Atrial Fibrillation Events Research Articles

The Impact of Changing Antithrombotic Management in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Cerebrovascular Events Despite Anticoagulation.

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are at increased risk of ischemic cerebrovascular events despite anticoagulants (AC). We aim to evaluate whether changing AC or adding antiplatelet therapy to anticoagulants (AP + AC) in patients with AF presenting with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) despite AC, decreases the risk of recurrent AIS/TIA compared to patients continued on same AC regimen. Patients with AF on AC presenting with AIS or TIA at our center between 2011- 2021 were included. Data on Demographics, index event, antithrombotic therapy before and after index event, recurrent AIS/TIA, or major bleeding events (MBE) were extracted. Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare outcomes between AC unchange vs AC change, and AP + AC vs AC only groups. One hundred eighty-five patients were included (mean age 78.3years; 62% males, median follow-up 9months (IQR 1-34)). Seventeen patients (9%) had AC change, 100 (54%) received AP + AC, 39 (21%) had recurrent AIS/TIA, and 27 (15%) had MBE following index event. No difference was observed between AC unchange vs AC change and AP + AC vs AC only groups regarding recurrent AIS/TIA (HR 1.72 [.65-4.57], P = .27 and HR 1.02 [.53- 1.98], P = .95, respectively) or MBE (HR .85 [.19-3.67], P = .83 and HR 1.49 [.67-3.33)], P = .33, respectively). Fourteen vascular neurologists treated this cohort and 9(64%) implemented AC changes. In this single center retrospective study of 185 patients with AF and AIS/TIA despite AC, changing AC or adding AP agents did not decrease the risk of ischemic cerebrovascular events.

ECHOCARDIOGRAPHIC AND ELECTROCARDIOGRAPHIC PREDICTORS OF NEW ATRIAL FIBRILLATION IN END-STAGE RENAL DISEASE PATIENTS WITH PRESERVED LEFT VENTRICULAR SYSTOLIC FUNCTION

Objective: We investigated the echocardiographic and electrocardiographic predictors for future development of AF in patients with ESRD and preserved LV EF who had never diagnosed AF. Design and method: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cause which leads to adverse cardiovascular outcome in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). AF is common arrhythmia in patients with reduced left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF). It is unclear the predictor of new AF in patients with preserved LV EF. We enrolled 226 patients with ESRD who has performed transthoracic echocardiography. We excluded the 1) 16 patients who has been received a diagnosis of AF, and 2) 19 patients with LV EF < 50%, and 191 patients (121 males, mean 62 ± 14 years) Results: During a mean follow-up period of 885 ± 720 days, AF occurred in 20 (10.5%) patients. The patients with AF development was older (69 ± 12 vs. 61 ± 14 years, p=0.023). There were no differences in history of hypertension, diabetes, stroke and coronary artery disease between two groups. In univariate Cox regression analysis, left atrial volume index (LAVI), right ventricular systolic pressure, age and QRS duration were associated with future AF events. After multivariate Cox regression analysis, age (HR: 1.015, 95% CI: 1.008-1.105, p value: 0.022) and QRS duration (HR: 1.025, 95% CI: 1.001-1.049, p value: 0.043) significantly predicted the future development of AF. Conclusions: QRS duration is well known predictor of cardiovascular outcome in patients with reduced LV EF. In this study, we demonstrated QRS duration predicted new AF events in ESRD patients with preserved LV EF.

Testosterone and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation in older men: further analysis of the ASPREE study

A cardiovascular safety trial of testosterone in men with cardiovascular risk factors or disease found no difference in rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) or death but noted more atrial fibrillation (AF) events in testosterone-treated men. We investigated the relationship between endogenous testosterone concentrations with risk of developing AF in healthy older men. Post-hoc analysis of 4570 male participants in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study. Men were aged ≥ 70 years, had no history of cardiovascular disease (including AF), thyroid disease, prostate cancer, dementia, or life-threatening illnesses. Risk of AF was modelled using Cox proportional hazards regression. Median (IQR) age was 73.7 (71.6-77.1) years and median (IQR) follow-up 4.4 (3.3-5.5) years, during which 286 men developed AF (15.3 per 1000 participant-years). Baseline testosterone was higher in men who developed incident AF compared men who did not [17.0 (12.4-21.2) vs 15.7 (12.2-20.0) nmol/L]. There was a non-linear association of baseline testosterone with incident AF. The risk for AF was higher in men with testosterone in quintiles (Q) 4&5 (Q4:Q3, HR=1.91; 95%CI=1.29-2.83 and Q5:Q3HR=1.98; 95%CI=1.33-2.94). Results were similar after excluding men who experienced MACE or heart failure during follow-up. Circulating testosterone concentrations within the high-normal range are independently associated with an increased risk of incident AF amongst healthy older men. This suggests that AF may be an adverse consequence of high-normal total testosterone concentrations. National Institute on Aging and National Cancer Institute at the National Institutes of Health; Australian Government (NHMRC, CSIRO); Monash University; and AlfredHealth.

Genome-wide association studies reveal differences in genetic susceptibility between single events vs. recurrent events of atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction: the HUNT study.

Genetic research into atrial fibrillation (AF) and myocardial infarction (MI) has predominantly focused on comparing afflicted individuals with their healthy counterparts. However, this approach lacks granularity, thus overlooking subtleties within patient populations. In this study, we explore the distinction between AF and MI patients who experience only a single disease event and those experiencing recurrent events. Integrating hospital records, questionnaire data, clinical measurements, and genetic data from more than 500,000 HUNT and United Kingdom Biobank participants, we compare both clinical and genetic characteristics between the two groups using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) meta-analyses, phenome-wide association studies (PheWAS) analyses, and gene co-expression networks. We found that the two groups of patients differ in both clinical characteristics and genetic risks. More specifically, recurrent AF patients are significantly younger and have better baseline health, in terms of reduced cholesterol and blood pressure, than single AF patients. Also, the results of the GWAS meta-analysis indicate that recurrent AF patients seem to be at greater genetic risk for recurrent events. The PheWAS and gene co-expression network analyses highlight differences in the functions associated with the sets of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and genes for the two groups. However, for MI patients, we found that those experiencing single events are significantly younger and have better baseline health than those with recurrent MI, yet they exhibit higher genetic risk. The GWAS meta-analysis mostly identifies genetic regions uniquely associated with single MI, and the PheWAS analysis and gene co-expression networks support the genetic differences between the single MI and recurrent MI groups. In conclusion, this work has identified novel genetic regions uniquely associated with single MI and related PheWAS analyses, as well as gene co-expression networks that support the genetic differences between the patient subgroups of single and recurrent occurrence for both MI and AF.

AI-enabled left atrial volumetry in coronary artery calcium scans (AI-CACTM) predicts atrial fibrillation as early as one year, improves CHARGE-AF, and outperforms NT-proBNP: The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

BackgroundCoronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain actionable information beyond CAC scores that is not currently reported. MethodsWe have applied artificial intelligence-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry to CAC scans (AI-CACTM) to 5535 asymptomatic individuals (52.2% women, ages 45–84) that were previously obtained for CAC scoring in the baseline examination (2000–2002) of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). AI-CAC took on average 21 ​s per CAC scan. We used the 5-year outcomes data for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and assessed discrimination using the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) of AI-CAC LA volume with known predictors of AF, the CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP. The mean follow-up time to an AF event was 2.9 ​± ​1.4 years. ResultsAt 1,2,3,4, and 5 years follow-up 36, 77, 123, 182, and 236 cases of AF were identified, respectively. The AUC for AI-CAC LA volume was significantly higher than CHARGE-AF for Years 1, 2, and 3 (0.83 vs. 0.74, 0.84 vs. 0.80, and 0.81 vs. 0.78, respectively, all p ​< ​0.05), but similar for Years 4 and 5, and significantly higher than NT-proBNP at Years 1–5 (all p ​< ​0.01), but not for combined CHARGE-AF and NT-proBNP at any year. AI-CAC LA significantly improved the continuous Net Reclassification Index for prediction of AF over years 1–5 when added to CHARGE-AF Risk Score (0.60, 0.28, 0.32, 0.19, 0.24), and NT-proBNP (0.68, 0.44, 0.42, 0.30, 0.37) (all p ​< ​0.01). ConclusionAI-CAC LA volume enabled prediction of AF as early as one year and significantly improved on risk classification of CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP.

Soluble ST2 for predicting heart failure, atrial fibrillation and death in patients with coronary heart disease with or without renal insufficiency

BackgroundThis study aimed to investigate the relationship between baseline soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2) concentration and the outcomes of heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF) or death in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) with or without renal insufficiency (RI). MethodsBetween March 2011 and December 2015, 3454 patients with CHD from the Chinese PLA General Hospital were enrolled in this cohort study. The patients were followed up until October 2021. AF, HF, and death events were recorded. Associations between baseline sST2 concentrations and clinical outcomes were assessed using Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves, and Cox regression and generalised additive models. Subgroup analysis were carried out between RI and non-RI groups. ResultsAmong the patients with CHD (61.5 ± 11.8 years; 78.6 % men), 415 (12.02 %) had RI. During a median follow-up of 8.37 years, HF and AF were reported in 216 (6.25 %) and 174 (5.04 %) patients, respectively, and 297 (8.60 %) died. The K-M curves indicated that patients in the higher quartiles of sST2 concentrations were correlated with a poor survival rate of HF, AF, or death (all Ps < 0.001). Generalised additive model (GAM) demonstrated a nonlinear positive association between sST2 concentration and the risk of HF, AF, and death in CHD patients. The cut-off value of sST2 for predicting HF, AF and death were 32.1, 25.4 and 28.6 ng/mL, respectively. CHD patients with sST2 higher than the cut-off value had higher risks of HF (HR: 3.02, 95%CI: 2.24–4.05), AF (HR: 2.86; 95%CI: 2.10–3.90), and death (HR:2.11, 95%CI: 1.67–2.67). Furthermore, in patients with RI (12.02 %, n = 415), the prognostic value of sST2 over the cut-off value for HF and death remained unchanged (HR: 3.21 and 2.35; P < 0.05). In patients with CHD with or without RI, sST2 improved the area under the curve (AUC) of traditional risk models for predicting clinical endpoint events. ConclusionsThe biomarker sST2 may be useful for predicting HF, AF, and death in patients with CHD. The predicted value was not affected by renal function.

Risk of incident atrial fibrillation after COVID-19 infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundData regarding the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) during the post-acute phase of COVID-19 are lacking. ObjectiveWe assessed the risk of incident AF in COVID-19 recovered patients by performing a systematic review and meta-analysis of the available data. MethodsFollowing the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, we searched Medline and Scopus to locate all articles published up to December 1, 2023, reporting the risk of AF in patients recovered from COVID-19 infection compared with noninfected patients in whom the arrhythmia developed during the same follow-up period. AF risk was evaluated by the Mantel-Haenszel random effects model with hazard ratio as the effect measure with 95% confidence interval (CI); heterogeneity was assessed by Higgins I2 statistic. ResultsOverall, 19,478,173 patients (mean age, 56.5 years; 63.0% male) enrolled in 5 observational studies were included in the analysis. Of these, 5,692,510 recovered from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection. During a mean follow-up of 14.5 ± 3.2 months, a random effects model revealed a pooled incidence of new-onset AF in 2.6% of cases (95% CI, 1.8%–6.18%). Recovered COVID-19 patients presented with a higher risk of incident AF (hazard ratio, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.24–1.99; P < .0001; I2 = 77.9%) compared with noninfected patients during the same follow-up period. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the yielded results. A multivariable metaregression including age, male sex, history of hypertension, coronary artery disease, and length of follow-up was able to explain a significant part of the heterogeneity (R2 = 54.3%; P = .01). ConclusionRecovered COVID-19 patients have a higher risk of AF events compared with individuals from the general population.

Age-Dependent Detection of Atrial Fibrillation with Implantable Cardiac Monitors in Patients with Cryptogenic Stroke.

Background Continuous monitoring using implantable cardiac monitors (ICMs) results in atrial fibrillation (AF) detection rates of up to 30% in patients with cryptogenic stroke (CS). Although higher age is an independent risk factor for AF, there are no age-specific recommendations for the implantation of ICM. Objective The aim of this study was to analyze age-related AF rates in patients with CS and continuous rhythm monitoring, to determine the rates of oral anticoagulation (OAC) and recurrent cerebrovascular events (stroke or transient ischemic attack) in patients with ICM-detected AF, and to describe the temporal relationship of AF detection and recurrent cerebrovascular events. Methods In this observational study, patients with CS provided with ICMs were systematically followed. All patients underwent 72-hour electrocardiography monitoring, transcranial Doppler ultrasound, and transthoracic echocardiography prior to ICM insertion. Follow-up included a regular outpatient presentation every 3 months with medical history, physical examination, and interrogation of the ICM. Results One-hundred eighty-six patients (mean age: 65 ± 12 years, 54% female) were included in this analysis. AF was detected in 6, 27, 56, and 65% ( p < 0.001) of patients aged less than 60, 60 to 69, 70 to 79, and more than or equal to 80 years, respectively. All patients with AF under 60 years had an impaired left ventricular systolic function. OAC was initiated in 85% of the patients with AF. Recurrent cerebrovascular events occurred in 34 patients of whom 14 had a diagnosis of AF. In nine patients, AF was diagnosed before the occurrence of a recurrent cerebrovascular event. Conclusion AF prevalence increased with age and was absent in CS patients younger than 60 years and with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction. The temporal relationship of AF and recurrent cerebrovascular events was weak.

Lower Recurrence Rates of Atrial Fibrillation and MACE Events After Early Compared to Late Ablation: A Danish Nationwide Register Study.

Guidelines recommend prioritizing treatment with antiarrhythmic drugs before referral of patients with atrial fibrillation to ablation, delaying a potential subsequent ablation. However, delaying ablation may affect ablation outcomes. We sought to investigate the impact of duration from diagnosis to ablation on the risk of atrial fibrillation recurrence and adverse events. Using Danish nationwide registries, all patients with first-time ablation for atrial fibrillation were identified and included from 2010 to 2018. Patients were divided into 4 groups by diagnosis-to-ablation time: <1.0 year (early ablation), 1.0 to 1.9 years, 2.0 to 2.9 years, and >2.9 years (late ablation). The primary end point was atrial fibrillation recurrence after the 90-day blanking period, defined by admission for atrial fibrillation, cardioversions, use of antiarrhythmic drugs, or repeat atrial fibrillation ablations. The secondary end point was a composite end point of heart failure, ischemic stroke, or death, and each event individually. The study cohort consisted of 7705 patients. The 5-year cumulative incidence of atrial fibrillation recurrence in the 4 groups was 42.9%, 54.8%, 55.9%, and 58.4%, respectively. Hazard ratios were 1.20 (95% CI, 1.07-1.35), 1.29 (95% CI, 1.13-1.47), and 1.40 (95% CI, 1.28-1.53), respectively, with the early ablation group as reference. The hazard ratio for the combined secondary end point was 1.22 (95% CI, 1.04-1.44) in the late ablation group compared with the early ablation group. In patients undergoing ablation for atrial fibrillation, early ablation was associated with a significantly lower risk of atrial fibrillation recurrence. Furthermore, the associated risk of heart failure, ischemic stroke, or death was significantly lower in early-compared with late-ablation patients.

Comparison of continuous 24-hour and 14-day ECG monitoring for the detection of cardiac arrhythmias in patients with ischemic stroke or syncope.

Previous studies show that using 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) or 24-h ECG monitor for the detection of cardiac arrhythmia events in patients with stroke or syncope is ineffective. The 14-day continuous ECG patch has higher detection rates of arrhythmias compared with conventional 24-h ECG monitoring in patients with ischemic stroke or syncope. This cross-sectional study of patients with newly diagnosed ischemic stroke or syncope received a 24-h ECG monitoring and 14-day continuous cardiac monitoring patch and the arrhythmia events were measured. This study enrolled 83 patients with ischemic stroke or syncope. The detection rate of composite cardiac arrhythmias was significantly higher for the 14-day ECG patch than 24-h Holter monitor (69.9% vs. 21.7%, p = .006). In patients with ischemic stroke, the detection rates of cardiac arrhythmias were 63.4% for supraventricular tachycardia (SVT), 7% for ventricular tachycardia (VT), 5.6% for atrial fibrillation (AF), 4.2% for atrioventricular block (AVB), and 1.4% for pause by 14-day ECG patch, respectively. The significant difference in arrhythmic detection rates were found for SVT (45.8%), AF (6%), pause (1.2%), AVB (2.4%), and VT (9.6%) by 14-day ECG patch but not by 24-h Holter monitor in patients with ischemic stroke or syncope. A 14-day ECG patch can be used on patients with ischemic stroke or syncope for the early detection of AF or other cardiac arrhythmia events. The patch can be helpful for physicians in planning medical or mechanical interventions of patients with ischemic stroke and occult AF.

Mortality after major bleeding in Asian atrial fibrillation patients receiving different direct oral anticoagulants: a nationwide, propensity score study.

In this research, we assessed mortality after major bleeding events in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients taking four direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). Drawing data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database between 2016 and 2019, we focused on AF patients on DOACs who had major bleeding episodes. Using propensity score stabilized weighting, we established four comparable pseudo-DOAC groups. Among 2770 patients (460 dabigatran, 1322 rivaroxaban, 548 apixaban, 440 edoxaban), 85.3% were prescribed low-dose regimens. The 7-day mortality rate was 9.0%, surging to 16.0% by the 30th day. Compared with dabigatran, there was a distinct divergence in 7-day mortality of factor Xa inhibitors (p = 0.012), with hazard ratios of 1.83 (95% CI 1.11-3.00, p = 0.017) for rivaroxaban, 2.13 (95% CI 1.23-3.66, p = 0.007) for apixaban, and 2.41 (95% CI 1.39-4.19, p = 0.002) for edoxaban. This pattern remained consistent when analyzing the subgroup that received lower dosages of DOACs. In conclusion, factor Xa inhibitors were associated with a significantly higher risk of 7-day mortality following major bleeding events than dabigatran among AF patients.

A novel atrial fibrillation automatic detection algorithm based on ensemble learning and multi-feature discrimination.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia disorder that necessitates long-time electrocardiogram (ECG) data for clinical diagnosis, leading to low detection efficiency. Automatic detection of AF signals within short-time ECG recordings is challenging. To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel algorithm called Ensemble Learning and Multi-Feature Discrimination (ELMD) for the identification and detection of AF signals. Firstly, a robust classifier, BSK-Model, is constructed using ensemble learning. Subsequently, the ECG R-waves are detected, and the ECG signals are segmented into consecutive RR intervals. Time domain, frequency domain, and nonlinear features are extracted from these intervals. Finally, these features are fed into the BSK-Model to discriminate AF. The proposed methodology is evaluated using the MIT-BIH AF database. The results demonstrate that when RR intervals are employed as classification units, the specificity and accuracy of AF detection in long-time ECG data exceed 99%, showcasing a significant improvement over traditional single-model classification. Additionally, the sensitivity and accuracy achieved by testing cardiac segments are both above 96%. With a minimum requirement of only four cardiac segments, AF events can be accurately identified, thereby enabling rapid discrimination of short-time single-lead ECG AF events. Consequently, this approach is suitable for real-time and accurate AF detection using low-computational-power ECG diagnostic analysis devices, such as wearable devices.

Amplatzer or Figulla Flex II Occluder: a comparative study of outcomes after transcatheter patent foramen ovale closure.

Percutaneous closure of a patent foramen ovale (PFO) for the prevention of recurrent paradoxical thromboembolic events has been shown to be safe and effective in randomized controlled trials. However, it remains uncertain if differences in the structure and design of the occluder devices impact the outcomes. The aim of this study was to compare results of percutaneous PFO closure using 2 widely used double-disc occluders. Consecutive patients who underwent percutaneous PFO closure with the Abbott Amplatzer occluder (APO) or the Occlutech Figulla-Flex-II occluder (OPO) at the Heart Center Lucerne between February 2017 and December 2022 were included in a registry. The primary endpoint was effective closure of the PFO, defined as a residual shunt grade 0 or 1, assessed by contrast echocardiogram at 6-month follow-up. Secondary endpoints included procedural efficacy/safety and major adverse cardiovascular events during the hospital stay and at 6-month follow-up. One hundred ninety-three consecutive patients (mean age 51.7 ± 12.5 years; 39% women; Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) score = 7, IQR = 6-8) underwent percutaneous PFO closure with the APO (120 patients, 62.2%) or the OPO (73 patients, 37.8%). Main indications for closure were crypotogenic stroke in 168 patients (87.1%) and peripheral embolism in 13 patients (6.7%). At baseline, right-to-left shunt (RLS) greater than or equal to grade 2 was present in 189 patients (97.9%). Immediate procedural success was 99.5%. In 1 patient, an air embolism occurred during positioning of the APO occluder with transient chest pain and electrocardiogram changes, but without further sequelae to the patient. At 6-month follow-up, effective closure was achieved in 185 patients (95.8%; APO: 96.6% vs OPO: 94.5%, P = .30). Rates of atrial fibrillation and recurrent thromboembolic events were 4.2 and 0.5%, respectively. PFO closure is safe and effective when performed with either the self-expanding Abbott Amplatzer or Occlutech Figulla Flex II PFO occluder.

LAA occlusion is effective and safe in very high-risk atrial fibrillation patients with prior stroke: results from the multicentre German LAARGE registry

BackgroundInterventional left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) mitigates the risk of thromboembolic events in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with contraindication for long-term oral anticoagulation (OAC). Patients with prior stroke have a relevantly increased risk of recurrent stroke, so the effectiveness of LAAO could be reduced in this specific very high-risk patient group.AimThis sub-study of the LAARGE registry investigates the effectiveness and safety of LAAO for secondary prevention in nonvalvular AF patients with a history of stroke.MethodsLAARGE is a prospective, non-randomised registry on the clinical reality of LAAO. The current sub-study employs data from index procedure and 1-year follow-up. Effectiveness and safety were assessed by documentation of all-cause mortality, non-fatal thromboembolism, procedure-related complications, and bleeding events.ResultsA total of 638 patients were consecutively included from 38 hospitals in Germany and divided into two groups: 137 patients with a history of stroke (21.5%) and 501 patients without. Successful implantation was consistent between both groups (98.5% vs. 97.4%, p = NS), while peri-procedural MACCE and other complications were rare (0% vs. 0.6% and 4.4% vs. 4.0%, respectively; each p = NS). Kaplan–Meier estimate showed no significant difference in primary effectiveness outcome measure (freedom from all-cause death or non-fatal stroke) between both groups at follow-up (87.8% vs. 87.7%, p = NS). The incidence of transient ischemic attack or systemic embolism at follow-up was low (0% vs. 0.5% and 0.9% vs. 0%, respectively; each p = NS). Severe bleeding events after hospital discharge were rare (0% vs. 0.7%, p = NS).ConclusionsPatients with prior stroke demonstrated similar effectiveness and safety profile for LAAO as compared to patients without prior stroke. LAAO could serve as a feasible alternative to OAC for secondary stroke prevention in this selected group of nonvalvular AF patients.ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT02230748.Graphical LAA occlusion in patients with and without prior stroke – results from the multicentre German LAARGE registry

All-Cause Death and Major Adverse Events in Atrial Fibrillation with Frailty: Observations from the Korea National Health Insurance Service Data.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an indicator of frailty in old patients. This study aimed to investigate the effect of frailty on the use of oral anticoagulants (OAC) and clinical outcomes in a nationwide cohort of patients with new-onset AF. This study included 451,368 participants without AF from the Korea National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening cohort between 2002 and 2009. The Hospital Frailty Risk Score was retrospectively calculated for each patient using all available International Classification of Disease 10th revision diagnostic codes. According to the aggregate score, patients were divided into two groups: the participants without frailty ( 5 points) and the participants with frailty ( 5 points). The primary outcome was death from any cause, and the secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke, major bleeding, and heart failure admission. With up to 7.2 1.5 years of follow-up, 11,953 participants (median age, 67 [interquartile range, 59.5-74.5] years; 7200 [60.2%] males) developed new-onset AF. Among the patients with AF, 3224 (26.9%) had frailty. Frailty was significantly associated with old age, female sex, polypharmacy, and other comorbidities. In patients with AF, frailty was negatively associated with OAC prescription after new-onset AF (p 0.001). Compared to patients without frailty, patients with frailty had a significantly higher incidence and risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 2.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.65-3.14), cardiovascular death (HR 2.42, 95% CI 2.10-2.80), ischemic stroke (HR 2.25, 95% CI 2.02-2.51), major bleeding (HR 2.44, 95% CI 2.17-2.73), and heart failure admission (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.09-1.52). In subgroup analysis, when compared to the non-OAC group, the risks associated with frailty were significantly lower in the OAC group for all-cause death, cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke, and heart failure admission. Frailty was negatively associated with the use of OAC and was a predictor of poor prognosis owing to the association of frailty with death, thromboembolic events, bleeding, and heart failure admission. However, OAC use was associated with lower risks related to frailty for all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with AF.

Machine Learning Approaches to Predict Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Atrial Fibrillation

The increasing prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and its association with Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) presents challenges in early identification and treatment. Although existing risk factors, biomarkers, genetic variants, and imaging parameters predict MACE, emerging factors may be more decisive. Artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques (ML) offer a promising avenue for more effective AF evolution prediction. Five ML models were developed to obtain predictors of MACE in AF patients. Two-thirds of the data were used for training, employing diverse approaches and optimizing to minimize prediction errors, while the remaining third was reserved for testing and validation. AdaBoost emerged as the top-performing model (accuracy: 0.9999; recall: 1; F1 score: 0.9997). Noteworthy features influencing predictions included the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), diabetes mellitus, cancer, the Wells scale, and CHA2DS2-VASc, with specific associations identified. Elevated MACE risk was observed, with a CCI score exceeding 2.67 ± 1.31 (p &lt; 0.001), CHA2DS2-VASc score of 4.62 ± 1.02 (p &lt; 0.001), and an intermediate-risk Wells scale classification. Overall, the AdaBoost ML offers an alternative predictive approach to facilitate the early identification of MACE risk in the assessment of patients with AF.

Predictive value of soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Atrial fibrosis is the main pathological basis for the pathogenesis and progression of atrial fibrillation (AF). Soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2) is involved in fibrosis. Recent studies have explored its predictive value in AF outcomes. We performed this study to assess whether sST2 is an independent biomarker of AF outcomes and explore the potential mechanism. PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were searched systematically from inception through July 1, 2023, to identify relevant studies. Outcomes of interest included occurrence, recurrence, and major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) of AF. This meta-analysis was reported following the criteria outlined in PRISMA 2020, and the protocol was registered in PROSPERO (number: CRD42023459789). All statistical analyses were performed using the STATA version 16. Twenty four studies with 14,755 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The meta-analyses found that sST2 was significantly associated with the risk of occurrence [HR:1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.07, P < 0.01; I2 = 67.8%], recurrence [HR:1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.16, P < 0.01; I2 = 89.5%], and MACEs (HR:1.60, 95% CI: 1.13-2.27, P < 0.01; I2 = 82.0%) of AF. Furthermore, patients with AF showed higher sST2 than controls without AF (SMD: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.27-0.54, P < 0.01; I2 = 0%), and AF patients with recurrence after catheter ablation (CA) showed significantly higher sST2 than those without recurrence (SMD: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.33-1.28, P < 0.01; I2 = 83.9%). Sensitivity analyses showed that the outcomes were stable. Higher sST2 was association with an increased risk of occurrence, recurrence, and MACEs of AF. Assessing sST2 can be used as a potential screening method to predict AF outcomes. PROSPERO (CRD42023459789).

Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists and atrial fibrillation: a meta-analysis of clinical trials.

Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) improve cardiovascular outcomes in a variety of settings. This study aimed to assess whether cardioprotective effects of MRAs are modified by heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) status and to study their impact on AF events. MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Central databases were searched to 24 March 2023 for randomized controlled trials evaluating the efficacy of MRAs as compared with placebo or usual care in reducing cardiovascular outcomes and AF events in patients with or at risk for cardiovascular diseases. Random-effects models and interaction analyses were used to test for effect modification. Meta-analysis of seven trials (20 741 participants, mean age: 65.6 years, 32% women) showed that the efficacy of MRAs, as compared with placebo, in reducing a composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization remains consistent across patients with HF [risk ratio = 0.81; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.67-0.98] and without HF (risk ratio = 0.84; 95% CI: 0.75-0.93; interaction P = .77). Among patients with HF, MRAs reduced cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization in patients with AF (hazard ratio = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.54-1.66) to a similar extent as in those without AF (hazard ratio = 0.82; 95% CI: 0.63-1.07; interaction P = .65). Pooled data from 20 trials (21 791 participants, mean age: 65.2 years, 31.3% women) showed that MRAs reduce AF events (risk ratio = 0.76; 95% CI: 0.67-0.87) in both patients with and without prior AF. Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists are similarly effective in preventing cardiovascular events in patients with and without HF and most likely retain their efficacy regardless of AF status. Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists may also be moderately effective in preventing incident or recurrent AF events.

Pulmonary vein dose and risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with non-small cell lung cancer following definitive radiotherapy: An NI-HEART analysis

Background and purposeSymptomatic arrhythmia is common following radiotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), frequently resulting in morbidity and hospitalization. Modern treatment planning technology theoretically allows sparing of cardiac substructures. Atrial fibrillation (AF) comprises the majority of post-radiotherapy arrhythmias, but efforts to prevent this cardiotoxicity have been limited as the causative cardiac substructure is not known. In this study we investigated if incidental radiation dose to the pulmonary veins (PVs) is associated with AF. Material and methodsA single-centre study of patients completing contemporary (chemo)radiation for NSCLC, with modern planning techniques. Oncology, cardiology and death records were examined, and AF events were verified by a cardiologist. Cardiac substructures were contoured on planning scans for retrospective dose analysis. ResultsIn 420 eligible patients with NSCLC treated with intensity-modulated (70%) or 3D-conformal (30%) radiotherapy with a median OS of 21.8 months (IQR 10.8–35.1), there were 26 cases of new AF (6%). All cases were grade 3 except two cases of grade 4. Dose metrics for both the left (V55) and right (V10) PVs were associated with the incidence of new AF. Metrics remained statistically significant after accounting for the competing risk of death and cardiovascular covariables for both the left (HR 1.02, 95%CI 1.00–1.03, p = 0.005) and right (HR 1.01 (95%CI 1.00–1.02, p = 0.033) PVs. ConclusionRadiation dose to the PVs during treatment of NSCLC was associated with the onset of AF. Actively sparing the PVs during treatment planning could reduce the incidence of AF during follow-up, and screening for AF may be warranted for select cases.

Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Thyroid hormones act on the cardiovascular system directly by modulating its function and indirectly by transcriptional regulation of gene expression in the heart and the vasculature. Studies have shown associations between overt and subclinical thyroid disorders and cardiovascular outcomes. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the potential relationships between subclinical hyper- and hypothyroidism and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), and post-operative AF. MEDLINE and Scopus databases were searched from inception to 18th February 2023 for randomised controlled trials, case-control studies, and cohort studies which assessed the relationship between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and incident AF events. Risk of bias and the quality of evidence were assessed using the RoBANS tool and GRADE approach, respectively. Meta-analysis was conducted in Review Manager 5.4 using the Mantel-Haenszel statistical method and a random-effects model. Data are presented as risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals. Statistical heterogeneity amongst studies was assessed by the chi-squared (χ2) test and I2 statistic. p≤0.05 were considered significant. A total of 6467 records were identified, of which 10 cohort studies met the inclusion criteria. Both subclinical hyperthyroidism and subclinical hypothyroidism were associated with an increased risk of incident AF (risk ratio (RR), 1.99; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.43-2.77; n = 5 studies; p<0.0001 and RR, 1.19; CI, 1.03-1.39; n = 7 studies; p = 0.02, respectively). Subgroup analysis for post-operative AF revealed marked heterogeneity between studies (I2 = 84%) and association with subclinical hypothyroidism was not significant (RR, 1.41; CI, 0.89-2.22; n = 3 studies; p = 0.15). The current evidence suggests that both subclinical hyperthyroidism and subclinical hypothyroidism are associated with increased risk of incident AF. Further investigation is required to determine potential causal links that would guide future clinical practice.