Extreme Space Weather Research Articles

Extreme Event Statistics in Dst, SYM‐H, and SMR Geomagnetic Indices

AbstractExtreme space weather events are rare, and quantifying their likelihood is challenging, often relying on geomagnetic indices obtained from ground‐based magnetometer observations that span multiple solar cycles. The Dst index ring‐current monitor, derived from an hourly average over four low‐latitude stations, is a benchmark for extreme space weather events, and has been extensively studied statistically. We apply extreme value theory (EVT) to two geomagnetic ring current indices: SYM‐H (derived from 6 stations) and SMR (derived from up to 120 stations). EVT analysis reveals a divergence between the return level found for Dst, and those for SYM‐H and SMR, that increases non‐linearly with return period. For return periods below 10 years, hourly averaged SYM‐H and SMR have return levels similar to Dst, but at return periods of 50 and 100 years, they respectively exceed that of Dst by about 10% and 15% (SYM‐H) and about 7% and 12% (SMR). One minute resolution SYM‐H and SMR return levels progressively exceed that of Dst; their 5, 10, 50, and 100 year return levels exceed that of Dst by about 10%, 12%, 20% and 25% respectively. Our results indicate that consideration should be given to the differences between the indices if selecting one to use as a bench mark in model validation or resilience planning for the wide range of space weather sensitive systems that underpin our society.

Auroral oval reconstruction for historical geomagnetic storms in the 18th and 19th century

AbstractThe investigation of extreme space weather events can yield important information about the solar activity. Here, we present the reconstruction of the auroral oval position and size based on Bayesian inference for nine historical geomagnetic storms between 1716 and 1882, including the Carrington event in 1859, by using ground‐based observations, which enables us to derive the Kp index for historical events for the first time. The results for the latter show a very high level of geomagnetic disturbance (8.2 Kp 8.7, −929 nT Dst −1327 nT). Furthermore, we were able to derive the position of the pole in corrected geomagnetic coordinates, where especially the longitude is in good agreement with the position derived from the gufm1 model (Jackson et al., 2000). For the eight other historical storms, the Kp and Dst indices have been calculated here for the first time. In all cases, a very high Kp index was derived. The only exception is the geomagnetic storm from March 1716, which is, with a Kp index of , comparable with the St. Patrick's Day storm in 2015.

Star-exoplanet interactions: A growing interdisciplinary field in heliophysics

Traditionally, heliophysics is characterized as the study of the near-Earth space environment, where plasmas and neutral gases originating from the Earth, the Sun, and other solar system bodies interact in ways that are detectable only through in-situ or close-range (usually within ∼10 AU) remote sensing. As a result, heliophysics has data from the space environment around a handful of solar system objects, in particular the Sun and Earth. Comparatively, astrophysics has data from an extensive array of objects, but is more limited in temporal, spatial, and wavelength information from any individual object. Thus, our understanding of planetary space environments as a complex, multi-dimensional network of specific interacting systems may in the past have seemed to have little to do with the highly diverse space environments detected through astrophysical methods. Recent technological advances have begun to bridge this divide. Exoplanetary studies are opening up avenues to study planetary environments beyond our solar system, with missions like Kepler, TESS, and JWST, along with increasing capabilities of ground-based observations. At the same time, heliophysics studies are pushing beyond the boundaries of our heliosphere with Voyager, IBEX, and the future IMAP mission.The interdisciplinary field of star-exoplanet interactions is a critical, growing area of study that enriches heliophysics. A multidisciplinary approach to heliophysics enables us to better understand universal processes that operate in diverse environments, as well as the evolution of our solar system and extreme space weather. The expertise, data, theory, and modeling tools developed by heliophysicists are crucial in understanding the space environments of exoplanets, their host stars, and their potential habitability. The mutual benefit that heliophysics and exoplanetary studies offer each other depends on strong, continuing solar system-focused and Earth-focused heliophysics studies. The heliophysics discipline requires new targeted funding to support inter-divisional opportunities, including small multi-disciplinary research projects, large collaborative research teams, and observations targeting the heliophysics of planetary and exoplanet systems. Here we discuss areas of heliophysics-relevant exoplanetary research, observational opportunities and challenges, and ways to promote the inclusion of heliophysics within the wider exoplanetary community.

Climatological predictions of the auroral zone locations driven by moderate and severe space weather events

Auroral zones are regions where, in an average sense, aurorae due to solar activity are most likely spotted. Their shape and, similarly, the geographical locations most vulnerable to extreme space weather events (which we term ‘danger zones’) are modulated by Earth’s time-dependent internal magnetic field whose structure changes on yearly to decadal timescales. Strategies for mitigating ground-based space weather impacts over the next few decades can benefit from accurate forecasts of this evolution. Existing auroral zone forecasts use simplified assumptions of geomagnetic field variations. By harnessing the capability of modern geomagnetic field forecasts based on the dynamics of Earth’s core we estimate the evolution of the auroral zones and of the danger zones over the next 50 years. Our results predict that space-weather related risk will not change significantly in Europe, Australia and New Zealand. Mid-to-high latitude cities such as Edinburgh, Copenhagen and Dunedin will remain in high-risk regions. However, northward change of the auroral and danger zones over North America will likely cause urban centres such as Edmonton and Labrador City to be exposed by 2070 to the potential impact of severe solar activity.

Ionospheric and magnetic signatures of extreme space weather events of 17 March and 23 June 2015 over the African sector

We have investigated responses of the African sector of the ionosphere to 17 March and 23 June 2015 severe geomagnetic storms. The vertical total electron content (TEC) measurements from Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations, which are located across the African continent, have been used to estimate the deviation of TEC (ΔTEC). The observed ionospheric response to these events was different at different locations. In the main phase of the 17 march 2015 storm, a significant positive ionospheric storm (ΔTEC maximum) occurred at Meli (245.8% enhancement) and Adis (105% enhancement) stations in the post-sunset period. On the other hand, during midnight negative ionospheric storms (ΔTEC minimum: ∼ 46%–68% depletion ) were observed at Dakr, Nklg, Wind, and Haro stations. The effects of 23 June 2015 storm are more pronounced during the initial phase. In the recovery phase of 23 June storm, negative storm effects observed at the eastern dip latitude and western equatorial stations. In contrast, at the northern and southern mid-latitude stations, we observed positive storm effect during the night periods. Night time TEC enhancement at mid-latitude stations probably caused by the vertical drift of the ionospheric plasma. We have also studied the magnetic signatures of the severe storms of 17 March and 23 June 2015 by analyzing their impacts on the horizontal (H-component) of the Earth’s magnetic field. By using a moving average filter, we have separated the effect of the magnetic disturbance (DP2) and the disturbance dynamo (Ddyn). The H-component analysis shows that there was maximum oscillation of DP2 and Ddyn currents occurrence when the IMF-Bz directed southward. In the main and recovery phases of the storm, this strong current oscillation is the driver for the development of positive ionospheric effect.

Space Weather: From solar origins to risks and hazards evolving in time

Space Weather is the portion of space physics that has a direct effect on humankind. Space Weather is an old branch of space physics that originates back to 1808 with the publication of a paper by the great naturalist Alexander von Humboldt (Von Humboldt, Ann. Phys. 1808, 29, 425–429), first defining a “Magnetische Ungewitter” or magnetic storm from auroral observations from his home in Berlin, Germany. Space Weather is currently experiencing explosive growth, because its effects on human technologies have become more and more diverse. Space Weather is due to the variability of solar processes that cause interplanetary, magnetospheric, ionospheric, atmospheric and ground level effects. Space Weather can at times have strong impacts on technological systems and human health. The threats and risks are not hypothetical, and in the event of extreme Space Weather events the consequences could be quite severe for humankind. The purpose of the review is to give a brief overall view of the full chain of physical processes responsible for Space Weather risks and hazards, tracing them from solar origins to effects and impacts in interplanetary space, in the Earth’s magnetosphere and ionosphere and at the ground. In addition, the paper shows that the risks associated with Space Weather have not been constant over time; they have evolved as our society becomes more and more technologically advanced. The paper begins with a brief introduction to the Carrington event, arguably the greatest geomagnetic storm in recorded history. Next, the descriptions of the strongest known Space Weather processes are reviewed, tracing them from their solar origins. The concepts of geomagnetic storms and substorms are briefly introduced. The main effects/impacts of Space Weather are also considered, including geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) which are thought to cause power outages. The effects of radiation on avionics and human health, ionospheric effects and impacts, and thermosphere effects and satellite drag will also be discussed. Finally, we will discuss the current challenges of Space Weather forecasting and examine some of the worst-case scenarios.

N-S Asymmetry and Solar Cycle Distribution of Superactive Regions from 1976 to 2017

There were 51 superactive regions (SARs) during solar cycles (SCs) 21–24. We divided the SARs into SARs1, which produced extreme space weather events including ≥X5.0 flares, ground level events (GLEs), and super geomagnetic storms (SGSs, Dst < −250 nT), and SARs2, which did not produce extreme space weather events. The total number of SARs1 and SARs2 are 31 and 20, respectively. The statistical results showed that 35.5%, 64.5%, and 77.4% of the SARs1 appeared in the ascending phase, descending phase, and in the period from two years before to the three years after the solar maximum, respectively, whereas 50%, 50%, and 100% of the SARs2 appeared in the ascending phase, descending phase, and in the period from two years before to the three years after the solar maximum, respectively. The total number of SARs during an SC has a good association with the SC amplitude, implying that an SC with a higher amplitude will have more SARs than that with a lower amplitude. However, the largest flare index of a SAR within an SC has a poor association with the SC amplitude, suggesting that a weak cycle may have a SAR that may produce a series of very strong solar flares. The analysis of the north–south asymmetry of the SARs showed that SARs1 dominated in the southern hemisphere of the sun during SCs 21–24. The SAR2 dominated in the different hemispheres by turns for different SCs. The solar flare activities caused by the SARs with source locations in the southern hemisphere of the sun were much stronger than those caused by the SARs with source locations in the northern hemisphere of the sun during SCs 21–24.

Response of the American equatorial ionization anomaly to 2016 Arctic sudden stratospheric warming events

Apart from the rapid ionospheric response to geomagnetic forcing originating from the Sun during extreme space weather events, forcing from the lower atmosphere below still exerts a significant influence on the ionosphere during quiet-time conditions. This study examines the ionospheric response of the equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA) in the American sector to the combined influence of the cascades of sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events and the geomagnetic storms that coexisted with them during the period of January–March 2016. We adopted a multi-instrument and multi-modeling approach with the study locations spanning ±40° geomagnetic latitudes. Our results showed a hemispheric asymmetry in the total electron content and change in total electron content (ΔTEC) distribution with higher enhancement clearly visible in the Northern Hemisphere in comparison to the Southern Hemisphere (NH). Semidiurnal signatures were observed in both ΔTEC and equatorial electrojet parameters for some days. The double-peak zonal mean zonal wind amplitude days supported the formation of the reverse fountain effects. The different SSW peak temperature days also showed either positive or negative ionospheric response. Generally, orientation of the prompt penetration electric field (PPEF) and their strengths at either daytime or nighttime played a weak role in the ionosphere response during some of the geomagnetic storms. The negative and positive ionospheric responses under geomagnetic storm conditions were ascribed to changes in the composition of the thermosphere, prompt penetration electric field (PPEF), and traveling atmospheric disturbances (TADs).

MHD Study of Extreme Space Weather Conditions for Exoplanets With Earth‐Like Magnetospheres: On Habitability Conditions and Radio‐Emission

AbstractThe present study aims at characterizing the habitability conditions of exoplanets with an Earth‐like magnetosphere inside the habitable zone of M and F stars, caused by the direct deposition of the stellar wind on the exoplanet surface. Also, the radio emission generated by exoplanets with a Earth‐like magnetosphere is calculated for different space weather conditions. The study is based on a set of MHD simulations performed by the code PLUTO. Exoplanets hosted by M stars at 0.2 au are protected from the stellar wind during regular and coronal mass ejection (CME)‐like space weather conditions if the star rotation period is slower than 3 days. Exoplanets hosted by a F stars at ≥2.5 au are protected during regular space weather conditions, but a stronger magnetic field compared to the Earth is mandatory if the exoplanet is close to the inner edge of the star habitable zone (2.5 au) during CMEs. The range of radio emission values calculated in the simulations are consistent with the scaling proposed by Zarka (2018,https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-55333-7_22) during regular and common CME‐like space weather conditions. If the radio telescopes measure a relative low radio emission signal with small variability from an exoplanet, that may indicate favorable exoplanet habitability conditions. The radio emission power calculated for exoplanets with an Earth‐like magnetosphere is in the range of 3 × 107to 2 × 1010 W for SW dynamic pressures between 1.5 and 100 nPa and interplanetary magnetic field intensities between 50 and 250 nT, and is below the sensitivity threshold of present radio telescopes at parsec distances.

Forecasting changes of the magnetic field in the United Kingdom from L1 Lagrange solar wind measurements

Extreme space weather events can have large impacts on ground-based infrastructure important to technology-based societies. Machine learning techniques based on interplanetary observations have proven successful as a tool for forecasting global geomagnetic indices, however, few studies have examined local ground magnetic field perturbations. Nowcast and forecast models which predict the magnitude of the horizontal geomagnetic field, |BH|, and its time derivative, dBHdt, at ground level would be valuable for assessing the potential space weather hazard. We attempt to predict the variation of the magnetic field at the three United Kingdom observatories (Eskdalemuir, Hartland and Lerwick) driven by L1 solar wind parameters. The horizontal magnetic field component and its time derivative are predicted from solar wind plasma and interplanetary magnetic field observations using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and hybrid Convolutional Neural Network-LSTM models. A 5-fold grid search cross-validation is used for tuning the hyperparameters in each model. Forecasts were made with 5, 15 and 30-min lead times. Models were trained and validated with geomagnetic storm-only data from 1997 to 2016; their outputs were evaluated with the 7–9th September 2017 storms. The forecast models are only able to predict the directly driven parts of geomagnetic storms (not the substorms) and LSTM models generally perform best. We find the |BH| 15- and 30-min forecasts at Lerwick and Eskdalemuir have some predictive power. The 5-min |BH| forecast as well as all the dBHdt models for Eskdalemuir and all the Hartland models were found to have little or no predictive power. This suggests that the machine learning models have better forecasting power at higher latitude (closer to the auroral zones), where the ground magnetic variation field is larger and during storm onset, which is directly driven by changes in the solar wind.

Solar ring mission: Building a panorama of the Sun and inner-heliosphere

Solar Ring (SOR) is a proposed space science mission to monitor and study the Sun and inner heliosphere from a full 360° perspective in the ecliptic plane. It will deploy-three 120°-separated spacecraft on the 1-AU orbit. The first spacecraft, S1, locates 30° upstream of the Earth, the second, S2, 90° downstream, and the third, S3, completes the configuration. This design with necessary science instruments, e.g., the Doppler-velocity and vector magnetic field imager, wide-angle coronagraph, and in-situ instruments, will allow us to establish many unprecedented capabilities: (1) provide simultaneous Doppler-velocity observations of the whole solar surface to understand the deep interior, (2) provide vector magnetograms of the whole photosphere — the inner boundary of the solar atmosphere and heliosphere, (3) provide the information of the whole lifetime evolution of solar featured structures, and (4) provide the whole view of solar transients and space weather in the inner heliosphere. With these capabilities, Solar Ring mission aims to address outstanding questions about the origin of solar cycle, the origin of solar eruptions and the origin of extreme space weather events. The successful accomplishment of the mission will construct a panorama of the Sun and inner-heliosphere, and therefore advance our understanding of the star and the space environment that holds our life.

Sub-surface plasma flows and the flare productivity of solar active regions

The extreme space weather conditions resulting from high energetic events likes solar flares and Coronal Mass Ejections demand for reliable space weather forecasting. The magnetic flux tubes while rising through the convection zone gets twisted by the turbulent plasma flows, energizing the system and resulting in flares. We investigate the relationship between the subsurface plasma flows associated with flaring active regions and their surface magnetic flux and current helicity. The near-surface horizontal velocities derived from the ring-diagram analysis of active region patches using Global Oscillation Network Group Doppler velocity measurements are used to compute the fluid dynamics descriptors like vertical divergence, vorticity and kinetic helicity used in this work. The flaring active regions are observed to have large value of vertical vorticity and kinetic helicity. Also, the horizontal flow divergence, vorticity, flux, kinetic and current helicities are observed to be significantly correlated and evolve in phase with each other. We observe that the integrated values of the above flow and magnetic parameters observed 1 day prior to the flare are significantly correlated with the integrated flare intensity of the active region. Hence, we show that strong vorticity/kinetic helicities lead to larger active region twisting, presumably generating high-intensity flares.

Space Raindrops Splashing on Earth’s Magnetic Umbrella

Though not as damaging as extreme space weather events, showers of plasma jets hit Earth’s magnetic shield every day—yet we're only beginning to understand their effects.

On the significant impact of the 17 March 2015 St. Patrick’s Day geomagnetic storm on the ionosphere over Indian region

The response of the ionosphere in the Indian region to the extreme space weather events of 17–19 March 2015 is studied using Global Positioning System (GPS) Total electron Content (TEC) measurements, Thermosphere Ionosphere Electrodynamics-General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM) simulations and High Frequency (HF) Radar observations. The data from Thiruvananthapuram (8.5° N, 77° E geographic, 0.3° N magnetic latitude) and northern hemispheric midlatitude station Hanle (32.80° N, 79° E geographic, 23.9° N magnetic latitude) have been analyzed for the above event. The TEC over Thiruvananthapuram, a dip equatorial location exhibits a decrease during the post sunset hours on 17 March 2015 and is followed by the generation of F region irregularities at an altitude of 600 km, as observed by HF radar as well as TEC scintillations. The TEC over the mid latitude station of Hanle decreased during the storm recovery phase on 18March 2015 in response to negative storm effects. The extent of decrease in TEC as observed during the recovery phase could not be simulated by TIE-GCM over Hanle. This difference is attributed to the enhanced Joule heating taking place in the polar region during St. Patrick’s Day storm and the associated composition changes. An anomalous heating scenario was introduced and the simulated TIE-GCM results were found to match the observations. The present study clearly brings out the impact of 17 March 2015, St. Patrick’s Day geomagnetic storm on the ionization distribution over equatorial as well as mid latitude stations over the Indian region using observations as well as TIE-GCM simulations and the evolutionary features of ionospheric irregularities over equatorial location using TEC and HF radar observations. The role played by thermosphere ionosphere coupling in modulating the ionization variability over equatorial as well as mid latitude region during periods of extreme geomagnetic forcing is highlighted.

Modeling and Evaluation of Resilience Power Grid Under Extreme Space Weather

Modeling and Evaluation of Resilience Power Grid Under Extreme Space Weather

Revolutionizing Our Understanding of Particle Energization in Space Plasmas Using On-Board Wave-Particle Correlator Instrumentation

A leap forward in our understanding of particle energization in plasmas throughout the heliosphere is essential to answer longstanding questions in heliophysics, including the heating of the solar corona, acceleration of the solar wind, and energization of particles that lead to observable phenomena, such as the Earth’s aurora. The low densities and high temperatures of typical heliospheric environments lead to weakly collisional plasma conditions. Under these conditions, the energization of particles occurs primarily through collisionless interactions between the electromagnetic fields and the individual plasma particles with energies characteristic of a particular interaction. To understand how the plasma heating and particle acceleration impacts the macroscopic evolution of the heliosphere, impacting phenomena such as extreme space weather, it is critical to understand these collisionless wave-particle interactions on the characteristic ion and electron kinetic timescales. Such understanding requires high-cadence measurements of both the electromagnetic fields and the three-dimensional particle velocity distributions. Although existing instrument technology enables these measurements, a major challenge to maximize the scientific return from these measurements is the limited amount of data that can be transmitted to the ground due to telemetry constraints. A valuable, but underutilized, approach to overcome this limitation is to compute on-board correlations of the maximum-cadence field and particle measurements to improve the sampling time by several orders of magnitude. Here we review the fundamentals of the innovative field-particle correlation technique, present a formulation of the technique that can be implemented as an on-board wave-particle correlator, and estimate results that can be achieved with existing instrumental capabilities for particle velocity distribution measurements.

A legal approach to the national emergency management of space weather: China as a case study

The attention of the international space community has been drawn to space weather over the last two decades, not only because of its uncertainty and its adverse effects on the safety of space operations and the long-term sustainability of outer space activities (LTSOSA), but also because of its negative societal and economic impacts on the ground. The national emergency management of space weather is indispensable for China because China has both a large number of assets in outer space and infrastructure on the ground that are vulnerable to space weather. While China gives weight to the monitoring of space weather events by deploying a series of space- and ground-based systems, its national-level management of space weather events is inadequate. China, compared to the USA, is still a long way from having scientific and effective emergency management of severe space weather in the areas of space weather science research, response, and rulemaking. Current international hard laws that address the space weather issue play a limited role because these rules are all general. The Guidelines for the Long-term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities of the Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (the UNCOPUOS Guidelines for the LTSOSA), although they provide soft-law guidance addressing the harmful impacts of space weather on space activities from the perspectives of mitigation, preparedness, monitoring, and early warning, neither address the response to or recovery from extreme space weather events in outer space nor provide for space weather mitigation, preparedness, response, and recovery regimes on the ground. Apart from the international law and the soft-law guidance, Chinese national laws only provide general guidelines for the emergency management of space weather. To enhance its national capacity to address space weather and minimize the harmful societal and economic impacts of space weather, a comprehensive legal regime for the emergency management of space weather should be in place in China; this should primarily revolve around mitigation, preparedness, monitoring, early warning, response, recovery, capacity-building, and international cooperation.

Simulating the Space Weather in the AU Mic System: Stellar Winds and Extreme Coronal Mass Ejections

Abstract Two close-in planets have been recently found around the M-dwarf flare star AU Microscopii (AU Mic). These Neptune-sized planets (AU Mic b and c) seem to be located very close to the so-called “evaporation valley” in the exoplanet population, making this system an important target for studying atmospheric loss on exoplanets. This process, while mainly driven by high-energy stellar radiation, will be strongly mediated by the space environment surrounding the planets. Here we present an investigation of this last area, performing 3D numerical modeling of the quiescent stellar wind from AU Mic, as well as time-dependent simulations describing the evolution of a highly energetic coronal mass ejection (CME) event in this system. Observational constraints on the stellar magnetic field and properties of the eruption are incorporated in our models. We carry out qualitative and quantitative characterizations of the stellar wind, the emerging CMEs, as well as the expected steady and transient conditions along the orbit of both exoplanets. Our results predict extreme space weather for AU Mic and its planets. This includes sub-Alfvénic regions for the large majority of the exoplanet orbits, very high dynamic and magnetic pressure values in quiescence (varying within 102–105 times the dynamic pressure experienced by Earth), and an even harsher environment during the passage of any escaping CME associated with the frequent flaring observed in AU Mic. These space weather conditions alone pose an immense challenge for the survival of exoplanetary atmospheres (if any) in this system.

A review for Japanese auroral records on the three extreme space weather events around the International Geophysical Year (1957–1958)

AbstractSolar Cycle 19 was probably the greatest solar cycle over the last four centuries and significantly disrupted the solar‐terrestrial environments with a number of solar eruptions and resultant geomagnetic storms. At its peak, the International Geophysical Year (IGY: 1957–1958) was organised under international collaborations and benefitted scientific developments, capturing multiple unique extreme space weather events including the third and fourth greatest geomagnetic storms in the space age. In this article, we review and analyse original records of Japanese auroral observations around the IGY. These observations were organised by Masaaki Huruhata in collaboration with professional observatories and citizen contributors. We have digitised and documented these source documents, which comprise significant auroral displays in March 1957 (minimum Dst = −255 nT), September 1957 (minimum Dst = −427 nT), and February 1958 (minimum Dst = −426 nT). These records allow us to visualise temporal and spatial evolutions of these auroral displays, reconstruct their equatorward auroral boundaries down to 41.5°, 38.3°, and 33.3° in invariant latitudes, and contextualise their occurrences following contemporary geomagnetic disturbances. Our results have been compared with significant auroral displays during other extreme space weather events. These aurorae generally showed reddish colourations occasionally with yellowish rays. Their colourations are attributed to reddish oxygen emission and its mixture with greenish oxygen emission. Overall, these archival records provide the references for future discussions on the auroral activities during the uniquely intense and extreme space weather events.

MHD study of the planetary magnetospheric response during extreme solar wind conditions: Earth and exoplanet magnetospheres applications

Context.The stellar wind and the interplanetary magnetic field modify the topology of planetary magnetospheres. Consequently, the hazardous effect of the direct exposition to the stellar wind, for example, regarding the integrity of satellites orbiting the Earth or the habitability of exoplanets, depends upon the space weather conditions.Aims.The aim of the study is to analyze the response of an Earth-like magnetosphere for various space weather conditions and interplanetary coronal mass ejections. The magnetopause standoff distance, the open-close field line boundary, and plasma flows toward the planet surface are calculated.Methods.We used the magnetohydrodynamics code PLUTO in spherical coordinates to perform a parametric study of the dynamic pressure and temperature of the stellar wind as well as of the interplanetary magnetic field intensity and orientation. The range of the parameters we analyzed extends from regular to extreme space weather conditions, which is consistent with coronal mass ejections at the Earth orbit for the present and early periods of the solar main sequence. In addition, implications of sub-Afvénic solar wind configurations for the Earth and exoplanet magnetospheres were analyzed.Results.The direct precipitation of the solar wind at the Earth dayside in equatorial latitudes is extremely unlikely even during super coronal mass ejections. On the other hand, for early evolution phases during the solar main sequence, when the solar rotation rate was at least five times faster (<440 Myr), the Earth surface was directly exposed to the solar wind during coronal mass ejections. Today, satellites at high, geosynchronous, and medium orbits are directly exposed to the solar wind during coronal mass ejections because part of the orbit at the Earth dayside is beyond the nose of the bow shock.