Factors For Recurrence In Patients Research Articles

Long-term outcomes and predictors of recurrence in node-negative early stage breast cancer patients.

We evaluated the outcomes, and risk factors for recurrence in patients with early stage node-negative breast cancer in this study. Retrospective data analysis was done on patient treatment records from 1988 to 2018. The patient's demographic, clinical, pathological, and therapeutic characteristics were noted. To evaluate survival analysis and predictors of recurrence, we employed Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test. A total of 357 patients in all were enrolled in the research. At the time of diagnosis, the median age was 50 (with a range of 18-81). A total of 85.5% of patients had undergone a lumpectomy, while 14.5% had a mastectomy. 78.7% of patients had sentinel lymph node biopsy, and 21.3% had axillary lymph node dissection. In addition, the patients received adjuvant radiotherapy (88.7%), adjuvant endocrine therapy (82.1%), and adjuvant chemotherapy (48.5%). Recurrence of the tumor occurred in 31 (8.7%) patients (local recurrence 45.2% and metastatic disease 54.8%). Ten- and twenty-year recurrence-free survival rates were 92% and 77%. 19 (5.3%) patients had also developed contralateral breast cancer. Ten-year survival rates were 91.6%, and 20-year survival rates were 76.6%, respectively. Aged over 65years (p = 0.004), necrosis (p = 0.002), mitosis (p = 0.003), and nuclear pleomorphism (p = 0.049) were found as statistically significant factors for recurrence in univariate analysis. In the ROC analysis, the largest size of the tumor (over 1.45cm, p = 0.07) remained outside the statistical significance limit in terms of recurrence. Thirty-year outcomes in individuals with early stage, node-negative breast cancer were shown in this study. We found that the recurrence ratios between 10 and 20 years were more frequent than the first 10 years during the follow-up. Despite the small number of patients who experienced a recurrence, we demonstrated that, in univariate analysis, being older than 65 and having some pathological characteristics (nuclear pleomorphism, mitosis, and necrosis) were statistically significant factors for disease recurrence.

Factores de riesgo clínicos y radiológicos para recurrencia de fibrilación auricular tras la ablación de venas pulmonares

Background and objectiveAtrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia worldwide. Previous studies have described that certain clinical characteristics such as age, obesity, the type of AF, and imaging-based factors, such as left atrial (LA) volume, mean density (calculated as the average of Hounsfield Units values in a certain region of interest), and volume of cardiac adipose tissue, may increase the risk of recurrence following pulmonary vein ablation. However, there have been contradictory results regarding radiological variables in previous studies. The objective of this study was to evaluate these clinical and radiological risk factors obtained from computed tomography (CT) studies. Materials and methodsThis retrospective case-control study included all patients with AF who underwent initial radiofrequency or cryoablation of pulmonary veins after undergoing contrast-enhanced CT between 2017 and 2021. Clinical variables such as age, gender, comorbidities, medications used after ablation, type of AF, and radiological variables obtained from volumetric segmentation of CT studies were collected. Radiological variables included LA volume, mean density, and volume of epicardial, periatrial, and interatrial adipose tissue. The occurrence or absence of AF recurrence within 12months after ablation was also recorded. These variables were subjected to univariate and multivariate analysis to evaluate the risk of recurrence. ResultsAmong the total number of included patients, 40 had paroxysmal AF and 12 had persistent AF. During the follow-up period, 12 patients (23.1%) experienced AF recurrence, while 40 patients (76.9%) remained in sinus rhythm. There were statistically significant differences in LA volume based on the type of AF, with higher volumes observed in patients with persistent AF (119.16±32.38cc) compared to the rest (90.99±28.34cc). Regarding the differences between patients with and without recurrence after ablation, only LA volume (P<.05) and periatrial adipose tissue volume (P<.01) were significantly higher in patients with recurrence. ConclusionThe type of atrial fibrillation, increased left atrial volume, and increased periatrial adipose tissue volume are risk factors for recurrence in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing pulmonary vein ablation using cryoablation or radiofrequency.

Postoperative Early Body Weight Loss Is a Risk Factor for Recurrence in Patients with pStage III Gastric Cancer

Introduction: The goal of this study was to determine whether postoperative early body weight loss (EWL) after radical gastrectomy is a risk factor for recurrence in patients with pathological stage III (pStage III) gastric cancer who received postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy, which included tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil (S-1). Methods: Patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer were identified from a prospectively managed gastric cancer database. We analyzed 58 consecutive patients who underwent radical gastrectomy with D2 lymph node dissection for confirmed pStage III gastric cancer treated postoperatively with adjuvant chemotherapy including S-1 between 2010 and 2019. Clinical and pathologic characteristics, baseline body mass index (BMI), and postoperative weights were extracted. Weight changes were evaluated from the preoperative period to the start of adjuvant chemotherapy. EWL was defined as % BMI change = (preoperative BMI – postoperative BMI at the start of adjuvant chemotherapy) × 100/preoperative BMI. Results: Of the 58 consecutive patients who underwent radical resection for gastric cancer, 72.4% were male, with a mean age of 65.5 years, and a mean preoperative BMI of 21.2 (range: 15.4–29.1) kg/m². The degree of EWL was found to be closely correlated to compliance with adjuvant chemotherapy. Multivariate analysis by Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that EWL was an independent factor for relapse-free survival (RFS), and patients with an EWL of 15.9% or more severe had poorer RFS. Conclusion: EWL above a certain rate at the start of adjuvant chemotherapy was a predictor of poor compliance with adjuvant chemotherapy and a high risk of disease recurrence in patients with pStage III gastric cancer.

Clinicopathological analysis of patients with molecularly confirmed stage I adult granulosa cell tumors and prediction of recurrence

ObjectiveAdult granulosa cell tumors (AGCTs) are rare malignancies that accounts for approximately 1% of ovarian neoplasms. As there are currently no well-recognized models for predicting relapse-free survival (RFS), we performed a clinicopathological analysis to identify risk factors for AGCT recurrence. MethodsWe investigated 130 patients with pathologically diagnosed AGCT as confirmed by the presence of the characteristic FOXL2 C402G mutation. ResultsMost patients had International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage I disease (n = 122, 95.3%). The 10-year RFS rate was 31.4% (22/70) and mean 10-year RFS was 74.4 (95% CI, 65.2–83.7) months. Ten patients experienced recurrence beyond the 10-year follow-up period. Undergoing fertility sparing surgery, an estrogen receptor-α (ERα) score (>0.25), and a Ki-67 index >15% were independent risk factors for recurrence in patients with stage I disease (bias-corrected C-index: 0.776). We constructed a nomogram with well-fitting calibration plots; the areas under the curve (AUCs) for 5-, and 10-year RFS prediction were 0.883 and 0.906 respectively. A simplified model with 3 predictive factors (ERα score, Ki-67 index, and primary surgical procedure) and 2 risk stratification subgroups (low- and high-risk) was constructed; its AUCs for 5-, and 10-year RFS prediction were 0.825 and 0.850 respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed significant differences in 10-year RFS between the low- and high-risk groups (p < 0.001). ConclusionsThe type of primary surgical procedure, ERα score, and Ki-67 index are independent predictors of recurrence for patients with stage I AGCT. Our predictive model based on these factors showed good performance.

The solid predominant subtype as an independent risk factor for recurrence in patients with pathologic stage I lung adenocarcinoma

Background: Increasingly many patients have been diagnosed with stage I adenocarcinoma due to the use of low-dose chest computed tomography for lung cancer screening. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze tumor recurrence based on the predominant subtype in patients with stage I lung adenocarcinoma who underwent lobectomy.Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 114 patients who underwent lobectomy for pathologic stage I lung adenocarcinoma from June 2001 to July 2019.Results: In univariate analyses, significant factors were current smoking at the time of surgery (p=0.029), pathologic tumor size (p=0.006), central tumor location (p=0.003), maximum standardized uptake value on positron emission tomography-computed tomography (p=0.001), and the solid predominant subtype (p=0.012). In the multivariate analysis, only the solid predominant subtype (hazard ratio, 9.702; 95% confidence interval, 1.179–79.874; p=0.035) was an independent risk factor.Conclusions: If the solid subtype is predominant in pathologic findings, adjuvant chemotherapy after standard surgical resection may be considered to help reduce the risk of tumor recurrence and increase survival.

Clinical Significance of Cancer Stem Cell Markers in Primary and Metastatic Tissues in Patients With Breast Cancer.

This study aimed to examine the clinical significance of the protein expression of the cancer stem cell (CSC) markers ALDH1A1, CD133, CD44, and MSI-1 in primary and metastatic tissues of patients with breast cancer (BC). ALDH1A1, CD133, CD44, and MSI-1 protein expression in pairs of primary and metastatic tissues of 55 patients with BC with metastases treated at Kanagawa Cancer Center between January 1970 and December 2016 were evaluated using immunohistochemical assay and their association with clinicopathological factors and survival was examined. There were no significant differences in CSC marker expression rates between primary and metastatic tissues for any CSC markers. Regarding the relationship between CSC marker expression in primary tissues and survival, patients with high CD133 expression had significantly lower recurrence-free survival (DFS) and overall survival. On multivariate analysis, they were also a poor independent predictor of DFS (hazard ratio=4.993, 95%CI=2.189-11.394, p=0.0001). In contrast, there was no significant association between the expression of any CSC marker in metastatic tissues and survival. CD133 expression in the primary BC tissue may be a useful risk factor for recurrence in patients with BC.

Recurrence After Operated Adhesive Small Bowel Obstruction: Development and Validation of a Predictive Model

ObjectiveRecurrence after operated adhesive small bowel obstruction (ASBO) is a threatening potentiality for patients and a therapeutic dilemma facing any surgeon. Yet, little is known about screening tools to identify patients at higher risk of recurrence. The present study aimed to determine the risk factors of recurrence in patients operated on for ASBO and to construct a reliable predictive model capable of quantifying the risk of recurrence, which will be a practical tool to guide individualized patient management. MethodsWe developed a best-fit nomogram using data from a training cohort of 454 patients with ASBO treated surgically at the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from 2012 through 2021. The nomogram was developed based on variables independently associated with recurrent ASBO screened via multivariate logistic regression. This model was validated using data from an independent internal cohort of 194 patients at the same institution and an external cohort of 196 patients at Qilu Hospital of Shandong University. Both internal and external validation was performed with a bootstrap resampling method (1000 iterations). The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was evaluated using Harrell’s concordance index (C index) and calibration curve. ResultsEight-one out of 648 (12.5%) patients experienced at least one ASBO relapse with a median follow-up of 37 (interquartile range, 18–70) months. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified the following independent predictive factors associated with recurrence: diabetes mellitus (P = 0.004), preoperative albumin levels (P = 0.002), omentectomy (P = 0.002), matted adhesions (P = 0.036), and the approach of surgery (P = 0.008). Incorporating these five predictors, our nomogram predicted recurrent ASBO with C-index scores of 0.932 (95% CI 0.867–0.996) in the training cohort, 0.874 (95% CI 0.706–1) in the internal validation cohort, and 0.852 (95% CI 0.667–0.920) in the external validation cohort. The predictive model showed a very good fitting degree. ConclusionsThe development of a practical, easy-to-use nomogram for calculating the risk of recurrence in patients with ASBO treated surgically will enable physicians to tailor therapeutic strategies and monitor disease in advance.

Risk factors for the recurrence of cervical cancer using MR-based T1 mapping: A pilot study.

This study aimed to identify risk factors for recurrence in patients with cervical cancer (CC) through quantitative T1 mapping. A cohort of 107 patients histopathologically diagnosed with CC at our institution between May 2018 and April 2021 was categorized into surgical and non-surgical groups. Patients in each group were further divided into recurrence and non-recurrence subgroups depending on whether they showed recurrence or metastasis within 3 years of treatment. The longitudinal relaxation time (native T1) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) value of the tumor were calculated. The differences between native T1 and ADC values of the recurrence and non-recurrence subgroups were analyzed, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn for parameters with statistical differences. Logistic regression was performed for analysis of significant factors affecting CC recurrence. Recurrence-free survival rates were estimated by Kaplan-Meier analysis and compared using the log-rank test. Thirteen and 10 patients in the surgical and non-surgical groups, respectively, showed recurrence after treatment. There were significant differences in native T1 values between the recurrence and non-recurrence subgroups in the surgical and non-surgical groups (P<0.05); however, there was no difference in ADC values (P>0.05). The areas under the ROC curve of native T1 values for discriminating recurrence of CC after surgical and non-surgical treatment were 0.742 and 0.780, respectively. Logistic regression analysis indicated that native T1 values were risk factors for tumor recurrence in the surgical and non-surgical groups (P=0.004 and 0.040, respectively). Compared with cut-offs, recurrence-free survival curves of patients with higher native T1 values of the two groups were significantly different from those with lower ones (P=0.000 and 0.016, respectively). Quantitative T1 mapping could help identify CC patients with a high risk of recurrence, supplementing information on tumor prognosis other than clinicopathological features and providing the basis for individualized treatment and follow-up schemes.

The predictive value of left atrium epicardial adipose tissue on recurrence after catheter ablation in patients with different types of atrial fibrillation

BackgroundA growing body of evidence supports that the left atrium epicardial adipose tissue (LA-EAT) is related to the occurrence and recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF). The relationship between LA-EAT and the recurrence after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) in patients with different types of AF is still unclear. This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of LA-EAT on the recurrence of AF after RFCA in patients with different types of AF. Methods301 AF patients who underwent RFCA for the first time were divided into the paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) group (n = 181) and the persistent atrial fibrillation (PersAF) group(n = 120), which were followed up at 3, 6, and 12 months. All patients underwent left atrial computed tomography angiography (CTA) examination before the operation, and LA-EAT was measured using software (Advantage Workstation4.6, GE, USA). ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 10.7 months, 73/301 patients (24.25%) had a recurrence of AF, including 43 /120(35.83%) patients with PersAF and 30/181(16.57%) patients with PAF. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, LA-EAT volume (OR = 1.053;95%CI: 1.024–1.083, p < 0.001), attenuation (OR = 0.949;95%CI:0.911–0.988, p = 0.012) and left atrial diameter (LAD) (OR = 1.063;95%CI:1.002–1.127，p = 0.043) were independent risk factors for recurrence in patients with PersAF but not in patients with PAF. ConclusionLA-EAT volume and attenuation are independent risk factors for recurrence after RFCA in patients with PersAF.

Prognostic factors for recurrence in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma.

The prognostic factors for tumor recurrence and mortality of patients diagnosed with Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma (PTC) with immediate surgery in Colombia has not been reported. To retrospectively evaluate the risk factors for recurrence and survival at 10years in patients with the diagnosis of PTC treated at Fundación Santa Fe deBogota (FSFB). A total of 486 patients with thyroid surgery accompanied by medical follow-up were recruited. Demographic, clinical, and pathological variables were followed-up for a median period of 10years. The most significant variables for recurrence were tumors with > 4cm of size (hazard ratio [HR] = 8.1; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.7-55) and extrathyroidal spread (HR = 26.7; 95% CI = 3.1-228). PTC in our population has low rates of mortality (0.6%) and recurrence (9.6%), with an average time of recurrence of 3years. Size of the lesion, positive surgical margins, extrathyroidal spread, and high postoperative serum thyroglobulin (Tg) level act as prognostic factors that determine the likelihood of recurrence. Unlike other studies, the influence of age and gender does not act as a prognostic factor.

Risk Factors for Recurrence of Stage I Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Mutated Lung Adenocarcinoma

BackgroundWe aimed to clarify the risk factors for postoperative recurrence in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutated stage I lung adenocarcinoma, using EGFR wild-type adenocarcinoma as a comparator, to select optimal candidates for adjuvant therapy with EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI). MethodsData of patients with pathologic stage I EGFR-mutated (n = 713) and wild-type (n = 673) adenocarcinoma who did not receive adjuvant therapy were retrospectively analyzed. The cumulative incidence of recurrence (CIR) was estimated using Gray’s method, and multivariable Fine-Gray competing risk models identified independent risk factors associated with recurrence. ResultsThe CIR did not differ significantly between patients with EGFR-mutated and wild-type adenocarcinoma (P = .32). Multivariable analysis revealed that greater size (cm) of invasive tumor (hazard ratio 1.539; 95% CI, 1.077-2.201), lymphovascular invasion (hazard ratio 5.180; 95% CI, 2.208-12.15), pleural invasion (hazard ratio 3.388; 95% CI, 1.524-7.533), and high-grade histologic subtype (hazard ratio 4.295; 95% CI, 1.539-11.99) were independent risk factors for recurrence in patients with EGFR-mutated adenocarcinoma. The 5-year CIR was significantly higher among patients with these factors (tumor size greater than 2 cm, 15.9%; lymphovascular invasion, 26.9%; pleural invasion, 39.3%; and high-grade subtype, 44.4%) than among patients without them (4.4%, 2.2%, 3.9%, and 5%, respectively; P < .001). For patients with EGFR wild-type adenocarcinoma, independent risk factors for recurrence were invasive tumor size, lymphovascular invasion, and pleural invasion, but not histologic subtypes. ConclusionsEven for patients with EGFR-mutated stage I lung adenocarcinoma, recurrence risk is stratified. Adjuvant therapy may be considered if they have high-risk factors for recurrence.

Gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI with a focus on LI-RADS v2018 imaging features predicts the prognosis after radiofrequency ablation in small hepatocellular carcinoma.

Gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) contributes to evaluating the prognosis of small hepatocellular carcinoma (sHCC) following treatment. We have investigated the potential role of gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI based on LI-RADS (Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System) v2018 imaging features in the prognosis prediction of patients with sHCC treated with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as the first-line treatment and formulated a predictive nomogram. A total of 204 patients with sHCC who all received RFA as the first-line therapy were enrolled. All patients had undergone gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI examinations before RFA. Uni- and multivariable analyses for RFS were assessing using a Cox proportional hazards model. A novel nomogram was further constructed for predicting RFS. The clinical capacity of the model was validated according to calibration curves, the concordance index (C-index), and decision curve analyses. Alpha fetoprotein (AFP) > 100 ng/ml (HR, 2.006; 95% CI, 1.111-3.621; P = 0.021), rim arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE) (HR, 2.751; 95% CI, 1.511-5.011; P = 0.001), and targetoid restriction on diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) (HR, 3.289; 95% CI, 1.832-5.906; P < 0.001) were considered as the independent risk features for recurrence in patients with sHCC treated with RFA. The calibration curves and C-indexes (C-index values of 0.758 and 0.807) showed the superior predictive performance of the integrated nomogram in both the training and validation groups. The gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI features based on LI-RADS v2018, including rim APHE, targetoid restriction on DWI, and the AFP level, are the independent risk factors of recurrence in patients with sHCC treated with RFA as the first-line therapy. The predictive clinical-radiological nomogram model was constructed for clinicians to develop individualized treatment and surveillance strategies.

Prognostic value of tumor budding in patients with stage II and III colon cancer: A single-institution experience.

247 Background: Tumor budding has recently been recognized as one important prognostic factor for recurrence in patients with localized colon cancer. Nevertheless, not all guidelines consider tumor budding in the decision-making process for selecting patients for adjuvant chemotherapy. We aim to assess the prognostic value of tumor budding in a cohort of patients with stage II and III colon cancer. Methods: We included patients with pathologically confirmed diagnosis of stage II and III colon cancer at Hospital Universitario La Paz and tumor budding assessment available, from October 2016 to August 2021. Tumor budding was reported following the recommendations from the 2016 International Tumour Budding Consensus Conference. Results: A total of 390 patients were included. Patients were predominantly men (55%) and had a median age of 75 (35-95). Fifty percent of the patients were stage II and 50% were localized in the right colon. Tumor budding was reported as low, intermediate, and high in 186 (48%), 110 (28%), and 94 (24%) patients, respectively. After a median follow up of 18 months, 63 recurrences and 73 deaths were observed. Time to recurrence was significantly worse for patients with high tumor budding. At 24 months, 91%, 79%, and 67% of patients with low, intermediate and high budding were recurrence-free. Median TTR was not reached in any of the three cohort (P &lt;0.001). Comparing high vs low or intermediate budding, the hazard ratio (HR) for recurrence was 0.13 [confidence interval (CI)95%: 0.05 to 0.32; P &lt; 0.001]. We performed a univariate analysis with the most relevant clinic-pathological features. T4, N2, R1, bowel obstruction or perforation, positive resection margins (R1), lymphovascular or perineural invasion, and mismatch repair protein status were found to be statistically associated with TTR and entered the multivariate analysis. T4, N2, R1 and high tumor budding (HR: 0.48 [CI95%: 0.28 to 0.84], P = 0.011) were independent prognostic factors for recurrence at the multivariate analysis. Conclusions: High tumor budding is an adverse independent prognostic factor for recurrence in patients with stage II and III colon cancer and should be acknowledge when considering adjuvant chemotherapy.

Short-term prognostic role of peripheral lymphocyte subsets in patients with gastric cancer.

Immune function is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with gastric cancer. This study aimed to explore the prognostic role of peripheral lymphocyte subsets in patients with gastric cancer after curative surgery. This retrospective study was conducted at a single tertiary referral hospital. We included patients diagnosed with gastric cancer who had undergone surgery and met the inclusion criteria. Clinicopathological characteristics and preoperative peripheral lymphocyte subset data were collected for the analysis. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox hazard regression model. We used the Whitney test and Spearman test to analyze the correlation between lymphocyte subsets and clinicopathological characteristics. This study included 171 patients with gastric cancer who underwent curative surgery. Multivariate analysis revealed that carcinoembryonic antigen (p<0.01), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (p<0.001), lymph node metastases (p<0.001), total T-cell count (p=0.02), B-cell count (p<0.01), and regulatory T-cell percentage (p<0.01) were independent predictive factors associated with RFS. Impaired immune function may lead to early recurrence following curative surgery. Our study showed that the characteristics of peripheral lymphocyte subsets (T, B, and Treg cells) were independent predictive factors for recurrence in patients with gastric cancer after surgery.

Supervised machine learning algorithms demonstrate proliferation index correlates with long-term recurrence after complete resection of WHO grade I meningioma.

Meningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumor, and resection is a mainstay of treatment. It is unclear what duration of imaging follow-up is reasonable for WHO grade I meningiomas undergoing complete resection. This study examined recurrence rates, timing of recurrence, and risk factors for recurrence in patients undergoing a complete resection (as defined by both postoperative MRI and intraoperative impression) of WHO grade I meningiomas. The authors conducted a retrospective, single-center study examining recurrence risk for adult patients with a single intracranial meningioma that underwent complete resection. Uni- and multivariate nominal logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to identify variables associated with recurrence and time to recurrence. Two supervised machine learning algorithms were then implemented to confirm factors within the cohort that were associated with recurrence. The cohort consisted of 823 patients who met inclusion criteria, and 56 patients (6.8%) had recurrence on imaging follow-up. The median age of the cohort was 56 years, and 77.4% of patients were female. The median duration of head imaging follow-up for the entire cohort was 2.7 years, but for the subgroup of patients who had a recurrence, the median follow-up was 10.1 years. Estimated 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year recurrence-free survival rates were 99.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 98.8%-99.9%), 91.0% (95% CI 87.7%-93.6%), 83.6% (95% CI 78.6%-87.6%), and 77.3% (95% CI 69.7%-83.4%), respectively, for the entire cohort. On multivariate analysis, MIB-1 index (odds ratio [OR] per 1% increase: 1.34, 95% CI 1.13-1.58, p = 0.0003) and follow-up duration (OR per year: 1.12, 95% CI 1.03-1.21, p = 0.012) were both associated with recurrence. Gradient-boosted decision tree and random forest analyses both identified MIB-1 index as the main factor associated with recurrence, aside from length of imaging follow-up. For tumors with an MIB-1 index < 8, recurrences were documented up to 8 years after surgery. For tumors with an MIB-1 index ≥ 8, recurrences were documented up to 12 years following surgery. Long-term imaging follow-up is important even after a complete resection of a meningioma. Higher MIB-1 labeling index is associated with greater risk of recurrence. Imaging screening for at least 8 years in patients with an MIB-1 index < 8 and at least 12 years for those with an MIB-1 index ≥ 8 may be needed to detect long-term recurrences.

Nomogram established on account of Lasso-Cox regression for predicting recurrence in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma.

To investigate the risk factors for recurrence in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after minimally invasive treatment with curative intent, then to construct a prediction model based on Lasso-Cox regression and visualize the model built. Clinical data were collected from 547 patients that received minimally invasive treatment in our hospital from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2016. Lasso regression was used to screen risk factors for recurrence. Then we established Cox proportional hazard regression model and random survival forest model including several parameters screened by Lasso regression. An optimal model was selected by comparing the values of C-index, then the model was visualized and the nomogram was finally plotted. The variables screened by Lasso regression including age, gender, cirrhosis, tumor number, tumor size, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index (PALBI), and viral load were incorporated in the Cox model and random survival forest model (P<0.05). The C-index of these two models in the training sets was 0.729 and 0.708, and was 0.726 and 0.700 in the validation sets, respectively. So we finally chose Lasso-Cox regression model, and the calibration curve in the validation set performed well, indicating that the model built has a better predictive ability. And then a nomogram was plotted based on the model chosen to visualize the results. The present study established a nomogram for predicting recurrence in patients with early-stage HCC based on the Lasso-Cox regression model. This nomogram was of some guiding significance for screening populations at high risk of recurrence after treatment, by which doctors can formulate individualized follow-up strategies or treatment protocols according to the predicted risk of relapse for patients to improve the long-term prognosis.

A predictive model based on site-specific risk factors of recurrence regions in endometrial cancer patients

ObjectiveThis study investigated site-specific differences in clinical factors for recurrence in patients who were newly diagnosed and treated for endometrial cancer. A model for predicting recurrence sites was generated.MethodsElectronic medical records’ data were retrieved from January 2006 to December 2018 for patients who were diagnosed with endometrial cancer at the National cancer center in Korea. Recurrence sites were classified as local, regional, or distant. We used multinomial logistic regression models that modeled the log-odds for the three recurrence sites relative to non-recurrence as a linear combination of possible risk factors for the recurrence of endometrial cancer.ResultsThe data of 611 patients were selected for analysis; there were 20, 12, and 25 cases of local, regional, and distant recurrence, respectively, and 554 patients had no recurrence. High-grade disease was associated with local recurrence; non-endometrioid histology and parametrial invasion were risk factors for regional recurrence; additionally, parametrial invasion and no lymphadenectomy were associated with distant metastasis.ConclusionWe identified different risk factors specific for each type of recurrence site. Using these risk factors, we suggest that individually tailored adjuvant treatments be introduced for patients.

Early recurrence factors in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

The clinical characteristics and risk factors for cancer recurrence have not been well evaluated regarding early recurrence in patients with unresectable locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC) who receive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT). The aim of this study was to determine the clinical characteristics and risk factors of patients with stage III unresectable LA-NSCLC treated with CRT who developed early recurrence. We retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 46 patients diagnosed with stage III unresectable LA-NSCLC treated with CRT at our center between July 2012 and July 2021. A tumor proportion score (TPS) < 50% was defined as "low expression" and a TPS > 50% was defined as "high expression." A total of 17 (37.0%) patients had a confirmed recurrence within 1year of treatment. More patients had a lower body mass index in the early recurrence group than in the later recurrence group (p= 0.038). A higher number of patients in the late recurrence group underwent surgery after CRT (p= 0.036). Patients with a higher TPS were more likely to experience late recurrence than early recurrence (p= 0.001), whereas more patients with stage N3 disease were in the early recurrence group (p= 0.011). Multivariate analysis identified lower TPS expression as an independent risk factor for early recurrence after CRT. Overall survival was prolonged in the late recurrence group (p < 0.001). A lower TPS may be a predictor of early recurrence after CRT in patients with LA-NSCLC. These patients should be closely monitored for post-treatment recurrence.

Consensus on Postoperative Recurrence Prediction of Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Based on Molecular Markers

Significant progress has been made in lung cancer screening, surgery, chemoradiation, targeted therapy, and immunotherapy recently. Surgical resection is the most important treatment for localized non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) so far, but there are still many patients who develop local recurrence or distant metastases within 5 years of surgery. Currently, the risk factors of recurrence in patients with NSCLC are mainly based on clinical and pathological features, which hardly identify patients at high risk of recurrence accurately. With the development of new detection technologies, a number of molecular markers that may have a predictive risk of recurrence in NSCLC have been discovered over the years. In order to summarize the molecular markers related to postoperative recurrence in NSCLC patients, we have formulated a consensus on the prediction of postoperative recurrence of NSCLC based on molecular markers. This consensus mainly focuses on the early stage NSCLC patients, discusses and summarizes the risk factors of disease recurrence from the molecular level. It is hoped that more and more valuable information can be provided for the management of patients, so as to provide more guidance for the perioperative management of the patients with early stage NSCLC in the future. .

Clinical N3 is an independent risk factor of recurrence for breast cancer patients achieving pathological complete response and near-pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

BackgroundAlthough achieving pathological complete response (pCR) and near-pathological complete response (near-pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in breast cancer predicts a better outcome, some patients still experience recurrence. The aim of our study was to investigate the predictive factors of recurrence in the pCR and near-pCR population.MethodsWe reviewed 1,209 breast cancer patients treated with NAC between January 2010 and April 2021 in the Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (CHCAMS). A total of 292 patients achieving pCR and near-pCR were included in our analysis. pCR was defined as ypT0N0/ypTisN0. Near-pCR was defined as ypT1mi/1a/1bN0 or ypT0/isN1mi. Clinical features and follow-up information were collected. Survival and predictive factors of recurrence were analyzed.ResultsOf the 292 patients, 173 were pCR and 119 were near-pCR. The median age was 46 years (range, 23–75 years). The predominant tumor subtypes were human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer (49.0%) and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) (30.8%). The median duration of follow-up was 53 months (range, 9–138 months). A total of 25 (8.6%) patients developed recurrence, with 9 (5.2%) in the pCR group and 16 (13.4%) in the near-pCR group. The vast majority of recurrence occurred within 36 months from onset of NAC. The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate of patients achieving pCR was significantly higher than that of patients achieving near-pCR (94.6% vs. 85.6%, p = 0.008). However, the 5-year overall survival (OS) rate between the two cohorts had no statistical difference (94.3% vs. 89.6%, p = 0.304). Clinical N3 (cN3) before NAC was an independent risk factor of recurrence in patients who achieved pCR (p = 0.003) and near-pCR (p = 0.036). Tumor size before NAC, subtypes of breast cancer, and chemotherapy regimens showed no significant association with RFS both for patients who achieved pCR and for those who achieved near-pCR (p > 0.05).ConclusionscN3 before NAC was an independent risk factor of recurrence in patients who achieved pCR and near-pCR. It is worthwhile to closely monitor patients with cN3, especially in the first 3 years.