Event Date Research Articles

Descriptive evaluation of a camera-based dairy cattle lameness detection technology

Lameness in dairy cattle is a clinical sign of impaired locomotion, mainly caused by painful foot lesions, compromising the US dairy industry's economic, environmental, and social sustainability goals. Combining technology and on farm data may be a more precise and less labor-intensive lameness detection tool, particularly for early detection. The objective of this observational study was to describe the association between average weekly autonomous camera-based (AUTO) locomotion scores and hoof trimming (HT) data. The AUTO data were collected from 3 farms from April 2022 to March 2023. Historical farm HT data were collected from March 2016 to March 2023 and used to determine cow lesion history and date of HT event. The HT events were categorized as a regular HT (TRIM; n = 2290) or a HT with a lesion recorded (LESION; n = 670). Events with LESION were sub-categorized based on lesion category: digital dermatitis (DD; n = 276), sole ulcer (SU; n = 79), white line disease (WLD; n = 141), and other (n = 174). The data also contained the leg of the LESION, classified as front left (FL; n = 54), front right (FR; n = 146), rear left (RL; n = 281), or rear right (RR; n = 183) leg with 6 events missing the leg. Cows' HT histories were classified as follows: cows with no previous recorded instance of any lesion were classified as TRIM0 (n = 1554). The first instance of any hoof lesion was classified as LESION1 (n = 238). This classification was retained until a subsequent TRIM occurred - recorded as TRIM1 (n = 632). The next unique instance of any lesion following a TRIM1 was classified as LESION2 (n = 86). Any LESION events occurring after LESION1 or LESION2 without a subsequent TRIM were considered a hoof lesion recurrence and classified as LESIONRE1 (n = 164) and LESIONRE2 (n = 22), respectively. TRIM events after LESION2 or LESION2RE (n = 104) or LESION events after LESIONRE1 or LESIONRE2 were classified as LESION_OTHER (n = 160). The AUTO scores from -28 to -1 days prior to the HT event were summarized into weekly scores and included if cows had at least 1 observation per week in the 4 weeks before the event. For all weeks, LESION cows had a higher median AUTO score than TRIM cows. Cows with TRIM0 had the lowest and most consistent median weekly score compared to LESION and other TRIM classifications. Before HT cows with TRIM0 and TRIM1, both had median score increases of 1 across the 4 weeks, while the LESION categories had an increase of 4 to 8. Scores increased with each subsequent LESION event compared to the previous LESION event. Cows with SU lesions had the highest median score across the 4 weeks, WLD had the largest score increase, and DD had the lowest median score and score increase. When grouping a LESION event by leg the hoof lesion was found on, the AUTO scores for four groups displayed comparable median values. Due to the difference between TRIM and LESION events, this technology shows potential for the early detection of hoof lesions.

MARKET REACTION TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF BASEL CAPITAL IN SOUTH AFRICAN BANKS: EVENT STUDY APPROACH

This study investigated the stock market reaction and the effect of the implementation of Basel II and Basel III on the stock returns of South African banks. In achieving this aim, this study focused on daily and annual data of six commercial banks from 3rd January 2004 to 31st December 2022. The event study methodology was employed to identify abnormal returns around the specified event dates. The effect of the changes in Basel capital requirements on stock returns was not uniform across the four events. The market reacted favourably to the implementation of the Basel II requirements in the country. There was a significantly negative market reaction to the subsequent full implementation of Basel III official. Finally, higher Basel capital requirements (CAR) was associated with lower bank stock returns. The findings implied that bank regulators increase capital to strengthen the banking system but constrain the maximisation of shareholders’ values.

Unblocking COVID-19 impact on stock returns

COVID-19 altered global economics activities during the pandemic period and still affects the stock returns. As worldwide resulted, this shift has changed the Pakistani stock returns activities. This study unfolds the impact of COVID-19 on stock returns frequency of pharmaceutical, power generation, technology and communication, and food sectors in Pakistan. To examine the relationship of above-mentioned sectors with stock returns, data were evaluated through event window that included the event dates of the 150-day and 60-day estimating period. COVID-19 has a considerable detrimental influence on stock returns during the post-event interval. The study findings showcase significant negative relationship with stock returns of the above-mentioned sectors. However, the results are contradictory during the second wave of coronavirus infection. Furthermore, the study also substantiates that COVID-19 has significantly affected the stock market performances of Pakistan. Still, the impact on the stock market performances was only for a short period, and it diminished in the second wave of COVID-19 spread in Pakistan. The findings contribute to the research on the stock returns of selected sectors and commodity market impact of a pandemic by providing empirical evidence that COVID-19 has spill-over effects on stock market. This result also helps investors in assessing the trends of the stock and commodity markets during the pandemic outbreak. Managers are encouraged to modify their strategies to maintain stocks of the firm for better performance under the direction of study findings.

Retrospective Database Analysis of Liver-Related Clinical Events in Adult and Pediatric Patients with Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency in the United States.

Real-world analyses on burden of illness in patients with alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD) are limited. We investigated the real-world burden of liver-related clinical events among adult and pediatric patients with AATD in the USA. This was a retrospective, observational analysis of administrative claims data from the IQVIA PharMetrics® Plus and Ambulatory Electronic Medical Records databases from 2011 to 2022. Patients had a diagnosis of liver and/or lung disease with ≥180 days of continuous enrollment in the IQVIA PharMetrics Plus database before and ≥90 days after their first diagnosis. Follow-up time was assigned to the AATD with liver disease health state or AATD with both liver and lung disease health state (for patients aged ≥18 years only). Baseline demographic characteristics and liver-related clinical events of interest were reported. Of 5136 eligible patients, 771 adult and 123 pediatric patients contributed time to the AATD with liver disease health state; 541 adults contributed time to the AATD with both liver and lung disease health state. Among adults, patients with both liver and lung disease had higher rates of liver-related clinical events than patients with liver disease alone. Ascites was the most frequently observed clinical event among adults in both health states, and the median time to the composite of any liver-related clinical event was 26.5 days among all adults combined. Across all pediatric age groups, ascites, gastrointestinal bleed and hepatic encephalopathy were more common than spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and hepatocellular carcinoma, but median time to liver-related clinical event varied by age group at index date and type of event. No liver transplantations occurred in patients aged 6-17 years. Diagnosed AATD with liver disease carries a substantial burden on adult and pediatric patients; new treatment options are warranted to avoid disease progression to decompensating events.

Comprehensive Analysis of Adverse Events Associated With Hypoglossal Nerve Stimulators: Insights From the MAUDE Database

AbstractObjectiveThis study aims to examine the adverse events associated with hypoglossal nerve stimulator (HNS) implantation for treating obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), drawing data from the Manufacturer and User Facility Device Experience (MAUDE) database. We aim to provide a comprehensive and updated account of these adverse events.Study DesignRetrospective analysis.SettingMAUDE Database review.MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed on the MAUDE database to collect all HNS‐related reports from May 2014 to December 2023. Variables collected included date of event, event description, nature of event, iatrogenic injuries, required interventions, and, if available, root causes. Each event description was analyzed to classify the adverse event, the postevent intervention, and device model number.ResultsOut of 1178 reports fulfilling the inclusion criteria, 1312 adverse events were identified. Common adverse events included infection (24.0%), pain (19.7%), and hematoma/seroma (10.2%). Approximately 83.1% of these adverse events necessitated medical and/or surgical intervention. The most frequent procedures included explantation (29.4%) and device repositioning (15.8%). Pneumothorax was reported in 50 cases, with 41 (82.0%) requiring a chest tube to be inserted. Three adverse events described overstimulation in the setting of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) despite the implantation of MRI‐compatible second‐generation internal pulse generators.ConclusionWhile HNS implantation has been established as a reliable intervention for OSA in cases of continuous positive airway pressure failure or intolerance, this study highlights several perioperative and postoperative difficulties and complications. Understanding these challenges is essential for refining surgical practices and enhancing patient consent processes, ultimately aiming to improve therapeutic outcomes.

Heteroplasmy Is Rare in Plant Mitochondria Compared with Plastids despite Similar Mutation Rates.

Plant cells harbor two membrane-bound organelles containing their own genetic material-plastids and mitochondria. Although the two organelles coexist and coevolve within the same plant cells, they differ in genome copy number, intracellular organization, and mode of segregation. How these attributes affect the time to fixation or, conversely, loss of neutral alleles is currently unresolved. Here, we show that mitochondria and plastids share the same mutation rate, yet plastid alleles remain in a heteroplasmic state significantly longer compared with mitochondrial alleles. By analyzing genetic variants across populations of the marine flowering plant Zostera marina and simulating organelle allele dynamics, we examine the determinants of allele segregation and allele fixation. Our results suggest that the bottlenecks on the cell population, e.g. during branching or seeding, and stratification of the meristematic tissue are important determinants of mitochondrial allele dynamics. Furthermore, we suggest that the prolonged plastid allele dynamics are due to a yet unknown active plastid partition mechanism. The dissimilarity between plastid and mitochondrial novel allele fixation at different levels of organization may manifest in differences in adaptation processes. Our study uncovers fundamental principles of organelle population genetics that are essential for further investigations of long-term evolution and molecular dating of divergence events.

How Do Futures Contracts on Agricultural Commodities Respond to El Nino Weather Events?

This study examines how futures contracts on wheat, soybeans, corn and sugarcane respond to El Nino weather events over the period March 2010 to April 2024. We use the monthly ENSO forecast data from the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration to benchmark the start of an El Nino forecast, which we define as the first reporting month in which a current or forecasted El Nino probability exceeds 50%. We examine two periods around each event: the six months leading up to the El Nino forecast, and the six months following the event date. We find that El Nino weather events have significant effects on commodity futures prices. Wheat, soybean and corn futures prices (expressed in dollars) generally decline after an El Nino forecast, consistent with improved harvests due to an increase in rain. We also find that El Nino events are associated with increased volatility in commodity futures markets. Our study can inform hedgers and speculators who participate in the agricultural derivatives markets, as well as policymakers who may be interested in initiating or adjusting any subsidies granted to farmers or food consumers, as compensation for price pressures.

Post-fire soil erosion: Two years of monitoring − First time detected implications between extremely intense consecutive rainfall events and erosion rates

The research was carried out in one of the most important suburban forests of Greece, after a wildfire (2021). The objectives include the estimation of the annual soil erosion, the effect of extremely intense and consecutive rainfalls on erosion process, the correlation among erosion, rainfall intensity and other factors. To monitor soil erosion in burned and unburned areas, erosion measurements were obtained installing silt fences. The results showed that the main factor affecting annual erosion is the presence or not of vegetation. Rainfall intensity is a major determinant of erosion, especially when it exceeds 6–7 mm/30 min. However, it was revealed that erosion does not increase significantly in burned areas, despite the increase of rainfall intensity. In unburned area the erosion was significantly increased, above a rainfall intensity threshold (>10 mm/30 min). For the first time, it was shown that in cases of two consecutive and very heavy rainfalls, the second and more intense rain caused significantly lower erosion than the first one. A 690 % average increase in R factor during the 2nd storm, showed an average decrease in soil erosion of 20 % (burned and unburned areas). The present study also revealed that the high increase of R factor in the 2nd post-fire year did not trigger a significant increase of soil erosion, since the extreme erosive events occurred very close to each other in time. These findings highlight that the use of R factor in RUSLE, to calculate the annual erosion in burned or unburned areas, detached from the respective field data establishment to validate the model, involves high uncertainties, which could possibly result in wrong erosion rates calculations. Researches and stakeholders, who use the R factor in erosion modeling, should previously examine in detail the exact dates of erosive events, before the implementation of the erosion model.

Testicular germ cell tumor survival among children, adolescents, and young adults: A population-based retrospective cohort study.

10035 Background: While testicular germ cell tumor (TGCT) overall survival (OS) exceeds 90%, some patient groups, such as adolescents, have inferior event free survival (EFS) outcomes. There is a paucity of granular, population-derived data about outcomes in children, adolescents, and young adults (CAYA) with TGCT, limiting a deeper understanding of the factors that impact their survival. Methods: All male CAYA (ages 11-21 years) in Ontario, Canada diagnosed with TGCT between 1992-2021 were identified using provincial cancer registries. Detailed disease and treatment characteristics were chart abstracted for ~2/3 of the cohort and determined through health administrative databases for the remainder. We assessed 5-year OS and EFS (first of death, recurrence/progression, or subsequent malignant neoplasm [SMN]) using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log rank test. Follow-up started at TGCT diagnosis, except for survival after SMN or recurrence, where follow-up started at event date. Results: 748 TGCT patients were identified; 521 were chart abstracted and thus had EFS data available. Median age at diagnosis was 19 years (interquartile range:18-21) and 83.6% had non-seminoma histology. OS and EFS ± standard error (SE) were (94.7 ± 0.8 %, n=748) and (76.4 ± 1.9%, n=521), respectively. Among patients with chart abstracted data, OS and EFS differed by cancer extent at diagnosis and were lowest among CAYA with non-lung organ metastases (Table). Patients who underwent retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (RPLND) for initial treatment (91/521) had higher survival than those who did not (OS 96.6 ± 1.9% vs 93.7 ± 1.2%, p=0.04; EFS 87.6 ± 3.5 % vs 74.1 ± 2.1 %, p=0.0008), particularly CAYA with lung-only organ metastases. OS post SMN (n=28) was 77.3 ± 8.2%, with lower OS after non-TGCT SMN (50.8 ± 14.4%, n=13) than second primary TGCT (100 ± 0%, n=15), p=0.002. OS after recurrence/progression (n=116) was superior in the 59 who did not receive chemotherapy at initial diagnosis (89.7 ± 4%) compared to the 57 who had initial chemotherapy (65.9 ± 6.4%; p=0.0001). Conclusions: CAYA with TGCT have low EFS, consistent with previous studies. The extent of metastasis is a significant predictor. Efforts are needed to improve the survival outcomes of young TGCT patients with organ metastasis at diagnosis, and those who recur or develop a non-TGCT SMN. [Table: see text]

Southern Africa's Great Escarpment as an amphitheater of climate-driven diversification and a buffer against future climate change in bats.

Hosting 1460 plant and 126 vertebrate endemic species, the Great Escarpment (hereafter, Escarpment) forms a semi-circular "amphitheater" of mountains girdling southern Africa from arid west to temperate east. Since arid and temperate biota are usually studied separately, earlier studies overlooked the biogeographical importance of the Escarpment as a whole. Bats disperse more widely than other mammalian taxa, with related species and intraspecific lineages occupying both arid and temperate highlands of the Escarpment, providing an excellent model to address this knowledge gap. We investigated patterns of speciation and micro-endemism from modeled past, present, and future distributions in six clades of southern African bats from three families (Rhinolophidae, Cistugidae, and Vespertilionidae) having different crown ages (Pleistocene to Miocene) and biome affiliations (temperate to arid). We estimated mtDNA relaxed clock dates of key divergence events across the six clades in relation both to biogeographical features and patterns of phenotypic variation in crania, bacula and echolocation calls. In horseshoe bats (Rhinolophidae), both the western and eastern "arms" of the Escarpment have facilitated dispersals from the Afrotropics into southern Africa. Pleistocene and pre-Pleistocene "species pumps" and temperate refugia explained observed patterns of speciation, intraspecific divergence and, in two cases, mtDNA introgression. The Maloti-Drakensberg is a center of micro-endemism for bats, housing three newly described or undescribed species. Vicariance across biogeographic barriers gave rise to 29 micro-endemic species and intraspecific lineages whose distributions were congruent with those identified in other phytogeographic and zoogeographic studies. Although Köppen-Geiger climate models predict a widespread replacement of current temperate ecosystems in southern Africa by tropical or arid ecosystems by 2070-2100, future climate Maxent models for 13 bat species (all but one of those analyzed above) showed minimal range changes in temperate species from the eastern Escarpment by 2070, possibly due to the buffering effect of mountains to climate change.

Retrieving meaningful information from detrital zircon in Palaeoproterozoic sedimentary rocks: Provenance, timing of deposition, metamorphism and alteration of zircon in sandstones of the Pretoria Group in the Transvaal Basin, South Africa

Abstract The Palaeoproterozoic sandstones and quartzites of the Pretoria Group (Transvaal Supergroup) in the Transvaal Basin of South Africa are important markers for regional correlations and dating of events of global importance (e.g., the Great Oxidation Event). The succession has few independent age markers, and much of the discussion about the time of deposition and the source of material of these rocks has been based on data from detrital zircon suites. The clastic sedimentary rocks of the Pretoria Group contain detrital zircon grains ranging from the Mesoarchaean to ages that are near-contemporaneous to, and even younger than the overlying and crosscutting igneous rocks of the Bushveld Complex. We show that the U-Pb age and Lu-Hf isotope distributions of the detrital zircon population in the Pretoria Group are the result of three different types of processes, acting successively: (1) Crystallisation in the igneous or metamorphic protosource rock (i.e., the rock where the zircon originally crystallised), (2) Metamorphic and hydrothermal resetting of the U-Pb chronometer induced by emplacement and crystallisation of the 2 055 Ma Bushveld Complex, and (3) Late, low-temperature processes (e.g., weathering). Critical age markers of maximum ages of deposition obtained after excluding effects of (2) and (3) are the 2 200 Ma Magaliesberg Formation (outside of the Bushveld aureole) and the 2 080 to 2 100 Ma Lakenvalei Formation. The Leeuwpoort Formation is a worst-case example, containing both young (<2 200 Ma) unmodified detrital zircon and hydrothermally altered zircon in the same age range. The two can only be distinguished from trace element analyses. Age distributions of Archaean and early Palaeoproterozoic zircon age fractions overlap with detrital zircon age suites in lower (i.e., pre-Timeball Hill Formation) parts of the Transvaal Supergroup, suggesting recycling within the basin or from the basin margin. Overlaps in 2 200 to 2 350 Ma zircon ages with those of volcanogenic zircon in the Timeball Hill Formation again suggest recycling. The origin of 2 080 to 2 150 Ma zircon is uncertain, but neither poorly constrained sources in the Kaapvaal Craton (e.g., Okwa Basement Complex) nor recycling of volcanogenic material from post-Magaliesberg formations can be ruled out.

Media and social media sentiment and CEO pay cuts

PurposeThis study investigates the relationship between media and social media sentiment and the likelihood of CEO pay cuts. The purpose is to examine whether and how these pay cuts influence market reactions. The study aims to provide insights into how external sentiment affects corporate decision-making and market perceptions, particularly in the context of CEO compensation.Design/methodology/approachUsing a sample of 6,331 firm-year observations from 2015 to 2021, this paper employs quantitative analysis to assess the association between media and social media sentiment and CEO pay cuts. We utilise company DEF14A SEC filings to identify CEO pay cut dates and capture traditional media and Twitter sentiment 30-days prior to these filing dates.FindingsWe find a negative association between media and social media sentiment and CEO pay cuts, indicating that firms facing more negative sentiment are more likely to engage in pay cuts. We find evidence that CEO pay cuts are negatively correlated with market reactions, suggesting markets generally do not seem to favour decisions to cut CEO pay. This relationship, however, is complex and influenced by multiple factors, including the nature of sentiment and the specific components of CEO compensation.Research limitations/implicationsThe study faces limitations in identifying the varying degrees of pay cuts and their motivations. Additionally, the content of news articles and Twitter posts used to measure sentiment was not specifically identified, which may affect the accuracy of sentiment measurement.Practical implicationsThis research offers valuable insights for managers and corporate decision-makers, highlighting the potential impact of public sentiment on critical executive compensation decisions.Social implicationsThe study underscores the influence of media and social media in shaping public opinion and driving corporate actions, highlighting the growing intersection between social perceptions and corporate governance. This has broader implications for how firms engage with media platforms and manage their public image, particularly in the realm of executive compensation.Originality/valueWe are the first to study the impact of media and social media sentiment on CEO compensation decisions and market reactions. By employing DEF14A filings as event dates for market reaction studies, we offer a novel approach to analysing the impact of executive compensation changes on market behaviour.

Management of edoxaban therapy in patients undergoing emergency/urgent procedures: a subanalysis of the global, prospective, observational, multinational EMIT-AF/VTE programme

Abstract Background Physicians are often unable to follow recommendations for preprocedural oral anticoagulant interruption before emergency/urgent (unplanned) procedures, which may lead to a higher incidence of adverse outcomes in these patients compared with those who undergo planned procedures. The Global EMIT-AF/VTE programme found low bleeding and thromboembolic event rates for patients receiving edoxaban who underwent diagnostic or therapeutic procedures. However, edoxaban management and clinical outcomes may differ among the subgroup of patients with emergency/urgent procedures. Purpose To describe periprocedural edoxaban management and clinical outcomes for patients in the EMIT-AF/VTE programme who underwent emergency/urgent procedures. Methods In this subanalysis, only physician-reported unplanned (emergency/urgent) procedures were included, of which dental and dermatological procedures were excluded. Only a patient’s first emergency procedure was included, with the exception of 3 patients having 2 procedures on the same day (in these cases the 2 procedures were combined). Procedure bleeding risk was classified according to EHRA criteria, and baseline characteristics and edoxaban interruption data were collected. Clinical event and procedure dates were compared to determine whether they were related. Results Among 156 patients undergoing emergency/urgent procedures, the mean ± standard deviation age at baseline was 74.5 ± 8.7 years, and the CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.8 ± 1.6. Medical histories of hypertension and dyslipidaemia were reported in 84.0% and 40.4% of patients, respectively; approximately one-quarter of patients had diabetes mellitus (26.9%) or creatinine clearance ≤50 mL/min (24.4%). The most common procedure types were vascular access and transcatheter diagnostics/interventions (34.6%) and gastroenterological procedures (27.6%). Procedures were more often EHRA-classified as minor (35.9%) or low (35.3%) vs high risk (20.5%). Preprocedure edoxaban interruption rates ranged from 39.3%–50.9% across risk groups, with more than half of the procedures being performed with edoxaban interruption (53%–66%; Figure). By 20 days postprocedure, edoxaban therapy was resumed in approximately 86% and 88% of patients with minor- or low-risk procedures vs 70% with high-risk procedures. Overall, 33 clinical events were recorded, of which 18 (54.5%) preceded a procedure (Table). Five bleeding events and one thrombotic event occurred after and were caused by the procedure. Conclusions Edoxaban resumption was protracted after high- vs minor- or low-risk procedures. Bleeding and thrombotic events resulting from a procedure occurred in <4% of patients, indicating that postprocedure edoxaban therapy can be effectively tailored to optimise clinical outcomes.FigureTable

An improved crop calendar model for winter wheat incorporating vernalization and winter survival to project changes in phenology

Crop phenology and associated crop calendars are necessary for designing breeding goals and for developing effective management practices. Winter wheat is a representative biennial, the cultivation schedule of which is constrained by winter climate conditions, particularly the processes of vernalization and winter survival. Here, we present improvements to a rule-based crop calendar model by incorporating these factors so that it can be used to accurately estimate the phenological events of winter wheat from daily meteorological data. We tested the improved model in Hokkaido, the northernmost Japanese island, which is characterized by seasonal snow cover and a wet summer. The results confirmed that implementing these factors contributed to accurate estimates of peak occurrence dates of winter wheat phenological events. Furthermore, we applied the improved model to simulate wheat phenology under 2 K and 4 K warmer scenarios. The results showed a delayed sowing period up to approximately one month and slight advancements in both flowering and harvesting, leading to a shorter growth period. While this shortened period may be largely compensated by a decrease in the snow-covered period, the shifts in the vegetative and reproductive phases may modify sink-source balance of wheat. We also assessed the risks of pollination failure and preharvest sprouting, both of which are associated with the timing of precipitation, based on the number of rainy days around flowering, and the incidence of precipitation over two consecutive days around the time of harvesting. Our simulations suggested increased risk of pollination failure and reduced risk of preharvest sprouting, leading to an increase in the probability of crop failure. These findings underscore the importance of implementing adaptation measures to mitigate precipitation-related risk under future climates. Further, the findings provide valuable insights for winter wheat breeders and agronomists, thereby facilitating crop production adaptation.

Association of immunomodulatory therapies with COVID-19 mortality in rheumatoid arthritis: An analysis of the FDA adverse event reporting system

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic significantly affects patients with RA and other rheumatic diseases. Our study aims to explore the factors associated with COVID-19-related fatality among Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) patients, especially immunomodulatory therapies, using the international Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS). MethodsReportes from FAERS were extracted from February 2020 to September 2022, and uesd for this cross-sectional analysis. The investigative outcome was COVID-19-related death. Age, sex, region, event date, and immunomodulatory medications classies were included as co-variates in multivariable logistic regression. In view of the different targeting and affinity of individual JAKi, Tofacitinib, Upadacitinib and Baricitinib was respectively analyzed. ResultsIn all, 3808 cases (mean age 58.85 years, 82.8% female), 267 (7.0%) died. JAKi therapies (41.2%), followed by TNFi (37.7%), IL-1i (12.2%), IL-6i (4.1%) and Anti-CD20 (3%) were reported. Risk factors associated with COVID-19-related death in RA patients were age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.06; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05–1.08; p ​< ​0.01), male sex (1.71, 1.26–2.33; p ​= ​0.01) and anti-CD20 therapies (5.05; 1.40–18.19; p ​= ​0.013). With TNFi conference, anti-CD20 was still a risk predictor (4.29; 2.39–7.70; p ​< ​0.01). Other DMARDs except for anti-CD20, did not confer a significant association with mortality, compared with csDMARDs or TNFi. Individual JAKi showed no obvious difference in the risk of death, compared with csDMARDs or TNFis. ConclusionsConclusions Using FAERS open access data for risk prediction of death, anti-CD20 therapies were recognized as a risk factor for COVID-19-related fatalities among RA patients, other immunomodulatory therapies were not associated with mortality, compared with csDMARDs or TNFis.

In situ apatite and carbonate Lu-Hf and molybdenite Re-Os geochronology for ore deposit research: Method validation and example application to Cu-Au mineralisation

The development of laser ablation inductively coupled plasma quadrupole tandem mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-Q-MS/MS) opens new opportunities to rapidly date a variety of hydrothermal minerals. Here we present in situ Lu-Hf and Re-Os dates for hydrothermal apatite and molybdenite, respectively. We further report the first in situ Lu-Hf dates for bastnäsite, dolomite, and siderite, and assess their potential for constraining ore deposit geochronology. For method validation, we report isotope-dilution Lu-Hf dates for apatite reference material Bamble-1 (1102 ± 5 Ma) and calcite reference material ME-1 (1531 ± 7 Ma), enabling improved accuracy on matrix-matched calibration for LA-ICP-MS/MS Lu-Hf dating. The new methods are applied to the Vulcan Iron-Oxide Copper-Gold (IOCG) prospect in the Olympic Cu-Au Province of South Australia. Such deposits have been difficult to accurately date, given the general lack of reliable mineral geochronometers that are cogenetic with IOCG mineralisation. Hydrothermal apatite Lu-Hf dates and molybdenite Re-Os dates demonstrate that mineralisation at Vulcan largely occurred at ca. 1.6 Ga, contemporaneous with the world class Olympic Dam deposit. Our data also indicates that the Lu-Hf system in apatite is more robust than the U-Pb system for determining the timing of primary apatite formation in an IOCG system. We further demonstrate that dolomite can retain Lu-Hf growth ages over an extended time period (>1.5 billion years), providing constraints on the timing of primary ore mineral crystallisation during brecciation and IOCG mineralisation. Finally, late Neoproterozoic (ca. 589–544 Ma) and Carboniferous (ca. 334 ± 7 Ma) Lu-Hf dates were obtained for texturally late Cu-bearing carbonate veins, illustrating that the carbonate Lu-Hf method allows direct dating of Cu remobilisation events. This has important implications for mineral exploration as the remobilised Cu may have been transferred to younger deposits hosted in Neoproterozoic sedimentary basins overlaying the Olympic IOCG province.

Identification of compound drought and heatwave events on a daily scale and across four seasons

Abstract. Compound drought and heatwave (CDHW) events can result in intensified damage to ecosystems, economies, and societies, especially on a warming planet. Although it has been reported that CDHW events in the winter season can also affect insects, birds, and the occurrence of wildfires, the literature generally focuses exclusively on the summer season. Moreover, the coarse temporal resolution of droughts as determined on a monthly scale may hamper the precise identification of the start and/or end dates of CDHW events. Therefore, we propose a method to identify CDHW events on a daily scale that is applicable across the four seasons. More specifically, we use standardized indices calculated on a daily scale to identify four types of compound events in a systematic way. Based on the hypothesis that droughts or heatwaves should be statistically extreme and independent, we remove minor dry or warm spells and merge mutually dependent ones. To demonstrate our method, we make use of 120 years of daily precipitation and temperature information observed at Uccle, Brussels-Capital Region, Belgium. Our method yields more precise start and end dates for droughts and heatwaves than those that can be obtained with a classical approach acting on a monthly scale, thereby allowing for a better identification of CDHW events. Consistent with existing literature, we find an increase in the number of days in CDHW events at Uccle, mainly due to the increasing frequency of heatwaves. Our results also reveal a seasonality in CDHW events, as droughts and heatwaves are negatively dependent on one another in the winter season at Uccle, whereas they are positively dependent on one another in the other seasons. Overall, the method proposed in this study is shown to be robust and displays potential for exploring how year-round CDHW events influence ecosystems.

Inbuilt age, residence time, and inherited age from radiocarbon dates of modern fires and late Holocene deposits, Western Transverse Ranges, California

AbstractRadiocarbon dates from alluvial sections provide maximum deposit ages because of the time lag between formation of the dated material and deposition at the sample site, potentially producing decade‐ to century‐long biases in the dates of historic events, paleoclimatic change, fire histories, and paleoearthquakes. This bias, called the inherited age, combines the inbuilt age distribution, which reflects the age composition of the vegetation of the source area, and the residence time distribution, which includes transport and interim storage prior to final deposition. We tackle inherited age and its components by comparing charcoal dates from two modern fires in southern California, the 2020 Bobcat Fire and the 2013 Grand Fire, with a well‐dated late Holocene terrace deposit in the Pallett Creek watershed. Fifty‐six radiocarbon dates from the modern fires provide an inbuilt age distribution with a median of 25 years pre‐fire (320‐year 95% range). An inherited age distribution calculated from 175 terrace deposit dates is older, with a median age of ~90 years (850‐year 95% range). Comparing inherited ages calculated from organic‐rich versus clastic terrace deposits reveals a slight facies dependence suggesting longer residence times in clastic deposits. We develop a modeled inherited age that incorporates larger calibration uncertainties in pre‐1950s samples by combining the modern fire sample distribution with the pre‐bomb portion of the calibration curve. The modeled inherited age is younger than the terrace deposit inherited age by only 21 years, indicating inbuilt age, not long residence times, dominates inherited age in this setting. The results imply that paleoearthquakes and climatic event age estimates in the Western Transverse Ranges are up to a century too old. More broadly, dating charcoal from modern fires can constrain inherited age and the resulting distributions can improve the accuracy of dates of past environmental and tectonic events.

The hippocampus supports precise memory for public events regardless of their remoteness

The necessity of the human hippocampus and surrounding medial temporal lobe structures to semantic memory remains contentious. Impaired semantic memory following hippocampal lesions could arise either due to partially intertwined episodic memories and/or retrograde/anterograde effects. In this study, we tested amnesic individuals with lesions in hippocampus and surrounding medial temporal lobe (n = 7) and age-matched controls (n = 14) on their ability to precisely recall the dates of famous public events that occurred either before (i.e., pre-lifetime) or after participants’ birth date (lifetime). We show that deficits in dating precision are greatest for recent lifetime events, consistent with the notion that recent event memory may be particularly intertwined with episodic memory. At the same time, individuals with medial temporal lobe lesions showed more subtle impairments in their ability to date pre-birth and remote lifetime events precisely. Together, these findings suggest that the hippocampus and surrounding medial temporal lobe structures are important for representational precision of semantic memories regardless of their remoteness.

Seemingly manipulated anomaly: Evidence from corporate site visits

We find that the stock prices of some firms are suspected to be manipulated by the market in the CSV disclosure event scenario. An anomaly in the daily cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) of these “suspicious” CSVs is documented. Around the suspicious CSVs, the CAR trending upward (downward) one month before the event day, temporarily declining (increasing) on the event day, and then trending upward (downward) one year after the event day. We refer to this seemingly manipulated anomaly as the CSV manipulative effect. Based on a unique data set of CSVs to listed firms in China, we obtain the following main findings. First, the CSV manipulative effect is not caused by other company announcements disclosed around the CSV event date, and the probability of manipulative effect brought by CSVs is significantly greater than that brought by other company announcements. Second, factors related to market manipulation significantly affect the CSV manipulative effect. Third, we construct a machine learning model to detect the CSV manipulative effect and find that it is capable of detecting this effect. Fourth, the portfolio constructed by the CSV manipulative effect performs better than the portfolio constructed by the momentum or reversal effect.