Adaptive Explanations Research Articles

Experience is not enough: A dynamic explanation of the limited adaptation to extreme weather events in public organizations

This study advances theory articulating the micro-level processes behind public organization adaptation to extreme weather. It tackles a persistent puzzle about the limited adaptation to extreme weather among public organizations: why does adaptation remain deficit after public organizations have experienced repeated extreme weather and some catastrophic consequences? We develop a computational agent-based model that integrates extant theory and data from semi-structured interviews of U.S. public transit agency managers, and use the model to investigate how micro-level cognition and behavior interact with environmental constraints to facilitate or impede the diffusion of adaptation. We articulate in greater detail how experience with influential extreme weather events matters to adaptation, highlighting that such experience is insufficient for adaptation to occur. A key insight is that the potential benefits from both increased risk perception and additional financial resources stemming from disaster- or non-disaster-induced opportunities can be underutilized, absent effective coupling between heightened risk perception and availability of resources that creates windows for adaptation. Using this insight, we further identify managerial and policy interventions with maximum leverage to promote adaptation to extreme weather in public organizations. The experiments show that slowing risk perception decay and synchronizing opportunities with extreme weather occurrences can stimulate adaptation.

Observation of Infanticide in the Particolored Flying Squirrel (Hylopetes alboniger) from a Forest in Northeastern Bangladesh

Infanticide, the intentional killing of conspecific infants, has been observed widely in mammals, including squirrels. Several ground squirrels revealed this behavioral anomaly, yet no report has been published on the flying squirrels. We report an observation of killing an infant of the particolored flying squirrel (Hylopetes alboniger) by a conspecific adult intruder in Satchari National Park of northeast Bangladesh. Among the several adaptive explanations for infanticide, our observations point to sexual selection in males that confers a competitive advantage by making females receptive. However, the resource competition hypothesis, where the intruder's offsprings gain access to resources as a result of the infanticide cannot be ruled out. Extensive studies are needed to document the extent of infanticide in flying squirrels and their adaptive significance.

Using automated written corrective feedback in the writing classrooms: effects on L2 writing accuracy

Despite the building up of research on the adoption of automated writing evaluation (AWE) systems, the differential effects of automated written corrective feedback (AWCF) on errors with different severity levels and gains across writing tasks remain unclear. Thus, this study fills in the vacuum by examining how AWCF through Grammarly affects college students’ overall writing accuracy and errors with different severity levels. Using a quasi-experimental design, the findings demonstrate the potentials of AWCF in improving students’ writing accuracy. The results were primarily attributed to the ability of AWCF to promote noticing, provide an adaptive metalinguistic explanation, and engage students in self-directed learning. Nonetheless, some challenges were reported, such as overcorrection, cognitive overload, and limited metalinguistic explanation. Implications for writing pedagogy and future studies are discussed.

An explainable stacked ensemble of deep learning models for improved melanoma skin cancer detection

Malignant melanoma is one of the most dreadful skin cancer types caused by the abnormal growth of melanocyte cells. Deep convolutional neural network (CNN) models are becoming prominent for the automated diagnosis of melanoma from dermoscopic images. Although being incredibly accurate, the “black-box” nature of deep CNN models due to the lack of proper interpretability still prevents their wide-spread use in clinical settings. This paper proposes an explainable CNN-based stacked ensemble framework to detect melanoma skin cancer at earlier stages. In the stacking ensemble framework, the transfer learning concept is used where multiple CNN sub-models that perform the same classification task are assembled. A new model called a meta-learner uses all the sub-models’ predictions and generates the final prediction results. The model is evaluated using an open-access dataset containing both benign and malignant melanoma images. An explainability method is developed by shapely adaptive explanations to produce heatmaps that visualize the areas of melanoma images that are most indicative of the disease. This provides interpretability of our model’s decision in a manner understandable to dermatologists. Evaluation results show the effectiveness of our ensemble model with a high degree of accuracy (95.76%), sensitivity (96.67%), and AUC (0.957).

More than planning: Diversity and drivers of institutional adaptation under climate change in 96 major cities

A key challenge for effective, ongoing urban climate adaptation is to adapt institutions within urban governance. While an extensive foundation of empirical knowledge on urban climate adaptation has accumulated over the last decade, our image of institutional adaptation continues to be dominated by a focus on planning. Whilst understandable, this can obscure a fuller range of areas in which institutional adaptation to climate change is being pursued. Furthermore, methodological path dependency in large-N analysis via a common focus on analyzing formal planning documents risks a skewed perspective as such documents may only offer a partial view. Building on the rich range of work to date assessing climate adaptation in cities, and notwithstanding continued major gaps such as in small-medium cities, we now need to find ways to examine the diversity of institutional adaptation occurring in practice, and to comparatively draw on the situated interpretive knowledge of case experts within individual cities to do so. With this aim in mind, this paper explores institutional adaptation in a specific domain (urban water) in a sample of 96 major cities across six continents through a survey of 319 case experts, examining the diversity of institutional adaptation across contexts and exploratively probing its drivers. Findings show that multiple forms of institutional adaptation are being jointly pursued in cities across all continents, leaning towards ‘softer’ rather than ‘harder’ forms, but nonetheless revealing a wide range of activity. Patterns in drivers suggest a political explanation for institutional adaptation (e.g. involving change agents and political pressure) rather than a rational one (e.g. involving response to climate-related risks and/or extreme events). Overall, there is a need to combine parsimony with expanded interpretive sensibility in advancing large-N research on institutional adaptation diversity in comparative perspective.

Males can adjust offspring sex ratio in an adaptive fashion through different mechanisms.

Sex allocation research has primarily focused on offspring sex-ratio adjustment by mothers. Yet, fathers also benefit from producing more of the sex with greater fitness returns. Here, we review the state-of-the art in the study of male-driven sex allocation and, counter to the current paradigm, we propose that males can adaptively influence offspring sex ratio through a wide variety of mechanisms. This includes differential production and motility of X- versus Y-bearing sperms in mammals, variation in seminal fluid composition in haplo-diploid invertebrates, and epigenetic mechanisms in some fish and lizards exhibiting environmental sex determination. Conflicts of interest between mothers and fathers over offspring sex ratios can emerge, although many more studies are needed in this area. While many studies of sex allocation have focused on adaptive explanations with little attention to mechanisms, and vice versa, the integration of these two topics is essential for understanding male-driven sex allocation.

Adaptive coloration in pied flycatchers (Ficedula hypoleuca)-The devil is in the detail.

Understanding the origin and persistence of phenotypic variation within and among populations is a major goal in evolutionary biology. However, the eagerness to find unadulterated explanatory models in combination with difficulties in publishing replicated studies may lead to severe underestimations of the complexity of selection patterns acting in nature. One striking example is variation in plumage coloration in birds, where the default adaptive explanation often is that brightly colored individuals signal superior quality across environmental conditions and therefore always should be favored by directional mate choice. Here, we review studies on the proximate determination and adaptive function of coloration traits in male pied flycatchers (Ficedula hypoleuca). From numerous studies, we can conclude that the dark male color phenotype is adapted to a typical northern climate and functions as a dominance signal in male–male competition over nesting sites, and that the browner phenotypes are favored by relaxed intraspecific competition with more dominant male collared flycatchers (Ficedula albicollis) in areas where the two species co‐occur. However, the role of avoidance of hybridization in driving character displacement in plumage between these two species may not be as important as initially thought. The direction of female choice on male coloration in pied flycatchers is not simply as opposite in direction in sympatry and allopatry as traditionally expected, but varies also in relation to additional contexts such as climate variation. While some of the heterogeneity in the observed relationships between coloration and fitness probably indicate type 1 errors, we strongly argue that environmental heterogeneity and context‐dependent selection play important roles in explaining plumage color variation in this species, which probably also is the case in many other species studied in less detail.

Environment as Abstraction

The concept of the environment appears to be indispensably involved in adaptive explanation. Quite what its role is, however, is a matter of some dispute. The environment is customarily viewed as the dual of the organism; a wholly external, discrete, autonomous cause of evolution. On this view, the external environment is the principal cause of the adaptedness of form, and the determinant of what it is to be an adaptation. I argue that this conception of the environment neither adequately explains nor individuates evolutionary adaptations. Instead, adaptation, properly construed, is an evolutionary response to affordances. The environment, traditionally construed, underdetermines an organism’s affordances. Instead, I argue that the environment takes its place in evolutionary models not as a discrete causal entity, but as an abstraction.

State dependence explains individual variation in nest defence behaviour in a long-lived bird.

Parental care, such as nest or offspring defence, is crucial for offspring survival in many species. Yet, despite its obvious fitness benefits, the level of defence can consistently vary between individuals of the same species. One prominent adaptive explanation for consistent individual differences in behaviours involves state dependency: relatively stable differences in individual state should lead to the emergence of repeatable behavioural variation whereas changes in state should lead to a readjustment of behaviour. Therefore, empirical testing of adaptive state dependence requires longitudinal data where behaviour and state of individuals of the same population are repeatedly measured.Here, we test if variation in states predicts nest defence behaviour (a ‘risky’ behaviour) in a long‐lived species, the barnacle goose Branta leucopsis. Adaptive models have predicted that an individual's residual reproductive value or ‘asset’ is an important state variable underlying variation in risk‐taking behaviour. Hence, we investigate how nest defence varies as a function of time of the season and individual age, two state variables that can vary between and within individuals and determine asset.Repeated measures of nest defence towards a human intruder (flight initiation distance or FID) of females of known age were collected during 15 breeding seasons. Increasing values of FID represent increasing shyness.We found that females strongly and consistently differed in FID within‐ and between‐years. As predicted by theory, females adjusted their behaviour to state by decreasing their FID with season and age. Decomposing these population patterns into within‐ and between‐individual effects showed that the state‐dependent change in FID was driven by individual plasticity in FID and that bolder females were more plastic than shyer females.This study shows that nest defence behaviour differs consistently among individuals and is adjusted to individual state in a direction predicted by adaptive personality theory.

Making music: Let's not be too quick to abandon the byproduct hypothesis.

It is premature to conclude that music is an adaptation. Given the danger of overextending the adaptationist mode of explanation, the default position should be the byproduct hypothesis, and it should take very strong evidence to drag us into the adaptationist camp. As yet, the evidence isn't strong enough - and the proposed adaptationist explanations have a number of unresolved difficulties.

A Novel Bayesian Optimization-Based Machine Learning Framework for COVID-19 Detection From Inpatient Facility Data.

The whole world faces a pandemic situation due to the deadly virus, namely COVID-19. It takes considerable time to get the virus well-matured to be traced, and during this time, it may be transmitted among other people. To get rid of this unexpected situation, quick identification of COVID-19 patients is required. We have designed and optimized a machine learning-based framework using inpatient’s facility data that will give a user-friendly, cost-effective, and time-efficient solution to this pandemic. The proposed framework uses Bayesian optimization to optimize the hyperparameters of the classifier and ADAptive SYNthetic (ADASYN) algorithm to balance the COVID and non-COVID classes of the dataset. Although the proposed technique has been applied to nine state-of-the-art classifiers to show the efficacy, it can be used to many classifiers and classification problems. It is evident from this study that eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) provides the highest Kappa index of 97.00%. Compared to without ADASYN, our proposed approach yields an improvement in the kappa index of 96.94%. Besides, Bayesian optimization has been compared to grid search, random search to show efficiency. Furthermore, the most dominating features have been identified using SHapely Adaptive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis. A comparison has also been made among other related works. The proposed method is capable enough of tracing COVID patients spending less time than that of the conventional techniques. Finally, two potential applications, namely, clinically operable decision tree and decision support system, have been demonstrated to support clinical staff and build a recommender system.

Is It Income Adaptation or Social Comparison? The Effect of Relative Income on Happiness and the Easterlin Paradox in India

Income adaptation and social comparison are the standard explanations for the lack of a direct long-run relationship between income and happiness. Individuals evaluate life satisfaction relative to past income or income of others. As individual income increases, so also expectations and the mismatch between income and aspirations hold down the happiness level. When everyone’s income increases, the relative position of individuals remains the same, and hence, average happiness does not increase commensurately with increase in income. The validity of the Easterlin Paradox and the relevance of income adaptation and social comparison explanations in India are examined by replicating cross-country analysis with cross-states analysis using the World Values Survey data for 1990–2014 and by applying ordered probit panel estimation. The empirical analysis shows that the long-run income-life satisfaction gradient is negative across states and over time. The panel estimates show the negative relative income effects dominate the positive absolute income effect. There is perfect income adaptation at the individual and aggregate levels. The immediate neighbourhood income—the state average income—is the relevant reference group income. Reducing the income gap and augmenting income sources of the poor may reduce the effect of relative comparison and increase happiness level in the long run in India. JEL Classification: C23, C35, I31

Tip-to-base xylem conduit widening as an adaptation: causes, consequences, and empirical priorities.

In the stems of terrestrial vascular plants studied to date, the diameter of xylem water-conducting conduits D widens predictably with distance from the stem tip L approximating D∝Lb , with b≈0.2. Because conduit diameter is central for conductance, it is essential to understand the cause of this remarkably pervasive pattern. We give reason to suspect that tip-to-base conduit widening is an adaptation, favored by natural selection because widening helps minimize the increase in hydraulic resistance that would otherwise occur as an individual stem grows longer and conductive path length increases. Evidence consistent with adaptation includes optimality models that predict the 0.2 exponent. The fact that this prediction can be made with a simple model of a single capillary, omitting much biological detail, itself makes numerous important predictions, e.g. that pit resistance must scale isometrically with conduit resistance. The idea that tip-to-base conduit widening has a nonadaptive cause, with temperature, drought, or turgor limiting the conduit diameters that plants are able to produce, is less consistent with the data than an adaptive explanation. We identify empirical priorities for testing the cause of tip-to-base conduit widening and underscore the need to study plant hydraulic systems leaf to root as integrated wholes.

Infant cannibalism in wild white-faced capuchin monkeys.

Cannibalism has been observed in a variety of animal taxa; however, it is relatively uncommon in primates. Thus, we rely heavily on case reports of this behavior to advance our understanding of the contexts under which it occurs. Here, we report the first observation of cannibalism in a group of wild white‐faced capuchin monkeys (Cebus imitator). The subject was a dead infant, estimated to be 10 days old, and the probable victim of infanticide. Consumption of the corpse was initiated by a 2‐year‐old male (second cousin of the infant), though it was eventually taken over and monopolized by the group's alpha female (grandaunt of the infant). Although most group members expressed interest in the corpse (sniffing, touching, and threatening it), no others made an attempt to consume it. Given that this is the only observation of cannibalism recorded in over 37 years of study on this population, we consider it to be a rare behavior in this species. This detailed record contributes new data, which, when combined with other reports within and across species and contexts, enables the evaluation of adaptive explanations of cannibalism.

Successful breeding predicts divorce in plovers

When individuals breed more than once, parents are faced with the choice of whether to re-mate with their old partner or divorce and select a new mate. Evolutionary theory predicts that, following successful reproduction with a given partner, that partner should be retained for future reproduction. However, recent work in a polygamous bird, has instead indicated that successful parents divorced more often than failed breeders (Halimubieke et al. in Ecol Evol 9:10734–10745, 2019), because one parent can benefit by mating with a new partner and reproducing shortly after divorce. Here we investigate whether successful breeding predicts divorce using data from 14 well-monitored populations of plovers (Charadrius spp.). We show that successful nesting leads to divorce, whereas nest failure leads to retention of the mate for follow-up breeding. Plovers that divorced their partners and simultaneously deserted their broods produced more offspring within a season than parents that retained their mate. Our work provides a counterpoint to theoretical expectations that divorce is triggered by low reproductive success, and supports adaptive explanations of divorce as a strategy to improve individual reproductive success. In addition, we show that temperature may modulate these costs and benefits, and contribute to dynamic variation in patterns of divorce across plover breeding systems.

СОЦІОКУЛЬТУРНИЙ ТА АКАДЕМІЧНИЙ АСПЕКТИ АДАПТАЦІЇ ІНОЗЕМНИХ СТУДЕНТІВ В УНІВЕРСИТЕТАХ УКРАЇНИ

The article covers the main problems of the foreign students’ adaptation in Ukrainian universities. The socio-cultural adaptation is analyzed; the indicators of its successful overcoming are distinguished, namely: positive emotions in relations with others and the ability of a person to get over changes in social and cultural environment by adjusting to the culture. On analyzing the source base of the study, four main stages of the cultural adaptation process are presented: the honeymoon, culture shock, recovery and adaptation. It is stated that not all students pass the stages with equal success and at the same time. The explanation of academic adaptation and the key referent results of its successful overcoming by foreign students are given. Among them it is singled out success of training, orientation to the future profession, ability to work independently and in a group.Common problems in the foreigners’ adaptation and core necessary university services to help them successfully adapt and study in unfamiliar academic environment are identified. The orientation programs, work of the international student office and various on campus services are described. It is important that these services should be connected not only with education but also with participation in social, cultural, sports and other leisure activities, as well as providing academic, cultural, sports activities, group work, volunteering etc. Much attention is paid to the teachers and mentors’ work with foreign students.Among the main grounds for the foreign students’ successful adaptation at the initial stage are the knowledge of Ukrainian and social support. We state that a teacher or advisor’s consultations during the admission hours in the faculty also has a positive effect on the student adaptation process.It is noted the importance of the propaedeutic preparation and the course of Ukrainian as a foreign language for foreign students to form their communication competence, which will allow communicating freely in different spheres of activity.

Criteria for acceptable studies of animal personality and behavioural syndromes

Criteria for acceptable studies of animal personality and behavioural syndromes

Correlational selection on size and development time is inconsistent across early life stages

Size and development time are universally important traits. Yet evolutionary trends in development time are often viewed as allometric and physiological by-products of initial size, when life-history theory predicts that both traits are targets of selection and evolve adaptively through opposing effects on fitness. Surprisingly, this prediction has rarely been tested by disentangling the direct and indirect effects of size and development time on fitness, as necessary to understand selection on each trait. Here, in a marine external fertiliser that provides novel scope for such tests, we measure directional, quadratic, and correlational selection acting on early size (of embryos and post-hatch larvae) and development time (from fertilisation to hatching) through survival of juveniles in the field. We find little directional selection acting on traits during this selective episode. Rather, selection is primarily correlational, targeting combinations of development time and post-development size in a way that acts against their already-weak positive correlation, and could eventually drive a negative correlation between them if persistent enough. Lack of correlational selection on combinations of embryo size and development time, in contrast, suggests that physiological or allometric constraints more likely explain their positive association. Hence, neither life-history theory nor principles of allometry and physiology alone may predict the evolution of size and development time, warranting greater appreciation of the tension between adaptive and non-adaptive explanations for evolutionary trends in these traits.

The developmental support hypothesis: adaptive plasticity in neural development in response to cues of social support.

Across mammals, cues of developmental support, such as touching, licking or attentiveness, stimulate neural development, behavioural exploration and even overall body growth. Why should such fitness-related traits be so sensitive to developmental conditions? Here, we review what we term the 'developmental support hypothesis', a potential adaptive explanation of this plasticity. Neural development can be a costly process, in terms of time, energy and exposure. However, environmental variability may sometimes compromise parental care during this costly developmental period. We propose this environmental variation has led to the evolution of adaptive plasticity of neural and behavioural development in response to cues of developmental support, where neural development is stimulated in conditions that support associated costs. When parental care is compromised, offspring grow less and adopt a more resilient and stress-responsive strategy, improving their chances of survival in difficult conditions, similar to existing ideas on the adaptive value of early-life programming of stress. The developmental support hypothesis suggests new research directions, such as testing the adaptive value of reduced neural growth and metabolism in stressful conditions, and expanding the range of potential cues animals may attend to as indicators of developmental support. Considering evolutionary and ecologically appropriate cues of social support also has implications for promoting healthy neural development in humans. This article is part of the theme issue 'Life history and learning: how childhood, caregiving and old age shape cognition and culture in humans and other animals'.

Teaching natural selection in early elementary classrooms: can a storybook intervention reduce teleological misunderstandings?

BackgroundDespite the importance of understanding the mechanism of natural selection for both academic success and everyday decision-making, this concept is one of the most challenging to learn in contemporary science. In addition to cumulative socio-cultural influences, intuitive cognitive biases such as the teleological bias—the early developing tendency to explain phenomena in terms of function or purpose—contribute to the difficulty of accurate learning when the process is taught in high school or later. In this work, we therefore investigate—for the first time—the viability of a teacher-led classroom-based storybook intervention for teaching natural selection in early elementary school. The intervention was designed to counteract teleological explanations of adaptation. In consequence, we specifically examined the nature and extent of elementary school children’s teleological reasoning about biological trait change before and after this intervention.ResultsSecond and third grade students demonstrated a variety of misunderstandings at pretest, including teleological preconceptions. Most of these teleological ideas were explicitly accompanied by incorrect mechanistic ideas, confirming that the teleological reasoning observed in this young sample reflected fundamental misunderstandings of adaptation as a goal-directed event. Overall, learning from the classroom intervention was substantial, with students performing significantly better on all measures of natural selection understanding at posttest. Interestingly, explicit teleological reasoning displayed at the pretest did not have a differentially greater impact on learning than other kinds of marked pretest misunderstandings. One explanation for this might be that children displaying teleological misunderstandings at pretest also tended to demonstrate more biological factual knowledge than other students. Another explanation might be that pretest misunderstandings that were not overtly teleological were, nevertheless, implicitly teleological due to the nature of the mechanisms that they referenced. The differential impact of teleological preconceptions on learning might therefore have been underestimated.ConclusionsIn summary, early elementary school children show substantial abilities to accurately learn natural selection from a limited but scalable classroom-based storybook intervention. While children often display explicit teleological preconceptions, it is unclear whether these ideas represent greater impediments to learning about adaptation than other substantial misunderstandings. Reasons for this, and limitations of the present research, are discussed.