In the context of climate change, vegetation changes in Laos have attracted widespread attention, especially the profound impact of its greenness changes on ecosystems, water cycles, and climate feedback. However, our understanding of the driving factors of vegetation greenness changes in different latitudes is still limited. This study utilized EVI and climate factor data from 2001 to 2023, employing trend analysis, correlation analysis, and machine learning methods to investigate the spatiotemporal patterns of vegetation greenness changes across Laos and their responses to climate factors. Results revealed an overall increasing trend in vegetation greenness, with 75% of the area exhibiting annual increases, primarily in northern, central, and parts of the southern regions. Conversely, 24.8% of the area experienced declines, concentrated near Vientiane and certain southern regions. Seasonal trends during the wet season largely aligned with annual patterns, although reduced rainfall negatively impacted some areas. The dry season exhibited the most pronounced changes, with 70% of the area showing increased greenness, especially in northern and central regions, despite localized rainfall constraints. Minimum temperature (TMMN) emerged as the most influential factor, with importance values of 0.42 for annual changes and 0.37 for dry season changes, while precipitation impacts varied across space and time. High temperatures affected vegetation more significantly in low-latitude regions, whereas high-latitude areas relied on changes in DSR. This significant finding underscores the differential impact of climate factors on vegetation greenness across latitudes, which is crucial for understanding the complex dynamics of tropical inland ecosystems under climate change and for developing targeted conservation and adaptation strategies.
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