Extent Mapping Research Articles

WorldCereal: a dynamic open-source system for global-scale, seasonal, and reproducible crop and irrigation mapping

Abstract. The challenge of global food security in the face of population growth, conflict, and climate change requires a comprehensive understanding of cropped areas, irrigation practices, and the distribution of major commodity crops like maize and wheat. However, such understanding should preferably be updated at seasonal intervals for each agricultural system rather than relying on a single annual assessment. Here we present the European Space Agency-funded WorldCereal system, a global, seasonal, and reproducible crop and irrigation mapping system that addresses existing limitations in current global-scale crop and irrigation mapping. WorldCereal generates a range of global products, including temporary crop extent, seasonal maize and cereal maps, seasonal irrigation maps, seasonal active cropland maps, and model confidence layers providing insights into expected product quality. The WorldCereal product suite for the year 2021 presented here serves as a global demonstration of the dynamic open-source WorldCereal system. Validation of the products was done based on best available reference data per product. A global statistical validation for the temporary crop extent product resulted in user's and producer's accuracies of 88.5 % and 92.1 %, respectively. For crop type, a verification was performed against a newly collected street view dataset (overall agreement 82.5 %) and a limited number of publicly available in situ datasets (reaching minimum agreement of 80 %). Finally, global irrigated-area estimates were derived from available maps and statistical datasets, revealing the conservative nature of the WorldCereal irrigation product. The WorldCereal system provides a vital tool for policymakers, international organizations, and researchers to better understand global crop and irrigation patterns and to inform decision-making related to food security and sustainable agriculture. Our findings highlight the need for continued community efforts such as additional reference data collection to support further development and to push the boundaries for global agricultural mapping from space. The global products are available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7875104 (Van Tricht et al., 2023).

Integrating Multiple Geospatial Datasets for Precise and Efficient Surface Water Extent Mapping in Malaysia

Accurate mapping of surface water extent is essential for several applications, including water resources management, climate modelling, biodiversity conservation, agricultural irrigation, hydropower, and food security. Inland water management is critical in Malaysia due to dams, river basins, and heavy rainfall. In a tropical country, mapping surface water is challenging due to cloud cover and dense vegetation. This study proposes an approach that uses rule sets in ArcGIS Model Builder to automate the identification of water bodies. At the regional scale, the extent of surface waters can be mapped by integrating multiple geospatial datasets, including surface terrain, global surface water data, and synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery. Accuracy is calculated by comparing the results to high-resolution optical imagery via the SecureWatch® application. The accuracy of 200 stratified random points is 95%, with a kappa value of 0.90 for water body and land area classes. This study maps a 12,563.95 km2 study area covering several states in Malaysia. These results show that the integration of multiple geospatial datasets using rule sets and data modelling can map the extent of surface waters in Malaysia. The proposed approach could be applied in other tropical countries with similar topography.

Global flood extent segmentation in optical satellite images

Floods are among the most destructive extreme events that exist, being the main cause of people affected by natural disasters. In the near future, estimated flood intensity and frequency are projected to increase. In this context, automatic and accurate satellite-derived flood maps are key for fast emergency response and damage assessment. However, current approaches for operational flood mapping present limitations due to cloud coverage on acquired satellite images, the accuracy of flood detection, and the generalization of methods across different geographies. In this work, a machine learning framework for operational flood mapping from optical satellite images addressing these problems is presented. It is based on a clouds-aware segmentation model trained in an extended version of the WorldFloods dataset. The model produces accurate and fast water segmentation masks even in areas covered by semitransparent clouds, increasing the coverage for emergency response scenarios. The proposed approach can be applied to both Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8/9 data, which enables a much higher revisit of the damaged region, also key for operational purposes. Detection accuracy and generalization of proposed model is carefully evaluated in a novel global dataset composed of manually labeled flood maps. We provide evidence of better performance than current operational methods based on thresholding spectral indices. Moreover, we demonstrate the applicability of our pipeline to map recent large flood events that occurred in Pakistan, between June and September 2022, and in Australia, between February and April 2022. Finally, the high-resolution (10-30m) flood extent maps are intersected with other high-resolution layers of cropland, building delineations, and population density. Using this workflow, we estimated that approximately 10 million people were affected and 700k buildings and 25,000 km^2 of cropland were flooded in 2022 Pakistan floods.

Applied soft classes and fuzzy confusion in a patchwork semi-arid ecosystem: Stitching together classification techniques to preserve ecologically-meaningful information

Dryland ecosystems have complex vegetation communities, including subtle transitions between communities and heterogeneous coverage of key functional groups. This complexity challenges the capacity of remote sensing to represent land cover in a meaningful way. Many remote sensing methods to map vegetation in drylands simplify fractional cover into a small number of functional groups that may overlook key ecological communities. Here, we investigate a remote sensing process that further advances our understanding of the link between remote sensing and ecologic community types in drylands. We propose a method using k-means clustering to establish soft classes of vegetation cover communities from detailed field observations. A time-series of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery and a random forest classification leverages the mixing of different phenologies over time to impute such soft community classes over the landscape. Next, we discuss the advantages of using a fuzzy confusion approach for soft classes in cases such as understanding subtle transitions in ecotones, identifying areas for targeted remediation or treatment, and in ascertaining the spatial distribution of non-dominant covers such as biological soil crusts and small native bunchgrasses which have typically been difficult to map with traditional remote sensing classifications. Our pixel-level analysis is relevant to the scale of management decisions and represents the complexity of the landscape. The combination of cloud computing with the spatial, temporal, and spectral observations from Sentinel-2 allow us to develop these ecologically-meaningful observations at large spatial extents, including complete coverage at landscape scales. Re-interpretation of large extent maps of soft classes may be helpful to land managers who need community-level information for fuel breaks, restoration, invasive plant suppression, or habitat identification.

Optimizing the accuracy of flood extent mapping using multitemporal stack of Sentinel-1 SAR data with machine learning approach for Wardha River, Chandrapur District (India)

Optimizing the accuracy of flood extent mapping using multitemporal stack of Sentinel-1 SAR data with machine learning approach for Wardha River, Chandrapur District (India)

Global mangrove soil organic carbon stocks dataset at 30 m resolution for the year 2020 based on spatiotemporal predictive machine learning.

This dataset presents global soil organic carbon stocks in mangrove forests at 30 m resolution, predicted for 2020. We used spatiotemporal ensemble machine learning to produce predictions of soil organic carbon content and bulk density (BD) to 1 m soil depth, which were then aggregated to calculate soil organic carbon stocks. This was done by using training data points of both SOC (%) and BD in mangroves from a global dataset and from recently published studies, and globally consistent predictive covariate layers. A total of 10,331 soil samples were validated to have SOC (%) measurements and were used for predictive soil mapping. We used time-series remote sensing data specific to time periods when the training data were sampled, as well as long-term (static) layers to train an ensemble of machine learning model. Ensemble models were used to improve performance, robustness and unbiasedness as opposed to just using one learner. In addition, we performed spatial cross-validation by using spatial blocking of training data points to assess model performance. We predicted SOC stocks for the 2020 time period and applied them to a 2020 mangrove extent map, presenting both mean predictions and prediction intervals to represent the uncertainty around our predictions. Predictions are available for download under CC-BY license from 10.5281/zenodo.7729491 and also as Cloud-Optimized GeoTIFFs (global mosaics).

Mapping the National Seagrass Extent in Seychelles Using PlanetScope NICFI Data

Seagrasses provide ecosystem services worth USD 2.28 trillion annually. However, their direct threats and our incomplete knowledge hamper our capabilities to protect and manage them. This study aims to evaluate if the NICFI Satellite Data Program basemaps could map Seychelles’ extensive seagrass meadows, directly supporting the country’s ambitions to protect this ecosystem. The Seychelles archipelago was divided into three geographical regions. Half-yearly basemaps from 2015 to 2020 were combined using an interval mean of the 10th percentile and median before land and deep water masking. Additional features were produced using the Depth Invariant Index, Normalised Differences, and segmentation. With 80% of the reference data, an initial Random Forest followed by a variable importance analysis was performed. Only the top ten contributing features were retained for a second classification, which was validated with the remaining 20%. The best overall accuracies across the three regions ranged between 69.7% and 75.7%. The biggest challenges for the NICFI basemaps are its four-band spectral resolution and uncertainties owing to sampling bias. As part of a nationwide seagrass extent and blue carbon mapping project, the estimates herein will be combined with ancillary satellite data and contribute to a full national estimate in a near-future report. However, the numbers reported showcase the broader potential for using NICFI basemaps for seagrass mapping at scale.

Tree canopy extent and height change in Europe, 2001–2021, quantified using Landsat data archive

European forests are among the most extensively studied ecosystems in the world, yet there are still debates about their recent dynamics. We modeled the changes in tree canopy height across Europe from 2001 to 2021 using the multidecadal spectral data from the Landsat archive and calibration data from Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS) and spaceborne Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) lidars. Annual tree canopy height was modeled using regression tree ensembles and integrated with annual tree canopy removal maps to produce harmonized tree height map time series. From these time series, we derived annual tree canopy extent maps using a ≥ 5 m tree height threshold. The root-mean-square error (RMSE) for both ALS-calibrated and GEDI-calibrated tree canopy height maps was ≤4 m. The user's and producer's accuracies estimated using reference sample data are ≥94% for the tree canopy extent maps and ≥ 80% for the annual tree canopy removal maps. Analyzing the map time series, we found that the European tree canopy extent area increased by nearly 1% overall during the past two decades, with the largest increase observed in Eastern Europe, Southern Europe, and the British Isles. However, after the year 2016, the tree canopy extent in Europe declined. Some regions reduced their tree canopy extent between 2001 and 2021, with the highest reduction observed in Fennoscandia (3.5% net decrease). The continental extent of tall tree canopy forests (≥ 15 m height) decreased by 3% from 2001 to 2021. The recent decline in tree canopy extent agrees with the FAO statistics on timber harvesting intensification and with the increasing extent and severity of natural disturbances. The observed decreasing tree canopy height indicates a reduction in forest carbon storage capacity in Europe.

Characterizing annual dynamics of urban form at the horizontal and vertical dimensions using long-term Landsat time series data

The dynamics of built-up height are a crucial aspect of urban form, enabling the characterization of urban growth patterns and the attainment of sustainable development goals. While past studies have focused on urban extent mapping, little has been done to reveal changes in vertical structures in built-up areas. In this study, we reconstructed annual urban form dynamics in Beijing, China, from 1990 to 2020, utilizing Landsat time-series data. First, we identified urban growth and renewal years using a temporal segmentation approach. Then, we reconstructed the annual dynamics of built-up heights through logical reasoning, using the reference height in 2020 and the identified changing years. We evaluated the derived dataset and analyzed the urban growth patterns (i.e., upward and outward) over the past three decades. The detected change years are reliable, with an overall accuracy of 88% (±1 year). Meanwhile, the reconstructed built-up height data showed good agreement with surveyed results (R2: 0.92), with a root mean square error of 2.87 m and a mean absolute error of 2.07 m. Most expanded built-up areas during 1990–2020 were located at the fringe of the central city, and about 16% experiencing multiple changes. Overall, outward growth was prominent in Beijing during the first decade, while upward growth became dominant in most districts thereafter. The proposed framework provides a new way to reveal annual urban form dynamics through time series analysis, with great potential to support relevant studies such as urban climate modeling and carbon emissions studies.

Flood Inundation and Depth Mapping Using Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Combined with High-Resolution Multispectral Imagery

The identification of flood hazards during emerging public safety crises such as hurricanes or flash floods is an invaluable tool for first responders and managers yet remains out of reach in any comprehensive sense when using traditional remote-sensing methods, due to cloud cover and other data-sourcing restrictions. While many remote-sensing techniques exist for floodwater identification and extraction, few studies demonstrate an up-to-day understanding with better techniques in isolating the spectral properties of floodwaters from collected data, which vary for each event. This study introduces a novel method for delineating near-real-time inundation flood extent and depth mapping for storm events, using an inexpensive unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based multispectral remote-sensing platform, which was designed to be applicable for urban environments, under a wide range of atmospheric conditions. The methodology is demonstrated using an actual flooding-event—Hurricane Zeta during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. Referred to as the UAV and Floodwater Inundation and Depth Mapper (FIDM), the methodology consists of three major components, including aerial data collection, processing, and flood inundation (water surface extent) and depth mapping. The model results for inundation and depth were compared to a validation dataset and ground-truthing data, respectively. The results suggest that UAV-FIDM is able to predict inundation with a total error (sum of omission and commission errors) of 15.8% and produce flooding depth estimates that are accurate enough to be actionable to determine road closures for a real event.

A Light-Weight Cropland Mapping Model Using Satellite Imagery.

Many applications in agriculture as well as other related fields including natural resources, environment, health, and sustainability, depend on recent and reliable cropland maps. Cropland extent and intensity plays a critical input variable for the study of crop production and food security around the world. However, generating such variables manually is difficult, expensive, and time consuming. In this work, we discuss a cost effective, fast, and simple machine-learning-based approach to provide reliable cropland mapping model using satellite imagery. The study includes four test regions, namely Iran, Mozambique, Sri-Lanka, and Sudan, where Sentinel-2 satellite imagery were obtained with assigned NDVI scores. The solution presented in this paper discusses a complete pipeline including data collection, time series reconstruction, and cropland extent and crop intensity mapping using machine learning models. The approach proposed managed to achieve high accuracy results ranging between 0.92 and 0.98 across the four test regions at hand.

MAPPING PADDY RICE EXTENT AND CROPPING PATTERN IN IADA BARAT LAUT SELANGOR USING INTEGRATION OF SENTINEL-1 AND 2 DATA

The Malaysian government, under the 12th Malaysia Plan (RMK-12), has set a goal to achieve a self-sufficient level (SSL) of 70% for rice production. Accurate and timely spatiotemporal information on harvested rice extent is required to measure progress towards achieving the SSL for rice. Remote sensing technology has been widely used to provide information on rice extent in large areas rapidly. The aim of this study is to create maps of rice extent and cropping patterns in the IADA Barat Laut Selangor (BLS) using a combination of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery data from Sentinel-1, optical imagery data at level-2A or Surface Reflectance (SR) from Sentinel-2, the unsupervised K-means clustering method, and the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud-based computing platform. The clustering results were then classified into rice and non-rice groups, and used to generate rice cropping patterns based on their representative profiles of temporal composite values of VH backscatter of Sentinel-1 data and NDVI of Sentinel-2 data. The accuracy of the map products was evaluated using a confusion matrix based on visual interpretation using very high-resolution imagery in Google Earth (GE) and compared with the existing data from IADA BLS. The rice extent map generated at 10-meter resolution exhibited excellent accuracy with an overall accuracy of 98% and a kappa coefficient of 0.95. The estimated rice parcel area in IADA BLS for 2021 was 17,864 ha, which is close to the existing data of 18,785 ha. The comparison of results in the irrigation block also indicated that the rice field area agreed well with the statistical data, with an R2 of 0.95, RMSE of 357 ha, and relative discrepancy of 4.9%. The cropping pattern also showed satisfactory results as compared to the existing data. These findings demonstrate that the proposed methodology can provide high-accuracy rice extent map products and has the potential to be applied to rice fields across Malaysia and other tropical regions to address food security issues.

Invasion in the Niger Delta: remote sensing of mangrove conversion to invasive Nypa fruticans from 2015 to 2020

AbstractInvasive species are a leading threat to biodiversity worldwide. Nypa palm (Nypa fruticans) has emerged as the predominant invasive species in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria. While endemic mangroves have high rates of carbon sequestration, stabilize coastlines and protect biodiversity, Nypa does not provide these services outside its native region of Southeast Asia. Oil exploration and urbanization in this region also exacerbate mangrove loss and Nypa spread. As Nypa is difficult to distinguish from endemic mangrove species in remotely sensed data, estimates of mangrove and ecosystem services losses in Nigeria are highly uncertain. Here, we analyse multisensor satellite data with machine learning to quantify the rapid expansion of Nypa from 2015 to 2020 in Nigeria. Using Landsat imagery and random forest classification, we quantify total potential Nypa extent in Nigeria in 2019. We then produced a Nypa extent map using iterative combinations of Sentinel‐1 SAR, Sentinel‐2 MSI and ALOS PALSAR. Random forest classifications using SAR data from ALOS and Sentinel‐1 were best suited for mapping Nypa extent with similar accuracies (78% and 75%, respectively). Based on data availability and accuracy, we focussed our change analysis on Sentinel‐1 SAR. Our results show ~28 000 ha of mangroves were converted to Nypa in Nigeria by 2020 and covered a larger extent than endemic mangroves, compounding the effect of the existing degradation and deforestation in the region. We also compared forest height and complexity estimates from Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation LiDAR to further distinguish between endemic mangroves and Nypa in three dimensions. Nypa structural variability, measured by top‐of‐canopy height, vegetation cover, plant area index, and foliage height diversity, was lower than that of mangroves. At current rates of Nypa expansion, the entire area of study would be invaded by Nypa by 2028, with potentially detrimental consequences to the ecosystem services provided by mangroves.

Nudging travellers to societally favourable routes: The impact of visual communication and emotional responses on decision making

As urbanisation increases, in many places, the transport system is suffering from problems that may affect large parts of the urban population, such as traffic congestion or increased air pollution. In both cases, a better distribution of traffic flows could contribute to establishing a more sustainable transport system, and to improve the situation from a societal point of view. In this paper, we use cartographic symbolisation for communicating favourability of route options for achieving a societal benefit. Since map symbols can evoke different emotional responses in the viewer, we investigate to which extent map symbols evoke positive and negative emotions and whether these influence route choice decision making. We created different cartographic visualisations and designed a user study that investigates the effectiveness and suitability of these different visualisation variants for influencing route choice based on two scenarios: traffic and air quality. Fourteen route maps were prepared using different map symbols to symbolise societally favourable and non-favourable route options. The results of this study show that map symbols can be used effectively for influencing route choice towards choosing the favourable route for the two tested scenarios. While visualisations that modify only lines were more effective in the traffic scenario, area symbol modifications were more effective for the air quality scenario. The symbolisation evoked a wide range of emotions in participants. While non-favourable routes mainly evoke negative emotions (particularly fear), favourable routes mainly evoked positive emotions (particularly contentment) or no emotions. The results further demonstrate that for some of the visualisation variants, emotions felt in response to the map visualisations contributed significantly to changing the route choice decisions in favour of the societally favourable route option. The findings of this research demonstrate the relationship between route choice behaviour and emotional responses elicited by map symbols.

Probabilistic modeling framework for flood risk assessment: A case study of Poldokhtar city

Study regionPoldokhtar City is located on the bank of the Kashkan river in Iran. Study focusThis study presents a probabilistic modeling framework for flood risk assessment using Monte Carlo simulations. We developed a Machine Learning (ML)-based flood depth prediction model for Poldokhtar city using the Least Squares Support Vector Machine. HEC-RAS was utilized for 2D flood modeling, and its performance was evaluated by comparing simulated and remote sensing-derived flood extent maps. The simulated results were used to develop a surrogate ML-based model that predicts flood depth maps. Finally, we used this model to estimate the flood risk of Poldokhtar city as a combination of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability for 10000 flood scenarios. New hydrological insights for the regionThe mean annual flood damage of the city based on the proposed framework is US$ 1177034, which is about three times lower than that calculated using the simplified method used in the classical risk analysis (US$ 3455400). Buildings near the floodwalls of the river and in the southwestern parts of the city have higher mean flood losses than those in other areas. Risk index frequencies of buildings reveal the most at-risk zones in the city, where there have been building constructions without considering flood hazards. The proposed framework would be of use to stakeholders such as policymakers to develop effective flood management strategies

Severe wildfires promoted by climate change negatively impact forest amphibian metacommunities

AbstractAimChanges to the extent and severity of wildfires driven by anthropogenic climate change are predicted to have compounding negative consequences for ecological communities. While there is evidence that severe weather events like drought impact amphibian communities, the effects of wildfire on such communities are not well understood. The impact of wildfire on amphibian communities and species is likely to vary, owing to the diversity of their life‐history traits. However, no previous research has identified commonalities among the amphibians at most risk from wildfire, limiting conservation initiatives in the aftermath of severe wildfire. We aimed to investigate the impacts of the unprecedented 2019–2020 black summer bushfires on Australian forest amphibian communities.LocationEastern coast of New South Wales, Australia.MethodsWe conducted visual encounter surveys and passive acoustic monitoring across 411 sites within two regions, one in northeast and one in southeast New South Wales. We used fire severity and extent mapping in two multispecies occupancy models to assess the impacts of fire on 35 forest amphibian species.ResultsWe demonstrate a negative influence of severe fire extent on metacommunity occupancy and species richness in the south with weaker effects in the north—reflective of the less severe fires that occurred in this region. Both threatened and common species were impacted by severe wildfire extent. Occupancy of burrowing species and rain forest specialists had mostly negative relationships with severe wildfire extent, while arboreal amphibians had neutral relationships.Main ConclusionMetacommunity monitoring and adaptive conservation strategies are needed to account for common species after severe climatic events. Ecological, morphological and life‐history variation drives the susceptibility of amphibians to wildfires. We document the first evidence of climate change‐driven wildfires impacting temperate forest amphibian communities across a broad geographic area, which raises serious concern for the persistence of amphibians under an increasingly fire‐prone climate.

MAPPING AREAS IMPACTED BY VOLCANIC FLOWS DURING AN ERUPTION USING SYNTHETIC APERTURE RADAR AND OPTICAL IMAGERY

Abstract. During volcanic disasters, the remoteness of the terrains combined with potentially incapacitated lifelines (e.g., disturbed transportation network) prevent ground-based surveys for timely assessment of damage extents. To that effect, we worked to combine satellite optical and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data to rapidly delineate the areas impacted by fast-moving volcanic flows during an eruption (e.g., Pyroclastic Density Currents (PDCs), lahars), which can in turn be used to target and organize the response efforts. We used the 2015 eruptions of Volcán de Colima (Mexico) and Volcán Calbuco (Chile) volcanoes to calibrate detection thresholds of different types of volcanic flows, from optical and SAR imagery. Optical imagery is used to calculate temporal changes of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) associated with the presence of erupted materials on the surface. SAR amplitude images are used to detect changes in surface roughness (sigma0) attributed to the emplacement of new volcanic flows. Classification of the respective NDVI and SAR amplitude signal changes for different types of volcanic flows is done using very-high-resolution imagery and ground-based data obtained during field work. Linear rescaling of minimal and maximal threshold signals is used to create probability maps of volcanic flow deposits extent, and then combined into a joint probability map to maximize the accuracy of the deposit extents. We tested our ability to generate volcanic flow extent maps during the April 2021 eruption of Soufrière St Vincent, using this detection method and the calibrated threshold values for PDCs and lahars.

Holistic Reduction to Compare and Create New Indices for Global Inter-Seasonal Monitoring: Case Study for High Resolution Surface Water Mapping

A remote sensing method that integrates virtual sampling from formalized visual interpretations is proposed to facilitate land cover mapping and enhance its accuracy, with an emphasis on spatial and temporal scalability. Indices are widely used for mapping and monitoring surface water across space and time; however, they typically display some kind of limitation across different environments and seasons. A decision matrix framework based on observations derived from interpretation keys was designed to compare the performance of existing indices alongside a set of newly developed indices. This comparison helped to shortlist indices that warranted further evaluation and accuracy assessment to identify effective indices for global inter-seasonal surface water extent mapping. Additional visual inspections were conducted for criteria that remained unresolved by the decision matrix to examine index consistency across the seasons in a wide range of geographic settings around the world, and further reduce the shortlist. An accuracy assessment was performed for three new shortlisted indices. On a global scale, CAWI (Comprehensive Automatic Water Index) was the best-performing index. Its distinct binary data distribution provides the possibility of regional automatic Otsu thresholding. CAWI was determined to be compatible for Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8 sensors, providing the highest possible spatial resolution as well as the longest time series for retrospective analyses with freely available multispectral imagery. Two alternative indices were identified for sensors limited to the visible and NIR bands. The first index, CATWIC (Clear and Turbid Water Index Combination), split the classification of water into two components, with one index for generally clear water and another index for turbid water. The second, NDCHRWI (Normalized Difference Colourimetric High Resolution Water Index), applied the hue angle from a normalized difference RGB. Masking indices based on modified HSV Saturation equations were developed to reduce misclassification due to other high reflectance features. The indices’ overall accuracies, respectively, were: 94.97%, 94.51%, and 94.85%. This study concludes with recommendations for the application of different indices for sensors possessing shortwave infrared bands and for sensors limited to the visible and NIR bands, with a simple stratification of six zones for Global Surface Water monitoring.

Global Mangrove Watch: Monthly Alerts of Mangrove Loss for Africa

Current mangrove mapping efforts, such as the Global Mangrove Watch (GMW), have focused on providing one-off or annual maps of mangrove forests, while such maps may be most useful for reporting regional, national and sub-national extent of mangrove forests, they may be of more limited use for the day-to-day management of mangroves and for supporting the Global Mangrove Alliance (GMA) goal of halting global mangrove loss. To this end, a prototype change mangrove loss alert system has been developed to identify mangrove losses on a monthly basis. Implemented on the Microsoft Planetary Computer, the Global Mangrove Watch v3.0 mangrove baseline extent map for 2018 was refined and used to define the mangrove extent mask under which potential losses would be identified. The study period was from 2018 to 2022 due to the availability of Sentinel-2 imagery used for the study. The mangrove loss alert system is based on optimised normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) thresholds used to identify mangrove losses and a temporal scoring system to filter false positives. The mangrove loss alert system was found to have an estimated overall accuracy of 92.1%, with the alert commission and omission estimated to be 10.4% and 20.6%, respectively. Africa was selected for the mangrove loss alert system prototype, where significant losses were identified in the study period, with 90% of the mangrove loss alerts identified in Nigeria, Guinea-Bissau, Madagascar, Mozambique and Guinea. The primary drivers of these losses ranged from economic activities that dominated West Africa and Northern East Africa (mainly agricultural conversion and infrastructure development) to climatic in Southern East Africa (primarily storm frequency and intensity). The production of the monthly mangrove loss alerts for Africa will be continued as part of the wider Global Mangrove Watch project, and the spatial coverage is expected to be expanded to other regions over the coming months and years. The mangrove loss alerts will be published on the Global Mangrove Watch online portal and updated monthly.

A framework for multi-sensor satellite data to evaluate crop production losses: the case study of 2022 Pakistan floods

In August 2022, one of the most severe floods in the history of Pakistan was triggered due to the exceptionally high monsoon rainfall. It has affected ~ 33 million people across the country. The agricultural losses in the most productive Indus plains aggravated the risk of food insecurity in the country. As part of the loss and damage (L&D) assessment methodologies, we developed an approach for evaluating crop-specific post-disaster production losses based on multi-sensor satellite data. An integrated assessment was performed using various indicators derived from pre- and post-flood images of Sentinel-1 (flood extent mapping), Sentinel-2 (crop cover), and GPM (rainfall intensity measurements) to evaluate crop-specific losses. The results showed that 2.5 million ha (18% of Sindh’s total area) was inundated out of which 1.1 million ha was cropland. The remainder of crop damage came from the extreme rainfall downpour, flash floods and management deficiencies. Thus approximately 57% (2.8 million ha) of the cropland was affected out of the 4.9 million ha of agricultural area in Sindh. The analysis indicated expected production losses of 88% (3.1 million bales), 80% (1.8 million tons), and 61% (10.5 million tons) for cotton, rice, and sugarcane. This assessment provided useful tools to evaluate the L&D of agricultural production and to develop evidence-based policies enabling post-flood recovery, rehabilitation of people and restoration of livelihood.