Mortality Factors Research Articles

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of bloodstream infections with carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative organisms in patients with hematological malignancies: a multicenter case-control study in China

ObjectiveTo investigate clinical characteristics of hematological malignancy (HM) patients with carbapenem-resistant gram-negative organism (CRO) bloodstream infections (BSI) in China, and to elucidate the prognostic risk factors of CRO BSI. MethodsWe conducted a multicenter case-control study of 201 HM patients with CRO BSI between 2018-2020. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing and whole genome sequencing were performed for CRO isolates. Independent risk factors for 28-day crude mortality of were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. The subgroups of major species were also evaluated. ResultsThe pathogens responsible for CRO BSI in HM patients dominated by ST11 CRKP, ST167 CREC and ST463 CRPA. Most isolates produced carbapenemases with KPC and NDM being the main. CRO isolates had resistance rates to conventional antimicrobials ranging from 55%-100% and poor susceptibility to novel antimicrobials related to carbapenemases and species. The 28-day crude mortality was 24.2%. Non-Hodgkin lymphoma, heart disease, blaKPC-2 positive, empirical antibiotic therapy with linezolid, Pitt bacteremia score >3.5 were risk factors for 28-day mortality and appropriate definitive antibiotic therapy, tigecycline-containing therapy and aminoglycoside-containing therapy were protective factors. blaKPC-2 positive in CRKP and ST463 in CRPA were associated with Pitt bacteremia score > 3.5. Solid tumor and other site infections before BSI were risk factors for ST463 CRPA BSI and Pulmonary infection before BSI was risk factor for KPC-KP BSI. ConclusionsThe antimicrobial resistance of CRO isolates for BSI in HM patients is critical. HM patients with CRO BSI should be treated with appropriate definitive antibiotic therapy based on early clarification of pathology and their antimicrobial susceptibility.

Optic nerve sheath diameters predict mortality and severity in hepatic encephalopathy.

The aim of this study was to compare the predictive power of optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) measured by brain computed tomography (CT) in patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in the emergency department, with other factors for mortality and disease severity. A total of 217 patients aged 18 years and older with acute decompensation of cirrhosis diagnosed with HE in the emergency department were included in the study. To compare with patients diagnosed with HE, a total of 217 individuals were included in the study as the healthy control group. ONSD measurements were performed on both the HE patients and the healthy control group in the brain CT. The mortality rate of HE patients was 32.7%. Regarding the severity of the disease, 53% of the patients had late-stage HE. The presence of acute-on-chronic liver failure was detected in 51.4% of patients. The mortality rate among acute-on-chronic liver failure patients was 56.6%. According to the study data, ONSD, creatinine, lactate, and procalcitonin were independent predictors of mortality. Meanwhile, Child-Pugh score, direct bilirubin, ONSD, ammonia, and total bilirubin were independent predictors of disease severity. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the ONSD had the highest predictive power for mortality and disease severity among the determined predictive values. The data from the study suggests that assessing the ONSD through brain CT scans in individuals diagnosed with HE in the emergency department may provide valuable insights for clinicians, aiding in the prediction of both mortality rates and the severity of the disease.

Clinical Presentation and Prognosis of Infective Endocarditis Prosthesis: A Retrospective Study in a Tertiary Cardiology Center

Introduction: Prosthetic valve endocarditis (PVE) is a serious infection involving the prosthetic heart valve and the endocardium. It carries high morbidity and mortality, especially in patients with mechanical valves. Aim of the Study: To investigate the clinical, biological, bacteriological, and echocardiographic characteristics of patients with prosthetic valve endocarditis and identify the predictive factors of in-hospital mortality. Patients and Methods: This retrospective, descriptive study was conducted over a period of 5 years, from June 2020 to July 2024, and included 82 cases of PVE diagnosed at a tertiary cardiology center. Results: A total of 82 patients were included, with an average age of 39.12 ± 5.6 years. All patients had mechanical valves, with the infection localized to the mitral valve in 53 cases and the aortic valve in 29 cases. Positive blood cultures were obtained in 36 patients, and Staphylococcus aureus was the most common pathogen, isolated in 26 cases (31.7%), followed by coagulase-negative Staphylococcus in 18 cases (21.95%). Transthoracic and transesophageal echocardiography revealed vegetations in 75 patients (91%), with prosthesis disinsertion in 27 cases and periprosthetic abscesses in 15 cases. The most common complications included heart failure in 17 patients, embolic events in 46 patients, and renal failure in 15 patients. Antibiotic therapy was administered to all patients, with a total average duration of 39.26 days. Surgery was indicated in 62 patients, with an average surgery delay of 42 ± 2 days. The main surgical indications were uncontrolled heart failure (32 cases), embolic complications (17 cases), and failure to control infection with antibiotics (13 cases). The overall mortality rate was 26%. Predictive factors of mortality included heart failure, delayed surgery, and early-onset PVE. Conclusion: Prosthetic valve endocarditis remains a challenging and life-threatening condition. Prompt diagnosis, appropriate antibiotic therapy, and timely surgical intervention are essential for improving patient outcomes. Mortality is influenced by multiple factors, including the timing of the infection and the presence of comorbid conditions.

Is MetALD an independent risk factor of all-cause mortality? A meta-analysis of 164,694 individuals from the real world

Is MetALD an independent risk factor of all-cause mortality? A meta-analysis of 164,694 individuals from the real world

Outcomes of Donation After Circulatory Death (DCD) and Ex-Vivo Lung Perfusion (EVLP) Lung Transplantation

BackgroundDonation after circulatory death (DCD) and ex-vivo lung perfusion (EVLP) have been adopted to expand the donor pool in lung transplantation, but outcomes data have been conflicting. This study explores mid-term outcomes of DCD lung transplantation in the modern era, with a focus on EVLP and risk factors for graft failure. MethodsThe United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database was queried for adult lung transplants from 1/1/2015 to 3/1/2023. Loss to follow-up, multiorgan and prior lung transplants were excluded. DCD vs DBD (donation after brain death) lung transplants were compared, with subgroup analysis +/- EVLP. Outcomes were survival and postoperative complications. Overall survival was analyzed separately for an early era (2015-2018) and modern era (2019-2023). ResultsThe study included 1103 DCD (221 with EVLP, and 882 without) and 17973 donation after brain death (DBD) lung transplants (524 with EVLP, and 17449 without). Median follow-up was 3 years. DCD donors were less likely to be CDC high risk (19.3% vs 24.1%, p<0.001), have purulence on bronchoscopy (13.3% vs 18.3%, p<0.001) or infiltrates on chest x-ray (66.7% vs 67.8%, p=0.013). EVLP was more likely to be used for DCD transplants (20.0% vs 2.9%, p<0.001).After transplant, DCD recipients were more likely to be reintubated (24.3% vs 18.5%, p<0.001) and require ECMO within 72 hours (14.9% vs 7.8%, p<0.001), and DCD donation was an independent risk factor for these complications on multivariable logistic regression. Overall survival did not differ significantly between DCD and DBD transplants on adjusted survival analysis in the early or modern era (p=0.774 and p=0.468 respectively). On multivariable Cox regression, DCD and EVLP were not independent risk factors for mortality.On subgroup analysis, the DCD+EVLP cohort had significantly worse survival in the modern era, which remained significant after adjusting for donor and recipient factors (p=0.005). EVLP was an independent risk factor for graft failure in the DCD cohort (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.00-1.77, p=0.047), but did not significantly affect DBD graft survival (p=0.870). Risk factors for graft failure and mortality in the DCD+EVLP cohort included pulmonary hypertension (HR 77.5, 95% CI 6.15-979, p<0.001), transfusion prior to transplant (HR 2.60, 95% CI 1.07-6.31, p=0.035), elevated creatinine (HR 2.82, 95% CI 1.34-5.90, p=0.006), and higher allocation score (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.04, p=0.017) ConclusionStudy findings suggest increased risks of mortality and perioperative complications following transplantation with DCD lungs that have undergone EVLP. DCD lung transplantation without EVLP confers equivalent survival but with some increase in perioperative complications. Further investigation and careful recipient selection is warranted to optimize the use of these extended criteria donors in the modern era.

Invasive candidiasis in a pediatric tertiary hospital: Epidemiology, antifungal susceptibility, and mortality rates.

Invasive infections caused by non-albicans Candida are increasing worldwide. However, there is still a lack of information on invasive candidiasis (IC) in the pediatric setting, including susceptibility profiles and clonal studies. We investigated the clinical, epidemiologic, and laboratory characteristics of IC, possible changes in antifungal susceptibility profiles over time, and the occurrence of clonality in our tertiary children's hospital. We analyzed 123 non-duplicate Candida isolates from sterile sites of pediatric patients in a tertiary hospital in southern Brazil, between 2016 and 2021. Data on demographics, comorbidities, and clinical outcomes were collected. Candida species distribution, antifungal susceptibility profiles, biofilm production, and molecular epidemiology of isolates were assessed using reference methods. The range of IC incidence was 0.88-1.55 cases/1000 hospitalized patients/year, and the IC-related mortality rate was 20.3%. Of the total IC cases, 42.3% were in patients aged<13 months. Mechanical ventilation, parenteral nutrition, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were common in this group. In addition, ICU admission was identified as a risk factor for IC-related mortality. The main site of Candida spp. isolation was blood, and non-albicans Candida species were predominant (70.8%). No significant clonal spread was observed among isolates of the three most commonly isolated species, and 99.1% of all isolates were biofilm producers. Non-albicans Candida species were predominant in this study. Notably, clonal expansion and emergence of antifungal drug resistance were not observed in our pediatric setting.

Social isolation promotes tumor immune evasion via β2-adrenergic receptor

Social isolation is a recognized risk factor for tumor initiation and mortality, but the role and mechanisms responsible for social isolation on tumor progression are poorly understood. In this study, we found that social isolation contributed to accelerated tumor growth and induced a remodeling of the tumor immune microenvironment, resulting in immunosuppression. Mechanistically, social isolation triggered the activation of the sympathetic nervous system, leading to impaired CD8+ T cell antitumor immune responses by activating β-adrenergic receptor 2 (β2-AR), which highly expressed on tumor-infiltrating CD8+ T cells. Pharmacological inhibition of β2-AR signaling effectively enhanced CD8+ T cell anti-tumor immune responses and improved the efficacy of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy in the context of social isolation. Thus, our study uncovers a mechanism through which social isolation induces tumor immune evasion and offers potential directions for cancer immunotherapy in socially isolated patients.

Clinical Characteristics and Early Surgical Outcomes of Aortoesophageal Fistula

BackgroundThe incidence and prognosis of aortoesophageal fistula (AEF) has not been clarified. The clinical characteristics and surgical outcomes of AEF were investigated. MethodsThe clinical data of patients who underwent surgical treatment of AEF from January 2020 to December 2021 that were registered in the Japan Cardiovascular Surgery Database (JCVSD) were analyzed. ResultsDuring the period, 123 patients (aged 71.0 years [interquartile range, 61.0-78.0 years]; 76.4% men) underwent surgical treatment of AEF. The prevalence of secondary AEF was 61%. Secondary AEF after aortic grafting was the most frequent (n = 40 [32.5%]), followed by AEF after thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR; n = 30 [24.4%]). Operative mortality occurred in 23 patients (18.7%). TEVAR for AEF (P = .019). Univariable logistic regression analyses showed postoperative bleeding (P = .047), stroke (P = .004), renal failure (P < .001), newly required hemodialysis (P = .023), pneumonia (P = .003), multisystem failure (P < .001), and dyslipidemia (P = .02) were associated with risk factors of operative mortality after surgical treatment of AEF. ConclusionsThis nationwide study on the surgical treatment of AEF demonstrated a higher incidence of secondary AEF than primary AEF. Open surgical repair and TEVAR for AEF were both associated with high operative mortality. TEVAR and dyslipidemia were risk factors for operative mortality. Precautions and further improved treatment strategies for AEF are still required.

Chloride Variation as an Independent Risk Factor for AKI Development and In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Rhabdomyolysis

Chloride Variation as an Independent Risk Factor for AKI Development and In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Rhabdomyolysis

Application of Multiplex Immunoassay in Aging Research: A Methodological Approach.

One of the characteristics of aging and age-related disorders is the formation and evolution of a chronic, low-grade, and hence subclinical, inflammatory state known as inflammaging. Although the progression of inflammaging is now recognized as one of the main driving forces of aging and one of the main risk factors for morbidity and mortality in older subjects, current knowledge on the causative agents of inflammaging itself and chronic, aging-related diseases is still incomplete. In this chapter, we offer a methodological approach for assessing inflammation associated with aging through the use of multiplex immunoassay, which enables the rapid, reproducible, and simultaneous dosage of several cytokines, chemokines, and inflammatory mediators with little biological sample usage.

The association between the aggregate index of systemic inflammation and cardiovascular risk in peritoneal dialysis patients

Background and AimThe aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI), a novel inflammatory biomarker, is associated with various diseases. However, its association with cardiovascular risk in patients treated with peritoneal dialysis (PD) remains unclear. This study aims to explore the relationship between AISI and cardiovascular risk in this high-risk population, providing new insights for risk stratification and guiding clinical decision-making. Methods and ResultsThis retrospective study enrolled 316 patients who underwent PD catheter insertion at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between January 1, 2010, and July 31, 2022. The optimal cut-off value of AISI for predicting cardiovascular events (CVE) was 213.58 using ROC curve analysis. Based on this cut-off value, patients were classified into high and low AISI groups. During a median follow-up of 39 (22, 66) months, 110 patients (34.8%) developed CVE, and 37 patients (11.7%) experienced cardiovascular mortality. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the cumulative incidence of CVE (P<0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (P=0.002) were significantly higher in the high AISI group. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, a higher AISI remained an independent risk factor for both CVE (hazard ratio: 2.052; 95% CI: 1.330-3.164; P=0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio: 2.651; 95% CI: 1.088-6.455; P=0.032) in patients treated with PD. Subgroup analyses showed no significant interactions between AISI and the subgroup variables (P for interaction > 0.05). ConclusionsAISI is independently associated with an increased risk of CVE and cardiovascular mortality in patients treated with PD. AISI may have significant implications for clinical practice.

Exploring Public, Practitioner and Policymaker Perspectives of Unhealthy Lifestyle Factors in the Context of Socioeconomic Deprivation: A Qualitative Study.

Unhealthy lifestyle factors, such as smoking, high alcohol intake, poor diet and physical inactivity, are key risk factors for premature mortality. How unhealthy lifestyle factors are viewed in the wider context of socioeconomic deprivation is rarely considered. Understanding key stakeholder views on lifestyle factors in the context of deprivation is critical to intervention development and reducing harm in more deprived populations. The aim of this study was to explore public, healthcare professional and policymaker views around unhealthy lifestyle factors in the context of deprivation. The aim was broad to facilitate iterative development of ideas, as the views of this wide range of stakeholders are rarely captured. Twenty-five adult members of the public in Scotland took part in four focus groups between August 2022 and June 2023. Eighteen semi-structured interviews were conducted with professionals: 12 primary-care practitioners and 6 public-health practitioners and policymakers. Reflexive thematic analysis was undertaken. Four main themes were developed: (1) Evolving complexity of lifestyle factors - the number of lifestyle factors that adversely impact health has grown, with increasingly complex interactions, (2) Social determinants of lifestyle - numerous links were made between socioeconomic conditions and unhealthy lifestyle factors by all participants, (3) Poverty as a fundamental social determinant - poverty was identified as a core factor for unhealthy lifestyle factors, and (4) Agency versus structure in relation to lifestyle - individual agency to address lifestyle factors was limited by structural constraints. Among professionals, understanding the challenging social determinants of unhealthy lifestyle factors was countered by a desire to support healthy change in those affected by deprivation. Public and professional views around lifestyle highlight an evolving understanding of the new and growing number of lifestyle factors as well as the increasingly complex interplay between lifestyle factors. Views of the social determinants of lifestyle and structural limits to agency strengthen arguments for reduced emphasis on individual-level responsibility for unhealthy lifestyle factors and for deeper integration of social determinants into lifestyle interventions. In addition to addressing poverty and socioeconomic inequalities directly, innovative policy, planning and legislation that incorporate wider approaches could tackle upstream determinants of numerous unhealthy lifestyle factors simultaneously. Members of the public who participated in this study have made contributions by sharing their views and perspectives. The National Health Service Research Scotland Primary Care Patient and Public Involvement (NRS PPI) Group contributed to the development of this work. The NRS PPI Group was consulted as part of the preparatory work for H. M. E. F.'s doctoral thesis funding application. The findings of the qualitative work were presented to them, and they informed the interpretation of those findings and related work presented at conferences and public engagement events.

Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus infection and its association with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general adults: A prospective cohort study.

To investigate the association between Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus (KSHV)/human herpesvirus 8 (HHV8) infection and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a representative cohort of US adults, data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III (NHANES III; 1988‒1994) were analyzed, including 13,993 participants aged 18‒90 years who underwent KSHV serology evaluations. Mortality outcomes were ascertained through December 2019 using the National Death Index. Cox proportional hazards models were employed to examine the association between KSHV seropositivity and mortality, adjusting for potential confounders such as age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index, and serum TG. Over a median follow-up period of 26.5 years, 5503 deaths were recorded. KSHV seropositivity was associated with an increased hazard of all-cause mortality (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.32, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.03‒1.69) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.00‒2.50) after adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, and body mass index. Notably, the association between KSHV infection and all-cause mortality persisted among women (HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.02‒1.72) after adjusting for all confounders, whereas the association with cardiovascular mortality was only statistically significant for men (HR: 1.90, 95% CI: 1.02, 3.53).KSHV infection may represent an independent risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among US adults. These findings highlight the need for further research to validate these associations in independent populations and to elucidate the biological mechanisms underlying the observed increased mortality associated with KSHV infection.

Risk Factors for COVID-19 Mortality in Epidemic Treatment Centers: A Case-Control Study from Decentralized Regions of Senegal

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic is an emerging viral zoonosis caused by SARS-CoV2. It is responsible for a systemic infection in humans, primarily respiratory. In Senegal, the Thiès Region confirmed its first case on March 14, 2020. The second epidemic wave occurring in 2021 was marked by high fatality, justifying our study on the factors associated with deaths among COVID-19 patients hospitalized at the Epidemic Treatment Centers (CTE) of the Regional Health Directorate of Thiès (Senegal). Patients and Methods: Unmatched case-control study, 1 case to 2 controls, relating to COVID-19 deaths recorded in the Thiès Regional Health Directorate from January 1 to December 31, 2021. All patients who tested positive for COVID-19 (PCR/Antigenic test) hospitalized in CTEs were included. All confirmed COVID-19 patients who died were referred to as “cases,” and all recovered patients as “controls.” The sampling of deaths was exhaustive, standardized sociodemographic, clinical, therapeutic and evolutionary data collected from patient files after a pilot trial with quality control. The data was entered on kobo collect and analyzed on Epi info7. Quantitative variables (mean, standard deviation) and qualitative variables (proportions. Measures: odds ratio, chi2 or Fisher exact test, significance threshold set at p&lt;0.05) were used. Results: A total of 348 patients were recruited in this study including 116 deaths and 232 recovered, the average age was 68.9 years +/- 14.24 for the deceased patients compared to 61.5 +/- 14.24 for the recovered, with male predominance in both groups. The most common clinical signs (cases/controls) were dyspnea (98.3/84.49%), fever (71.5/68.1%), asthenia (57.8/65.4%). and cough (52.6/58.1%). Complications were dominated by acute respiratory distress (87.9/3.8%), (11.2%/0.4%) and pulmonary embolism (03.5/0%). The factors associated with deaths found after multivariate analysis by logistic regression were male sex (OR: 4.11, 95% CI : 1.45 – 11.61 and p = 0.0076), patients aged over 60 years (OR=1.77, 95% CI: 1.0018-3.1438, p=0.049), complications such as stroke (OR=31.00; 95% CI: 5.69-168.73 and p=0 .0001), shock (OR22.61; 95% CI: 1.44-353.67 and p=0.026) and acute respiratory distress syndrome (OR: 204.09 95% CI : 70.44-591.30 and p = 0.000). Conclusion: The factors associated with COVID-19 deaths in the CTEs of Thiès Region are age, male gender, the presence of complications; stroke in particular, the state of Shock and ARDS.

Perioperative mortality of caesarean section in North-West Ethiopia: a prospective cohort study

ObjectiveThis study aimed to assess 7-day perioperative maternal mortality and risk factors at Tibebe Ghion Specialized Hospital.DesignA single-centre prospective cohort study.SettingA tertiary hospital in North-West Ethiopia, 01 June 2019 to...

HLA Genetic Variants in COVID-19 Susceptibility: Assessing Diversity in Indian and Global Populations

Background: The rapid spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus has had a global impact on various ethnic groups. In order to assess the genetic predisposition of the Indian population towards COVID-19, a comparative analysis was conducted using the Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) to investigate the frequencies of polymorphisms directly or potentially associated with COVID-19 susceptibility, severity, immune response, and fatal outcomes in comparison to other major populations. Objectives: The objective of this study is to evaluate the genetic predisposition of the Indian population to COVID-19 by analyzing the frequencies and associations of Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) polymorphisms. In addition, by delineating the role of specific HLA variants in the Indian context, the study seeks to enhance our understanding of genetic factors influencing COVID-19 impact and contribute to personalized approaches for disease management and prevention across diverse ethnic groups. Methods: We collected allelic information for DRB1 gene from 653 populations globally, as documented in The Allele Frequency Net Database (AFND). Data on COVID-19 susceptibility, severity, mortality, and protective factors were obtained from a previous global study. This study aimed to compare the specific frequencies of HLA-DRB1* in different ethnic groups, including other Indian populations with COVID-19-associated alleles and protective factors. Results: HLA-DRB1*01 was identified as a significant determinant of COVID-19 susceptibility among patients in 28 states of Mexico, whereas DRB1*08 in Saudi Arabian populations, DRB1*09:01 in Japanese populations, and DRB1*15:01 in Italian populations also showed this association. Likewise, DRB1*04 in the Iranian population played a role in disease severity, and DRB1*08 in the Italian population was associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients. In addition, alleles DRB1*01:01 and DRB1*04:01 were found to exhibit a protective role in Northeast England, whereas DRB1*04 demonstrated protective effects in Saudi Arabian populations. Conclusion: The involvement of HLA in COVID-19 requires further investigation, and epidemiological studies should focus on HLA profiles as determinants of the host immune system. Prolonged homozygosity in particular genomic regions could potentially increase susceptibility to COVID-19 infection. Therefore, prudent management strategies are recommended for this pandemic in isolated communities in India and worldwide.

P4.17D.03 Analysis of Lung Cancer Mortality Trends and Factors Impacting Years of Life Lost: A 20-Year Hospital-Based Cohort Study in São Paulo, Brazil.

P4.17D.03 Analysis of Lung Cancer Mortality Trends and Factors Impacting Years of Life Lost: A 20-Year Hospital-Based Cohort Study in São Paulo, Brazil.

The Impact of Anemia on Long-Term Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Anemia is a risk factor for mortality within the general population and is notably prevalent among individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Our objective was to investigate the impact of anemia on the long-term mortality risk of hospitalized COPD patients. Additionally, we aimed to identify the cause of mortality to assess whether it was different in relation to the presence of anemia. This was an observational retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of consecutive patients admitted because of COPD exacerbation. Clinical characteristics, the presence of anemia, months of survival and cause of death if occurred, were recorded. Patients were categorized into two groups: anemic (for women hemoglobin level < 12 g/dL and for men hemoglobin level < 13 g/dL) and non-anemic. Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. A total of 125 patients (20% women) were included in the study. Among them, 31 (25%) were identified as anemic, By the conclusion of the study, 59 patients (47%) had died: 27 out of 31 anemic patients (87%) and 32 out of 94 non-anemic patients (34%) (p<0.001). Anemia was a robust predictor of mortality one year after admission (adjusted hazard ratio HR; 5.20 [1.86-14.55]); three years after admission (HR 4.30 [2.03-9.10]), and at the study's termination (with a follow-up period ranging from a minimum of 38 months to a maximum of 56 months) (HR; 3.80 [1.96-7.38]). Mortality in the group of patients with anemia was of 27 individuals (87%) and 32 (34%) in patients without anemia (p<0.001). The causes of mortality in patients with or without anemia were similar. The detection of anemia upon admission for COPD exacerbation serves as a robust predictor of mortality in the subsequent years.

Effect of Early Levodopa Treatment on Mortality in People with Parkinson's Disease.

The ideal timing for initiating levodopa in newly diagnosed people with Parkinson's disease (PD) is uncertain due to limited data on the long-term effects of levodopa. The aim was to investigate whether early levodopa initiation postpones mortality (primary outcome), the requirement of device-aided therapies, and the incidence of PD-related complications, such as fall-induced injuries. Using nationwide claims data from Dutch hospitals (2012-2020), we grouped newly diagnosed PD individuals as "early initiators" (initiating levodopa within 2 years of diagnosis) or "nonearly initiators." We used the national death registry to assess mortality and health-care claims to assess PD-related complications and device-aided therapies. We used marginal structural models to compare mortality and device-aided therapy rates between groups, and a Poisson regression model to compare PD-related complication rates. Among 29,943 newly diagnosed PD individuals (mean age at diagnosis: 71.6, 38.5% female), there were 24,847 early and 5096 nonearly levodopa initiators. Over a median 4.25 years, 8109 (27.1%) died. The causal risk ratio for mortality was 1.04 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.19) for early versus nonearly initiators. The risk ratio of receiving any device-aided therapy was 3.19 (95% CI 2.56-5.80). No association was observed with incidence of PD-related complications (incidence rate ratio: 1.00, 95% CI 0.96-1.05). Early levodopa initiation in PD does neither postpone nor accelerate mortality or PD-related complications, nor does it precipitate earlier occurrence of PD-related complications or mortality. However, we cannot exclude that the results were influenced by residual confounding due to unmeasured risk factors of mortality.

Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Smoking is the leading behavioural risk factor for mortality globally, accounting for more than 175 million deaths and nearly 4·30 billion years of life lost (YLLs) from 1990 to 2021. The pace of decline in smoking prevalence has slowed in recent years for many countries, and although strategies have recently been proposed to achieve tobacco-free generations, none have been implemented to date. Assessing what could happen if current trends in smoking prevalence persist, and what could happen if additional smoking prevalence reductions occur, is important for communicating the effect of potential smoking policies. In this analysis, we use the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's Future Health Scenarios platform to forecast the effects of three smoking prevalence scenarios on all-cause and cause-specific YLLs and life expectancy at birth until 2050. YLLs were computed for each scenario using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 reference life table and forecasts of cause-specific mortality under each scenario. The reference scenario forecasts what could occur if past smoking prevalence and other risk factor trends continue, the Tobacco Smoking Elimination as of 2023 (Elimination-2023) scenario quantifies the maximum potential future health benefits from assuming zero percent smoking prevalence from 2023 onwards, whereas the Tobacco Smoking Elimination by 2050 (Elimination-2050) scenario provides estimates for countries considering policies to steadily reduce smoking prevalence to 5%. Together, these scenarios underscore the magnitude of health benefits that could be reached by 2050 if countries take decisive action to eliminate smoking. The 95% uncertainty interval (UI) of estimates is based on the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile of draws that were carried through the multistage computational framework. Global age-standardised smoking prevalence was estimated to be 28·5% (95% UI 27·9-29·1) among males and 5·96% (5·76-6·21) among females in 2022. In the reference scenario, smoking prevalence declined by 25·9% (25·2-26·6) among males, and 30·0% (26·1-32·1) among females from 2022 to 2050. Under this scenario, we forecast a cumulative 29·3 billion (95% UI 26·8-32·4) overall YLLs among males and 22·2 billion (20·1-24·6) YLLs among females over this period. Life expectancy at birth under this scenario would increase from 73·6 years (95% UI 72·8-74·4) in 2022 to 78·3 years (75·9-80·3) in 2050. Under our Elimination-2023 scenario, we forecast 2·04 billion (95% UI 1·90-2·21) fewer cumulative YLLs by 2050 compared with the reference scenario, and life expectancy at birth would increase to 77·6 years (95% UI 75·1-79·6) among males and 81·0 years (78·5-83·1) among females. Under our Elimination-2050 scenario, we forecast 735 million (675-808) and 141 million (131-154) cumulative YLLs would be avoided among males and females, respectively. Life expectancy in 2050 would increase to 77·1 years (95% UI 74·6-79·0) among males and 80·8 years (78·3-82·9) among females. Existing tobacco policies must be maintained if smoking prevalence is to continue to decline as forecast by the reference scenario. In addition, substantial smoking-attributable burden can be avoided by accelerating the pace of smoking elimination. Implementation of new tobacco control policies are crucial in avoiding additional smoking-attributable burden in the coming decades and to ensure that the gains won over the past three decades are not lost. Bloomberg Philanthropies and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.