus. As global food demand increases, numerous agricultural policies have been implemented. Faced with limited policy resources, evaluating the impact of these policies on agricultural carbon emissions and production is essential. This study examined the relationship between food production and agricultural carbon emissions during the stage of agricultural development in Shandong Province, one of China’s major grain-producing regions, using the decoupling model. Additionally, the coupled coordination model was employed to assess the specific influence of agricultural policy clusters on this transformation. The results indicate that Shandong is transitioning from high-input, extensive farming to green, low-carbon, modern agriculture, with most cities shifting from strong negative decoupling to strong decoupling. Over time, the role of agricultural policies in driving this shift has grown more significant. Future policymaking should prioritize the overall quality of agricultural producers and maintain a continuous focus on sustainable, green development. Ensuring that policy directions align with evolving stages of agricultural development and adjusting them in real-time will be crucial.

Applications of remote sensing technology in agriculture: A review of contributions to food security challenges and strategies in developing countries

In the agricultural sphere, particularly in developing countries where food security is still a major concern, remote sensing technology has also surfaced as an important tool. In this review, the usages of remote sensing in agricultural areas and its contributions to food security are surveyed; The overall framework is illustrated dynamically by indicating available image platforms that were instrumental for agriculture application paradigms. This research identifies certain areas where some selected case studies and existing literature are reviewed to serve as proof that remote sensing technology has been tremendously impactful. Areas like crop monitoring, yield prediction, or natural resource management have been very well reported by the literature review process adopted. This field analysis of related studies used highly sophisticated RS sensor data. The challenges like data availability, technological limitations, and socio-economic factors have been discussed besides the strategies, for instance, capacity building, policy interventions, and prospects for technological advancements. These results underscore the vitality and adoption of remote sensing technologies in agricultural practices and policies which is the key driver of improved food security in developing countries.

Declining interest in afforestation under the common agricultural policy. Evidence from Poland and Lithuania

Land afforestation is an important aspect of forested land development. Increasing the area of forest areas through the reforestation of uncultivated, abandoned or agriculturally unsuitable land is considered an important way to diversify economic activities in order to reduce dependence on agricultural activities and improve environmental conditions in rural areas. The main objective of the study is to identify the factors affecting the afforestation of agricultural land carried out in the years 2004–2020 by farmers under the individual financial perspectives of the Rural Development Programme (RDP) in Poland and Lithuania. The study included a review of Polish and Lithuanian regulations aimed at providing financial support for afforestation under the RDP. Moreover, a comparative analysis of the rules and criteria for financial support for afforestation in relation to selected socio-economic indicators of the two countries was carried out. Based on the study results, it can be clearly stated that in both Poland and Lithuania, the support for afforestation under the RDP fails to meet the beneficiaries’ expectations. It would, therefore, be advisable to adapt the Programme to the changing economic conditions and keep the afforested land under the RDP under technical supervision. Support for afforestation should be continued to ensure the improvement in land use and the enhancement of the prospects for long-term economic activity in rural areas as well as to implement the assumptions of the green economy.

No evidence of a rural‐urban divide in prioritizing agricultural policy goals

AbstractRural‐urban divides have been found in various policy fields, but it remains unclear if they exist in agricultural policy. We analyzed the policy preferences of 1542 Swiss respondents, ranging from very rural to very urban. Respondents prioritized different pairs of conflicting goals, that is, two economic goals versus four conflicting agri‐environmental goals. We find no evidence of a rural‐urban divide in the prioritization of agricultural policy goals. Respondents prioritize economic goals over environmental goals. Efforts to make agriculture more environmentally sustainable do not per se create a rural‐urban divide, but policies should focus on reducing trade‐offs between economic and environmental goals.

Communication of EU agricultural antibiotic use policies to farmers & implications for public health

Abstract Background It is estimated that by 2050, ten million people will die each year from antimicrobial resistant infections. AMR is driven by the improper use of antimicrobials, particularly in agriculture. 73% of the antimicrobials sold globally are used in food-producing animals. Problem EU regulations 2019/6 and 2019/4 on veterinary medications and medicated feed require behavior change by farmers to reduce their antimicrobial use. While this is welcomed by public health professionals, the response of the farming community is more complicated, as these regulations exist within the complex context of the global food system and current political unrest between farmers and the EU. Given the influential role of agricultural media for farmers’ decision making, it is critical to understand how AMR and associated public health and EU policies are being communicated to farmers and how the views of specific stakeholders including farmer representative organizations, veterinary bodies and government regulators are being represented. To examine this problem, a case study content analysis of three major agricultural newspapers in Ireland is undertaken. Results Preliminary results suggest that AMR and AMU have been covered in the agricultural media with specific coverage on these EU policies. This includes negative coverage, with key terms such as “threatens”, “risk”, or “warns”, as well as potentially positive views (e.g. “hope”). Preliminary results also suggest that the agricultural media might be a useful source to identify the farming community’s concerns and reactions to EU policy, for example calls by farmer representative bodies for the national government to intervene. Lessons Public health professionals must recognize the important role of farmers in addressing AMR. Evaluating how EU policies on AMR are represented in the agricultural media can help to better understand how this public health issue and its solutions are being communicated to these important stakeholders. Key messages • Public health professionals must recognize the importance of animal health and the role of farmers in addressing the AMR problem. • It is critical to evaluate how EU policies on AMR and associated One Health issues are communicated to non-public health professionals.

Food poverty as a barrier for a healthy and climate-friendly nutrition in Austria

Abstract Background The food system plays a crucial role in promoting healthy and climate-friendly living. One fundamental aspect is accessibility. However, in Austria, there is a lack of systematic and regularly conducted studies on food system accessibility. To address this gap, a comprehensive study on food poverty has been conducted for the first time in Austria. Methods We used a mixed methods approach, combining expert workshops, a representative questionnaire survey (n = 2004) using the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES), and focus groups (n = 20) with affected individuals. Results Approximately 12 percent of people living in Austria are affected by moderate and/or severe food poverty. These individuals struggle to afford sufficient quantities and quality of food due to financial constraints or limited access in general. Over four percent experience severe food poverty, leading to skipped meals or even days without food. People affected by food poverty would like to focus more on healthy shopping and quality of food (prioritizing fresh food over cheap high-processed food). The biggest hurdles relate to a lack of financial resources, too little time and a lack of affordable (healthy and climate-friendly) options. Conclusions Food poverty is a phenomenon in Austria that has received little attention to date. Public discourse often attributes nutritional problems to information gaps or individual competence, neglecting the impact of structural conditions. Addressing food poverty requires holistic approaches that avoid stigmatization. Recognizing it as a social, health, climate, and agricultural policy concern necessitates robust monitoring and considering the social and environmental aspects of nutrition holistically.

How Can Land Use Management in Traditional Cultural Landscapes Become a Policy Instrument for Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration and Climate Change Mitigation? A Transylvanian Case Study

Changes in land use from high-nature-value grasslands to arable fields reduce the organic carbon stock in soil, increasing atmospheric carbon concentrations. Maintaining grasslands through traditional agricultural techniques can mitigate climate change by transferring atmospheric carbon to the soil. Benefits of soil organic carbon sequestration include improved soil properties and enhanced ecosystem services and biodiversity. With Romania’s ratification of the Paris Agreement, it is crucial to review climate-related agricultural policies and incentivize carbon sequestration practices in organic soils. This paper presents a soil carbon study in Transylvania’s Târnava Mare region, Romania, known for its preserved cultural landscapes. Soil samples were taken at a depth of 60 cm to assess organic carbon pools under grassland and arable land management across three soil classes: Cernisoils, Hidrisoils, and Luvisoils. Several statistical tests were applied to evaluate the most significant drivers of soil organic carbon sequestration including land use, soil class, and soil depth. The results indicate that land management has the largest impact, with grasslands storing 45% more carbon than arable land on average. This finding should be integrated into national climate action plans, prioritizing the preservation of grasslands and sustainable agricultural practices to support soil organic carbon sequestration.

MSMTRIU-Net: Deep Learning-Based Method for Identifying Rice Cultivation Areas Using Multi-Source and Multi-Temporal Remote Sensing Images

Identifying rice cultivation areas in a timely and accurate manner holds great significance in comprehending the overall distribution pattern of rice and formulating agricultural policies. The remote sensing observation technique provides a convenient means to monitor the distribution of rice cultivation areas on a large scale. Single-source or single-temporal remote sensing images are often used in many studies, which makes the information of rice in different types of images and different growth stages hard to be utilized, leading to unsatisfactory identification results. This paper presents a rice cultivation area identification method based on a deep learning model using multi-source and multi-temporal remote sensing images. Specifically, a U-Net based model is employed to identify the rice planting areas using both the Landsat-8 optical dataset and Sentinel-1 Polarimetric Synthetic Aperture Radar (PolSAR) dataset; to take full into account of the spectral reflectance traits and polarimetric scattering traits of rice in different periods, multiple image features from multi-temporal Landsat-8 and Sentinel-1 images are fed into the network to train the model. The experimental results on China’s Sanjiang Plain demonstrate the high classification precisions of the proposed Multi-Source and Multi-Temporal Rice Identification U-Net (MSMTRIU-NET) and that inputting more information from multi-source and multi-temporal images into the network can indeed improve the classification performance; further, the classification map exhibits greater continuity, and the demarcations between rice cultivation regions and surrounding environments reflect reality more accurately.

Same goal, different measures: Obscure transformation in Japan's food security policy (1970–2020)

AbstractFor decades, the Japanese Ministry of Agriculture has implemented various measures to ensure a stable food supply, considering food security a top priority due to the increasing uncertainty of the global economy. However, the ministry's food security policy has evolved substantially with a disproportionate focus on the domestic production of specific food products. This policy change occurred without being widely recognized by the public, media, or intellectuals. Why has the Agricultural Ministry's policy changed even though its goal has remained the same? By applying both qualitative and quantitative research methods, we investigated the context behind this obscure policy transition. Our findings reveal that, contrary to conventional understanding, this policy shift occurred not so much due to political pressure from the agricultural sector, but mainly because of a change in the definition of a key policy concept (i.e., the food self‐sufficiency rate) in the late 1980s.

Assessing the initial impact of the Russian invasion on Ukrainian agriculture: Challenges, policy responses, and future prospects

The war in Ukraine has caused significant losses to the Ukrainian agricultural sector and threatened global food security. This study aims to comprehensively analyse the impact of the Russian invasion on Ukrainian agriculture in its initial phase, examine the responses of Ukrainian agricultural policy and outline key elements for the post-war development of the Ukrainian agricultural sector. Using a systematic approach that includes thorough data collection and analysis from official sources, the Ukrainian press, relevant legislation and statistical data, our study focuses on the first five months of the conflict, from February 24, 2022 to July 24, 2022, to identify the main challenges during this period. The agricultural policy analysis shows that the Ukrainian government has adopted a reactive approach, including tax simplification, affordable credit, deregulation, financial support for the agricultural sector, reduced prices for inputs and resources to support farmers, and improvements in logistics. Critical factors identified for post-war development include repatriation and agricultural education, support for small and medium-sized farms, integration into global markets, emphasis on organic practices and sustainable development, and digitalization in agriculture. The integration of a systematic overview of the Ukrainian agricultural sector and an analysis of key elements of post-war development provides essential insights for policy-makers and researchers concerned with the impact of war on the agricultural sector and food security.

Effects of Rainfall Variability on Maize Production in Migori County, Kenya

Maize is the main staple food crop in Kenya and is of vital concern to agricultural policy decisions, food security, and the overall development of the sector and the economy. It is also the dominant staple food crop in Migori-County. However, there has been a declining trend in maize production among farmers in the study area threatening household food security. This study was conducted in Migori County using cross sectional survey research design. A sample size of 384 households was selected through stratified and systematic sampling techniques though just 310 households accepted to be interviewed. Data was collected using a structured questionnaire. Validated secondary weather data for the period 2011-2023 was obtained from the Migori Meteorological Station. The collected data was entered into SPSS software, version 20, and analysed using both descriptive and inferential statistical methods. The results indicated that 60% of households have an adequate food supply, while 40% face food shortages. Further, there was a strong positive and significant relationship between maize production (yield) and annual weather conditions from 2018 to 2023 (r = 0.845, p = 0.05). This indicates that changes in weather patterns, such as rainfall and temperature, had a significant influence on maize yields during the study period. Hence, farmers should be encouraged to use income from cash crops to purchase food stocks and engage in non-farm activities as alternative income sources to mitigate the effects of rainfall variability and climate change on food security.