Extreme Rainfall Rates Research Articles

The White Hills Gravel of central Victoria: an anomalous Paleogene very coarse-grained fluvial deposit

The White Hills Gravel is the coarsest fluvial gravel within Victoria, southeastern Australia, and outcrops discontinuously across a substantial part (>35 000 km2) of this region. It overlies a major regional unconformity representing >300 Ma, and is dominated by conglomerate (61% of beds), with less abundant sandy lithofacies (36% of beds) and rare mudstones (3% of beds). The sedimentary characteristics of the basal conglomerates (e.g. thick bedding, common boulders, very poor sorting and in places chaotic appearance) indicate deposition by significant paleofloods, including debris floods, within braided streams that had similar flow directions to the modern drainage. Paleohydraulic calculations estimate that the paleofloods had discharges exceeding >7200 m3 s−1, over 25 times the largest recorded floods in the same valleys. These paleofloods were probably caused by exceptionally severe storm systems, consisting of many individual thunderstorms. Deposition of the White Hills Gravel has previously been attributed to the mid-Cretaceous uplift that affected southeastern Australia, but the maximum possible age of the formation (early Paleocene) is too young for this to be a viable explanation. Instead, the White Hills Gravel may have been deposited during a period of increased precipitation at the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (ca 56 Ma), when an intensification of the hydrological system generated significant sediment responses within fluvial systems around the world. Modelling indicates that this climatic event had a substantial impact in Victoria, where increases in mean annual precipitation (50–60%) and the most extreme rainfall rates achieved by the strongest storms (60–70%) were some of the largest globally, and frequent and intense Atmospheric Rivers were an important part of the hydrological system. These factors, together with a period of disturbed vegetation cover, resulted in major paleofloods that could have deposited the coarse-grained conglomerates of the White Hills Gravel.

Upper limits for post-wildfire floods and distinction from debris flows.

Upper magnitude limits and scaling with basin size for post-wildfire floods are unknown. An envelope curve was estimated defining post-wildfire flood upper limits as a function of basin area. We show the importance of separating peak flows by floods versus debris flows. Post-wildfire flood maxima are a constant 43 m3 s-1 km-2 for basins from 0.01 to 23 to 34 km2 and then declining with added basin area according to a power law relation. Intense rainfall spatial scaling may cause the envelope curve threshold at 23 to 34 km2. Post-wildfire flood maxima are smaller than unburned flood maxima for similar basin area. Rainstorm comparisons indicate that post-wildfire floods are triggered by smaller precipitation depths than unburned floods. Post-wildfire exceptional floods are driven by extreme rainfall rates, in contrast to post-wildfire debris flows. Runoff rates for post-wildfire envelope floods are consistent with infiltration-excess runoff. Future increases in precipitation intensity or wildfire frequency and extent could increase post-wildfire flood upper limits.

Modification of Microphysical Parameterization Schemes and Their Application in the Simulation of an Extremely Heavy Rainfall Event in Zhengzhou

AbstractIn the present study, the Morrison and Thompson microphysics schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting model were improved and used to simulate a record‐breaking heavy rainfall event occurred in Henan Province over central China during 19–21 July 2021. In the modified schemes, the terminal velocity of graupel and initial cloud droplet concentration were adjusted based on sensitivity tests. Results showed that the modified Morrison scheme (MORR_MOD) better captured the spatial distribution and temporal evolution of precipitation than the original scheme (MORR). Specifically, it produced a 40‐hr cumulative rainfall amount of 963 mm and an extreme hourly rainfall rate of 157.7 mm, which were closer to observations than MORR. Analysis of the dynamic and microphysical structures of the extreme‐rain‐producing convective clusters revealed that MORR_MOD predicted stronger updrafts, higher rain mass content and larger mean mass diameter of raindrops than MORR. By analyzing the tendencies of rain mass and number concentration, it was found that MORR_MOD predicted stronger accretion rates of cloud droplets by rain and weaker auto‐conversion rates of cloud droplets than MORR, which contributed to the high rain mixing ratio and low number concentration, respectively. In addition, MORR_MOD predicted stronger diabatic heating rates than MORR, which were primarily attributed to stronger condensation of water vapor, and may have been the reason why MORR_MOD simulated stronger updrafts.

Comparison of GPM IMERG Version 06 Final Run Products and Its Latest Version 07 Precipitation Products across Scales: Similarities, Differences and Improvements

Precipitation is an essential element in earth system research, which greatly benefits from the emergence of Satellite Precipitation Products (SPPs). Therefore, assessment of the accuracy of the SPPs is necessary both scientifically and practically. The Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) is one of the most widely used SPPs in the scientific community. However, there is a lack of comprehensive evaluation for the performance of the newly released IMERG Version 07, which is essential for determining its effectiveness and reliability in precipitation estimation. In this study, we compare the IMERG V07 Final Run (V07_FR) with its predecessor IMERG V06_FR across scales from January 2016 to December 2020 over the globe (cross-compare their similarities and differences) and a focused study on mainland China (validate against 2481 rain gauges). The results show that: (1) Globally, the annual mean precipitation of V07_FR increases 2.2% compared to V06_FR over land but decreases 5.8% over the ocean. The two SPPs further exhibit great differences as indicated by the Critical Success Index (CSI = 0.64) and the Root Mean Squared Difference (RMSD = 3.42 mm/day) as compared to V06_FR to V07_FR. (2) Over mainland China, V06_FR and V07_FR detect comparable precipitation annually. However, the Probability of Detection (POD) improves by 5.0%, and the RMSD decreases by 3.7% when analyzed by grid cells. Further, the POD (+0%~+6.1%) and CSI (+0%~+8.8%) increase and the RMSD (−11.1%~0%) decreases regardless of the sub-regions. (3) Under extreme rainfall rates, V07_FR measures 4.5% lower extreme rainfall rates than V06_FR across mainland China. But V07_FR tends to detect more accurate extreme precipitation at both daily and event scales. These results can be of value for further SPP development, application in climatological and hydrological modeling, and risk analysis.

Assessing canopy rainfall partitioning by Mediterranean dryland shrubs under extreme rainfall

AbstractIntense rain events have become more frequent in some regions due to climate change, and this trend is particularly concerning in dryland regions where the ecological and geomorphological impacts of rainfall are intimately tied to its intensity. The interception of rainfall by vegetation is a critical process in the water balance of drylands; thus, this study estimated the canopy interception capacity and interception rates as well as stemflow of three typical Mediterranean shrub species (Rosmarinus officinalis, Thymus vulgaris, and Macrochloa tenacissima) of three size classes in Spain under a simulated extreme rainfall rate (~8 mm min−1, historical return period of >100 years). Given that these plants' canopy structures markedly differ from taller woody plants (i.e., trees), a novel method was developed to assess the stemflow fraction. Results showed significant differences in interception amount, rates, and storage capacity among the shrub species, with variations in plant morphology, such as shrub height and canopy diameter, being the key factors determining interception capacity. R. officinalis had the highest interception fraction per unit canopy area, or ‘specific interception,’ (18.4%). In contrast, the lowest specific interception fraction was measured for M. tenacissima (6.5%). Thymus vulgaris was characterized by the highest stemflow yields per unit canopy area (4.85 mm) and fraction (up to 29.6% of rainfall), which was the lowest for M. tenacissima (1.09 mm, ~1%–4%). Strong linear correlations were found between canopy interception and shrub canopy diameter (|r| > −0.51, max = −0.90), when observations were grouped for size class. These linear correlations between shrub morphology and partitioning enabled multiple‐regression linear models to be developed that predicted canopy interception and stemflow with good accuracy (r2 > 0.64, with a maximum of 0.82) from shrub height, canopy diameter, dry biomass, size class, and species. Despite these measurements being conducted under one extreme storm depth and intensity, the results provide: (i) values of rainfall partitioning for important shrub species in Mediterranean dryland environments; and (ii) a simple but reliable model that may be further developed (e.g., embedding variable rainfall values as weather input or incorporating other morphological parameters) and may be integrated into complex hydrological models.

Analysis of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on extreme rainfall event in the west coastal south Sulawesi for mitigation disaster

Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is one of the global phenomena that affects weather and climate conditions in Indonesia. MJO increases the rainfall rate and causes a plethora of extreme rainfall occurrences in areas along its trajectory. Those extreme rainfall events could trigger hydrometeorological hazards that endanger the surrounding environment. As the first step to analyse this extreme weather event, this research tries to determine the threshold of the extreme rainfall rate. The method used for determining the threshold is the statistical method 98th percentile. The next step is to identify the frequency trend of the extreme rainfall in the period of 1991 to 2020, by measuring the rainfall rate and comparing it with the normal value. If the rainfall rate is above the normal condition in a certain threshold, then it is considered an extreme rainfall event. After that, these extreme rainfall occurrences are compared to the active MJO phase to find out the influence of MJO to the rainfall in the west coast of South Sulawesi. Then, the dynamical atmospheric conditions are to be analysed during those extreme rainfall events. The result shows that the frequency trend of extreme rainfall events are generally negative in 5 (five) regions, which means an insignificant correlation between MJO and rainfall rate. In contrast, 3 (three) other regions show a positive trend. The influence of an active MJO on the extreme rainfall rate is about 34,1%. Meanwhile, the rest for about 65,9% is influenced by other factors. The use of MJO indices for generating early warning hydrometeorological disasters is by utilising the MJO monitoring data, supported with the analysis of dynamical atmospheric condition in the west coast of South Sulawesi.

Quantifying the Relationship between Embedded Rotation and Extreme Rainfall Rates in Observations of Tropical Storm Imelda (2019)

Abstract Previous work on continental convective systems has indicated that there is a positive relationship between short-term rainfall rates and storm-scale to mesoscale rotation. However, little has been done to explore this relationship in dense observing networks or in landfalling tropical cyclone (LTC) environments. In an effort to quantify the relationship between rainfall rates and embedded rotation of this scale, we use several sets of observations that were collected during Tropical Storm Imelda (2019). First, a meteorological overview of the event is presented, and the ingredients that led to its flash flood–producing rainfall are discussed. Then, two analyses that investigate the relationship between rainfall rates and storm-scale to mesoscale rotation in the LTC remnants are examined. The first method relies on products from the Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system, where two spatial averaging approaches are applied to the 0–2-km accumulated rotation track and gauge bias-corrected quantitative precipitation estimate products over hourly time periods. Using these fields as proxies for rotation and rain rates, the results show a positive spatiotemporal relationship between the two products. The second method time matches subjectively identified radar-based rotation and 5-min surface rain gauge observations. There, we show that nearly twice the amount of rain was recorded by the gauges when storm-scale to mesoscale rotation was present nearby, and the differences in 5-min rainfall observations between when rotation was present versus not was statistically significant. Together, these results indicate that more rain tended to fall in locations where there was rotation embedded in the system. Significance Statement Tornadoes and flash floods frequently occur in unison over the same locations, which can complicate forecasting, warning, and communication efforts within the meteorology community. Previous work has furthered the understanding of the interconnectedness of these hazards by suggesting a relationship between two of their predecessors: storm rotation and rainfall rates. We build on this research by quantifying the relationship of these two processes using observations from Tropical Storm Imelda: a system that brought devastating flooding to southeast Texas in September 2019. Our results show across multiple observational datasets that more rain tended to fall in locations where there was rotation embedded in the tropical storm remnants.

Extreme Convective Rainfall and Flooding from Winter Season Extratropical Cyclones in the Mid-Atlantic Region of the United States

Abstract Extreme rainfall from extratropical cyclones and the distinctive hydrology of the winter season both contribute to flood extremes in the Mid-Atlantic region. In this study, we examine extreme rainfall and flooding from a winter season extratropical cyclone that passed through the eastern United States on 24/25 February 2016. Extreme rainfall rates during the 24/25 February 2016 time period were produced by supercell thunderstorms; we identify supercells through local maxima in azimuthal shear fields computed from Doppler velocity measurements from WSR-88D radars. Rainfall rates approaching 250 mm h−1 from a long-lived supercell in New Jersey were measured by a Parsivel disdrometer. A distinctive element of the storm environment for the 24/25 February 2016 storm was elevated values of convective available potential energy (CAPE). We also examine the climatology of atmospheric rivers (ARs)—like the February 2016 storm—based on an identification and tracking algorithm that uses Twentieth Century Reanalysis fields for the 66-yr period from 1950 to 2015. Climatological analyses suggest that AR frequency is increasing over the Mid-Atlantic region. An increase in AR frequency, combined with increasing frequency of elevated CAPE during the winter season over the Mid-Atlantic region, could result in striking changes to the climatology of extreme floods.

Unveiling four decades of intensifying precipitation from tropical cyclones using satellite measurements

Increases in precipitation rates and volumes from tropical cyclones (TCs) caused by anthropogenic warming are predicted by climate modeling studies and have been identified in several high intensity storms occurring over the last half decade. However, it has been difficult to detect historical trends in TC precipitation at time scales long enough to overcome natural climate variability because of limitations in existing precipitation observations. We introduce an experimental global high-resolution climate data record of precipitation produced using infrared satellite imagery and corrected at the monthly scale by a gauge-derived product that shows generally good performance during two hurricane case studies but estimates higher mean precipitation rates in the tropics than the evaluation datasets. General increases in mean and extreme rainfall rates during the study period of 1980–2019 are identified, culminating in a 12–18%/40-year increase in global rainfall rates. Overall, all basins have experienced intensification in precipitation rates. Increases in rainfall rates have boosted the mean precipitation volume of global TCs by 7–15%/year, with the starkest rises seen in the North Atlantic, South Indian, and South Pacific basins (maximum 59–64% over 40 years). In terms of inland rainfall totals, year-by-year trends are generally positive due to increasing TC frequency, slower decay over land, and more intense rainfall, with an alarming increase of 81–85% seen from the strongest global TCs. As the global trend in precipitation rates follows expectations from warming sea surface temperatures (11.1%/°C), we hypothesize that the observed trends could be a result of anthropogenic warming creating greater concentrations of water vapor in the atmosphere, though retrospective studies of TC dynamics over the period are needed to confirm.

Multiscale Perspectives on an Extreme Warm-Sector Rainfall Event over Coastal South China

On 22 June 2017, an extreme warm-sector rainfall event hit the western coastal area of South China, with maximum hourly and 12-h rainfall accumulations of 189.4 and 464.8 mm, respectively, which broke local historical records. Multisource observations were used to reveal multiscale processes contributing to the extreme rainfall. The results showed that a marine boundary layer jet (BLJ) coupled with a synoptic low-level jet (LLJ) inland played an important role in the formation of an extremely humid environment with a very low lifting condensation level of near-surface air. Under the favorable pre-convective conditions, convection was initialized at a mesoscale convergence line, aided by topographic lifting in the evening. During the nocturnal hours, the rainstorm developed and was maintained by a quasi-stationary mesoscale outflow boundary, which continuously lifted warm, moist air transported by the enhanced BLJ. When producing the extreme rainfall rates, the storm possessed relatively weak convection, with the 40 dBZ echo top hardly reaching 6 km. The extreme rainfall was produced mainly by the warm rain microphysical processes, mainly because the humid environment and the deep warm cloud layer facilitated the clouds’ condensational growth and collision–coalescence, and also reduced rain evaporation. As the storm evolved, the raindrop concentration increased rapidly from its initial stage and remained high until its weakening stage, but the mean raindrop size changed little. The extreme rain was characterized by the highest concentration of raindrops during the storm’s lifetime with a mean size of raindrops slightly larger than the maritime regime.

Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate change

The 2020 North Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most active on record, causing heavy rains, strong storm surges, and high winds. Human activities continue to increase the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, resulting in an increase of more than 1 °C in the global average surface temperature in 2020 compared to 1850. This increase in temperature led to increases in sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic basin of 0.4–0.9 °C during the 2020 hurricane season. Here we show that human-induced climate change increased the extreme 3-hourly storm rainfall rates and extreme 3-day accumulated rainfall amounts during the full 2020 hurricane season for observed storms that are at least tropical storm strength (>18 m/s) by 10 and 5%, respectively. When focusing on hurricane strength storms (>33 m/s), extreme 3-hourly rainfall rates and extreme 3-day accumulated rainfall amounts increase by 11 and 8%, respectively.

Future changes in extreme precipitation over the San Francisco Bay Area: Dependence on atmospheric river and extratropical cyclone events

Extreme precipitation poses a major challenge for local governments, including the City and County of San Francisco, California, as flooding can damage and destroy infrastructure and property. As the climate continues to warm, reliable future precipitation projections are needed to provide the best possible information to decision makers. However, future changes in the magnitude of extreme precipitation are uncertain, as current state-of-the-art global climate models are typically run at relatively coarse horizontal resolutions that require the use of convective parameterization and have difficulty simulating observed extreme rainfall rates. Here, we performed ensembles of convection-permitting regional climate model simulations to investigate how five historically impactful extreme precipitation events over the San Francisco Bay Area could change if similar events occurred in future climates. We found that changes in storm-total precipitation depend strongly on storm type. Precipitation associated with an atmospheric river (AR) accompanied by an extratropical cyclone (ETC) is projected to increase at a rate exceeding (by up to 1.5 times) the theoretical Clausius Clapeyron scaling of 6–7% per °C warming. On the other hand, future precipitation changes are weak or negative for events characterized by an AR only, despite increases in precipitable water and integrated vapor transport that are similar to those of the co-occurring AR and ETC events. The differences in the sign of future precipitation change between AR-only events and co-occurring AR and ETC events is instead linked with changes in mid-tropospheric vertical velocity. Given that the majority of observed ARs are associated with an ETC, this research has important implications for future precipitation impacts over the Bay Area, as it indicates that storm-total precipitation associated with the most common type of storm event may increase by up to 26–37% in 2100 relative to historical.

Combining CMIP data with a regional convection-permitting model and observations to project extreme rainfall under climate change

Due to associated hydrological risks, there is an urgent need to provide plausible quantified changes in future extreme rainfall rates. Convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations represent a major advance in capturing extreme rainfall and its sensitivities to atmospheric changes under global warming. However, they are computationally costly, limiting uncertainty evaluation in ensembles and covered time periods. This is in contrast to the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) 5 and 6 ensembles, which cannot capture relevant convective processes, but provide a range of plausible projections for atmospheric drivers of rainfall change. Here, we quantify the sensitivity of extreme rainfall within West African storms to changes in atmospheric rainfall drivers, using both observations and a CP projection representing a decade under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 around 2100. We illustrate how these physical relationships can then be used to reconstruct better-informed extreme rainfall changes from CMIP, including for time periods not covered by the CP model. We find reconstructed hourly extreme rainfall over the Sahel increases across all CMIP models, with a plausible range of 37%–75% for 2070–2100 (mean 55%, and 18%–30% for 2030–2060). This is considerably higher than the +0–60% (mean +30%) we obtain from a traditional extreme rainfall metric based on raw daily CMIP rainfall, suggesting such analyses can underestimate extreme rainfall intensification. We conclude that process-based rainfall scaling is a useful approach for creating time-evolving rainfall projections in line with CP model behaviour, reconstructing important information for medium-term decision making. This approach also better enables the communication of uncertainties in extreme rainfall projections that reflect our current state of knowledge on its response to global warming, away from the limitations of coarse-scale climate models alone.

Observations and Analyses of the 9 January 2018 Debris-Flow Disaster, Santa Barbara County, California

ABSTRACTThe post–Thomas Fire debris flows of 9 January 2018 killed 23 people, damaged 558 structures, and caused severe damage to infrastructure in Montecito and Carpinteria, CA. U.S. Highway 101 was closed for 13 days, significantly impacting transportation and commerce in the region. A narrow cold frontal rain band generated extreme rainfall rates within the western burn area, triggering runoff-driven debris flows that inundated 5.6 km2 of coastal land in eastern Santa Barbara County. Collectively, this series of debris flows is comparable in magnitude to the largest documented post-fire debris flows in the state and cost over a billion dollars in debris removal and damages to homes and infrastructure. This study summarizes observations and analyses on the extent and magnitude of inundation areas, debris-flow velocity and volume, and sources of debris-flow material on the south flank of the Santa Ynez Mountains. Additionally, we describe the atmospheric conditions that generated intense rainfall and use precipitation data to compare debris-flow source areas with spatially associated peak 15 minute rainfall amounts. We then couple the physical characterization of the event with a compilation of debris-flow damages to summarize economic impacts.

Spatial evaluation of satellite-retrieved extreme rainfall rates in the Upper Awash River Basin, Ethiopia

Understanding the performance of satellite-retrieved extreme rainfall rates is a prerequisite for developing appropriate flood and drought monitoring systems in a region where rain gauge data are sparse and unevenly distributed. In this study, seven satellite rainfall estimates (SREs) that primarily use the infrared (PERSIANN, PERSIANN-CDR, and TAMSATv3) and the microwave (CMORPHv1, TRMM 3B42RT, TRMM 3B42v7 and IMERG-v06B) data were evaluated in the highland and lowland regions of Upper Awash Basin, Ethiopia, from 2003 to 2015. Three categorical error metrics, seven extreme precipitation indices, and the Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function (ECDF) plot were used to compare satellite retrieved extreme rainfall rates against rain gauge observations using a pixel-to-point approach. Results showed that TAMSATv3 outperformed all the remaining SREs in detecting and estimating low rainfall in both the highlands (elevation>2000 m) and lowlands (elevation<2000 m) of the basin. For high rainfall, the IMERG-v06B followed by TRMM 3B42v7 and TRMM 3B42RT products relatively produced the best result in both regions. Overall, the performance of SREs in detecting and estimating extreme rainfall rates was better in the highlands than in the lowlands, and this may be associated with the density of rain gauge networks. Additionally, all seven SREs can correctly detect low rainfall but their performances tend to worsen as the extreme precipitation quantile increases. In both regions, on average, the microwave-based SREs showed the highest result in capturing high rainfall. In contrast, the infrared-based SREs had a better performance for low rainfall. This study suggests that TAMSATv3 product can be used for drought monitoring studies in the basin; however, a lot of effort (e.g. bias-adjustment, and improvements of SREs algorithm) could be needed to integrate SREs into hydrological models for flood forecasting and early warning purposes.

Global climatology of rainfall rates and lifetime accumulated rainfall in tropical cyclones: Influence of cyclone basin, cyclone intensity and cyclone size

AbstractSeventeen years of 3‐hr, 0.25° resolution, precipitation data from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) multi‐satellite precipitation analysis (TMPA) product are used to develop a global climatology of precipitation in tropical cyclones (TCs). Due to very large SDs for rainfall in each stratification by intensity class or cyclone basin, our methodology concentrates on frequency distributions and percentage representation in different rainfall rate categories. The stratifications reveal that the TC rainfall climatologies are dependent on three inter‐related factors: TC intensity, TC size and TC basin. The interdependence of the three is examined. The distributions of TC intensity classes in the different basins are not a significant contributor to the fact that certain basins (Northwest Pacific, North Atlantic) have higher TC rainfall rates than other basins (Northeast Pacific, South Indian). In contrast to this, the distributions of TC size classes between basins are a significant contributor to why some basins are wetter than others. A climatology is also presented of lifetime accumulated rainfall (LAR) in TCs. The record LAR belongs to hurricane Ivan in 2004, with 300 km3 of rain over the 0–350 km radius, and 432 km3 over 0–500 km. The largest LAR values occur almost exclusively in two cyclone basins: The Northwest Pacific and the North Atlantic. Not unexpectedly, LAR is determined primarily by TC duration, which accounts for around 70% of the variance. Examination of the full 17‐year dataset reveals a decreasing trend in both median and extreme TC rainfall rates in all basins except the Northeast Pacific. However, mechanisms responsible for this decrease are yet to be identified and may be primarily due to the sample size or data inhomogeneities. The difference between the trends and those expected from physical principles is a concern which we hope will be taken up by other investigators.

Island Rainfall Enhancement in the Maritime Continent

AbstractThe hypothesis that the islands of the Maritime Continent (MC) enhance total rainfall and time‐mean upward motion is tested using a convection‐permitting regional model. Sensitivity experiments with the islands removed greatly diminish both rainfall and upward motion, supporting the hypothesis. We examine the individual factors in this enhancement, isolating the impacts of the diurnal cycle from those of basic‐state (i.e., constant) forcing of orography and the land surface. We find that the basic‐state forcing by land is the only factor that substantially enhances total island rainfall, specifically through the enhancement of mean surface heat fluxes. The diurnal cycle and orographic forcing, however, substantially enhance rainfall in the seas surrounding the islands. Moreover, the diurnal cycle is found to be essential for promoting mesoscale circulations on the spatial scales of the islands, which are critical to both the upscale growth of deep convection and the most extreme rainfall rates.

Morphological and sedimentological responses of small stream channels to extreme rainfall and land use in the Darjeeling Himalayas

Three pairs of small, fourth- to sixth-order catchments (approximately 5–80 km2), draining the margin of the Darjeeling Himalayas into the piedmont, were selected for a comparison of the land-use impact on the morphology and sedimentology of their stream channels. Each pair experienced similar annual rainfall and comprised similar metamorphic bedrock, steep topography, and brown soils; the members of each pair contrast with respect to their land-use structure as they comprise large forest cover (forest >90%) and a significant contribution of agricultural land with tea plantations (forest <63%), respectively. A set of rainfall, cross-sectional, and sediment data were collected for the characterization of the stream channels. The obtained results revealed that, under extreme rainfall and high denudation rates as well as frequent flash floods, the geomorphic response to land-use changes involving agricultural expansion at the expense of forest cover was less pronounced in the mountain channels than in the piedmont. Significant differences between the studied pairs of mountain streams draining forested and agricultural catchments were observed only at bankfull width and baseflow depth in fourth-order streams and baseflow depth in fifth-order streams. Local environmental factors such as bedrock channel boundaries, steep topography, high material supply to river networks, and selective sediment mobilization during extreme rainfall and floods override the effects of land use and exert dominant control over stream channels in mountain catchments. However, the effects of agricultural activity in mountains are propagated downstream. In the agricultural catchment in the piedmont, a local rapid decrease in river slope and an increase in water infiltration into alluvia facilitates the deposition of eroded material. In addition, the stream in the agricultural catchment exhibited a rise in the riverbed with the expansion of a braided channel over a dozen kilometers below the Himalayan front in the piedmont, while the streams in the forested catchment revealed a distinct tendency towards incision. The present-day channel morphologies and sediment patterns observed in forested catchments are most likely similar to those that existed in the studied rivers prior to the development of tea plantations and settlements in the mid-19th century.

The Paroxysmal Precipitation of the Desert: Flash Floods in the Southwestern United States

AbstractThe 14 September 2015 Hildale, Utah, storm resulted in 20 flash flood fatalities, making it the most deadly natural disaster in Utah history; it is the quintessential example of the “paroxysmal precipitation of the desert”. The measured peak discharge from Maxwell Canyon at a drainage area of 5.3 km2 was 266 m3/s, a value that exceeds envelope curve peaks for Utah. The 14 September 2015 flash flood reflects features common to other major flash flood events in the region, as well as unique features. The flood was produced by a hailstorm that was moving rapidly from southwest to northeast and intensified as it interacted with complex terrain. Polarimetric radar observations show that the storm exhibited striking temporal variability, with the Maxwell Canyon tributary of Short Creek and a small portion of the East Fork Virgin River basin experiencing extreme precipitation. Periods of extreme rainfall rates for the 14 September 2015 storm are characterized by KDP signatures of extreme rainfall in polarimetric radar measurements. Similar KDP signatures characterized multiple storms that have produced record and near‐record flood peaks in Colorado Plateau watersheds. The climatology of monsoon thunderstorms that produce flash floods exhibits striking spatial heterogeneities in storm occurrence and motion. The hydroclimatology of flash flooding in arid/semiarid watersheds of the southwestern United States exhibits relatively weak dependence on drainage basin area. Large flood peaks over a broad range of basin scales can be produced by small thunderstorms like the 14 September 2015 Hildale Storm, which pass close to the outlet.

An Observational Analysis of Three Extreme Rainfall Episodes of 19–20 July 2016 along the Taihang Mountains in North China

Abstract This study examines the synoptic- and mesoscale processes leading to the generation of three extreme rainfall episodes with hourly rates of greater than 100 mm h−1 over the southern, middle, and northern portions of the eastern foothills of Mt. Taihang in North China on 19–20 July 2016. The extreme rainfall episodes took place over the 200–600-m elevation zones in the southern and northern portions but also over the lower elevations in the middle portion of the target region, sequentially during late morning, early evening, and midnight hours. Echo training accounted for the development of a linear convective system in the southern region after the warm and moist air carried by a southeasterly low-level jet (LLJ) was lifted to condensation as moving across Mt. Yuntai. In contrast, two isolated circular-shaped convective clusters, with more robust convective cores in its leading segment, developed in the northern region through steep topographical lifting of moist northeasterly airflow, albeit conditionally less unstable. Extreme rainfall in the middle region developed from the convergence of a moist easterly LLJ with a northerly colder airflow associated with an extratropical cyclogenesis. Results reveal that the LLJs and associated moisture transport, the intensifying cyclone interacting with a southwest vortex and its subsequent northeastward movement, and the slope and orientation of local topography with respect to and the stability of the approaching airflows played different roles in determining the timing and location, the extreme rainfall rates, and convective organizations along the eastern foothills of Mt. Taihang.