Evaporation-wind Feedback Research Articles

Precipitation Partitioning, Tropical Clouds, and Intraseasonal Variability in GFDL AM2

AbstractA set of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) Atmospheric Model version 2 (AM2) sensitivity simulations by varying an entrainment threshold rate to control deep convection occurrence are used to investigate how cumulus parameterization impacts tropical cloud and precipitation characteristics. In the tropics, model convective precipitation (CP) is frequent and light, while large-scale precipitation (LSP) is intermittent and strong. With deep convection inhibited, CP decreases significantly over land and LSP increases prominently over ocean. This results in an overall redistribution of precipitation from land to ocean. A composite analysis reveals that cloud fraction (low and middle) and cloud condensate associated with LSP are substantially larger than those associated with CP. With about the same total precipitation and precipitation frequency distribution over the tropics, simulations having greater LSP fraction tend to have larger cloud condensate and low and middle cloud fraction.Simulations having a greater LSP fraction tend to be drier and colder in the upper troposphere. The induced unstable stratification supports strong transient wind perturbations and LSP. Greater LSP also contributes to greater intraseasonal (20–100 days) precipitation variability. Model LSP has a close connection to the low-level convergence via the resolved grid-scale dynamics and, thus, a close coupling with the surface heat flux. Such wind–evaporation feedback is essential to the development and maintenance of LSP and enhances model precipitation variability. LSP has stronger dependence and sensitivity on column moisture than CP. The moisture–convection feedback, critical to tropical intraseasonal variability, is enhanced in simulations with large LSP. Strong precipitation variability accompanied by a worse mean state implies that an optimal precipitation partitioning is critical to model tropical climate simulation.

Moisture Modes and the Eastward Propagation of the MJO

Abstract The authors discuss modifications to a simple linear model of intraseasonal moisture modes. Wind–evaporation feedbacks were shown in an earlier study to induce westward propagation in an eastward mean low-level flow in this model. Here additional processes, which provide effective sources of moist static energy to the disturbances and which also depend on the low-level wind, are considered. Several processes can act as positive sources in perturbation easterlies: zonal advection (if the mean zonal moisture gradient is eastward), modulation of synoptic eddy drying by the MJO-scale wind perturbations, and frictional convergence. If the sum of these is stronger than the wind–evaporation feedback—as observations suggest may be the case, though with considerable uncertainty—the model produces unstable modes that propagate weakly eastward relative to the mean flow. With a small amount of horizontal diffusion or other scale-selective damping, the growth rate is greatest at the largest horizontal scales and decreases monotonically with wavenumber.

Boreal summer intraseasonal variability simulated in the NCEP climate forecast system: insights from moist static energy budget and sensitivity to convective moistening

The NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) with the relaxed Arakawa Schubert (RAS, hereafter referred to as CTRL) convection scheme of Moorthi and Suarez exhibits better performance in representing boreal summer tropical intraseasonal variability as compared with a simulation using simplified Arakawa–Schubert scheme. The intraseasonal moist static energy (MSE) budget is analyzed in this version of the CFS model (CTRL), which produces realistic eastward and northward propagation characteristics. The moist and thermodynamic processes involved in the maintenance and propagation of the poleward moving intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) disturbances are examined here. Budget diagnostics show that horizontal MSE advection is the principal component of the budget, contributing to the poleward movement of the convection. The injection of MSE moistens the atmosphere north of the convective area causing the poleward movement of convection by destabilization of the atmosphere. The moistening process is mainly contributed by the climatological wind acting on the anomalous moisture gradient as confirmed from the examination of moisture advection equation. While surface enthalpy fluxes (consisting of radiative and surface turbulent heat fluxes) maintain the ISO anomalies, they oppose the MSE tendency due to horizontal advection thus regulating the poleward propagation characteristics. In addition, the model results show that wind–evaporation feedback dominates over cloud–radiation feedback for ISO propagation; this is in contrast to our estimates using the newly available European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts Interim reanalysis. Sensitivity experiments suggest that intraseasonal variability in the CFS model with the RAS scheme is highly sensitive to the parameterization of both the shallow convection and the convective rain evaporation and downdrafts. Removal of these components adversely affects the propagation characteristics and greatly reduces the amplitude of intraseasonal variability. Our results support the primary importance of the moisture preconditioning ahead of the ISO and the physical relationship between moisture and precipitation. For realistic ISO simulations, models need to represent these features appropriately.

Effect of SST Distribution and Radiative Feedbacks on the Simulation of Intraseasonal Variability in an Aquaplanet GCM

An aquaplanet atmospheric general circulation model with prescribed sea surface temperatures (SST) is used to provide insight on tropical intraseasonal variability. Previous work showed that a zonally asymmetric SST distribution that resembles observations but with the meridional SST gradient reduced to one-quarter of its observed value poleward of 10° could produce a robust Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) with 50-day periodicity and amplitude greater than observations in this model. Wind-evaporation feedback was shown to be necessary to destabilize the model MJO. This present work extends these aquaplanet sensitivity experiments to examine the impact of other SST basic states on intraseasonal variability, and also determines whether cloud-radiative and moisture-radiative feedbacks are important for destabilizing the model MJO. A zonally symmetric model with reduced meridional SST gradient produces dominant intraseasonal power at too short of timescale (~30 days) and reduced amplitude relative to the zonally asymmetric simulation, suggesting that basic state zonal asymmetries and surface mean westerlies are important for producing a realistic MJO. The intraseasonal mode in the zonally symmetric model resembles the WISHE mode of linear theory, with wind speed and latent heat flux anomaly maxima occurring in surface easterly anomalies to the east of maximum convection, unlike the zonally asymmetric model in which latent heat fluxes maximize near and to the west of convection like in observations. An experiment with in which longwave radiative heating is prescribed to be near climatology suggests that both radiative and wind-evaporation feedbacks may help to destabilize the model MJO.

Mechanisms of Poleward Propagating, Intraseasonal Convective Anomalies in Cloud System–Resolving Models

Abstract An envelope of convection that propagates both poleward and eastward accounts for the largest fraction of intraseasonal variance of the tropical atmosphere during boreal summer. Here the mechanisms of poleward propagating convective anomalies are examined in a nonhydrostatic model with zonally symmetric boundary conditions, integrated on a beta plane at resolutions high enough to explicitly represent moist convection. When the domain has a narrow zonal dimension of 100 km or less, the model produces a quasisteady intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). Meridionally propagating transients are produced for some prescribed sea surface temperature distributions, but these transients are shallow, vanish at finer resolutions, and have a structure that bears little resemblance to that of observed poleward propagating anomalies. This is in sharp contrast to previous studies that obtained robust poleward propagating anomalies in axisymmetric models using parameterized moist convection, and it suggests that the anomalies seen in those models may be caused by deficient representations of dynamics or subgrid-scale physics. Robust poleward propagating anomalies are obtained when the high-resolution, nonhydrostatic model is integrated in a wider domain with a zonal dimension near 1000 km. Diagnostics suggest that poleward propagation in this wide domain results from the convectively coupled beta drift of low-level vorticity anomalies. Deep near-equatorial ascent produces low-level cyclones that migrate poleward through the process of beta drift; Ekman pumping in these drifting cyclones then humidifies the free troposphere ahead of the initial deep ascent, shifting the convection poleward. The moist static energy budget and model sensitivity tests suggest that these anomalies can be viewed as moisture modes destabilized through a moisture–radiation feedback. Wind–evaporation feedback also seems to contribute to the instability of these anomalies, but because it enhances surface fluxes on the equatorward side of the anomalies, it also reduces their propagation speed. These results suggest a novel mechanism for the poleward propagation of intraseasonal convective anomalies and illustrate the need to evaluate theoretical models that use parameterized convection against cloud system–resolving models.

Mechanisms of Meridional Teleconnection Observed between a Summer Monsoon System and a Subtropical Anticyclone. Part II: A Global Survey

Abstract A global survey is conducted for atmospheric anomaly patterns of meridional teleconnection over the summer hemisphere associated with anomalous tropical convection. The patterns may be akin to the Pacific–Japan (PJ) teleconnection pattern analyzed in detail in the companion paper. From the survey, meridional teleconnections are identified over five regions, namely, the western North Pacific and Central/North America in boreal summer, as well as the western South Indian Ocean, central South Pacific, and western South Atlantic in austral summer. All of the patterns are observed in the western peripheries of the summertime surface subtropical anticyclones over the individual ocean basins. Although all of the patterns can convert available potential energy (APE) efficiently from the vertically sheared subtropical westerly jets, the efficiencies of barotropic energy conversion from the mean flow and diabatic APE generation differ from one pattern to another. Still, all of the patterns gain energy as the net, to maintain themselves against dissipative processes. Both the anomalous moisture convergence near the surface and the midtropospheric anomalous ascent required for the vorticity and thermal balance act to sustain the anomalous tropical convection, while the wind-evaporation feedback contributes positively only to the PJ pattern over the western North Pacific. Examination of common features and discrepancies among the five teleconnection patterns with respect to their structures and energetics reveals that climatological background features, including the largest horizontal extent of the Asian monsoon system and the North Pacific subtropical anticyclone, in addition to particularly high SST over the Pacific warm pool, render the PJ pattern an outstanding mode of variability.

Breakdown and Reformation of the Intertropical Convergence Zone in a Moist Atmosphere

Abstract The effects of moisture on the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) over the eastern Pacific on the synoptic time scale are investigated using an intermediate complexity atmospheric circulation model, the quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model (QTCM1), on an aquaplanet. The dry simulation shows results consistent with those of simple dynamic models, except that a slightly stronger heating rate is needed owing to different model designs. In the moist simulations, the most important result is the formation of a tail southwest of a vortex during and after the ITCZ breakdown. This tail may extend zonally more than 60° longitude and last for more than two weeks in an idealized simulation. In the eastern North Pacific, this phenomenon is often observed in cases that involve easterly waves. In a sense, the formation of the tail suggests a possible mechanism that forms an ITCZ efficiently. This study shows that the surface convergent flow induced by a disturbance initializes a positive wind–evaporation feedback that forms the tail. In the tail, the most important energy source is surface evaporation, and the latent heat is nicely balanced by an adiabatic cooling of the ascending motion. In other words, the energy is redistributed vertically by vertical energy convergence. The lifespan of the tail is controlled by the propagation of tropical waves that modify the surface wind pattern, leading to a decrease in surface wind speed and corresponding surface fluxes. It may explain the absence of the tail in some of the events in the real atmosphere.

A CGCM Study on the Northward Propagation of Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation over the Asian Summer Monsoon Regions

This study performs numerical experiments to (1) examine the influences of Pacific and Indian Ocean couplings on the propagation of tropical intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in the extended boreal summer (May-through-October) and (2) determine the relative contributions of the ocean coupling and internal atmospheric dynamics to the ISO propagation over the Asian-Pacific monsoon regions. For (1), three basin-coupling experiments are performed with a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (CGCM), in which the air-sea coupling is limited respectively to the Indian Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, and both the Indian and Pacific oceans. For (2), three forced experiments are performed with the atmospheric GCM (AGCM) component of the CGCM, in which the sea surface temperature (SST) climatologies are prescribed from the CGCM experiments. Using extended Empirical Orthogonal Function and composite analyses, the leading ISO modes are identified and compared between the observation and the model experiments. The CGCM modeling results show that the Indian ocean coupling is more important than the Pacific Ocean coupling to promoting both zonal and meridional propagations of the summertime ISO. In this season, the Indo-Pacific warm pool retracts westward and shifts into the Northern Hemisphere allowing the Indian Ocean coupling to become more important. The Indian Ocean coupling is found to promote the northward propagation mainly through wind-evaporation feedback, whereas in observations the cloud-radiation feedback is found to be equally important. The AGCM modeling results indicate that monsoonal dynamics aid the meridional ISO propagation mainly in the low-level winds. Without the ocean coupling, the northward ISO convection feature is weaker and is limited by the northern boundary of climatic easterly vertical shear. The ocean coupling enables the simulated ISO-related convections to cross the northern boundary of the shear. This modeling study concludes that the Indian Ocean coupling plays a crucial rather than a secondary role for the observed northward propagation of summertime ISO.

Do tropical cyclones intensify by WISHE?

AbstractIn this paper we seek and obtain a basic understanding of tropical cyclone intensification in three dimensions when precipitation and evaporative‐cooling (warm rain) processes are included. Intensification with warm rain physics included is found to be dominated by highly localized deep convective structures possessing strong cyclonic vorticity in their cores—dubbed ‘Vortical Hot Towers’ (VHTs). Unlike previous studies, the findings herein suggest an intensification pathway that is distinct from the ‘evaporation–wind’ feedback mechanism known as wind‐induced surface heat exchange (WISHE), which requires a positive feedback between the azimuthal‐mean boundary‐layer equivalent potential temperature and the azimuthal‐mean surface wind speed underneath the eyewall of the storm. Intensification from a finite‐amplitude initial vortex is shown to not require this evaporation–wind feedback process. Indeed, when the surface wind speed in the sea‐to‐air vapour fluxes is capped at a nominal (trade‐wind) value, the vortex still intensifies by the same pathway identified in the main experiments via the generation of locally buoyant VHTs and the near‐surface convergence that the VHTs induce within the boundary layer.The present findings and interpretations challenge the prevailing view that tropical cyclones are premier examples of vortical systems arising from WISHE. Given the potential significance on our understanding of the dynamics of hurricanes, and given the limitations of the present modelling framework, further tests of these predictions are advocated. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society

Sensitivity of ITCZ configuration to cumulus convective parameterizations on an aqua planet

This paper examines the performances of various cumulus convective parameterization schemes in the tropical atmosphere using an aqua-planet atmospheric General Circulation Model forced by zonally symmetric but latitudinally varying sea surface temperature (SST) and solar angle. The intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is represented by intense precipitation. The assigned Control experiment with a specific SST distribution, as designated by the Aqua Planet Experiment, yields a single ITCZ when Zhang’s scheme or Manabe’s scheme is employed, whereas a double ITCZ occurs when Tiedtke’s scheme is used. The key to the occurrence of a double ITCZ is latitudinal variation in evaporation within the boundary layer. Such variation is induced mainly by latitudinal variation in the zonal wind speed, with the existence of a calm belt at the equator and a maximum wind speed located off the equator, arising from the evaporation–wind feedback (EWF) mechanism. The latitudinal distribution of evaporation results in a decrease in the height of the lifting condensation level in areas off the equator and an increase at the equator. The occurrence of a single ITCZ in Zhang’s scheme is attributed to the use of a Convective Available Potential Energy criterion by which convection occurs more readily at the equator. As a result, a precipitation maximum is maintained at the equator via a prevailing Conditional Instability of the Second Kind mechanism.

Annual intensification of the Somali jet in a quasi‐equilibrium framework: Observational composites

AbstractThe annual intensification of the Somali jet, which accompanies the onset of the Indian summer monsoon, is rapid compared to the evolution of the seasonal insolation forcing. Using observationally‐based data sets, the dynamic and thermodynamic changes accompanying the onset of this jet are presented. The abrupt component of jet onset is shown to occur over ocean about 1000km east of the East African highlands, and is accompanied by increases in both deep convection and baroclinic flow over the off‐equatorial Arabian Sea. These abrupt changes are well separated from the core of the cross‐equatorial jet, which is located over land adjacent to the East African highlands.The onset of the Somali jet and the associated monsoon are then examined in a convective quasi‐equilibrium framework. Such a framework is consistent with the mean summer state, in that peak free‐tropospheric temperatures are nearly collocated with peak subcloud layer entropies over the northern Bay of Bengal and adjacent coastal regions. Jet onset is accompanied by a large ($\hbox{O}\{100\ \hbox{W m}^{-2}\}$) increase in surface enthalpy flux over the Arabian Sea that is nearly collocated with, and linearly related to, the concurrent increase in deep tropospheric ascent. At the same time, the highest subcloud entropies shift inland slightly from the Bay of Bengal, and the region of warmest free‐tropospheric temperatures expands poleward. The consistency of all of these changes with a wind—evaporation feedback and several other hypothesized mechanisms of abrupt monsoon onset is discussed. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society

Wind–Evaporation Feedback and the Axisymmetric Transition to Angular Momentum–Conserving Hadley Flow

Abstract The effect of wind-induced surface heat exchange (WISHE) on axisymmetric, solstitial Hadley circulations is examined for forcings strong enough to produce meridional flow that nearly conserves absolute angular momentum in the free troposphere. Such forcings are known to produce an off-equatorial ascent zone in the summer hemisphere where the convergence of zonal momentum is balanced by drag on surface westerlies. Here, a convective quasi-equilibrium model with two vertical modes is used to show that enhanced surface entropy fluxes induced by these westerlies can intensify and shift both this ascent zone and the subcloud-layer entropy peak toward the equator. The equatorward shift of the subcloud entropy peak is associated with a reduction in the forcing amplitude needed to produce angular momentum–conserving (AMC) meridional flow. A previous theory of frontogenesis in tropical cyclones is adapted to axisymmetric Hadley circulations to show how WISHE shifts the peak subcloud entropy toward the equator. These effects also occur for forcings that vary in a seasonal cycle, with the precise effect of WISHE depending on the peak amplitude of the forcing. For weak seasonally varying forcings, WISHE can abruptly increase the intensity of a local, viscous circulation, whereas for forcings of intermediate strength WISHE produces a transition to AMC flow when such a transition would not otherwise occur. For the strongest forcings, WISHE shifts the transition to AMC flow to a time earlier in the seasonal cycle. The possible relevance of these results to monsoon dynamics is discussed, as are possible effects of processes not represented in these axisymmetric models.

Wind–Evaporation Feedback and Abrupt Seasonal Transitions of Weak, Axisymmetric Hadley Circulations

Abstract For an imposed thermal forcing localized off the equator, it is known that conservation of absolute angular momentum in axisymmetric flow produces a nonlinear response once the forcing exceeds a critical amplitude. It is shown here that, for a moist atmosphere in convective quasi-equilibrium, the combination of wind-dependent ocean surface enthalpy fluxes and zonal momentum advection can provide a separate feedback that causes the meridional flow to evolve nonlinearly as a function of a sea surface temperature (SST) forcing, even if an angular momentum–conserving response is not achieved. This wind–evaporation feedback is examined in both an axisymmetric primitive equation model and a simple model that retains only a barotropic and single baroclinic mode. Only SST forcings that do not produce an angular momentum–conserving response are examined here. The wind–evaporation feedback is found to be inhibited in models with linear dynamics because the barotropic component of the Hadley circulation, which is coupled to the baroclinic circulation via surface drag, keeps surface winds small compared to upper-level winds. In models with nonlinear dynamics, the convergence of zonal momentum into the ascending branch of the cross-equatorial Hadley cell can create barotropic westerlies that constructively add to the baroclinic wind at the surface, thereby eliminating the inhibition of the wind–evaporation feedback. The possible relevance of these results to the onset of monsoons is discussed.

An Enhanced Moisture Convergence–Evaporation Feedback Mechanism for MJO Air–Sea Interaction

Abstract Simulations using an atmospheric model forced with observed SST climatology and the same atmospheric model coupled to a slab-ocean model are used to investigate the role of air–sea interaction on the dynamics of the MJO. Slab-ocean coupling improved the MJO in Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology atmospheric model over the Indo-Pacific warm pool by reducing its period from 70–100 to 45–70 days, thereby showing better agreement with the 30–80-day observed oscillation. Air–sea coupling improves the MJO by increasing the moisture flux in the lower troposphere prior to the passage of active convection, which acts to promote convection and precipitation on the eastern flank of the main convective center. This process is triggered by an increase in surface evaporation over positive SST anomalies ahead of the MJO convection, which are driven by the enhanced shortwave radiation in the region of suppressed convection. This in turn generates enhanced convergence into the region, which supports evaporation–wind feedback in the presence of weak background westerly winds. A subsequent increase in low-level moisture convergence acts to further moisten the lower troposphere in advance of large-scale convection in a region of reduced atmospheric pressure. This destabilizing mechanism is referred to as enhanced moisture convergence–evaporation feedback (EMCEF) and is utilized to understand the role of air–sea coupling on the observed MJO. The EMCEF mechanism also reconciles traditionally opposing ideas on the roles of frictional wave–conditional instability of the second kind (CISK) and wind–evaporation feedback. These results support the idea that the MJO is primarily an atmospheric phenomenon, with air–sea interaction improving upon, but not critical for, its existence in the model.

Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves in an Idealized Moist General Circulation Model

The dynamics of convectively coupled Kelvin waves and their dependence on convection scheme parameters are studied within a simplified moist general circulation model. The model consists of the primitive equations on the sphere over zonally symmetric aquaplanet, slab mixed layer ocean boundary conditions, and idealized physical parameterizations including gray radiative transfer and a simplified Betts–Miller convection scheme. This framework allows the authors to study the dependence of Kelvin waves on quantities such as the gross moist stability in a clean manner. A control simulation with the model produces convectively coupled Kelvin waves that are remarkably persistent and dominate the variability within the Tropics. These waves propagate with an equivalent depth of ≈40 m. Linear regression analysis with respect to a Kelvin-filtered time series shows that the waves are driven by evaporation–wind feedback and have structures broadly consistent with theoretical predictions for Kelvin waves. Next, the determination of the speed and structure of the Kelvin waves is studied by examining the response of the waves to changes in convection scheme parameters. When the convective relaxation time is lengthened, the waves are damped and eventually are completely eliminated. The propagation speed additionally increases with longer relaxation time. Then changes to a convection scheme parameter that essentially controls the fraction of convective versus large-scale precipitation are examined. When some large-scale precipitation occurs, the waves increase in strength, propagate more slowly, and move to larger scales. However, when mostly large-scale precipitation occurs, the Kelvin wave disappears, and the Tropics are dominated by tropical storm–like variability. The decrease in speed is related here to the gross moist stability of the atmosphere, which is reduced with increased large-scale precipitation.

Effects of South China Sea/western North Pacific summer monsoon on tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO)

Several theories have been developed to explain tropical biennial oscillation (TBO), as an air–sea interactive system to impact Asian and global weather and climate, and some models have been established to produce a TBO. A simple 5–box model, with almost all the key processes associated with TBO, can produce a TBO by including air-sea interactions in the monsoon regions. Despite that, the South China Sea/western North Pacific summer monsoon (SCS/WNPSM), a very important monsoon subsystem, is neglected. In this paper, based on the dynamical framework of 5–box model, the term of SCS/WNPSM has been added and a 6–box model has been developed. Comparing the difference of TBO sensibilities with several key parameters, air–sea coupling coefficient α, SST-thermocline feedback coefficient γ and wind-evaporation feedback coefficient λ, between the modified model and original model, TBO is more sensible to the parameters in the new model. The results imply that the eastern Pacific and local wind-evaporation play more important roles in the TBO when including SCS/WNPSM.

Regimes of seasonal air–sea interaction and implications for performance of forced simulations

Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies can induce anomalous convection through surface evaporation and low-level moisture convergence. This SST forcing of the atmosphere is indicated in a positive local rainfall–SST correlation. Anomalous convection can feedback on SST through cloud-radiation and wind-evaporation effects and wind-induced oceanic mixing and upwelling. These atmospheric feedbacks are reflected in a negative local rainfall–SST tendency correlation. As such, the simultaneous rainfall–SST and rainfall–SST tendency correlations can indicate the nature of local air–sea interactions. Based on the magnitude of simultaneous rainfall–SST and rainfall–SST tendency correlations, the present study identifies three distinct regimes of local air–sea interactions. The relative importance of SST forcing and atmospheric forcing differs in these regimes. In the equatorial central-eastern Pacific and, to a smaller degree, in the western equatorial Indian Ocean, SST forcing dominates throughout the year and the surface heat flux acts mainly as a damping term. In the tropical Indo-western Pacific Ocean regions, SST forcing and atmospheric forcing dominate alternatively in different seasons. Atmospheric forcing dominates in the local warm/rainy season. SST forcing dominates with a positive wind-evaporation feedback during the transition to the cold/dry season. SST forcing also dominates during the transition to the warm/rainy season but with a negative cloud-radiation feedback. The performance of atmospheric general circulation model simulations forced by observed SST is closely linked to the regime of air–sea interaction. The forced simulations have good performance when SST forcing dominates. The performance is low or poor when atmospheric forcing dominates.

Satellite and Buoy Observations of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Variability in the Tropical Northeast Pacific

Abstract Tropical intraseasonal variability in the eastern North Pacific during June–September of 2000–03 is analyzed using satellite and buoy observations. Quick Scatterometer ocean vector winds and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation indicate that periods of anomalous surface westerly flow over the east Pacific warm pool during a summertime intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) life cycle are generally associated with an enhancement of convection to the east of 120°W. An exception is a narrow band of suppressed precipitation along 8°N that is associated with negative column-integrated precipitable water anomalies and anticyclonic vorticity anomalies. Periods of surface easterly anomalies are generally associated with suppressed convection to the east of 120°W. Summertime wind jets in the Gulfs of Tehuantepec and Papagayo exhibit heightened activity during periods of ISO easterly anomalies and suppressed convection. Strong variations in east Pacific warm pool wind speed occur in association with the summertime ISO. Anomalous ISO westerly flow is generally accompanied by enhanced wind speed to the east of 120°W, while anomalous easterly flow is associated with suppressed wind speed. Intraseasonal vector wind anomalies added to the climatological flow account for the bulk of the wind speed enhancement in the warm pool during the westerly phase, while the easterly phase shows strong contributions to the negative wind speed anomaly from both intraseasonal vector wind anomalies and suppressed synoptic-scale eddy activity. An analysis using Tropical Atmosphere Ocean buoys and TRMM precipitation suggests that wind–evaporation feedback is important for supporting summertime intraseasonal convection over the east Pacific warm pool. A statistically significant correlation of 0.6 between intraseasonal latent heat flux and precipitation occurs at the 12°N, 95°W buoy. Correlations between precipitation and latent heat flux at the 10°N, 95°W and 8°N, 95°W buoys are positive (0.4), but not statistically significant. Intraseasonal latent heat flux anomalies at all buoys are primarily wind induced. Consistent with the suppressed convection there during the ISO westerly phase, a negative but not statistically significant correlation (−0.3) occurs between precipitation and latent heat flux at the 8°N, 110°W buoy.

A multi-model analysis of the role of the ocean on the African and Indian monsoon during the mid-Holocene

We investigate the role of the ocean feedback on the climate in response to insolation forcing during the mid-Holocene (6,000 year BP) using results from seven coupled ocean–atmosphere general circulation models. We examine how the dipole in late summer sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Atlantic increases the length of the African monsoon, how this dipole structure is created and maintained, and how the late summer SST warming in the northwest Indian Ocean affects the monsoon retreat in this sector. Similar mechanisms are found in all of the models, including a strong wind evaporation feedback and changes in the mixed layer depth that enhance the insolation forcing, as well as increased Ekman transport in the Atlantic that sharpens the Atlantic dipole pattern. We also consider changes in interannual variability over West Africa and the Indian Ocean. The teleconnection between variations in SST and Sahelian precipitation favor a larger impact of the Atlantic dipole mode in this region. In the Indian Ocean, the strengthening of the Indian dipole structure in autumn has a damping effect on the Indian dipole mode at the interannual time scale.

CISK Instability of Equatorial Kelvin Waves Using the Evaporation-Wind Feedback Mechanism as the Cumulus Parameterization Scheme

The instability of the Kelvin waves problem is analyzed using the evaporation-wind feedback mechanism as the cumulus parameterization scheme. The method we used is a modified method of characteristics (LeVeque 1992). Two cases were considered. First was linear case without assuming any background wind. We found that at lower levels the perturbation will be unstable only if the wind is westerly. At the upper troposphere, in order to be unstable the wind must be easterly, and the system is stable when the perturbation wind is westerly. Next, we calculated the linear case with a background wind in the zonal direction. This is identical to the case analyzed by Neelin et al. (1987). We also obtained identical results, namely the system is stable if the background wind is assumed westerly and unstable if the background wind is assumed easterly.