Fir tree groove broaching rebound has an obvious impact on the wheel groove manufacturing accuracy. The prediction of wheel groove rebound in the broaching process is an important aspect to improve the manufacturing precision of wheel groove. The deformation caused by cutting force is the main factor that decides wheel groove broaching deformation. For the problem of tree wheel groove broaching deformation and rebound: Firstly, calculating the actual cutting force through experiment and empirical formula of cutting unit cutting force, and then loading the cutting force as the initial load in the wheel groove line; Secondly, using the finite element software-Abaqus to copy the analysis of the wheel groove in the broaching process; Finally, comparing the rebound deformation curve and the data generated by the simulation with the actual ones measured by the worked wheel groove, and the result of simulation is consistent with the rebound. The prediction of wheel groove broaching rebound provides the basic theory to improve the wheel groove broaching of rebound problem.