We compare the eye-opening penalty from a first-order polarization mode dispersion (PMD) model with that from an all-order PMD model in optical fiber transmission systems. Evaluating the performance by taking into account only first-order PMD produces a good approximation of the true eye-opening penalty of uncompensated systems when the penalty is low. However, when the penalties are high, this model overestimates the penalty for outage probabilities in the range of interest for systems designers, which is typically approximately 10(-5) to 10(-6).